§ Mr. DobsonTo ask the Secretary of State for Energy if he will give for each type of plant the assumed GW and TWh of generation in 1990, 2005 and 2020 in the central growth, low and high price scenarios set out in table 4.10 and 4.11 of his Department's "Evaluation of Energy Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions".
§ Mr. WakehamCapacity and generation for 1990, 2005 and 2020 underlying the central growth with low and high price scenarios of energy paper No. 58 are given in the table. The figures relate to purely illustrative scenarios which used IEA fuel price assumptions.
1990 to 2005 2005 to 2020 CL CH CL CH Nuclear Capacity lost 4 4 6 6 New capacity 5 5 0 0 Net change + 1 + 1 -6 -6 CL = Central growth, low price scenario. CH = Central growth, high price scenario.
§ Mr. DobsonTo ask the Secretary of State for Energy on what grounds the baseline scenarios in his Department's "Evaluation of Energy Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions", assume an annual rate of reduction in the energy ratio of between 0.5 per cent. and 0.8 per cent. compared with an average annual rate of 1.9 per cent. between 1978 and 1988.
§ Mr. WakehamThe baseline scenarios in energy paper No. 58 represent projections of demand equations, estimated on past behaviour, and do not contain explicit assumptions about energy efficiency per se. The projected 365W changes in the energy ratio reflect the assumed economic background and, in particular, the energy price scenarios, which were provided by the International Energy Agency.