HC Deb 23 January 1995 vol 253 cc15-6W
Mrs. Beckett

To ask the Secretary of State for Health if she will give the most recently available estimates of the percentage changes in demand on the hospital and community health services due to demographic change for each year from 1972–73 to 1999–2000.

Mr. Sackville

[holding answer 16 January 1995]: The available information is shown in the table.

Estimated percentage change in demand on the hospital and community health services due to demographic changes
Year Increase over previous year Per cent.
Estimated
1975–76 0.1
1976–77 0.2
1977–78 0.3
1978–79 1.0
1979–80 1.3
1980–81 1.1
1981–82 0.6
1982–83 0.7
1983–84 0.9
1984–85 0.9
1985–86 1.1
1986–87 0.8

Mr. Sackville

[holding answer 16 January 1995]: Estimates of spending per head by age group for the personal social services and for the family health services are no longer produced. The latest available are shown in the table.

Estimates for the hospital and community health services are still produced annually, but as a result of changes in data resources, definitions and the methodology used, comparable figures for a series of years cannot be produced. The latest estimates are also shown in the table.

Estimated percentage change in demand on the hospital and community health services due to demographic changes
Year Increase over previous year Per cent.
1987–88 1.5
1988–89 1.1
1989–90 1.0
1990–91 0.9
1991–92 0.8
1992–93 1.1
Projected
1993–94 0.8
1994–95 0.7
1995–96 0.6
1996–97 0.7
1997–98 0.6
1998–99 0.6
1999–2000 0.5

Notes:

1 Estimates for years 1975–76 to 1980–81 are based on the following age bands: births, age bands 0 to 4, 5 to 15, 16 to 44, 45 to 64, 65 to 74, 75 to 84, and 85 and over.

Estimates from 1981–82 are based on; births, age bands 0 to 4, 5 to 15, 16 to 44, 45 to 64, and single year age groups between aged 65 to 89, and aggregated years 90 and over.

2 Figures are based on data from the 1991 census.

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