§ Mr. RendelTo ask the Secretary of State for Social Security (1) if he will estimate the public expenditure effects, excluding setting up costs, of passporting disabled people with broken work records onto the state second pension by 2002 and for every five-year period until 2047; [86219]
(2) if he will estimate the public expenditure effects, excluding setting up costs, of passporting recipients of invalid care allowance and carers of people receiving attendance allowance or disability living allowance who qualify for home responsibilities protection onto the state second pension by 2002 and for every five year period until 2047; [86210]
(3) if he will estimate the public expenditure effects, excluding setting up costs, of passporting child benefit recipients, where the youngest child for whom the 305W benefit received is aged five or under, onto the state second pension by 2002 and for every five-year period until 2047. [86211]
§ Mr. TimmsGross costs in 2002 would be less than £50 million in total. Figures are not available at 5 yearly intervals from 2002, but the gross costs at 10 yearly intervals thereafter are set out in the following table.
£ billion 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Disabled 0.2 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.3 Carers of disabled 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 Carers of children aged 5 and under 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 Total 0.3 1.2 2.3 3.8 6.3 Notes:
1. Figures, supplied by the Government Actuary's Department, are in £ billion at 1998–99 prices. They represent gross costs (excluding income-related benefit offsets) which make no allowance for the amounts that would have been spent on Home Responsibilities Protection for SERPS under the previous Government's policy.
2. Figures are calculated to the nearest £100 million. Totals may include amounts of less than £100 million not otherwise shown in the table.
3. Real earnings growth of 1.5 per cent. per annum has been assumed.