HC Deb 02 March 1984 vol 55 cc361-2W
Mr. Needham

asked the Secretary of State for Energy what are the Government's latest forecasts for the level of United Kingdom petroleum production.

Mr. Buchanan-Smith

The latest forecasts for United Kingdom petroleum in the years 1984 to 1988 are as follows:

Million tonnes
1984 110–130
1985 110–130

Million tonnes
1986 100–125
1987 85–115
1988 80–115

As in previous years, these forecasts represent a range of levels of possible production for each year. The ranges make allowance for delays which may be caused by the technical and geological problems which operators can face in the North Sea.

The figures comprise stabilised crude oil and natual gas liquids. Production of the latter has built up rapidly in the last few years as follows:

Million tonnes of NGLs
1981 1.5
1982 2.9
1983 *4.1
* provisional

NGLs are expected to account for some 5 million tonnes annually of total petroleum production in 1984 to 1989.

Total production in 1983 of stabilised crude and NGLs is estimated to have been 114.9 million tonnes.