The latest forecasts of road travel, congestion and emissions in England up to 2040 from the National Transport Model (NTM) were published in Road Traffic Forecasts 2013, available at: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/road-transport-forecasts-2013 These forecasts assume that the impact of smarter measures will increase cycling trips by 5% in 2015, 7.5% in 2025, and 10% in 2035. The resulting levels of cycling trips, and distance, forecast by the NTM are shown in the following table: Billion Forecastyear Annualcycletrips Annualcyclemiles 2010 1.2 2.9 2015 1.4 3.4 2020 1.3 3.2 2025 1.3 3.0 2030 1.3 3.1 2035 1.4 3.1 2040 1.4 3.1 These forecasts are based on our current understanding of how people make travel choices, the expected path of key drivers of travel demand and current Government policies.