§ 14. Mr. Douglas
asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will make a statement on his proposed changes in taxation on North Sea oil, giving his estimates of the "Government take" from each of the fields affected and the anticipated revenues in the next five years.
§ Mr. Peter Rees
Forecasts of Government take from the North Sea depend on a number of factors — including changes in the price of oil, costs and the production programme — which cannot be precisely estimated. Looking one year ahead, I expect total Government revenues in 1981–82 from oil and gas production to be in the range of £4½ billion to £5 billion at 1980–81 prices with about £900 million attributable to the proposals outlined in the statement of my right hon. and learned Friend the Chancellor on 24 November. For reasons of confidentiality, I cannot provide estimates for individual fields.
§ Mr. Douglas
Will the hon. and learned Gentleman confirm that the estimates that he has just given show no change from the forecast he made some months ago? Does he agree that his Government are being extremely profligate with this finite resource by using all these revenues to sustain social expenditure, unemployment benefits and so on instead of putting them aside to sustain our manufacturing base?
§ Mr. Rees
My right hon. and learned Friend made it clear in the documents published alongside his statement of 24 November that there had been a diminution in our expectation of the take next year apart from the new tax. On the question of profligacy, North Sea oil revenues are not hypothecated to any particular form of activity. We could just as easily pray in aid the additional sums being put into various employment measures and the capital requirements of the nationalised industries.
§ Mr. Grimond
In view of the large take from the North Sea, and since British industry now has to buy the most expensive fuel in Europe, will the Government consider taking the tax off oil?
§ Mr. John Home Robertson
Does the Minister of State accept that the whole of the Government's take from North Sea oil revenues in the current year and next year is already being swallowed up by unemployment benefits?