§ Mr. Meacherasked the Secretary of State for Social Services what was the number of actual deaths in each week from 1 January to 31 March each year since 1979, 327W what was the expected number of deaths for each of those weeks based on historical experience, and what was the percentage difference between the two.
§ Mrs. Currie[pursuant to her reply, 21 January 1987, c. 623]: Monitoring of weekly deaths using the current method began in January 1983, and figures from that date are shown in the tables. I shall let the hon. Member have a further reply giving figures for the earlier years when the calculations have been completed. An explanation of the methods used to calculate the expected numbers of deaths is given in "Population Trends No 34",a copy of which is in the library.
Number of deaths at age 1 year and over registered each week (actual deaths), expected deaths based on experience of previous ten years and percentage differences week 1 to week 13 1983–1987 England and Wales Weekly deaths 1983—Aged 1 year and over
Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 12 January 7 13,237 12,541 5.55 2 January 14 13,744 13,882 -0.99 3 January 21 12,513 13,244 -5.52 4 January 28 12,522 12,982 -3.54 5 February 4 12,389 12,720 -2.60 6 February 11 13,601 12,556 0.36 7 February 18 13,435 12,868 4.41 8 February 25 13,737 13,212 3.97 9 March 4 13,966 13,240 5.48 10 March 11 13,117 13,026 0.70 11 March 18 12,051 12,652 -4.75 12 March 25 11,348 12,437 -8.76 132 April 1 11,110 12,152 -8.57 1 (a)-(b)/(b) x 100 2 Because of Christmas, new year and easter, these weeks have been averaged.
Weekly deaths 1984—Aged 1 year and over Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 12 January 6 11,909 12,542.3 - 5.05 2 January 13 12,184 13,883.6 - 12.24 3 January 20 12,106 13,244.8 -8.60 4 January 27 12,439 12,982.9 -4.19 5 February 3 12,205 12,721.3 -4.06 6 February 10 11,791 12,557.0 -6.10 7 February 17 11,488 12,869.1 -10.73 8 February 24 11,803 13,213.0 -10.67 9 March 2 12,203 13,241.1 -7.84 10 March 9 12,266 13,027.1 -5.84 11 March 16 11,749 12,652.8 -7.14 12 March 23 11,996 12,306.9 -2.53 13 March 30 12,211 12,341.8 -1.06 1 (a)-(b)/(b) x 100 2 Because of Christmas, new year and easter, these weeks have been averaged. 328W
Weekly deaths 1985—Aged 1 year and over Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 12 January 4 11,759 12,325.7 -4.60 2 January 11 13,578 13,698.7 -0.88 3 January 18 13,716 13,047.6 5.12 4 January 25 14,635 12,832.7 14.04 5 February 1 13,730 12,673.2 8.34 6 February 8 12,533 12,589.0 -0.44
Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 7 February 15 12,890 13,012.0 -0.94 8 February 22 13,905 13,338.6 4.25 9 March 1 14,330 13,400.6 6.94 10 March 8 13,964 13,103.0 6.57 11 March 15 13,103 12,653.7 3.55 12 March 22 13,329 12,373.6 7.72 13 March 29 13,202 12,298.1 7.35 1 (a)-(b)/(b) x 100 2 Because of Christmas, new year and easter, these weeks have been averaged.
Weekly deaths 1986—Aged 1 year and over Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 12 January 3 11,627 12,287.5 -5.38 2 January 10 14,368 13,597.6 5.67 3 January 17 13,700 12,981.6 5.53 4 January 24 13,411 12,903.9 3.93 5 January 31 12,986 12,724.2 2.06 6 February 7 12,915 12,588.1 2.60 7 February 14 13,551 12,911.7 4.95 8 February 21 14,612 13,284.6 9.99 9 February 28 14,773 13,424.5 10.05 10 March 7 15,555 13,072.8 18.99 11 March 14 13,698 12,510.1 9.50 12 March 21 12,855 12,226.0 5.14 132 March 28 11,418 12,218.2 - 6.55 1 (a)-(b)/(b) x 100 2 Because of Christmas, new year and easter, these weeks have been averaged.
Weekly deaths 1987—Aged 1 year and over Week number Week ending Actual deaths (a)
Expected deaths (b)
Percentage difference1 12 January 9 11,658 12,139.9 -3.97 1 (a)-(b)/(b) x 100 2 Because of Christmas, new year and easter, these weeks have been averaged.