§ Mr. EvansTo ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will list the(a) death rates and (b) age adjusted death rates for (i) England, (ii) Scotland, (iii) Wales and (iv) Northern Ireland for each year since 1997. [100734]
§ Ruth KellyThe information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician. I have asked him to reply.
Letter from John Pullinger to Mr. Nigel Evans, dated 5 March 2003:
1047WThe National Statistician has been asked to reply to your recent question concerning (a) death rates and (b) age adjusted death rates for (i) England, (ii) Scotland, (iii) Wales and (iv) Northern Ireland for each year since 1997. I am replying in his absence. (100734)The most recent available mortality data are for the calendar year 2001. The figures requested for the years 1997 to 2001 are given in the attached table.
Mortality rates per 100,000 population by sex and by country of the United Kingdom, for the calendar years 1997 to 20011 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 (a) Overall death rate (i) England Persons 1,096.8 1,067.9 1,063.9 1,022.4 1,008.7 Males 1,048.5 1,047.2 1,038.6 1,002.2 985.5 Females 1,089.9 1,087.4 1,087.8 1,041.5 1,030.7 (ii) Scotland Persons 1,170.4 1,165.3 1,188.5 1,141.6 1,133.1 Males 1,158.9 1,153.4 1,174.0 1,131.2 1,122.7 Females 1,180.9 1,176.3 1,201.9 1,151.2 1,142.7 (iii) Wales Persons 1,198.8 1,174.7 1,210.8 1,149.0 1,136.4 Males 1,186.3 1,151.8 1,191.2 1,127.5 1,110.2 Females 1,210.5 1,196.2 1,229.2 1,169.3 1,161.0 (iv) Northern Ireland Persons 895.8 893.6 932.9 885.5 859.1 Males 888.3 894.4 911.9 868.8 849.9 Females 903.0 892.9 952.8 901.5 867.9 (b) Age standardised death rate2 (i) England Persons 727.9 721.5 714.9 682.5 666.5 Males 904.6 894.5 880.5 839.9 815.7 Females 597.0 592.0 589.6 563.0 552.0 (ii) Scotland Persons 853.1 843.0 849.1 807.7 792.5 Males 1,070.8 1,053.3 1,060.5 1,004.4 982.8 Females 694.8 687.4 694.0 660.8 648.1 (iii) Wales Persons 768.2 747.8 764.4 718.2 702.6 Males 960.0 922.8 945.4 881.8 855.9 Females 627.8 617.2 626.6 591.8 583.9 (iv) Northern Ireland Persons 755.0 746.0 769.9 727.9 697.6 Males 947.8 944.7 954.8 897.2 866.8 Females 613.6 600.2 634.8 603.8 572.0 1Figures are for deaths occurring in each calendar year from 1997 to 2001 in England and Wales and registrations of death per calendar year for Scotland and Northern Ireland. 2The rates have been standardised using the European standard population.
§ Mr. Tony ClarkeTo ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what the predicted population is for(a) Northamptonshire, (b) borough of Northampton, (c) Northampton South constituency and (d) other parliamentary constituencies in (i) 2004 and (ii) 2005. [100800]
§ Ruth KellyThe information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician. I have asked him to reply.
Letter from John Pullinger to Mr. Tony Clarke, dated 5 March 2003:
The National Statistician has been asked to reply to your Parliamentary Question on what the predicted population is for (a) Northamptonshire and (b) Borough of Northampton, (c) Northampton South constituency and (d) other Parliamentary constituencies in (i) 2004 and (ii) 2005. I am replying in his absence. (100800)
Subnational population projections are produced at local authority level but not for parliamentary constituencies. Table 1 shows the projected population for 2004 and 2005 for the county of Northamptonshire and constituent local authority districts. The figures are drawn from the latest short-term subnational population projections, which are based on the 2000 mid-year population estimates. These are not consistent with the latest
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Table 2: Comparison of 2001 population estimates and 2000-based projections for 2001 (mid-year ending 30 June): local authorities Area 2001 Estimates (Thousand) 2001 Projections (Thousand) Differences (Thousand) Percentage difference Northamptonshire 630.4 630.0 0.4 0.1 Northampton 194.4 196.3 -1.9 -1.0 South Northamptonshire 79.5 80.6 -1.1 -1.4 Corby 53.2 51.2 1.9 3.6 Daventry 72.1 70.6 1.5 2.1 population estimates that are based on the 2001 Census. The next set of subnational population projections will be 2002-based and published in 2004.
For information we include a second table comparing the projected figures for 2001 and the new 2001 Census-based midyear estimates for 2001. At county level the projected figures for 2001 show only a small difference. However it should be noted that for individual districts the differences are somewhat larger, and hence the projections are less consistent with latest population estimates.
Table 1: Projected population (mid-year ending 30 June) for Northamptonshire and local authorities Thousand Projected population Area 2004 2005 Northamptonshire 641.6 645.3 Northampton 199.4 200.6 South 83.1 83.8 Northamptonshire Corby 51.0 51.0 Daventry 72.5 73.1 East 79.5 80.2 Northamptonshire Kettering 85.5 85.9 Wellingborough 70.6 70.9 Note:
ONS 2000-based short-term subnational population projections
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Table 2: Comparison of 2001 population estimates and 2000-based projections for 2001 (mid-year ending 30 June): local authorities Area 2001 Estimates (Thousand) 2001 Projections (Thousand) Differences (Thousand) Percentage difference East Northamptonshire 76.8 77.4 -0.6 -0.8 Kettering 82.0 84.3 -2.3 -2.8 Wellingborough 72.6 69.6 2.9 4.1