§ Mr. Foulkesasked the Secretary of State for Social Services if he will retabulate the wards in table 2.18 of the Black report, ranking them by probability using a poisson distribution, and identify those wards on the Cumbrian coast; and if he will make a statement on the differences in ranking obtained by using probability and not rate of incidence as used in table 2.18 of the Black report.
§ Mr. Kenneth Clarke[pursuant to his reply, 17 January 1985, c. 225]: The identity of the wards quoted in tables 2.18 and 2.19 are as follows, with the poisson probability ranking order also shown:
Ward Rank and Details in order of incidence Wards Rank in order of Poisson Probability Table 2.18 Cancer 1. Elsdon, Alnwick, Northumberland 8 2. Whittingham, Alnwick, Northumberland 17 3. Warden and Newbrough, Tynedale, Northumberland 19 4. Chesters, Tynedale, Northumberland 20 5. Kendal Underley, South Lakerland, Cumbria 10 6. Seascale, Copeland, Cumbria 5 7. Prudhoe South, Tynedale, Northumberland 2
Thousands December 1978 December 1982 December 1983 Percentage increase People of working age in receipt of supplementary benefit for 12 months or more in the United Kingdom 690 — 1,500 117 Source: Annual Statistical Enquiries. Statistics for December 1983 are provisional.
§ Mr. Winnickasked the Secretary of State for Social Services how many people aged 45 years and over received supplementary benefit for 12 months and more in (a) the United Kingdom, (b) the west midlands and (c) the Walsall borough area in May 1979; and if he will give the latest figures for the three groups and the percentage difference in each case.
688W
Ward Rank and Details in order of incidence Wards Rank in order of Poisson Probability 8. Chollerton with Whittington, Tynedale, Northumberland 29 9. North Tyneside, Tyne and Wear, Monkseaton West 1 10. Wampool, Allerdale, Cumbria 4 Table 2.19 Lymphoid Malignancy 1. Whittingham, Alnwick, Northumberland 3 2. Elsdon, Alnwick, Northumberland 22 3. Seascale, Copeland Cumbria 1 4. Warden and Newbrough, Tynedale, Northumberland 31 5. Whailton, Castle Morpeth, Northumberland 32 6. Slaley and Hexhamshire, Tyne Dale, Northumberland 33 7. No. 14, Teesdale, Durham 36 8. Lazonby, Eden, Cumbria 38 9. Askham, Eden, Cumbria 42 10. Windermere Bowness South, South Lakeland, Cumbria 44 Of the wards listed only Seascale is situated on the Cumbria coast.