HC Deb 11 December 1979 vol 975 cc576-7W
Mr. Meacher

asked the Chancellor of the Exchequer what had been the marginal propensity to import during each of the last 20 years.

Mr. Lawson

[pursuant to his reply, 7 December 1979, c. 401]: There is no satisfactory way of defining or measuring what the marginal propensity to import has been in a particular year. Imports will be affected by other factors, such as changes in price and non-price competitiveness, and not by changes in expenditure or income alone.

The table below shows changes in total final expenditure and in imports of goods and services for each of the last 20 years. As is apparent, the relationship between them fluctuates widely, and indeed there were two years in which the series moved in opposite directions.

£ million 1975 prices
Change in total final expenditure (1) Change in imports of goods and services(2) (2) as a percentage of (1)
1959 +3,471 +891 26
1960 +4,829 +1,700 35
1961 +2,329 -116 n.a.
1962 +906 +331 37
1963 +3,666 +728 20
1964 +5,546 +1,751 32
1965 +2,138 +170 8
1966 +2,222 +469 21
1967 +3,470 +1,339 39
1968 +5,099 +1,545 30
1969 +1,974 +714 36
1970 +3,285 +1,213 37
1971 +3,735 +1,163 31
1972 +4,597 +2,457 53
1973 +10,989 +3,264 30
1974 -1,336 +266 n.a.
1975 -3,297 -2,300 70
1976 +5,032 +1,166 23
1977 +1,665 +221 13
1978 +4,644 +1,221 26
1959–78 +64,964 +18,193 28

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