Demographic Change (Hansard, 1 July 2002)

§ Ruth Kelly

The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician. I have asked him to reply.

Letter from John Pullinger to Mr. Paul Burstow, dated 1 July 2002: The National Statistician has been asked to reply to your Parliamentary Question on what the Government projection is for demographic change in (a) London and (b) for all other regions in England over the next (i) five and (ii) 10 years for the age-groups (A) 45–50, (B) 50–55, (c) 55 to 60, (D) 60–65, (E) 65–70, (F) 70–75, (G) 75–80, (I) 85 years and over. I am replying in his absence. (65413). The attached table provides the required information.

121W

Projected population for London and rest of England
				Projected population change
	Projected population (thousands)	2002–07	2007–12
Age	2002	2007	2012	Thousands	Percentage	Thousands	Percentage
60–64	288.1	337.2	352.4	49.1	17.0	15.3	4.5
65–69	247.3	251.4	296.4	4.0	1.6	45.0	17.9
70–74	214.0	207.9	213.4	–6.2	–2.9	5.5	2.6
75–79	175.1	167.3	165.8	–7.8	–4.4	–1.6	–0.9
80–84	126.0	119.9	117.3	–6.1	–4.8	–2.6	–2.2
85+	117.7	114.6	112.0	–3.1	–2.6	–2.6	–2.3
Rest of England
45–49	2,751.3	3,115.8	3,438.6	364.4	13.2	322.8	10.4
50–54	2,837.2	2,729.7	3,096.9	–107.5	–3.8	367.2	13.5
55–59	2,709.5	2,784.3	2,685.4	74.9	2.8	–99.0	–3.6
60–64	2,102.8	2,624.7	2,704.3	521.9	24.8	79.6	3.0
65–69	1,901.0	1,988.2	2,490.8	87.3	4.6	502.6	25.3
70–74	1,717.2	1,715.6	1,808.9	–1.7	–0.1	93.3	5.4
75–79	1,427.2	1,426.9	1,452.2	–0.2	0.0	25.3	1.8
80–84	1,018.4	1,038.2	1,060.6	19.8	1.9	22.4	2.2
85+	865.1	939.6	997.1	74.5	8.6	57.5	6.1

Notes:

1. ONS 1996-based long-term projections

2. London is defined as the Government Office Region

3. Figures my not sum due to rounding