Young Persons (Hansard, 21 May 1986)

§ Dr. Godman
asked the Secretary of State for Scotland what was the number of young people reaching minimum school leaving age in each year from 1970 to the present, showing the number who stay on in education (a) at school and (b) at college or elsewhere; and what was the first destination of those who left school showing, where possible, separately, whether it was (a) full-time work, (b) part-time work, (c) job creation programme, youth opportunities programme or YTS, (d) unemployed and (e) other.

§ Mr. Allan Stewart
This information is not available in the precise form or for the full period requested. Broadly comparable information for a restricted range of years is contained in the following tables:

Table A

Young People in Education in Scotland:

Aged 16 at 3l December

Thousands.

Total Population School pupils Further & Higher Education Students

1976–77 89.6 36.0 4.9

1977–78 89.5 35.1 5.3

1978–79 92.2 36.0 5.4

1979–80 91.4 36.9 5.4

1980–81 93.3 39.7 5.8

1981–82 91.6 42.2 5.6

1982–83 87.9 41.7 7.5

1983–84 88.0 41.1 5.8

1984–85 88.0 40.6 5.6

231W

Age at 31 December of session of leaving

Session of leaving school Destination at following October 15 and under 16 17 18 and over Total

Full-time job 29 43 53 ^* 37

Unemployed 21 19 36 ^* 22

Other, not known 2 3 4 ^* 3

Total entering labour market 100 100 100 ^* 100

Note:
^* Indicates that percentages would have been based on fewer than 100 respondents.

§ Dr. Godman
asked the Secretary of State for Scotland what is his estimate, for each year from 1970 to 1995, of the number of young people reaching or projected to reach (a) minimum school leaving age and (b) the age of one, two and three years after minimum school leaving age and, in each case, his estimate of the number known or expected to come on to the labour market in each year, separating all answers, to include separate figures for males and females.

§ Mr. Allan Stewart
Information is not available in the precise form or for the full period requested. Broadly comparable information for a restricted range of years is contained in the following tables:

Table A

16 to 19-year-old population in Scotland (as at 30 June)

16 17 18 19

1973 83,402 82,042 77,988 77,192

1974 86,550 82,695 81,346 77,434

Table B

School leavers entering the labour market (age at 31 December)

Thousands

Males Females

Session 15 and under 16 17 18 and over Total 15 and under 16 17 18 and over Total

Actual

1977–78 22.0 11.6 4.9 0.5 38.9 19.5 11.6 4.3 0.3 35.7

1978–79 21.7 11.4 4.8 0.5 38.4 19.5 11.2 4.2 0.3 35.1

1979–80 20.9 10.7 4.2 0.4 36.2 17.4 10.6 3.9 0.3 32.2

1980–81 19.2 11.0 3.7 0.4 34.3 15.0 11.0 3.9 0.2 30.2

1981–82 18.0 11.7 3.4 0.3 33.4 13.6 11.5 4.2 0.3 29.5

1982–83 19.8 11.8 3.9 0.2 35.7 14.2 11.9 4.5 0.3 30.8

1983–84 19.4 12.3 3.7 0.4 35.8 14.4 12.1 4.3 0.3 31.2

Projected

1984–85 19.0 12.0 4.0 0 35.0 14.0 11.0 4.0 0 30.0

1985–86 18.0 11.0 4.0 0 34.0 14.0 10.0 4.0 0 29.0

1986–87 18.0 11.0 4.0 0 33.0 14.0 10.0 4.0 0 28.0

1987–88 16.0 11.0 4.0 0 31.0 13.0 10.0 4.0 0 27.0

1988–89 15.0 10.0 4.0 0 29.0 11.0 9.0 4.0 0 25.0

1989–90 14.0 9.0 3.0 0 27.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0 23.0

1990–91 14.0 9.0 3.0 0 26.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0 22.0

1991–92 13.0 9.0 3.0 0 25.0 10.0 8.0 3.0 0 21.0

1992–93 12.0 8.0 3.0 0 23.0 9.0 7.0 3.0 0 20.0

1993–94 13.0 8.0 3.0 0 23.0 10.0 7.0 3.0 0 20.0

1994–95 13.0 8.0 3.0 0 24.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 0 20.0

1995–96 14.0 9.0 3.0 0 25.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0 21.0

Note: Figures for 1977–78 to 1983–84 rounded to nearest 100. Projections rounded to nearest 1.000.

Table A
Young People in Education in Scotland:
Aged 16 at 3l December
Thousands.
	Total Population	School pupils	Further & Higher Education Students
1976–77	89.6	36.0	4.9
1977–78	89.5	35.1	5.3
1978–79	92.2	36.0	5.4
1979–80	91.4	36.9	5.4
1980–81	93.3	39.7	5.8
1981–82	91.6	42.2	5.6
1982–83	87.9	41.7	7.5
1983–84	88.0	41.1	5.8
1984–85	88.0	40.6	5.6

		Age at 31 December of session of leaving
Session of leaving school	Destination at following October	15 and under	16	17	18 and over	Total
	Full-time job	29	43	53	^*	37
	Unemployed	21	19	36	^*	22
	Other, not known	2	3	4	^*	3
	Total entering labour market	100	100	100	^*	100

Table A
16 to 19-year-old population in Scotland (as at 30 June)
	16	17	18	19
1973	83,402	82,042	77,988	77,192
1974	86,550	82,695	81,346	77,434

Table B
School leavers entering the labour market (age at 31 December)
Thousands
	Males		Females
Session	15 and under	16	17	18 and over	Total	15 and under	16	17	18 and over	Total
Actual
1977–78	22.0	11.6	4.9	0.5	38.9	19.5	11.6	4.3	0.3	35.7
1978–79	21.7	11.4	4.8	0.5	38.4	19.5	11.2	4.2	0.3	35.1
1979–80	20.9	10.7	4.2	0.4	36.2	17.4	10.6	3.9	0.3	32.2
1980–81	19.2	11.0	3.7	0.4	34.3	15.0	11.0	3.9	0.2	30.2
1981–82	18.0	11.7	3.4	0.3	33.4	13.6	11.5	4.2	0.3	29.5
1982–83	19.8	11.8	3.9	0.2	35.7	14.2	11.9	4.5	0.3	30.8
1983–84	19.4	12.3	3.7	0.4	35.8	14.4	12.1	4.3	0.3	31.2
Projected
1984–85	19.0	12.0	4.0	0	35.0	14.0	11.0	4.0	0	30.0
1985–86	18.0	11.0	4.0	0	34.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	0	29.0
1986–87	18.0	11.0	4.0	0	33.0	14.0	10.0	4.0	0	28.0
1987–88	16.0	11.0	4.0	0	31.0	13.0	10.0	4.0	0	27.0
1988–89	15.0	10.0	4.0	0	29.0	11.0	9.0	4.0	0	25.0
1989–90	14.0	9.0	3.0	0	27.0	11.0	8.0	3.0	0	23.0
1990–91	14.0	9.0	3.0	0	26.0	11.0	8.0	3.0	0	22.0
1991–92	13.0	9.0	3.0	0	25.0	10.0	8.0	3.0	0	21.0
1992–93	12.0	8.0	3.0	0	23.0	9.0	7.0	3.0	0	20.0
1993–94	13.0	8.0	3.0	0	23.0	10.0	7.0	3.0	0	20.0
1994–95	13.0	8.0	3.0	0	24.0	10.0	7.0	2.0	0	20.0
1995–96	14.0	9.0	3.0	0	25.0	11.0	8.0	3.0	0	21.0