2025. Mr. Alan W. WilliamsTo ask the Secretary of State for Energy what is the Government's estimate for carbon dioxide emissions from energy use in Britain in 1988; and what are the latest estimates for carbon dioxide emissions in(a) 2000 and (b)
§ Mr. Peter MorrisonIn 1987, the latest year for which I have estimates, United Kingdom energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, expressed as carbon, were 163 million tonnes.
My Department's study, "An Evaluation of Energy Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Measures to Ameliorate Them", estimates emissions in the years 2000 and 2020 for a wide range of scenarios. These figures range between 174 and 206 million tonnes carbon in the year 2000 and between 188 and 316 million tonnes in 2020.
The scenarios are not predictions of the future, but are intended to provide a framework for assessing possible response options. They cover a wide range of assumptions on economic growth and world fuel prices. Full details can be found in the report, a copy of which is available in the Library of the House.
§ 126. Mr. George HowarthTo ask the Secretary of State for Energy what projections the Government have made of the level of carbon dioxide emissions in Britain by the year 2005 from(a) transport, (b) energy, (c) industry and (d) in total.
§ Mr. Peter MorrisonFuture carbon dioxide emissions will depend on many factors such as economic growth and consumer choices. Last month my Department completed a study entitled "An evaluation of Energy Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Measures to Ameliorate Them". That report included a range of possible future emission scenarios and is available in the Library of the House.
The figures in the table, for energy-related emissions of carbon dioxide, are taken from that report. They assume a growth rate of 2.25 per cent. per annum and cover two alternative sets of assumptions on world fuel prices. Further details can be found in the report.
648W
Scenarios for United Kingdom Energy Related CO2 Emissions in 2005 Low Price case High Price case Electricity Supply Industry 67 68 Other Industry 56 52 Transport 49 46 Domestic 27 25 Miscellaneous 14 14 Total 212 204 Notes:
1. Central Growth Assumption of 2.25 per cent. per annum.
2. Emissions expressed as million tonnes carbon.
3. All figures rounded.
4. Industry includes agriculture.
5. Transport includes marine bunkers and aviation.