HC Deb 27 March 1969 vol 780 cc1781-3
23. Mr. Tom Boardman

asked the Secretary of State for Economic Affairs why "The Task Ahead", uses a different definition in Table 6.1 for the claims on resources for achieving the balance of payments target from the definition used in the comparable Table 1.1 of the National Plan; and if he will give comparable figures on both bases together with the actual change between 1964 and 1967.

Mr. Alan Williams

The actual changes between 1964 and 1967, on both bases, are set out in a table to be circulated in the Official Report. It was decided to reduce the sub-divisions of

USE OF RESOURCES (£ MILLION)
National Plan Basis (a) (constant 1964 prices) Economic Assessment Basis (constant 1967 prices)
1964 1967 1964 1967
GNP at market prices 33,258 35,225 GDP at market prices 36,861 39,093
Balance of trade in goods and services including net property income from abroad. −213 −310 Net property income from abroad. 431 410
Balance of trade in goods and services (b). −500 −568
Investment: Investment:
Manufacturing and construction 1,346 1,436 Private industry and services 2,898 3,056
Other private industry and services 1,349 1408
Nationalised industries 1,145 1,379 Nationalised industries 1,271 1,530
Stockbuilding 639 114 Stockbuilding 726 130
Housing 1,210 1,326 Housing 1,336 1,464
Roads 190 245 Public services 813 1,033
Other public services 561 708
Transfer costs of land and buildings 59 61 Transfer costs of land and buildings. 60 62
Defence 1,925 2,030 Defence 2,197 2,317
Consumption: Consumption:
Social and other public services 3,470 4,048 Social and other public services. 4,068 4,746
Personal 21,577 22,854 Personal 23,908 25,323
(a) 1964 figures revised in conformity with National Income and Expenditure: 1968 Blue Book,
(b) Excluding net property income from abroad.
24. Mr. Tom Boardman

asked the Secretary of State for Economic Affairs in view of the fact that the period 1967 to 1972 covers three phases for the pattern of the use of resources in relation to the investment in table 6.1 to avoid unnecessary detail and to give more scope for variation in the light of the consultations with industry and, for these reasons, projections to 1972 on the National Plan basis are not given. The exclusion of investment income from the balance of trade in goods and services arises from the use of G.D.P. instead of G.N.P. as a measure of national output.

Mr. Boardman

Do not these figures show that, if like were compared with like, the task of improving the balance of payments is very much greater now than in 1964? Is this not a damning indictment of the Government's economic policy?

Mr. Williams

No, Sir. If like were compared with like, in 1964 we inherited a ramshackle economy with out-of-date industry. We now have a better industrial base on which to found our expansion, and devaluation has given us a competitive edge abroad.

Following is the Table:

period averages in Table 6.1 of "The Task Ahead," if he will sub-divide these projections to show the actual changes between 1967 and the latest available figures, the projected changes between then and 1970, and the changes between 1970 and 1972.

Mr. Alan Williams

No, Sir. "The Task Ahead" is concerned with the changes that have to take place in the use of resources between now and 1972, but it does not attempt to predict the precise timing of their achievement. This will depend in large measure on the success by all concerned in improving the balance of payments.

Mr. Boardman

Does not the presentation confuse past performance with present plans and future forecasts, and is not this designed to conceal the true size of the problem?

Mr. Williams

Not to anyone who knows his way around an economic document.