§ 26. Mr. Jayasked the Chancellor of the Exchequer to what extent he estimates the United Kingdom balance of payments is likely to improve in the next two years as a result of the breakdown of the Brussels negotiations.
§ The Financial Secretary to the Treasury (Mr. Anthony Barber)I have no reason to think that our balance of payments would have deteriorated in the next two years if the Brussels negotiations had been successful. It follows that I do not look for an improvement as a result of the breakdown.
§ Mr. JayAs the National Institute estimated a prospective improvement of between £70 million and £100 million a year, why cannot the Treasury make at least a similar estimate? Is this not the sort of thing the public is entitled to know?
§ Mr. BarberOf course, we make our own estimates. I can only tell the right hon. Gentleman that the best estimate we can make is that we did not look for an improvement as a result of the breakdown, bearing in mind that his Question 231 referred specifically—for reasons I can well understand—to the next two years.