§ Mr. Butler
To ask the Secretary of State for Scotland what estimates are availble to him of the number of likely AIDS cases in 1991 in Scotland.
§ Mr. Michael Forsyth
The report of the working party on Health Service implications of HIV infection in Scotland (the Tayler report), which was published in May 1987, projected that the cumulative total of AIDS cases in Scotland by the end of 1991 would be between 725 and 1,251. It also provided a projected best esimate of 557 living AIDS cases in 1991. The working party pointed out, and the Government agree, that the base upon which these projections were made is very limited; and the projections are being kept under review.