§ Mr. Meacher
asked the Secretary of State for Employment by how much he estimates the monthly fall in the unemployment figures since June 1986 was affected each month by (a) the increase in YTS and other special employment measures, (b) restart or stricter application of the availability for work rules and (c) increased employment from rising industrial output.
§ Mr. Fowler
The effect of employment measures on the unemployment count has hardly grown since June 1986. It is not possible to provide reliable monthly estimates of the effect on the count of YTS, but the trend in the seasonably adjusted series, which excludes school leavers will have been only marginally reduced. The effects of restart or stricter application of the availability for work rules cannot be quantified. It is very difficult to separate their effects from those resulting from rising industrial production.
§ Mr. William Powell
asked the Secretary of State for Employment what is the estimated net change in the United Kingdom labour force for each year between 1988 and 2003.
§ Mr. Lee
My Department's latest projections of the size of the civilian labour force in Great Britain, including figures for each year 1988 to 1991, were published in the286W May 1987 issue of "Employment Gazette" (table 2 on pages 256–257), a copy of which is in the library. Projections for years beyond 1991 are not available.