HC Deb 27 October 1976 vol 918 cc244-5W
Mr. Gould

asked the Secretary of State for Trade by what percentage import prices by manufacturers would be expected to rise after one, three and six months following a 10 per cent. devaluation; and what are the corresponding estimates for exports of manufactures.

Mr. Clinton Davis

In present circumstances, it is difficult to form reliable estimates of the short-run movements in import and export prices of manufactured goods resulting from a depreciation of sterling. Over the longer run, however, the indications are that a 10 per cent. devaluation of sterling would lead to a similar rise in import prices for

Imports Exports
'000's of metric tons £ million c.i.f. '000's of metric tons £ million f.o.b.
1965 251 12.2 132 2.4
1966 248 13.2 209 4.5
1967 350 17.5 70 2.3
1968 323 14.6 74 2.0
1969 260 14.0 82 2.4
1970 309 18.8 98 3.1
1971 270 14.7 82 2.4
1972 281 17.5 136 4.1
1973 232 21.3 221 8.4
1974 240 21.7 152 7.4
1975 375 39.3 148 12.7
January-September 1976 526 106.2 39 5.5

Estimates in terms of August 1976 sterling values are not available for individual commodities.