§ Mr. BurstowTo ask the Secretary of State for Health if he will estimate the cumulative annual savings in publicly provided formal care if morbidity rates are reduced by(a) 0.25 per cent. per annum, (b) 0.5 per cent. per annum, (c) 0.75 per cent. per annum and (d) 1 per cent. per annum by (i) 2005, (ii) 2010, (iii) 2021 and (iv) 2031. [98509]
§ Mr. HuttonThe Department does not make estimates of savings that may arise if morbidity rates decline. The Department commissioned the Personal Social Services Research Unit (PSSRU) at the London School of Economics to conduct a study of future demand for long-term care for elderly people. The research team has made projections of expenditure on long-term care for elderly people under different assumptions about future trends in dependency. These can be found in the report of the Royal Commission on Long Term Care and in a report by the PSSRU on Demand for Long-Term Care, copies of which are available in the Library.