§ Mr. Hooleyasked the Secretary of State for Energy to what extent his estimates of total energy demand in the United Kingdom in the year 2000 differ from the calculations published in the 103W Green Paper, Cmnd. 7101, in February 1978; and what significant variations, if any, are envisaged in the composition of the sources of supply to satisfy that demand.
§ Mr. John MooreTotal primary fuel demand, inclusive of non-energy and bunkers, in the year 2000 has been estimated in the Department's recently published paper "Energy Projections 1979" to lie in the range 445–510 million tonnes of coal equivalent, which compares with the range of 450–560 mtce given in the Green Paper—Cmnd. 7101. Compared with the reference case in the Green Paper, new supply projections for the year 2000 show indigenous coal productions some 15–35 mtce lower, United Kingdom oil production about 50 mtce lower, and natural gas production about 10–15 mtce higher. Net imports in 2000 are now projected to be in the range 35–120mtce compared with up to 95 mtce in the Green Paper.