§ Mr. John Mackie
The estimated increase of £8½ million in the cost of operating the pig guarantees during the financial year 1969–70 is based on an assessment of the effect of the recent Annual Review determinations on the original estimate. There are two new elements to take into account—the increase of 6d. per score in the guaranteed price, and the raising of the middle band by 400,000 forecast certifications. This means a potential increase in deficiency payments not only on account of the higher basic price but also because there can be a larger increase in numbers before there is any cut under the flexible guarantee system.