§ Mr. CousinsTo ask the Secretary of State for the Environment whether the household and migration estimates contained in "Serplan: Land for Housing in South East England 1991–2001", include any fiscal migration effects arising from the introduction of the community charge.
§ Mr. Waldegrave[holding answer 16 June 1988]: No. Any effects the community charge may have on migration are not sufficiently foreseeable to be incorporated into the population and household estimates.
§ Mr. CousinsTo ask the Secretary of State for the Environment if he will estimate county populations within the Serplan area at 1986, 1991 and 2001, using the migration assumptions in the paper "Serplan: Land for Housing in South East England"; and if he will provide further estimates assuming the net in-migration levels of 1985–86 were to be(a) maintained, (b) reduced by 50 per cent. and (c) reduced by 75 per cent. in the years up to 2001.
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§ Mr. Waldegrave[holding answer 16 June 1988]: The table sets out the population in counties in the south-east for the years 1986, 1991 and 2001 as projected by the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Alternative population projections on the same basis, but using different assumptions about net migration levels. could only be made at disproportionate cost.
Projected Populations for Counties in the South East of England: OPCS 1985-based Population Projections (Thousands) 1986 1991 2001 Bedfordshire 520 536 560 Berkshire 733 766 814 Buckinghamshire 610 648 719 East Sussex 687 704 740 Essex 1,512 1,546 1,612 Hampshire 1,538 1,609 1,750 Hertfordshire 991 1,013 1,053 Isle of Wight 123 124 127 Kent 1,502 1,533 1,596 Oxfordshire 573 595 627 Surrey 1,015 1,028 1,072 West Sussex 692 714 757 South East (excluding London) 10,494 10,816 11,427 Greater London 6,778 6,806 6,916 Total South East 17,271 17,622 18,343 Source: OPCS Monitor PP3 88/1
§ Mr. CousinsTo ask the Secretary of State for the Environment if he will estimate by country of origin and destination the migration flows to the south-east from outside England as in table 4 of his paper "Serplan: Land for Housing in South East England".
§ Mr. Waldegrave[holding answer 16 June 1988]: The assumptions about future net migration between counties in the south-east and areas outside England are set by the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Detailed assumptions about country of origin or destination of future migrants are not made as they are unnecessary for the purposes of projecting the population of counties.