§ 5. Mr. Douglasasked the Secretary of State for Energy if he will make a statement on the current level of production of North sea oil and gas.
§ Mr. Peter MorrisonNorth sea oil production in May was 2.6 million barrels per day, the same level as last year. United Kindom gas production has increased over the past few years and in May production was 3.2 billion cu ft per day.
§ Mr. DouglasWould the Minister care to comment on how much the 130 million tonnes of oil production exceeds our requirement? Will he take a little look at the future and especially at balancing the needs of the British and especially the Scottish economies to secure employment with the oil and gas reserves available in the North sea? There is considerable well-founded speculation that the Brown Book figures underestimate oil and gas reserves by about 50 per cent. Would the Minister care to comment on that, because these issues are of particular importance to Scotland?
§ Mr. MorrisonHaving looked back, I know that the hon. Gentleman has followed the industry and production on the United Kingdom continental shelf very closely. If I infer correctly from his question, he is asking for a depletion policy. I hope the hon. Gentleman agrees that, on current prices, that policy is more academic than practical.
§ Mr. KennedyWhat steps, if any, does the Minister's Department propose to take, or to encourage the Treasury to take following the feed-through effect of the welcome, if somewhat overdue, tax changes in this year's Budget? By the time those tax changes work through there is liable to be a gap or sag in the available contracts into 1988 for all the United Kingdom oil industry fabrication yards. Can further steps be taken by either the Department of Energy or the Treasury to ameliorate the effects next year, which will be a very rough year?
§ Mr. MorrisonAs the hon. Gentleman will appreciate, my Offshore Supplies Office is closely in touch with the companies to which he referred. I think that we have a good and close working relationship with them. I have made it clear that I shall keep closely in touch on their behalf with my right hon. Friend the Chancellor of the Exchequer.
§ Mr. RowlandsDoes the Minister still believe his predecessor's prediction that we will be self-sufficient in oil until the year 2000?
§ Mr. MorrisonIf the hon. Gentleman had had the misfortune to listen to me in Glasgow two weeks ago at precisely the same hour on the same day, answering the same questions——
§ Mr. RowlandsAnswer the question.
§ Mr. MorrisonI shall answer the question. I explained then to an audience and an interviewer that to make predictions of that sort, even if one were an oil economist of the highest level, would be dangerous.