§ Mr. Ernie Rossasked the Secretary of State for Scotland what projections he has made of the effect of birth rates upon the school population in (a) primary education, and (b) secondary education over the next 10 years.
§ Mr. Allan StewartThe effect of historic and projected variations in births are subsumed in the following projections of primary and secondary pupil numbers:
Projected Pupil Numbers in Education Authority Primary and Secondary Schools Session Primary schools Secondary schools 1984–85 434,000 380,000 1985–86 428,000 362,000 1986–87 424,000 343,000 1987–88 423,000 324,000 1988–89 425,000 305,000 1989–90 433,000 289,000 1990–91 440,000 280,000 1991–92 447,000 278,000 1992–93 454,000 279,000 1993–94 462,000 282,000 The figures exclude pupils attending education authority special schools and nursery schools.
More detailed figures, including projections based on variant birth assumptions, will be given in a Scottish Education Department statistical bulletin which will be published shortly.