§ Mr. McLeishTo ask the Secretary of State for Scotland if he will give an estimate of the number of people in Scotland with more than one job for 1975, 1979, 1983, 1986 and 1988.
§ Mr. LangThe information available from the labour force surveys is given below.
Persons in employment with second jobs Scotland Thousands 1979 33 1983 52 1986 47 1987 54 These estimates are based on samples of some 5–6,000 private households in Scotland and are subject to substantial sampling error.
The results of the 1988 survey are not yet available.
§ Mr. McLeishTo ask the Secretary of State for Scotland if he will provide figures for each parliamentary constituency giving the retrospective estimates for unemployment for the second quarter of 1979, 1983 and 1986 calculated on a comparable basis to the current unemployment claimant count.
§ Mr. McLeishTo ask the Secretary of State for Scotland if he will give figures on(a) the estimated or projected size of the civilian labour force in Scotland, males and females aged 16 years or above, on a quarterly basis between mid-1985 and mid-1989 and (b) the recorded size of the civilian work force in Scotland, employees in employment, self-employed, participants in Government work-related trading schemes without contracts of employment, unemployed, on a quarterly basis between mid-1985 to the most recent date for which the information is available.
§ Mr. LangEstimates and projections of the civilian labour force in Scotland are available only at mid-year. Subject to this qualification information on(a) is set out in table 1 and on (b) in table 2. Considerable uncertainty surrounds estimates of labour force and employment growth, particularly at regional level. Revised estimates of employment growth await the results of the 1987 census of employment and the 1988 labour force survey later this year.
47W1The figures for 1985–1987 are estimates, and for 1988 and 1989 are projections by Department of Employment.
2Estimates of the civilian labour force at the end of June each year are produced by combining activity rate estimates and projections with mid-year estimates and projections of the resident population of Scotland produced by the general register office. Activity rate estimates projections are based on sample estimates from the annual labour force surveys. All estimates are subject to sampling and other errors and although estimates are given to the nearest thousand, they are not accurate to this degree. Estimates for individual years must be treated with extreme caution.
Table 2: Scottish civilian workforce and its constituent parts June 1985 to September 1988 (unadjusted for seasonal variation) thousands June 1985 September 1985 December 1985 March 1986 June 1986 September 1986 December 1986 March 1987 June 1987 September 1987 December 1987 March 1988 June 1988 September 1988 Employees in employment1 1,904 1,912 1,897 1,875 1,887 1,886 1,874 1,862 1,886 1,879 1,877 1,868 1,888 1,884 Self employed2 200 201 203 204 205 202 200 197 194 196 198 200 202 203 Work-related Government training programmes 21 24 21 22 24 28 27 30 34 40 37 40 41 45 Civilian workforce in employment 2,125 2,137 2,121 2,100 2,117 2,116 2,101 2,089 2,113 2,115 2,113 2,108 2,131 2,132 Unemployed3 346 356 353 359 351 363 365 364 340 333 324 316 289 285 Civilian workforce 2,471 2,493 2,474 2,459 2,468 2,479 2,466 2,453 2,453 2,448 2,437 2,424 2,420 2,417 1 Recent Department of Employment quarterly estimates of employees in employment are based upon the results of the 1984 Census of Employment and include an allowance based on the annual Labour Force Surveys to compensate for persistent undercounting in the regular quarterly sample surveys of employers. Individuals with two jobs as employees of different employers are counted twice. These estimates are subject to revision when subsequent information from the 1987 Census of Employment becomes available later this year. 2 Estimates of the self-employed up to mid-1987 are based on the 1981 Census of Population and the results of the 1981, 1983, 1984, 1986 and 1987 Labour Force Surveys. The provisional estimates from September 1987 are based on the assumption that the average rate of increase between 1981 and 1987 has continued subsequently. The Scottish sample from the Labour Force Survey is small and results are subject to relatively large sampling errors. Estimates for recent quarters are subject to revision when information from the 1988 Labour Force Survey becomes available later this year. 3 The unemployment figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation and do not allow for changes in the coverage of the unemployment statistics over the period.