§ Dr. GodmanTo ask the Secretary of State for Scotland what was the prison population in each of the past 10 years; what are his estimates for the prison population for the next five years; and if he will make a statement.
§ Lord James Douglas-Hamilton[holding answer 25 January 1990]: Information for the past 10 years is set out in the table:
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Population in Scottish penal establishments 1980 to 1989 Number 1980 4,860 1981 4,518 1982 4,891 1983 5,052 1984 4,753 1985 5,273 1986 5,588 1987 5,446 1988 5,229 19891 4,985 1 Provisional 1 Provisional.
My latest projection is for an average population of 5,100 prisoners in each of the next five years. This projection, which was prepared some months ago for planning purposes, takes account of demographic trends.
I welcome the fact that, since the peak in 1986, the average prison population has fallen steadily, to the point where we are now projecting that the number of places in Scottish prisons will be adequate to meet needs for the foreseeable future. Such an improvement can only contribute to better conditions for prisoners and staff alike.