§ Norman BakerTo ask the Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs what her projection is for UK carbon dioxide emissions in each year from 2003 to 2020,(a) based on Kyoto criteria and (b) including international air travel. [99200]
§ Mr. MeacherUK carbon dioxide emissions projections to the year 2020 were published in 2001 in the UK's Third National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The figures, which take account of effect of measures in the UK Climate Change Programme, are reported at five yearly intervals and are summarised in the table below. They are expressed as million tonnes of carbon per year (MtC/yr). The table includes the actual emissions data point for 2000. UK carbon dioxide emissions projections do not include emissions from international aviation which are reported separately, in accordance with international guidelines.
Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Total UK CO2 emissions (MtC/yr) 152.1 141.7 133.0 134.3 134.0 Emissions from international aviation were about 7.8 MtC/yr in 2000, and projections made on the same basis as for the Third National Communication suggest that they may rise to about 8.6 MtC/yr in 2005 and 10.2 MtC/yr in 2010. Projections beyond 2010 are increasingly uncertain but emissions in 2020 could be between 14 and 16 MtC/yr.