HC Deb 08 April 1987 vol 114 cc306-29W
Mr. Sheerman

asked the Paymaster General if he will publish, for each Manpower Services Commision area office and for (a) 16-year-olds. (b) 17-year-olds and (c) 18-year-olds, the latest careers service estimates of the number and proportion expected to leave school and further education college, and the number and proportion

Table 1: Results of the careers service exercise by MSC area office: December 1985
Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time iob outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16 21,663 10,832 50.0 4,874 45.0 22.5
Age 17 6,615 2,051 31.0 1,231 60.0 18.6
Age 18 4,092 1,269 31.0 1,142 90.0 27.9
Chelmsford
Age 16 21,721 12,918 59.5 6,692 51.8 30.8
Age 17 6,885 2,650 38.5 1,969 74.3 28.6
Age 18 4,279 1,840 43.0 1,767 96.0 41.3
Fareham
Age 16 22,179 12,050 54.3 5,151 42.7 23.2
Age 17 5,508 1,859 33.8 1,147 61.7 20.8
Age 18 3,653 1,552 42.5 1,386 89.3 37.9
High Wycombe
Age 16 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 17 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 18 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Horsham
Age 16 27,797 12,545 45.1 7,277 58.0 26.2
Age 17 11,620 3,459 29.8 1,911 55.2 16.4
Age 18 7,290 1,875 25.7 1,806 96.3 24.8
Reading
Age 16 17,406 8,996 51.7 4,810 53.5 27.6
Age 17 5,550 1,543 27.8 906 58.7 16.3
Age 18 3,571 862 24.1 804 93.3 22.5
London
London North
Age 16 17,239 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 17 8,366 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 18 4,905 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
London North East
Age 16 20,595 11,627 56.5 5,484 47.2 26.6
Age 17 6,483 2,562 39.5 1,308 51.1 20.2
Age 18 3,159 1,338 42.4 897 67.0 28.4
London South East
Age 16 22,282 11,656 52.3 5,887 50.5 26.4
Age 17 7,623 2,925 38.4 1,580 54.0 20.7
Age 18 3,904 1,507 38.6 1,030 68.3 26.4
London South and West
Age 16 21,411 8,397 39.2 5,196 61.9 24.3
Age 17 8,056 2,273 28.2 1,597 70.3 19.8
Age 18 4,624 1,457 31.5 1,261 86.5 27.3
South West
Avon
Age 16 12,589 7,379 58.6 2,642 35.8 21.0
Age 17 3,853 1,079 28.0 647 60.0 16.8
Age 18 2,546 738 29.0 610 82.7 24.0

expected to find work outside the youth training scheme by 31 December; and how these figures have changed from those available at the end of 1985.

Mr. Trippier

The figures supplied in the tables refer to the numbers of young people leaving school. Results are missing from a few Manpower Service Commission areas due to incomplete returns from some local education authorities. Information on the number of leavers from colleges of further education is not readily available.

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16 19,673 10,457 53.2 3,019 28.9 15.3
Age 17 4,372 778 17.8 444 57.1 10.2
Age 18 3,095 548 17.7 413 75.4 13.3
Gloucester/Wiltshire
Age 16 15,106 8,845 58.6 3,772 42.6 25.0
Age 17 3,377 784 23.2 474 60.5 14.0
Age 18 2,685 1,022 38.1 822 80.4 30.6
Taunton/Somerset/Dorset
Age 16 14,264 8,613 60.4 3,326 38.6 23.3
Age 17 3,577 1,233 34.5 843 68.4 23.6
Age 18 2,595 669 25.8 561 83.9 21.6
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16 19,543 10,480 53.6 2,346 22.4 12.0
Age 17 5,022 851 16.9 366 43.0 7.3
Age 18 3,128 584 18.7 472 80.8 15.1
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16 12,562 6,874 54.7 1,834 26.7 14.6
Age 17 2,845 834 29.3 283 33.9 9.9
Age 18 2,255 616 27.3 400 64.9 17.7
Dudley/Sandwell
Age 16 9,883 6,378 64.5 1,053 16.5 10.7
Age 17 1,728 558 32.3 147 26.3 8.5
Age 18 1,244 453 36.4 176 38.9 14.1
The Marches
Age 16 15,383 8,300 54.0 2,361 28.4 15.3
Age 17 3,821 958 25.1 328 34.2 8.6
Age 18 2,584 545 21.1 357 65.5 13.8
Staffordshire
Age 16 16,160 10,471 64.8 1,471 14.0 9.1
Age 17 3,697 782 21.2 278 35.6 7.5
Age 18 2,612 1,216 46.6 727 59.8 27.8
Wolverhampton
Age 16 9,040 4,860 53.8 961 19.8 10.6
Age 17 2,134 646 30.3 234 36.2 11.0
Age 18 1,436 379 26.4 241 63.6 16.8
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16 14,140 8,004 56.6 1,946 24.3 13.8
Age 17 2,675 320 12.0 160 50.0 6.0
Age 18 2,207 530 24.0 441 83.2 20.0
Leicestershire
Age 16 21,455 12,074 56.3 5,653 46.8 76.3
Age 17 6,720 2,076 30.9 1,400 67.4 20.8
Age 18 3,860 1,211 31.4 1,034 85.4 26.8
Lincoln
Age 16 8,198 4,724 57.6 1,224 25.9 14.9
Age 17 1,900 275 14.5 130 47.3 6.8
Age 18 1,320 315 23.9 245 77.8 18.6
Nottingham
Age 16 16,077 9,325 58.0 2,733 29.3 17.0
Age 17 3,296 824 25.0 396 48.1 12.0
Age 18 2,561 691 27.0 512 74.1 20.0
Luton
Age 16 15,149 7,553 49.9 3,584 47.5 23.7
Age 17 4,783 1,113 23.3 795 71.4 16.6

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 18 2,835 804 28.4 720 89.6 25.4
Ipswich
Age 16 18,502 11,064 59.8 4,142 37.4 22.4
Age 17 4,547 1,121 24.7 620 55.3 13.6
Age 18 2,981 1,384 46.4 767 55.4 25.7
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford, Calderdale, Kirklees
Age 16 16,676 10,217 61.5 3,179 31.1 19.1
Age 17 4,670 1,353 29.0 714 52.8 15.3
Age 18 2,893 1,123 38.8 617 54.9 21.3
Humberside
Age 16 14,006 9,020 64.4 2,275 25.2 16.2
Age 17 3,546 1,109 31.3 479 43.2 13.5
Age 18 2,500 625 25.0 425 68.0 17.0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16 20,190 10,744 53.2 4,172 38.8 20.7
Age 17 6,140 1,703 27.7 903 53.0 14.7
Age 18 3,984 1,038 26.1 690 66.5 17.3
Sheffield/Rotherham
Age 16 12,851 8,019 62.4 1,103 13.8 8.6
Age 17 3,390 797 23.5 201 25.2 5.9
Age 18 2,302 628 27.3 388 61.8 16.9
Wakefield/Barnsley, Doncaster
Age 16 13,709 9,136 66.7 1,742 19.1 12.7
Age 17 2,682 790 29.5 292 37.0 10.9
Age 18 1,602 509 31.8 283 55.6 17.7
North West
Cheshire
Age 16 14,619 8,038 55.0 1,770 22.0 12.1
Age 17 4,362 918 21.0 337 36.7 7.7
Age 18 3,077 563 18.3 362 64.3 11.8
Cumbria
Age 16 7,582 5,046 66.6 2,096 41.5 27.6
Age 17 1,831 428 23.4 244 57.0 13.3
Age 18 1,298 333 25.6 227 68.2 17.5
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16 13,072 7.524 57.6 1,862 24.7 14.2
Age 17 3,671 653 17.8 281 43.0 7.7
Age 18 2,906 841 28.9 520 61.8 17.9
Greater Manchester East
Age 16 11,479 6,575 57.3 1,799 27.4 15.7
Age 17 3,455 734 21.1 455 62.0 13.2
Age 18 2,028 705 34.8 607 86.1 30.0
Greater Manchester North
Age 16 15,400 9,337 60.6 1,955 20.9 12.7
Age 17 3,463 823 23.8 318 38.6 9.2
Age 18 2,636 605 23.0 256 42.3 9.7
Lancashire
Age 16 21,034 11,574 55.0 3,714 32.1 17.7
Age 17 2,983 478 16.0 160 33.5 5.4
Age 18 2,420 680 28.1 400 58.9 16.5
Merseyside Inner
Age 16 12,274 7,492 61.0 812 10.8 6.6
Age 17 3,218 920 28.6 I88 20.4 5.8
Age 18 2,295 954 41.6 285 29.9 12.4
Merseyside Outer
Age 16 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 17 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 18 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16 9,562 6,111 63.9 933 15.3 9.8
Age 17 2,667 705 26.4 251 35.6 9.4
Age 18 2,211 761 34.3 423 55.6 19.1
Durham>
Age 16 9,329 6,295 67.5 1,005 16.0 10.8
Age 17 1,981 526 26.6 150 28.5 7.6
Age 18 1,418 183 12.9 103 56.3 7.3
North Tyne
Age 16 10,709 6,642 62.0 1,499 22.6 14.0
Age 17 3,131 999 31.9 405 40.5 12.9
Age 18 2,056 730 35.5 509 69.7 24.8
South Tyne
Age 16 10,243 7,207 70.4 956 13.3 9.3
Age 17 2,089 623 29.8 232 37.2 11.1
Age 18 1,364 434 31.8 192 44.2 14.1
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16 14,463 7,539 52.1 1,668 22.1 11.5
Age 17 4,882 1,396 28.6 633 45.3 13.0
Age 18 3,228 867 26.9 416 48.0 12.9
Gwent
Age 16 6,989 3,744 53.6 719 19.2 10.3
Age 17 1,944 464 23.9 174 37.5 9.0
Age 18 1,140 219 19.2 134 61.2 11.8
Swansea
Age 16 10,563 5,178 49.0 1,073 20.7 10.2
Age 17 3,487 659 18.9 179 27.2 5.1
Age 18 2,300 313 13.6 210 67.1 9.1
Wrexham
Age 16 11,724 5,997 51.2 1,488 24.8 12.7
Age 17 4,205 1,310 31.2 633 48.3 15.1
Age 18 2,444 536 21.9 410 76.5 16.8
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16 10,595 4,974 46.5 1,313 26.4 12.3
Age 17 2,644 1,126 42.6 543 48.2 20.5
Age 18 933 346 37.1 252 72.8 27.0
Central and Fife
Age 16 13,265 6,289 47.4 1,397 22.2 10.5
Age 17 2,694 1,282 47.6 538 42.0 20.0
Age 18 1,074 492 45.8 280 56.9 26.1
Glasgow City
Age 16 13,158 7,429 56.5 2,047 27.6 15.6
Age 17 2,192 1,150 52.5 535 46.5 24.4
Age 18 824 377 45.8 262 69.5 31.8
Grampian and Tayside
Age 16 17,385 6,257 36.0 2,476 39.6 14.2
Age 17 3,378 924 27.4 472 51.0 14.0
Age 18 1,264 243 19.2 151 62.1 11.9
Highlands and Islands
Age 16 5,367 2,349 43.8 897 38.2 16.7
Age 17 1,407 559 39.7 301 53.8 21.4
Age 18 547 218 39.9 139 63.8 25.4

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Lanarkshire
Age 16 11,826 5,107 43.2 867 17.0 7.3
Age 17 2,340 956 40.9 296 31.0 12.6
Age 18 893 315 35.3 142 45.1 15.9
Lothian/Borders
Age 16 15,442 6,836 44.3 2,683 39.2 17.4
Age 17 3,072 1,236 40.2 743 60.1 24.2
Age 18 1,136 439 38.6 330 75.2 29.0
Renfrew, Dumbarton and Argyll
Age 16 15,068 5,763 38.2 1,173 20.4 7.8
Age 17 4,032 1,643 40.7 694 42.2 17.2
Age 18 1,573 588 38.9 368 62.6 24.3

Notes:

n/a = Results are not available or are incomplete.

The figures are subject to error and should be treated as approximate.

Table 2
Results of the careers service exercise by MSC area office: December 1986
Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16 21,133 10,814 51.2 4,330 40.0 20.5
Age 17 7,049 2,185 31.0 1,311 60.0 18.6
Age 18 4,036 1,399 34.7 1,259 90.0 31.2
Chelmsford
Age 16 21,643 13,215 61.1 6,339 48.0 29.3
Age 17 6,684 1,845 27.6 1,225 66.4 18.3
Age 18 3,970 1,386 34.9 1,333 96.2 33.6
Fareham
Age 16 21,512 11,024 51.2 4,816 43.7 22.4
Age 17 5,263 1,505 28.6 1,002 66.6 19.0
Age 18 3,792 1,070 28.6 888 83.0 23.7
High Wycombe
Age 16 22,014 10,694 48.6 6,445 60.3 29.3
Age 17 8,041 1,846 23.0 1,293 70.0 16.1
Age 18 5,416 1,316 24.3 1,197 91.0 22.1
Horsham
Age 16 27,010 12,531 46.4 7,425 59.3 27.5
Age 17 11,513 3,362 29.2 1,999 59.5 17.4
Age 18 7,109 1,700 23.9 1,628 95.8 22.9
Reading
Age 16 17,087 9,076 53.1 5,217 57.5 30.5
Age 17 5,961 1,724 28.9 1,371 77.2 22.3
Age 18 3,799 1,090 28.7 1,037 95.1 27.3
South West
Avon
Age 16 12,312 7,404 60.1 2,554 34.5 20.7
Age 17 3,766 1,214 32.2 829 68.3 22.0
Age 18 2,330 739 31.7 665 90.0 28.5
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16 18,726 10,668 57.0 2,977 27.9 15.9
Age 17 4,436 1,144 25.8 457 39.9 10.3
Age 18 2,761 710 25.7 543 76.5 19.7

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Gloucester and Wiltshire
Age 16 14,444 7,883 54.6 3,728 47.3 25.8
Age 17 3,538 845 23.9 613 72.5 17.3
Age 18 2,281 693 30.4 640 92.3 28.1
Taunton, Somerset and Dorset
Age 16 13,541 8.061 59.5 2,643 32.8 19.5
Age 17 3,144 933 29.7 616 66.0 19.6
Age 18 2,470 698 28.3 539 77.2 21.8
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16 11,641 6,870 59.0 1,838 26.8 15.8
Age 17 2,836 863 30.4 304 35.2 10.7
Age 18 2,229 641 28.8 321 50.1 14.4
Dudley/Sandwcll
Age 16 9,724 6,479 66.6 1,139 17.6 11.7
Age 17 1,640 438 26.7 88 20.1 5.4
Age 18 1,190 484 40.7 236 48.8 19.8
The Marches
Age 16 14,901 8,081 54.2 2,284 28.3 15.3
Age 17 4,267 1,160 27.2 452 39.0 10.6
Age 18 2,514 666 26.5 479 71.9 19.1
Staffordshire
Age 16 15,856 10,594 66.8 1,495 14.1 9.4
Age 17 3,600 720 20.0 221 30.7 6.1
Age 18 2,454 780 31.8 534 68.5 21.8
Wolverhampton
Age 16 8,981 5,957 66.3 1,192 20.0 13.3
Age 17 2,150 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 1,316 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16 13,529 7,493 55.4 1,928 25.7 14.3
Age 17 3,045 453 14.9 257 56.7 8.4
Age 18 1,995 5.28 26.5 402 76.1 20.2
Leicestershire
Age 16 20,819 11,079 53.2 4,940 44.6 23.7
Age 17 6,862 1,872 27.3 1,059 56.6 15.4
Age 18 4,226 1,149 27.2 953 82.9 22.6
Lincoln
Age 16 8,006 4,671 58.3 975 20.9 12.2
Age 17 1,852 180 10.3 100 55.6 5.7
Age 18 1,400 345 24.6 280 81.2 20.0
Nottingham
Age 16 14,727 8,831 60.0 2,239 25.4 15.2
Age 17 3,347 1,793 53.6 933 52.0 27.9
Age 18 2,212 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Luton
Age 16 15,037 8,025 53.4 4,163 51.9 27.7
Age 17 4,543 1.257 27.7 657 52.3 14.5
Age 18 2,729 923 33.8 806 87.3 29.5
Ipswich
Age 16 18,287 11,026 60.3 4,027 36.5 22.0

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 17 4.609 1,289 28.0 730 56.6 15.8
Age 18 2,796 902 32.3 764 84.7 27.3
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford. Calderdale and Kirklees
Age 16 16,764 9,954 59.4 3,027 30.4 18.1
Age 17 4,974 1,255 25.2 495 39.4 10.0
Age 18 3,294 1,411 42.8 793 56.2 24.1
Humberside
Age 16 13,645 8,922 65.4 2,121 23.8 15.6
Age 17 3,637 1,065 29.3 391 36.7 10.8
Age 18 2,500 625 25.0 425 68.0 17.0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16 19,464 10,773 55.3 4,410 40.9 22.7
Age 17 6,023 1,789 29.7 974 54.4 16.2
Age 18 3,668 867 23.6 701 80.9 19.1
Sheffield/Rotherham
Age 16 12,530 8,455 67.5 1,163 13.8 9.3
Age 17 3,421 900 26.3 144 16.0 4.2
Age 18 2,271 796 35.1 401 50.4 17.7
Wakefield/Barnsley/Doncaster
Age 16 13,684 9,366 68.4 1,770 18.9 12.9
Age 17 2,582 758 29.4 253 33.4 9.8
Age 18 1,685 622 36.9 249 40.0 14.8
North West
Cheshire
Age 16 14,580 8,098 55.5 1,676 20.7 11.5
Age 17 4,338 1,014 23.4 374 36.9 56.3
Age 18 2,976 564 19.0 400 70.9 13.4
Cumbria
Age 16 7,264 4,747 65.3 1,953 41.1 26.9
Age 17 1,706 383 22.5 264 68.9 15.5
Age 18 1,406 308 21.9 241 78.2 17.1
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16 13,508 7,768 57.6 1,941 25.0 14.3
Age 17 3,428 592 17.3 201 34.0 5.9
Age 18 2,620 704 26.9 448 63.6 7.7
Greater Manchester East
Age 16 11,387 6,999 61.5 1,732 24.7 15.2
Age 17 2,693 777 28.8 451 58.0 16.7
Age 18 1,924 262 13.6 194 74.0 10.1
Greater Manchester North
Age 16 15,124 9,144 60.5 2,183 23.9 14.4
Age 17 3,738 786 21.0 304 38.7 8.1
Age 18 2,694 637 23.6 377 59.2 14.0
Lancashire
Age 16 20,346 11,373 55.9 3,280 28.9 16.1
Age 17 2,922 650 22.2 300 46.2 10.3
Age 18 2,634 680 25.8 380 55.9 14.4
Merseyside Inner
Age 16 12,158 7,109 58.5 907 12.8 7.5
Age 17 3,652 930 25.5 292 31.4 8.0
Age 18 2,321 660 28.4 468 70.9 20.2
Merseyside Outer
Age 16 10,965 6,111 55.7 909 14.9 8.3
Age 17 2,713 714 26.3 218 30.5 8.0
Age 18 1,749 402 23.0 267 66.4 15.3

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16 8,920 5,992 67.2 941 15.7 10.5
Age 17 2,768 574 20.7 234 40.8 8.5
Age 18 2,092 566 27.1 321 56.7 15.3
Durham
Age 16 8,764 5,646 64.4 890 15.8 10.2
Age 17 1,936 522 27.0 135 25.9 7.0
Age 18 1,375 165 12.0 96 58.2 7.0
North Tyne
Age 16 10,429 6,621 63.5 1,399 21.1 13.4
Age 17 3,212 998 31.1 374 37.5 11.6
Age 18 2,070 721 34.9 433 60.1 20.9
South Tyne
Age 16 10,181 7,380 72.5 1,119 15.7 11.0
Age 17 2,683 794 29.6 282 35.6 10.5
Age 18 1,582 596 37.7 262 44.0 16.6
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16 13,765 7,035 51.1 1,413 20.0 10.3
Age 17 5,195 1,397 26.9 583 41.7 11.2
Age 18 3,232 713 22.1 526 73.7 16.3
Gwent
Age 16 6,509 3,514 54.0 682 18.6 10.5
Age 17 2,026 615 30.4 163 26.5 8.1
Age 18 1,168 239 20.5 158 66.1 13.5
Swansea
Age 16 10,154 5,021 49.4 864 17.2 85.1
Age 17 2,964 770 26.0 296 38.4 10.0
Age 18 2,049 393 19.2 262 66.7 12.8
Wrexham
Age 16 11,241 6,064 53.9 1,552 25.6 13.8
Age 17 3,609 1,067 29.6 393 36.8 10.9
Age 18 2,140 490 22.9 322 65.7 15.0
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16 9,701 4,657 48.0 851 18.3 8.8
Age 17 2,662 1,170 44.0 437 37.4 16.4
Age 18 967 356 36.8 217 61.0 36.8
Central and Fife
Age 16 12,567 6,119 41.5 1,213 19.8 9.7
Age 17 2,588 1,177 45.5 493 41.9 19.0
Age 18 1,039 431 41.5 258 60.0 24.8
Glasgow
Age 16 12,375 7,092 57.3 1,841 26.0 14.9
Age 17 2,090 1,243 59.5 569 45.8 27.2
Age 18 805 461 57.3 305 66.2 37.9
Grampian and Tayside
Age 16 17,476 5,902 39.5 2,072 30.0 11.9
Age 17 3,380 931 27.5 445 47.8 13.2
Age 18 1,261 256 20.3 188 73.3 15.0
Highlands and Islands
Age 16 5,345 2,294 42.9 729 31.8 13.6
Age 17 1,416 547 38.6 269 49.2 19.0
Age 18 532 198 37.2 123 62.1 23.1
Lanarkshire
Age 16 12,064 5,468 45.3 854 15.6 7.1
Age 17 2,274 1,048 46.1 327 31.2 14.4

Area Total eligible to leave school Number of school leavers School leavers as a proportion of numbers eligible to leave school Per cent. Number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS School leavers in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of all school leavers Per cent. Number in a full time job outside YTS as a proportion of those eligible to leave school Per cent.
Age 18 854 368 43.1 166 45.1 19.1
Lothian and Borders
Age 16 14,539 6,584 45.3 2,527 38.4 17.4
Age 17 2,936 1,254 42.7 781 62.3 26.6
Age 18 1,104 453 41.0 367 81.0 33.2
Renfrew, Dunbarton and Argyll
Age 16 14,046 5,442 38.7 1,085 19.9 7.7
Age 17 3,819 1,519 39.8 602 11.1 15.8
Age 18 1,445 545 37.7 324 59.4 22.4

Notes:

n/a = Results are not available or are incomplete.

There are currently no estimates for the London offices due to delays in obtaining returns.

The figures are subject to error and should be treated as approximated.

Table 3
Results of the Careers Service Exercise by MSC Area Office: Change December 1985–86
Change in the number eligible to leave school Change in the number of school leavers Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
South East
Chatham, Kent
Age 16 -530 -18 -544
Age 17 413 134 80
Age 18 -56 130 117
Chelmsford
Age 16 -78 297 -353
Age 17 -201 -805 -744
Age 18 -309 -454 -434
Fareham
Age 16 -667 -1,026 -335
Age 17 -245 -354 -145
Age 18 89 -482 -498
High Wycombe
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a
Horsham
Age 16 -787 -14 148
Age 17 -107 -97 88
Age 18 -181 -175 -178
Reading
Age 16 -319 80 407
Age 17 411 181 425
Age 18 228 228 233
London
London North
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a
London North East
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a

Change in the number eligible to leave school Change in the number of school leavers Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
London South East
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a
London South and West
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a
South West
Avon
Age 16 -277 25 -88
Age 17 -87 135 182
Age 18 -216 1 55
Devon and Cornwall
Age 16 -947 211 -42
Age 17 64 366 13
Age 18 -334 162 130
Gloucester/Wiltshire
Age 16 -662 -962 -44
Age 17 161 61 139
Age 18 -404 -329 -182
Taunton/Somerset/Dorset
Age 16 -723 -552 -683
Age 17 -433 -300 -227
Age 18 -125 29 -22
West Midlands
Birmingham
Age 16 n/a n/a n/a
Age 17 n/a n/a n/a
Age 18 n/a n/a n/a
Coventry/Warwick
Age 16 -921 -4 4
Age 17 -9 29 21
Age 18 -26 25 -79
Dudley/Sandwell
Age 16 -159 101 86
Age 17 -88 -120 -59

Change in the number eligible to leave school Change in the number of school leavers Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 18 -54 31 60
The Marches
Age 16 -482 -219 -77
Age 17 446 202 124
Age 18 -70 121 122
Staffordshire
Age 16 -304 483 24
Age 17 -97 -62 -57
Age 18 -158 -436 -193
Wolverhampton
Age 16 -59 1,097 231
Age 17 16 n/a n/a
Age 18 -120 n/a n/a
East Midlands and Eastern
Derby
Age 16 -611 -511 -18
Age 17 370 133 97
Age 18 -212 -2 -39
Leicestershire
Age 16 -636 -995 -713
Age 17 142 -204 -341
Age 18 366 -67 -81
Lincoln
Age 16 -192 -53 -249
Age 17 -148 -95 -30
Age 18 80 30 35
Nottingham
Age 16 -1,350 -494 -494
Age 17 51 969 537
Age 18 -349 n/a n/a
Luton
Age 16 -112 472 579
Age 17 -240 144 -138
Age 18 -106 119 86
Ipswich
Age 16 -215 -38 -115
Age 17 62 168 110
Age 18 -185 -482 -3
Yorkshire and Humberside
Bradford, Calderdale, Kirklees
Age 16 138 -263 -152
Age 17 304 -98 -219
Age 18 401 288 176
Humberside
Age 16 -361 -98 -154
Age 17 91 -44 -88
Age 18 0 0 0
Leeds/North Yorkshire
Age 16 -726 29 -1,145
Age 17 -117 86 71
Age 18 -346 -171 11
Sheffleld/Rotherham
Age 16 -321 436 60
Age 17 31 100 -57
Age 18 -31 168 13
Wakefield/Barnsley/Doncaster
Age 16 -25 230 28
Age 17 -100 -32 -39

Change in the number eligible to leave school Change in the number of school leavers Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 18 83 113 -34
North West
Cheshire
Age 16 -39 60 -94
Age 17 -24 96 37
Age 18 -101 1 38
Cumbria
Age 16 -318 -299 -143
Age 17 -125 -45 20
Age 18 108 -25 14
Greater Manchester Central
Age 16 436 244 79
Age 17 -243 -61 -80
Age 18 -286 -137 -72
Greater Manchester East
Age 16 -92 424 -67
Age 17 -762 43 -4
Age 18 -104 -443 -413
Greater Manchester North
Age 16 -276 -193 228
Age 17 275 -37 -14
Age 18 58 32 121
Lancashire
Age 16 -688 -201 -434
Age 17 -61 172 140
Age 18 214 0 -20
Merseyside Inner
Age 16 -116 -383 95
Age 17 434 10 104
Age 18 26 -294 83
Merseyside Outer
Age 16 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 17 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Age 18 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Northern
Cleveland
Age 16 -642 -119 8
Age 17 101 -131 -17
Age 18 1,881 -195 -102
Durham
Age 16 -565 -649 -115
Age 17 -45 -4 -15
Age 18 -43 -18 -7
North Tyne
Age 16 -280 -21 -100
Age 17 81 -1 -31
Age 18 14 -9 -76
South Tyne
Age 16 -62 173 163
Age 17 594 -49 50
Age 18 728 132 129
Wales
Cardiff
Age 16 -698 -504 -255
Age 17 313 -50 -50
Age 18 4 -154 110
Gwent
Age 16 -480 -230 -37

Change in the number eligible to leave school Change in the number of school leavers Change in the number of school leavers in a full time job outside YTS
Age 17 82 151 -11
Age 18 28 20 24
Swansea
Age 16 -409 -157 -209
Age 17 -523 111 117
Age 18 -251 80 52
Wrexham
Age 16 -483 67 64
Age 17 -596 -243 -240
Age 18 -304 -46 -88
Scotland
Ayrshire, Dumfries and Galloway
Age 16 -994 -317 -462
Age 17 18 44 -106
Age 18 34 10 -35
Central and Fife
Age 16 -698 -170 -184
Age 17 -106 -105 -45
Age 18 -35 -61 -22
Glasgow City
Age 16 -783 -337 -206
Age 17 -102 93 34
Age 18 -19 84 43
Grampian and Tyneside
Age 16 91 645 -404
Age 17 2 7 -27
Age 18 -3 13 37
Highlands and Islands
Age 16 -22 -55 -168
Age 17 9 -12 -32
Age 18 -15 -20 -16
Lanarkshire
Age 16 188 361 -13
Age 17 -66 92 31
Age 18 -39 53 24
Lothian/Borders
Age 16 -903 -252 -156
Age 17 -136 18 38
Age 18 -32 14 37
Renfrew, Dumbarton and Argyll
Age 16 -1,022 -321 -88
Age 17 -213 -124 -92
Age 18 -68 -43 -44

Notes:

n/a = results are not available or are incomplete.

The figures are subject to error and should he treated as approximate.

Mr. Sheerman

asked the Paymaster General if he will give from the most recent survey of youth training scheme providers, the number and proportion of trainees who will spend (a) fewer than 13 weeks and (b) more than 13 weeks on off-the-job training; and hw these figures with those available at the end of 1985.

Mr. Trippier

The survey of YTS providers conducted in January-February 1986 shows that 2 per cent. (5,300) of trainees received off-the-job training of less than 13 weeks; 98 per cent. (259,000) received off-the-job training for 13 weeks or longer.

Figures for 1985 are not available.

Mr. Sheerman

asked the Paymaster General what are the current numbers of vacant places on the youth training schemes; and how this figure compares with that for the end of 1985.

Mr. Trippier

Manpower Services Commission records currently show some 327,900 YTS trainees in training at the end of February 1987 and 455,500 YTS contracted places. There are no exactly equivalent figures for earlier years. In December 1985 there were some 293,370 trainees in training and 384,700 places approved by area manpower boards; but not all approved places were subsequently contracted.

Mr. Sheerman

asked the Paymaster General if he will give for 1983–84, 1984–85, 1985–86, and the latest estimates on figures for 1986–87. the total sum expended on the youth training scheme and the total sum expended on grants made to managing agents broken down into the administration fee, the training allowance the trainee allowance and capital grants.

Mr. Trippier

The information requested is shown in the table:

£ million
1983–84 Outturn 1984–85 Outturn 1985–86 Outturn 1986–87 Forecast
Management Fee 33.8 33.1 35.9 52.0
Other Grants1 334.8 713.5 765.6 770.2
Capital Grants2 1.2 4.6 3.3 2.1
Other Expenditure3 10.7 12.2 13.4 15.0
Total YTS4 Expenditure 380.5 763.4 818.2 839.3
1 Separate information is not available for the contribution towards the cost of training and the trainee allowance. "Other Grants" also includes expenditure on excess travel and lodging allowances and vacated places.
2 Capital grants funding ceased in August 1986.
3 "Other Expenditure" includes research and development, accredited centres and miscellaneous minor items.
4 Excludes MSC administration costs.

Mr. Sheerman

asked the Paymaster General if he will list the total expenditure in 1986–87 prices of the Manpower Services Commission in each year since 1974, together with the percentage change in real terms over each previous year.

Mr. Trippier

The following table gives estimates of total expenditure by the Manpower Services Commission in each year since 1974 at 1986–87 prices.

Financial year Total Manpower Services Commission expenditure at 1986–87 prices £ million Percentage change over previous year
1974–75 392
1975–76 768 95.9
1976–77 1,063 38.4
1977–78 1,175 10.5
1978–79 1,247 6.1
1979–80 1,209 -3.0
1980–81 1,222 1.1
1981–82 1,421 16.3
1982–83 1,573 10.7
1983–84 2,023 28.6
1984–85 2,250 11.2
1985–86 2.444 8.6
1986–87 (forecast) 3,059 25.2

Notes:

(1) Includes Manpower Services Commission expenditure on behalf of the Department of Employment.

(2) Cash figures adjusted to 1986–87 price levels have been calculated by taking account of each year's general inflation as measured by the GDP deflator at market prices. It has been assumed that the average level of the GDP deflator in 1986–87 will be equal to the mid-1986–87 value.

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