<p>The forecast rate of return is commercially confidential and is naturally subject to change as it will depend on the performance of NNB Generation Company Ltd. (NNBG), given that the Contract for Difference (CfD) is designed so that many of the risks belong to NNBG. The CfD contains a series of gainshare mechanisms in which consumers would benefit if the project construction costs or equity returns were more favourable than forecast.</p><br /><p>However, although the actual number is confidential, the European Commission’s Closing Decision for the Hinkley Point C State aid case, where they judged the Strike Price to be proportionate, gives an expected range for the project rate of return of between 9.25 and 9.75% as of October 2014.</p><br /><p><a href="http://ec.europa.eu/competition/state_aid/cases/251157/251157_1615983_2292_4.pdf" target="_blank">http://ec.europa.eu/competition/state_aid/cases/251157/251157_1615983_2292_4.pdf</a></p><br />