HC Deb 16 November 1992 vol 214 cc29-31W
Mr. Betts

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will list the forecasts made by the Treasury for(a) the public service borrowing requirement, (b) public expenditure, (c) inflation, (d) unemployment, (e) growth of gross domestic product and (f) the balance of payments, in both the autumn statements and the Budget statements for the financial years 1987–88 to 1992–93, together with the actual performance in each year and the latest estimate for 1992–93.

Mr. Portillo

[holding answer 11 November 1992]: The Government do not publish unemployment forecasts. Forecasts of the other variables are shown in the table. A new forecast was published to accompany the Chancellor's autumn statement on Thursday 12 November.

Year for which forecasts made
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
FSBR 1992 3.75
Outturn 4.00 6.50 7.50 10.00 4.25 n/a

Real GDP, percentage changes on a year earlier
Year for which forecasts made
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
FSBR 1987 3.00
Autumn Statement 1987 4.00 2.50
FSBR 1988 3.00
Autumn Statement 1988 4.50 3.00
FSBR 1989 2.50
Autumn Statement 1989 2.00 1.25
FSBR 1990 1.00
Autumn Statement 1990 1.00 0.50
FSBR 1991 -2.00
Autumn Statement 1991 -2.00 2.25
FSBR 1992 1.00
Outturn 4.50 4.50 2.00 0.75 -2.50 n/a

Current Account Balance
£ billion
Year for which forecasts made
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
FSBR 1987 -2.50
Autumn Statement 1987 -2.50 -3.50
FSBR 1988 -4.00
Autumn Statement 1988 -13.00 -11.00
FSBR 1989 -14.50
Autumn Statement 1989 -20.00 -15.00
FSBR 1990 -15.00
Autumn Statement 1990 -15.50 -11.00
FSBR 1991 -6.00
Autumn Statement 1991 -6.50 -9.50
FSBR 1992 -6.50
Outturn -4.50 -16.25 -21.75 -17.00 -6.25 n/a