HC Deb 23 March 1982 vol 20 cc324-7W
Mr. Austin Mitchell

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether he will publish in the Official Report tables showing the actual figures used in preparing charts 3, 4 and 5 in the issue of "Economic Progress Report" for January 1982.

Mr. Brittan

The figures used in preparing charts 3, 4 and 5 in the January 1982 issue of "Economic Progress Report" are as follows:

Chart 3 Output per man hour, manufacturing
Output Output per man hour
1970 1st Quarter 97.5 83.9
2nd Quarter 98.5 85.1
3rd Quarter 98.4 85.7
4th Quarter 99.2 87.2
1971 1st Quarter 97.5 86.7
2nd Quarter 97.7 88.8
3rd Quarter 97.0 89.5
4th Quarter 97.0 90.8
1972 1st Quarter 94.5 90.7
2nd Quarter 99.6 94.1
3rd Quarter 100.3 94.9
4th Quarter 104.3 98.2
1973 1st Quarter 108.2 100.9
2nd Quarter 108.3 100.8
3rd Quarter 109.2 101.5
4th Quarter 109.5 101.2
1974 1st Quarter 104.0 101.3
2nd Quarter 110.7 103.2
3rd Quarter 109.8 102.9
4th Quarter 105.4 99.7

Output Output per man hour
1975 1st Quarter 104.2 100.5
2nd Quarter 99.3 98.9
3rd Quarter 97.6 99.1
4th Quarter 98.9 101.5
1976 1st Quarter 100.1 103.5
2nd Quarter 101.6 105.1
3rd Quarter 101.9 105.0
4th Quarter 104.4 106.9
1977 1st Quarter 105.7 107.6
2nd Quarter 103.5 105.5
3rd Quarter 103.0 105.0
4th Quarter 103.3 105.5
1978 1st Quarter 103.3 105.4
2nd Quarter 105.1 107.8
3rd Quarter 105.3 108.2
4th Quarter 103.9 107.0
1979 1st Quarter 103.0 106.5
2nd Quarter 107.5 111.1
3rd Quarter 103.6 108.1
4th Quarter 104.4 109.7
1980 1st Quarter 100.4 107.4
2nd Quarter 97.4 107.2
3rd Quarter 93.5 107.3
4th Quarter 88.2 106.5
1981 1st Quarter 87.7 109.3
2nd Quarter 87.7 110.6

Manfacturing Productivity

Comparisons of changes over successive cycles

Output Employment Output per head
1st Cycle
1964 4th Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
1965 1st Quarter 99.8 100.4 99.3
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.4 99.5
3rd Quarter 99.8 100.7 99.1
4th Quarter 101.6 100.9 100.4
1966 1st Quarter 103.0 100.9 102.1
2nd Quarter 102.6 100.9 101.6
3rd Quarter 103.0 100.8 102.1
4th Quarter 99.7 99.8 99.7
1967 1st Quarter 101.4 98.8 102.6
2nd Quarter 102.3 98.1 104.4
3rd Quarter 102.6 97.4 105.3
4th Quarter 104.4 96.9 107.8
1968 1st Quarter 108.3 96.8 111.9
2nd Quarter 109.4 96.8 113.0
2nd Cycle
1969 2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 100.8 100.1 99.7
4th Quarter 99.6 100.4 99.2
1970 1st Quarter 98.9 100.3 98.7
2nd Quarter 99.9 100.1 99.8
3rd Quarter 99.8 99.7 100.1
4th Quarter 100.6 99.3 101.4
1971 1st Quarter 98.9 98.7 100.2
2nd Quarter 99.1 97.0 102.0
3rd Quarter 98.4 96.0 102.6
4th Quarter 98.4 94.7 104.0

Output Employment Output per head
1972 1st Quarter 95.8 93.8 102.1
2nd Quarter 101.0 93.4 108.0
3rd Quarter 101.7 93.3 109.0
4th Quarter 105.8 93.2 113.4
1973 1st Quarter 109.7 93.5 117.4
2nd Quarter 109.8 93.8 117.0
3rd Cycle
1973 2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 100.8 100.2 100.7
4th Quarter 101.1 100.6 100.6
1974 1st Quarter 96.0 100.4 95.7
2nd Quarter 102.2 100.6 101.7
3rd Quarter 101.4 100.5 101.0
4th Quarter 97.3 99.8 97.6
1975 1st Quarter 96.2 98.4 97.9
2nd Quarter 91.7 96.5 95.1
3rd Quarter 90.1 94.7 95.2
4th Quarter 91.3 93.6 97.6
1976 1st Quarter 92.4 92.9 99.5
2nd Quarter 93.8 92.6 101.4
3rd Quarter 94.1 92.6 101.5
4th Quarter 96.4 92.9 103.8
4th Cycle
1979 1st Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 98.5 99.6 98.8
4th Quarter 99.3 98.6 100.6
1980 1st Quarter 95.3 97.3 98.0
2nd Quarter 92.8 95.4 97.2
3rd Quarter 88.9 92.7 95.8
4th Quarter 84.1 89.6 93.8
1981 1st Quarter 83.5 87.0 95.9
2nd Quarter 83.8 85.0 98.6
3rd Quarter 85.9 83.4 103.0

Manufacturing Productivity

Movements in different sectors

Output Employment Output per head
1. Manufacturing total
1979 1st Quarter 100 100
2nd Quarter 100 100
3rd Quarter 98.5 99.6
4th Quarter 99.3 98.6
1980 1st Quarter 95.3 97.3
2nd Quarter 92.8 95.4
3rd Quarter 88.9 92.7
4th Quarter 84.1 89.6
1981 1st Quarter 83.5 87.0
2nd Quarter 83.8 8.5
3rd Quarter 85.9 83.4
2. Metals
1979 1st Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 97.0 99.0 98.0
4th Quarter 96.9 97.3 99.6
1980 1st Quarter
2nd Quarter 86.2 91.7 93.8
3rd Quarter 71.3 86.8 81.8
4th Quarter 62.7 80.9 77.4
1981 1st Quarter 71.0 76.6 92.6
2nd Quarter 72.7 73.6 89.8

Output Employment Output per head
3rd Quarter 71.7 71.2 100.6
3. Chemicals
1979 1st Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 104.4 100.1 104.3
4th Quarter 102.9 99.8 103.1
1980 1st Quarter 102.0 99.3 102.7
2nd Quarter 92.2 98.0 94.0
3rd Quarter 86.8 96.4 90.0
4th Quarter 85.9 94.1 91.2
1981 1st Quarter 88.8 92.4 96.1
2nd Quarter 89.6 90.6 98.5
3rd Quarter 95.1 89.2 106.6
4. Textiles
1979 1st Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 98.9 99.4 99.6
4th Quarter 94.8 97.7 97.0
1980 1st Quarter 98.8 94.9 94.6
2nd Quarter 83.0 91.7 90.6
3rd Quarter 79.1 88.1 89.8
4th Quarter 73.8 84.2 87.7
1981 1st Quarter 73.7 81.6 90.2
2nd Quarter 73.9 80.3 92.1
3rd Quarter 75.2 79.1 95.1
5. Engineering
1979 1st Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
2nd Quarter 100.0 100.0 100.0
3rd Quarter 93.8 99.4 94.3
4th Quarter 98.1 98.5 99.6
1980 1st Quarter 98.3 97.2 101.1
2nd Quarter 94.0 95.7 98.3
3rd Quarter 91.4 93.1 98.3
4th Quarter 84.0 89.9 93.5
1981 1st Quarter 80.5 87.0 92.6
2nd Quarter 81.8 84.3 97.0
3rd Quarter 84.2 82.6 101.9

Mr. Austin Mitchell

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer why chart 5 in "Economic Progress Report" for January 1982 was rebased on the first half of 1979 instead of 1975.

Mr. Brittan

Chart 5 in "Economic Progress Report" for January 1982 shows movements of productivity in different sectors of manufacturing industry during the current economic cycle. The chart is based on the first half of 1979 because that was the peak of the previous cycle. The text saysThe last peak in economic activity is officially dated in the second quarter of 1979. But output levels were distorted by the recovery from the various strikes in the first quarter. For present purposes, therefore, it is more useful to average the figures for the first and second quarters.