HL Deb 18 November 1987 vol 490 cc282-3WA
Lord Rea

asked Her Majesty's Government:

What estimates of the proportions of individuals converting from HIV sero-negative to sero-positive (HIV infection rate) in different sub-groups of the population they are using in planning the future care needs of AIDS sufferers; and

What estimates of the conversion of sero-positive individuals to full-blown AIDS and ARC (AIDS-related complex) in different sub-groups of the population they are using a planning the future cae needs of AIDS suffers.

The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Department of Health and Social Security (Lord Skelmersdale)

It is not possible to estimate the proportion of individuals concerting from Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) sero-negative to sero-positive in the different at-risk behaviour groups because we do not know either the present size of the groups or the proportion of individuals in each who present for testing. In our planning for the future care needs of people infected with HIV or with AIDS, we have taken account of the current estimate that 30 per cent. of those who are HIV antibody positive will go on to develop AIDS within five years.