HC Deb 29 October 1985 vol 84 cc426-31W
Mr. Andrew F. Bennett

asked the Paymaster General what, for each region of Great Britain, are the estimates produced by the careers service for the Manpower Services Commission of the number and proportion of (1) 16-year-olds and (2) 17-year-olds who will (a) stay on in school or further education or (b) leave school and join the labour market, and, the number of those who will (i) get work, (ii) remain unemployed and (iii) enter the youth training schemes, for the last year available; and what were the figures for all categories for all years for which figures are available, assuming the youth opportunities programme precedes the youth training scheme.

Mr. Peter Bottomley

The information for the youth training scheme is as follows. The figures represent the careers service's best estimates of the destinations of 16 and 17-year-olds who were eligible to leave school in the academic years 1982–83, 1983–84 and 1984–85. The figures for 31 December 1985 are projections made by the careers service in autumn 1984 and revised in January 1985. There are no equivalent figures for the youth opportunities programme.

Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
London
Numbers '000s 89 45 44 21 23
Per cent. 51 49 48 52
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 68 39 29 9 20
Per cent. 57 43 30 70
Wales
Numbers '000s 43 20 23 7 16
Per cent. 47 53 29 71
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.

Careers service estimates of the destinations of school leavers by 31 December following the end of the school year 16 year olds 1983–84
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Northern
Numbers '000s 41 14 27 5 22
Per cent. 33 67 19 81
Yorks and Humber
Numbers '000s 78 29 49 14 35
Per cent. 37 63 29 71
North West
Numbers '000s 108 43 65 18 47
Per cent. 40 60 28 72
Midlands
Numbers '000s 144 58 86 30 56
Per cent. 40 60 35 65
South West
Numbers '000s 62 26 36 14 22
Per cent. 42 58 39 61
South East
Numbers '000s 171 84 87 40 47
Per cent. 49 51 46 54
London
Numbers '000s 85 43 42 20 22
Per cent. 51 49 48 52
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 103 59 44 14 30
Per cent. 57 43 32 68
Wales
Numbers '000s 43 20 23 5 18
Per cent. 47 53 22 78
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.

Careers service estimates of the destinations of school leavers by 31 December following the end of the school year 16 year olds 1984–85
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Northern
Numbers '000s 40 14 26 5 21
Per cent. 35 65 18 81
Yorks and Humber
Numbers '000s 77 29 48 14 34
Per cent. 38 62 29 71
North West
Numbers '000s 106 43 63 17 46
Per cent. 41 59 27 73
Midlands
Numbers '000s 143 58 85 22 63
Per cent. 41 59 26 74
South West
Numbers '000s 61 26 35 13 22
Per cent. 43 57 37 63
South East
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Numbers '000s 169 84 85 36 49
Per cent. 50 50 42 58
London
Numbers '000s 82 42 40 19 21
Per cent. 51 49 48 52
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 98 55 43 14 29
Per cent. 56 44 33 67
Wales
Numbers '000s 43 20 23 4 19
Per cent. 47 53 17 83
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.

Careers service estimates of the destinations of school leavers by 31 December following the end of the school year 17 year olds 1982–83
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Northern
Numbers '000s 10.6 7.9 2.7 0.8 1.9
Per cent. 74 26 31 69
Yorks and Humber
Numbers '000s 22.1 15.3 6.8 3.7 3.0
Per cent. 69 31 55 45
North West
Numbers '000s 28.5 21.7 6.8 2.6 4.2
Per cent. 76 24 38 62
Midlands
Numbers '000s 36.3 27.4 8.9 4.0 4.9
Per cent. 76 24 45 55
South West
Numbers '000s 17.0 12.5 4.6 2.7 1.9
Per cent. 73 17 59 41
South East
Numbers '000s 62.0 44.0 17.8 10.2 7.6
Per cent. 71 29 57 43
London
Numbers '000s 35.7 23.8 11.9 6.5 5.4
Per cent. 67 33 55 45
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 49.1 28.3 20.9 7.9 13.0
Per cent. 58 42 38 62
Wales
Numbers '000s 14.5 10.6 3.9 1.7 2.3
Per cent. 73 27 42 58
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.

Careers service estimates of the destinations of school leavers by 31 December following the end of the school year 17 year olds 1983–84
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Northern
Numbers '000s 9.8 7.5 2.3 0.7 1.6
Per cent. 77 23 30 70
Yorks and Humber
Numbers '000s 21.0 14.4 6.6 3.1 3.5
Per cent. 69 31 47 53
North West
Numbers '000s 24.0 17.6 6.4 3.0 3.4
Per cent. 73 27 47 53
Midlands
Numbers '000s 32.1 23.5 8.6 3.7 2.9
Per cent. 73 27 43 57
South West
Numbers '000s 16.3 11.9 4.4 2.6 1.8

Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Per cent. 73 27 59 41
South East
Numbers '000s 59.6 41.7 17.9 11.0 6.9
Per cent. 70 30 61 39
London
Numbers '000s 33.8 21.8 12.0 6.9 5.1
Per cent. 64 36 58 42
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 25.0 15.1 9.9 4.4 5.5
Per cent. 60 40 44 56
Wales
Numbers '000s 13.9 10.4 3.5 1.6 1.9
Per cent. 75 25 46 54
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.

Careers service estimates of the destinations of school leavers by 31 December following the end of the school year 17 year olds 1984–85
Region (a) Total (b+c) (b) School/FE (c) Labour market (d+e) (d) Employed outside YTS (e) Unemployed/YTS
Northern
Numbers '000s 10.0 7.7 2.3 0.7 1.6
Per cent. 77 23 30 70
Yorks and Humber
Numbers '000s 20.3 14.1 6.2 2.9 3.3
Per cent. 69 31 46 54
North West
Numbers '000s 22.9 16.8 6.1 2.6 3.5
Per cent. 74 26 42 58
Midlands
Numbers '000s 34.2 25.4 8.8 4.4 4.4
Per cent. 74 26 50 50
South West
Numbers '000s 15.1 11.2 3.9 2.2 1.7
Per cent. 74 26 56 44
South East
Numbers '000s 55.8 38.8 16.8 10.0 6.8
Per cent. 69 31 59 41
London
Numbers '000s 32.7 21.3 11.4 6.4 5.0
Per cent. 65 35 56 44
Scotland*
Numbers '000s 24.0 14.1 9.9 4.4 5.5
Per cent. 59 41 44 56
Wales
Numbers '000s 14.0 10.3 3.7 1.6 2.1
Per cent. 74 26 43 57
* Scottish figures for 1982–83 are not comparable with figures for the later years because of a change in the basis of calculation.