§ Ms AthertonTo ask the Secretary of State for Education and Skills what plans he has to reform the method of calculation for projected school rolls to include estimated migration as well as birth rate. [124326]
§ Mr. MilibandNational pupil projections, a summary of which is published in the Department for Education and Skills' Departmental Report each year, already take account of estimated migration.
The projections take account of several factors, including the results of the schools census for pupil numbers, expected trends in participation for children outside statutory school ages, and the latest population projections produced by the Government Actuary's Department. These population projections take account of long-term trends in fertility, mortality, and net migration.
Separate assessments are not available for the different factors affecting the national pupil projections.