§ Mr. WebbTo ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will estimate the number of(a) men and (b) women in each local authority area not expected to live to the age of 70. [83000]
60W
§ Dawn PrimaroloThe information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician. I have asked him to reply.
Letter from Len Cook to Mr. Steve Webb, dated 25 November 2002:
As National Statistician I have been asked to reply to your question asking for an estimate of the number of (a) men and (b) women in each local authority area not expected to live to the age of 70. (83000)The figures requested have been placed in the Libraries of the House. The numbers provided are an estimate of the number of people currently living in each area who would die before age 70 if they were to experience current death rates for the area until their 70th birthday.These estimates were obtained by using the most recently available life table estimate for each local authority to calculate the probability of dying before age 70 for each age group. The expected numbers dying by age 70 were then calculated by applying these probabilities to the 2001 mid-year population estimates in each group in the area. The life table estimates used are for 1999–2001, based on 2001 population estimates. All the mid-year population estimates used in the calculation are based on the 2001 Census.An estimate of people dying by age 70 as a percentage of the total population aged under 70 is also presented in the table. The figures reflect mortality among those living in each local authority in 1999 to 2001. They do not reflect what is likely to happen to individuals currently alive in each area, because the death rates are likely to change in the future and because of individuals move between local authorities.