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<p>As set out in the final impact assessment, available at:</p><p>https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/42984/5533-final-stage-impact-assessment-for-the-green-deal-a.pdf</p><p>it is challenging to project and quantify the impact on fuel poverty of the Green Deal and energy company obligation (ECO) policy framework. This is because of a number of uncertainties, such as which households take-up which measures and the costs of delivering measures over time. There is also inherent uncertainty around changes in the level and distribution of incomes across households, changes to the housing stock independent of the Green Deal and ECO and, of course, energy prices. Nevertheless, based on projected changes in incomes, prices and the housing stock, the measures installed under Green Deal and ECO are estimated to result in a net reduction in fuel poverty of between 125,000 to 250,000 households by the time the costs of ECO are no longer passed through to bills in 2023.<Sup>1</Sup> This figure doesnot reflect the aggregate benefits of this policy. In reality, ECO willdeliver permanent improvements to 230,000 low income and vulnerablehouseholds per year. Indeed, in the first seven months of delivery,167,000 measures were delivered under affordable warmth and the carbonsaving communities elements of ECOcombined.<Sup>1</Sup>This estimate is based on the 10% definition of fuelpoverty.</p> |