§ Mr. Beaumont-Darkasked the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will revise and extend table 1.14., public expenditure in cost terms by programme, in volume 1 of Cmnd. 8789, "The Government's Expenditure Plans 1983–84 to 1985–86", using the gross domestic product deflator assumptions given in the "Financial Statement and
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Public Expenditure in cost terms by programme £ million base year 1981–82 1977–78 1978–79 1979–80 1980–81 1981–82 1982–83 1983–84 1984–85 1985–86 Defence 11,553 11,486 12,077 12,374 12,606 13,468 14,162 14,520 14,660 Overseas aid and other overseas services Overseas aid 1,015 1,108 1,031 983 960 896 936 920 900 Net payments to EC institutions 918 1,151 1,098 245 153 542 337 380 420 Other overseas services 722 579 594 570 573 620 653 650 640 Agriculture, fisheries, food and forestry 1,467 1,246 1,318 1,491 1,372 1,667 1,554 1,390 1,380 Industry, energy, trade and employment 3,782 4,652 3,771 4,439 5,319 5,471 4,980 4,610 4,330 Transport 3,845 3,750 3,882 3,825 3,898 4,056 3,811 3,800 3,750 Housing 5,789 5,473 5,908 4,933 3,137 2,410 2,473 2,510 2,490 Other environmental services 3,311 3,458 3,537 3,576 3,244 3,208 3,157 3,090 3,040 Law, order and protective services 3,034 3,120 3,376 3,505 3,774 4,004 4,060 4,050 4,030 Education and science 11,922 11,883 11,709 12,065 11,828 11,802 11,126 10,840 10,670 Arts and libraries 506 521 529 528 520 541 499 490 480 Health and personal social services 11,081 11,378 11,648 12,576 12,751 12,971 12,941 12,910 12,850 Social security 23,572 25,187 25,415 25,963 28,510 30,349 30,468 30,180 30,310 Other public services 1,545 1,485 1,517 1,593 1,556 1,561 1,484 1,460 1,460 Common services 1,297 1,307 1,321 1,216 1,453 1,544 883 910 950 Scotland 5,478 5,644 5,821 5,893 5,772 5,853 5,655 5,530 5,430 Wales 2,166 2,263 2,343 2,356 2,243 2,223 2,239 2,190 2,180 Northern Ireland 3,076 3,275 3,209 3,215 3,218 3,335 3,372 3,380 3,370 the four-children household, two of the children are assumed to be under the age of 11, and two between the ages of 11 and 15.
Indirect tax payments cannot be reliably estimated for income levels above one and a half times average earnings.
Budget Report", and taking account of Budget measures and other changes as they affect the public expenditure planning totals for 1982–83 and 1983–84.
§ Mr. BrittanThe table following shows cost terms figures resulting from inflating or deflating the cash outturn for past years and the cash provision for future years to a base of average 1981–82 prices, using the deflator for gross domestic product at market prices. For future years the general inflation assumptions used are as given in paragraph 2.16 of the Financial Statement and Budget Report, that is the GDP deflator averages 7 per cent. in 1982–83, 5½ per cent. in 1983–84 and 1984–85 and 5 per cent. in 1985–86.
The programme detail shown in the table is based on the cash figures given in table 1.7 of Cmnd. 8789. A line at the bottom of the table shows the planning totals for 1982–83 and 1983–84 including the effects of Budget measures and other changes since Cmnd. 8789 was published.
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1977–78 1978–79 1979–80 1980–81 1981–82 1982–83 1983–84 1984–85 1985–86 Government lending to nationalised industries -347 1,080 2,541 2,459 1,457 1,274 986 1,050 750 Local authority current expenditure not allocated to programmes (England) — — — — — — 801 390 200 Adjustments Public corporations' net overseas and market borrowing 1,384 679 -630 -683 260 -1,014 -259 -370 -530 Special sales of assets -928 — -1,308 -394 79 -500 -650 -1,250 -400 Contingency reserve — — — — — 250 1,300 — — Provisional reserve — — — — — — — 2,500 2,400 General allowance for shortfall — — — — — -900 -1,100 — — Planning Total*† 96,187 100,726 100,706 102,728 104,684 105,614 105,920 106,110 105,770 Planning Total—rounded* 96,200 100,700 100,700 102,700 104,700 105,600 105,900 106,100 105,800 Planning total including Budget measures and other changes — — — — — 105,100 105,700 — — * Based on cash figures in Cmnd. 8789. † Components may not add to totals due to rounding.