Roads (Hansard, 13 July 1998)

§ Mr. Jenkins

To ask the Secretary of State for the Environment, Transport and the Regions (1) what estimate he has made of the daily and hourly peak traffic flows along(a) the M42 from Junctions 7 to 11 and (b) the M6 (i) from Junctions 4 to 10 and (ii) from Junctions 10 to 16, (1) in each of the last five years and (2) at present; [50246]

(2) what are the projected traffic flows along (a) the M42 from Junctions 7 to 11 and (b) the M6 (i) from Junctions 4 to 10 and (ii) from Junctions 10 to 16 in (1) 2000, (2) 2005, (3) 2010, (4) 2015 and (5) 2020. [50247]

Annex 1: Annual traffic flows 1993–1997 and to May 1998
	To May 1998	1997		1996		1995		1994		1993
	Daily	Peak	Daily	Peak	Daily	Peak	Daily	Peak	Daily	Peak	Daily	Peak
M42
J7A–8	¹—	¹—	74	6	80	6	81	6	65	8	66	5
J8–9	79	6	80	6	78	6	80	6	¹—	¹—	65	6
J8–10	66	5	63	5	63	5	60	5	57	5	52	4
J10–11	51	4	50	4	52	4	50	4	47	4	43	3
M6
J4–4A	98	7	98	7	94	6	91	6	87	8	66	8
J4A–5	¹—	¹—	135	9	132	9	128	9	124	9	125	9
J5–6	115	7	114	7	111	7	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	106	8
J6–7	134	9	131	8	126	8	120	8	111	8	116	8
J7A–8	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—
J8E–8W (Ray Hall)	91	6	99	6	98	6	97	6	95	6	97	6
J9–10	144	10	150	10	147	9	129	8	139	9	¹—	¹—
J10–10a	131	9	132	9	132	9	133	9	128	9	134	9
J11–12	138	9	111	8	135	9	131	9	132	9	107	7
J12–13	100	7	102	7	110	7	99	7	95	6	94	6
J13–14	101	7	105	7	103	7	100	7	100	7	¹—	¹—
J14–15	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—	97	7	94	6	¹—	¹—	¹—	¹—
J15–18	98	7	98	7	96	7	92	6	95	6	87	6
¹No data

Notes:

1. All flows are two way, rounded to the nearest thousand vehicles
2. All estimates averaged over available data for the year

Annex 2: Traffic flows forecast from 1997
	¹1997	2000	2005	2010	2015	2020
M42
J7A–8	74	81	93	106	119	132
J8–9	80	88	101	115	129	143
J9–10	63	69	80	91	102	113
J10–11	50	55	63	72	81	89
M6
J4–4A	98	104	113	122	129	135
J4A–5	135	143	156	168	177	196
J5–6	114	121	132	142	150	158
J6–7	131	139	151	163	172	181

16W

§ Ms Glenda Jackson

I have asked the Chief Executive of the Highways Agency, Mr. Lawrie Haynes, to write to my hon. Friend.

Letter from Peter Nutt to Mr. Brian Jenkins, dated 13 July 1998: The Transport Minister, Glenda Jackson, has asked the Chief Executive of the Highways Agency to reply to your questions about past and current traffic flows and future projections for sections of the M42 and M6 motorways in the West Midlands. In his absence, I am writing on his behalf. The average daily and peak flows for M42 junctions 7 to 11 and M67 junctions 4 to 16 are shown on Annex 1 attached. The table shows traffic flows on individual links (ie from junction to junction). The flows for 1993 to 1997 are based on averages of the available count data over the whole year for each of the sections of motorway, whilst the 1998 estimate is an average based on available data between January and May. Forecasts of traffic flows over the same sections of M6 and M42 motorways are shown on the table at Annex 2. These have been produced by applying National Road Traffic Forecast (NRTF) central estimate factors (for urban or rural motorways as appropriate) to the 1997 annual estimates. They do not attempt to take into account any future changes in the road network or the effects of network constraints on the ability of the motorways to accommodate future traffic growth. I hope you find this information helpful.

17W

Annex 2: Traffic flows forecast from 1997
	¹1997	2000	2005	2010	2015	2020
J8E–8W (Ray Hall)	99	105	114	123	130	136
J9–10	150	159	173	188	198	208
J10–10a	132	140	153	165	174	183
J11–12	111	121	140	159	179	198
J12–13	102	111	129	146	164	182
J13–14	105	115	132	151	169	187
J15–16	98	107	124	141	158	175
¹Two-way flow, 7 day average, 24 hours

Notes:

1. All flows rounded to the nearest 1,000 vehicles per annual average 24 hour day
2. NRTF97 motorway central growth factors applied—rural/urban as appropriate
3. Projections make no allowance for future network changes or constraints