§ 4.49 p.m.
§
LORD SELSDON rose to call attention to the significance of invisible exports to the United Kingdom, particularly within the enlarged European Economic Community; and to move for Papers. The noble Lord said: My Lords, I beg leave to move the Motion for Papers standing in my name on the Order Paper. It was rather a bit of luck to-day for the noble Lord, Lord Boothby, that gold should have gone soaring through the roof; it is also a bit of luck for me that to-day at 12 o'clock, when the trade figures came out, it was demonstrated that invisibles have taken us into the black. I should have liked to speak on the Motion moved by the noble Lord, Lord Boothby, but all I can do is to quote Kipling:
Gold is for the mistress,
Silver for the maid?
Copper for the craftsman,
Cunning in his trade.
'Good', said the Baron,
Sitting in his hall
'But iron, cold iron,
Is master of them all'.
§ My Lords, I dare to hope that this debate will not in any way be classed as political. It raises, I feel, at a most appropriate time in the history of our economy, a matter which is of some significance: the significance to this country of invisible exports. But before attempting to ramble for the next 20 minutes over this wide-ranging subject, I feel that I have to declare an interest. When I first put this Motion down on the Order Paper I did not have an interest but now I work for the British Merchant Bank, Singer and Friedlander, which is part of the Bowring Group, and we are one of the largest invisible exporters in the country. I hope that your Lordships will recognise that I speak to-day as an individual and I shall seek to ignore Party politics and to be both critical and, I hope, constructive.
§ It is an economic axiom as old as the hills that goods and services can be paid for only with goods and services. So said Albert Jay Nock. But even he would have have been surprised, some 25 years after his death, that this country should continue to fail to balance—with the odd exception—the cost of goods imported with the revenue from goods exported. Goods are classed as visible trade, and 854 only twice since 1957 has the United Kingdom managed to show a visible trade surplus. Over the past 18 years the combined deficit on visible trade has been over £3,600 million, an average deficit of some £200 million a year. I submit that, despite the encouraging visible trade figures to-day, we have very little hope of improving our visible balance position in the short term, though I submit, and many noble Lords will agree with me, that over the next few years, for a number of reasons, our deficit on visibles will show a steady and perhaps even dramatic increase. It would not be beyond the bounds of possibility to have a visible deficit of £1,000 million. But within a period of two or three years one hopes that the position on visible trade will improve.
§ The reasons why one forecasts a deficit are connected first, with the E.E.C. entry. We have an increasing demand in this country, and very dramatically increasing exports; but we also have a very sharp rise in commodity prices: the prices of the raw materials that must be imported to feed our industry and to fund our exports. We also have the fact that British companies are expanding abroad at a remarkable rate, and establishing themselves overseas, and that this may not be offset in the current year by foreign industry setting up over here and so becoming an indigenous manufacturer rather than an exporter to the United Kingdom. I do not want to paint an over-gloomy picture; I hope that it is only a short-term position. But I have commented on visible trade because it is only against that background that I believe one can recognise the true significance of our invisibles. It would not be an overstatement to point out that it is our invisibles which have saved us, and I believe will continue to save us, from balance-of-payments disaster.
§ I am afraid that here again I must mention a few figures. Over the same 18-year period our invisibles—excluding Government expenditure abroad, and I will touch on this peculiar form of camouflage in a moment—have shown a combined surplus of over £14,600 million against the deficit on visible trade of £3,600 million.
§ LORD JACQUESMy Lords, would not the noble Lord agree that one can take any part of our exports and say, "This has saved us"?
§ LORD SELSDONIt is difficult when one is commenting on trade figures. I only wish that God had not declared that there were 12 months in a year. I have taken these 18 years since it was from the moment I left school and hoped in some modest way that I should be contributing to the economy. I take the noble Lord's point. It is difficult and one can play with figures; but I am using these figures to demonstrate a point. I have taken an 18-year period, which covers all Governments, so it can be said that one is taking into account the advantages and disadvantages of each. Invisibles may take credit for the way in which they have saved the Government of the day—whichever Government it may have been—from disaster, and the Government of that day may take credit for having encouraged and not killed invisibles. As an invisible earner we rank second in the world with an 11 per cent. share of all invisibles. That is about half that of the United States. But if our invisible earnings were to fall to the level of those of that economic wonder, West Germany, they would have to halve to do so, and we would then have a severe economic crisis on our hands and almost certainly a major devaluation. I have been trying to use figures to demonstrate the importance of invisibles and their significance to our balance of payments. But what are they? Here again, my Lords, there is much misunderstanding. Only last week, according to Punch, a professional man had actually sighted an invisible. He said:
… it passed at tremendous speed through the sky heading out over the Channel to the French and German markets. It was shaped like a hotel chain and smelled vaguely of boiled potatoes. I am convinced it was an invisible export, it wasn't in the least like the normal shipment of machine tools.My Lords, so that there is no misunderstanding, I should point out that invisible earnings are essentially the earnings of our service industries and our professions plus the interest, profits and dividends on our overseas investments. In this sector one includes our banks, merchant banks, insurance brokers, insurance companies, stockbrokers, the commodity exchange, shipping, travel and tourism, civil aviation, the film industry, lawyers, accountants, civil engineers, management consultants, advertising, the Arts, and numerous other service industries. I submit that in most of those sectors the 856 United Kingdom leads Europe and perhaps the world. I submit, too, that perhaps for the first time since the war, despite our previous economic record, we are one of the most respected and trusted nations upon earth. That is not only because of the success of our recent foreign policy—and one must pay tribute to my right honourable friend the Foreign Secretary—but also because of the worldwide influence of our service industries and professions who together make up "invisibles". We must not forget the inestimable value of this reputation, based perhaps on the past. It would be wrong to throw it away in the same way as we destroyed our reputation as a manufacturing nation and are now struggling to rebuild it.I and others are concerned. We are concerned first lest the Government should unwittingly discourage our invisible sector. Secondly, we are concerned that without a few positive steps of encouragement this sector may show a decline at a time when its contribution to the country will be most needed. It is reasonable to point out that in 1972 our invisibles showed a slight fall, the first decline since 1964. Perhaps we can look on this as a warning. Thus in covering different areas I shall put forward certain proposals and I know, too, that other noble Lords who are speaking today will also have their own constructive ideas. We are all extremely happy that it is my noble friend Lord Limerick who is to reply for the Government because of the steadfast support he has always shown for the invisible sector.
Before taking a brief look at some of the sectors, I must return to an area of general concern which has a direct bearing on the future of our invisible earnings and upon the future of our economy as a whole, and that is the question of confidence. Despite the optimistic noises which come from the wizards of Whitehall and Westminster, confidence in the economy and future success following the current boom is confined only to an informed few. Perhaps commerce is misinformed, or perhaps the communication gap between Government and commerce is wider than it has ever been. A recent stockbroker's report began with the observation:
If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs then perhaps you just do not understand the situation.857 It went on, as others have done, to talk about the Government's gamble for growth and pointed out that 1973 would be the most inflationary year on record.My Lords, Phase 1 and Phase 2 have given us a pause and I think most of your Lordships will agree—some perhaps reluctantly—that the Government's policy has been much more successful than they dared to hope. But Phase 3 must be rigorous and tough if any form of on-going confidence is to be restored to sterling and to our economy. If it is not tough and if it fails, as has Phase 3 in the United States, then our economy will take a real bashing and our invisible earnings will suffer. It is right, too, to stress the damage which the continuous erosion of the pound has done to our reputation and consequently to our potential for invisible earnings.
But our economic policy has a chance to succeed. It is the kind of chance that has some appeal to the British. It is a chance that confidence can turn into a reality. May I urge the Government to speak out and discuss their problems with honesty, candour and frankness. At a time when politicians are being discredited throughout the world that could do them and our country nothing but good.
As your Lordships might expect, I now move to where I came from this morning, the City of London, which has a right to claim its place as one of the major financial centres of the world and as a major invisible earner, achieving, net, well over £500 million a year. The City has succeeded because of the expertise, freedom, flexibility and speed with which it operates. It will continue to succeed provided that it is not subjected to bureaucracy and restrictions arising from our entry into the E.E.C. Too rigid restriction in the interests of harmonisation could handicap us, and since the hulk of the City's invisible earnings comes from outside Europe any serious restrictions could be against the interests of the European economy as a whole. In seeking freedom from restriction, might I suggest that the Government pay heed to Tennyson:
And statesmen at her council met Who knew the seasons when to take Occasion by the hand and make The bounds of freedom wider yet.858 My Lords, insurance is the major invisible earner of the City, and its foreign earnings exceeded £330 million in 1971. The industry comprises Lloyd's, which contributes about 50 per cent. of this amount, our insurance companies, contributing some 36 per cent., and our brokers the rest. Naturally they are concerned lest restrictions should be introduced as a result of our entry into the E.E.C. that might handicap their future potential to earn foreign earnings. I think it would be fair to point out that the industry is in general most encouraged by the degree of Government co-operation it has received at a national and at a European level.Next I turn to banking. The net invisible earnings for banking have shown a decline in the past year or so, but, hopefully, as we offer banking services in competitive terms to foreign industry expanding both nationally and internationally, these foreign earnings will show a marked increase. We have to consider the importance of the foreign banks in London. More and more have been coining over here in the past few years; these certainly contribute to our economy, and it would give cause for concern if restrictions, taxation, high cost and lack of efficient communication made London overall less attractive than other financial centres. I know that the noble Lord, Lord Mais, will comment on some aspects of this, and may I say how happy we all are that he should make history this year by being the first Lord Mayor from your Lordships' House, and how happy, too, I am that he should have chosen this occasion to make his first speech while in office.
My Lords, when looking at the importance of London as a capital market, obviously we must look at the importance of the Stock Exchange. It is naturally important that the Stock Exchange should expand its European role. It has the size and the respect. Its market capitalisation is more than the rest of the stock exchanges of Europe put together. Its turnover is more than twice. It has twice the number of listed companies. But it has one major disadvantage: it is more expensive to deal upon. If it is to develop a truly international role it must no longer be burdened with stamp duty. Equally, it must encourage the listing of foreign companies and create 859 a market in England for their shares. It must not be restricted by the investment dollar premium. I suggest the Government give consideration to all these areas, particularly to removing the premium on foreign companies which have a listing in London. There are other aspects of the dollar premium, in particular the pernicious 25 per cent. surrender requirement, and I know that the noble Lord, Lord Terrington, will go into this matter in some detail.
I do not want to get bogged down with the subject of tax, but there are two taxation areas which could have an adverse effect upon our invisible earnings. The first is the withholding tax. This is a peculiar anomaly. Where withholding tax is deducted from loan interest received abroad, relief from United Kingdom taxation is not obtained until the inspector has agreed to the tax computation for the relevant year. Because of the delay, the quoted rate of interest on loans made by United Kingdom banks needs to be approximately¼ per cent. higher than the required net rate of return. There is no doubt that our competitive position would be improved if future tax treaties provided for gross payment, or if the United Kingdom authorities would give early repayment, for instance, by offsetting against advance corporation tax.
Secondly, I move to another major area, the question of the United Kingdom imputation system of corporation tax. That is a complicated subject, and it has a direct bearing on profit and dividends on foreign investments, which is one of the major sectors of invisible earnings. The total net invisible earnings of this sector are £580 million a year, and part of these are derived from multi-national companies, both service and manufacturing, which are located in England. Those which are foreign in particular suffer a double disadvantage under the imputation system. I will not go into details here—I have written to my noble friend Lord Limerick—but suffice it to say that the disadvantages of the system are such that it could well encourage some of those companies to move elsewhere, with consequential detrimental effect on our invisible earnings.
My Lords, the field broadens even further. I will not cover every sector in 860 detail but just take one or two points to try to illustrate to your Lordships the breadth of the field of invisibles. First there is shipping, which we would not dispute makes a major contribution to our economy. But it is spread across the board, and when one looks at invisible earnings one sees a net deficit against shipping. That is, of course, a slightly false picture, but it is a difficult one to correct, because shipping is carried across the whole field and its contribution appears in other people's earnings. Civil aviation is the next area, and here there are a couple of points I should like to make. The first is the way in which imports of new aircraft are shown as a debit of a lump sum when nine times out of ten they are paid for in borrowed currency and these payments are spread over time. Another point under this heading is the current civil aviation policy, which could adversely affect our invisible earnings in civil aviation this year. For example, foreign airlines will take away from United Kingdom airlines this year a large part of the charter business, and this will have an adverse effect upon invisibles.
The film industry, at present enjoying itself at Cannes, is another major invisible earner, and some of our companies earn substantial amounts of money. But the future of this sector will depend upon the level of production of British films the rights of which are sold abroad, whether they are produced by British companies or by American companies located here. Our commodity exchange, too, particularly this year with the high rate of growth in commodities, plays a vital European role, and I think it is important that we should encourage it to increase its European activities. Perhaps this year it could earn as much as £100 million in invisibles and develop, as it ought to, to being the major commodity centre of Europe. Export houses are another sector which bring in £40 million to £50 million in invisible earnings. But the creation of invisible earnings is hampered by the lack of facilities for credit insurance through E.C.G.D. I know the Government will look into this point, but there is another area connected with this which they should also look into; that is, the effect of existing high rates of interest for short-term export finance in sterling. This is very inhibiting when the 861 customer looks to the United Kingdom for finance and finds that the rates are far higher than he could obtain in other countries of Europe.
There is so much that one could say about the professions. I think it is not so much their net earnings, which may not be substantial in relation to the whole invisible sector; it is more their international influence and reputation, which is second to none, and they have the highest standards and codes of practice. It is impossible to estimate the value of our professions in building the prestige of this country.
My Lords, I said I should be just over twenty minutes, and I have tried to keep within that time. I apologise if I have rambled a little too broadly over this field. I have tried to give your Lordships a feeling of its breadth and the opportunities which exist, and to point to a few problems which are there whose removal could make the opportunities even greater. What I have sought to do is to give a feeling of the potential of our service industries. We have in this country an asset which is perhaps invisible: it is the skill, determination, flexibility and entrepreneurial drive of our British people. This is magnificently harnessed in our service industries and our professions. If we bear in mind the size of their earnings in relation to our G.N.P. we can claim to be the most advanced country in the world in this sector. Our invisibles to-day are even more critical to our economy than they have been in the past. They will help us over the next few years as far as the visible side in concerned. But they have a right and the opportunity to show further dramatic growth themselves.
I end on the question of confidence. It needs so little to tip the scales and to get commerce and industry totally behind, instead of partially behind, the Government. It is their wholehearted support and understanding which will give our economic policy a real chance of success. Let the Government go out and obtain that confidence. My Lords, I beg to move for Papers.
§ 5.10 p.m.
§ LORD TERRINGTONMy Lords, I should like to express my thanks to the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, for introducing this short debate to-day. At the 862 same time, I ought to declare my special interest as a partner in a City firm with a growing overseas operation. It is now over four years since we discussed invisible exports on a Motion of the noble Lord, Lord Aldington, and on that occasion I raised a number of points concerning overseas portfolio management. I hope, therefore, that I may be forgiven if I return to some of these points briefly this afternoon.
First of all, I should like to refer to the continued existence of what is commonly called the 25 per cent. surrender rule. This is a rule which requires a seller of foreign currency securities to sell investment currency equivalent to 25 per cent. of the net proceeds to an authorised dealer. I specialise in overseas portfolios, and my experience tells me that this temporary measure, which was introduced in 1965, definitely inhibits efficient management. I said so during our debate in 1968, and I still say so, because of the artificial restraint it places on the changing of investments. I must, of course, acknowledge that the present level of the dollar premium reduces this restraint, and I realise that many of the major institutions now invest overseas through hard currency loans. But I am really concerned with the position of privately owned portfolios which do not have the advantage of these hard currency loans; and, as we all know, the dollar premium can be subject to very wide fluctuations. In my view, all these overseas portfolios are a national asset to be managed to the country's best advantage, and it makes no difference whether they are in the hands of institutions or in the hands of private individuals. On these grounds, therefore, I believe that there is a very strong case for total abolition of the 25 per cent. surrender rule, to which the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, has already made reference. Furthermore, I believe that eight years is quite long enough for a temporary expedient.
May I now turn briefly to a different matter which concerns foreign investment in United Kingdom securities? This is something to which I also referred during our 1968 debate, and it relates to the 1 per cent. stamp duty payable on registered securities. From the information available to me, I am fully satisfied that this is a significant deterrent to 863 foreign buyers of United Kingdom securities, more particularly as there is no comparable duty in other European countries, except possibly in France where the rate is minimal. I would also mention here the 3 per cent. stamp duty which is payable on bearer securities issued in the United Kingdom. I fear that this levy may also prove a deterrent to overseas companies raising capital in this country. May I therefore suggest that, in both instances, the present position is now reconsidered?
So far as cost is concerned, I do not think that a concession to foreign investors would prove a very serious matter. From available statistics, it would appear that the total yield from stamp duties in the fiscal year 1970–71 amounted to only about £117.4 million, and of this modest total it would seem from an examination of Stock Exchange turnover, which has been carried out during the same period, that a figure of only about £47 million emerges. I suggest that this figure is not really important, compared with the potential benefit which could accrue to invisible exports. I have probably spoken long enough on these two points, and perhaps I may conclude by saying this. I have an idea that the noble Earl who is to reply for the Government is not unsympathetic to my views on the surrender rule, and I think I may say that I am hoping to have some words of encouragement later on this evening.
§ 5.15 p.m.
VISCOUNT DE L'ISLEMy Lords, I should like to support the noble Lord, Lord Terrington, in his complimentary remarks to the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, on having put down this Motion for debate tonight. I think we are all grateful to him for having done so. The most striking fact about our trade figures and our balance of payments figures is that in only eight of the years between 1805 and 1971 have we had a positive surplus on our physical trade; that is, we managed to export in value more goods than we imported. It is a truism that bad news makes the headlines, so that in 158 out of those 166 years the organs of publicity for the time being have had useful material for making their headlines, and they are still making them. It seldom occurs to anyone to 864 ask how the people in these crowded islands have managed to live, and to live quite well, during the last century and three quarters. Of course, the simple answer is that we have made up our trade deficit by our overall surplus on invisible exports, and we have done so rather consistently for a very long time. It is, of course, true that we have had overall balance of payments deficits, but taking one year with another we have over the years managed to achieve so effective a surplus that we have been able to invest overseas.
It is most important to see these matters in historical perspective, because a great deal of what has been written and spoken has been uttered under a mistaken fact. I think the significant year is 1853. Economists have long noticed that in that year we appeared to change from a nation with a steady positive balance of trade to a nation with a continuing deficit. Various reasons were advanced for this supposed decline in our economic strength, but only in 1958 was the true reason revealed by an American professor, Professor Imlah. His researches led him to the discovery that, in 1853, the basis on which the statistics of our foreign trade was recorded by the Board of Trade was changed. On reworking the figures, he revealed that in fact our trade had been in deficit certainly since the beginning of the 19th century. Our trade records were maintained on an entirely artificial basis. Imports and re-exports were valued at "official values" which were recorded in a set of Government estimates based on the prices of goods in trade, for the most part dating back to 1694. The result was an underestimation of imports by something like one-half. The results Of the professor's researches were confirmed three or four years later by two English economists, Messrs. Dean and Cole. The 19th century was indeed the hey-day of British economic power. We were able to export capital to many underdeveloped parts of the world not, as is now clear, out of our positive balance of trade, but out of our surplus in the balance of payments, which depended in turn upon a surplus of invisible exports.
It may well be asked: what is the relevance of all this to our present situation? After all, we are dealing with current problems; we are not longer an Imperial 865 Power; we are now part of the European Community. What does it matter if the Board of Trade kept inaccurate figures 120 years ago? I think the significance is that, despite the discoveries which I have described, we still live mentally with the results of these miscalculations. Memtally and morally we are attuned to pursuing what is, I believe, a hopeless quest, the achievement of a steady and permanent trade surplus—and this at the expense of a number of very desirable goals. We overestimate the part which the export of goods plays in our international trade and underestimate the value of our whole invisible exports complex. Instead of taking a pride in the fact that, by means of a large invisible export surplus, we are able to retain within the economy for the benefit of our whole population a greater proportion of our imports than would otherwise be possible, we constantly reproach ourselves on this account. We feel that there is something almost impure about our apparent inability to compete with Germany and Japan in the export markets of the world.
I agree that we should, and I believe that we could, improve our export performance. But I also believe that our main object must be to improve the general standard of living in this country and our economic power as a nation. It should not be our aim to reduce the proportion of retained imports in pursuit of a positive balance of trade when we could benefit our population and offer them a wider and more plentiful choice by paying for a higher proportion of real imports through an increase in our invisible exports. On the whole, I take the view that an economy such as ours, which is capable of providing in the field of international trade and commerce both goods and services, is a more sophisticated and better mix than those which are totally dependent on a positive balance of trade.
Necessity, my Lords, is proverbially the mother of invention. I am sure that the fact that in our whole economic, history we have had only five basic raw materials to dispose of has quickened our wits and heightened our abilities in the field of financial services—banking, insurance, foreign exchange and commodity markets. We have had only wool, iron ore, coal and natural gas; and now there is the prospect of North Sea 866 oil. For many decades we have been a net importer of food as well as of raw materials. On the other hand, the United States is one of the world's biggest producers of grain, meat, oil, timber, coal and textiles. She produces a surplus of food, and she is the leading producer of 24 out of the 51 basic metals in the world; and she has the advantages of space and population. But we, out of veritably slight means, have created over the centuries a powerful and resilient economy; and we ought not to apologise for it: we ought to be proud of it. But it is vital for our future that we should not mis-read the past.
I believe that the role of our invisible exports is going to be of increasing importance now that we have become a part of Europe. We ought to urge upon the Government that they give full recognition to the value which we offer to the world, to Europe and to our own domestic economy through our highly sophisticated system of financial and other services. I do not accuse this or any preceding Government of being deliberately obstructive, but I doubt whether our fiscal policies are sufficiently directed towards maximising our surplus on invisible account. The noble Lord, Lord Terrington, has given an example of the 25 per cent. tax, as it were, on overseas portfolios; and I. like him, must declare my interest, because I am chairman of a composite insurance company. I believe this is a mistake and, like him, I think that "temporary" ought to mean temporary. Moreover, the new corporation tax system makes the earning of overseas profits less attractive than earning profits in the United Kingdom. Surely, in our situation, this must be a mistake.
One way to tilt the balance in favour of overseas profits, which are so vital to our economy, would be by enlarging the scope of double taxation relief under the imputation system. I believe that, gradually, our systems of taxation and our monetary policies, as well as the legal systems which control and guide trade and commerce, must be assimilated to those of our European partners. If we are to play a successful role in Europe and deploy there our full economic potential, we must contribute to the European economy out of a positive balance of payments. It is therefore of the highest 867 importance that we should see that our own house is in order, and re-emphasise by our domestic policies the advantages which our economy and our people derive from the skill, efficiency and enterprise of our financial and trading community. These, my Lords, are qualities which contribute so disproportionately to the success of Britain's overseas trade, and I ask Her Majesty's Government to see that they are encouraged.
§ 5.26 p.m.
§ LORD HARVEY OF PRESTBURYMy Lords, like noble Lords who have preceded me, I should like to thank my noble friend Lord Selsdon, and I think the firm of Singer & Friedlander are to be congratulated on getting his services into their firm. Personally, I have never been more optimistic about the future of our country than I am at the present time. I have lived in different parts of the world. I spent five years in China before the war trying to sell aeroplanes to Chinese Governments during the slump period. I sold something like a hundred, and they were not all that expensive in those days. Nevertheless, we sold a great deal of equipment with them and set up a mission. But in this country to-day, having paid off the Empire—it is still expensive in some respects, liquidating an Empire, but that burden has almost gone, though not entirely—we now see great developments, such as North Sea oil and gas, and great technology. My business interests over the years have been mainly with Switzerland, a country whose every bag of coal has to come up the Rhine on a barge. They have no materials whatever except what they achieve by hard work. If we can settle our labour problems—and I am hopeful that we cart—and get this country on its feet, I believe we can be a leading nation of the world; and raising the standard of living of all our people is something which we want to see. I am more than hopeful that we can go in that direction.
My Lords, during the last few days we have been reading headlines in the Press about one company, and some rather tainted, unsavoury news. I hope this will not be exaggerated or taken out of proportion so far as the City of London is concerned, because in my travels and in my dealings I have found that the 868 reputation of the City of London throughout Europe and the world is second to none; and its success is because of its integrity and its honesty. Of course, in every walk of life there will be the odd black sheep who will put up a bad show in some direction. It is bound to happen; but I ask that we do not exaggerate our own problems, because every nation has them and ours are really very small.
Britain's balance of payments is assisted enormously by invisible exports. This fact is not generally appreciated by the public at large. I am sure it is not. I have noticed over the years that even some politicians in another place belittle the efforts of the City of London, and I regret that very much. Because we can obtain foreign currency by brains instead of materials, that is not a thing to be belittled. After all, the days are now gone when industry and commerce was run by the so-called upper classes. Today, there is the opportunity for every man, from the grammar school to the university, to go into industry, banking or whatever it may and get to the top. There is nothing to stop him. When one reads to-day—and the figures at lunch-time were really magnificent—that the invisible exports left a favourable balance last month of £56 million in one month, they really are to be congratulated on this achievement. As I said, my Lords, the more the country can live by its brains the better. This saves the import of materials and utilises the minimum of labour. But these earnings have become of crucial importance to Britain's balance of payments.
Now we are in the Common Market, what is the future? Noble Lords have referred to it generally with some optimism, I think. I personally think Britain will benefit by our entry provided that the policies do not lead to discrimination by third countries and that the United Kingdom entry promotes growth in the United Kingdom and in world trade. That is why I admire the policy of the Government to-day in expanding trade in all directions. Even the boom at home is good; it is far better than having a million unemployed. People want to know what they are to do.
Britain's insurance business has been referred to. Perhaps I may give notice that I was some years ago on the London Board of the Royal Insurance. That has 869 now been dissolved so I have no connection. But in California to-day the name of the Royal Insurance really means something. It is highly respected because, in 1906, after the earthquake in California only, I think, two insurance companies met the claims. One of them was the Royal. That fact is remembered to-day, and if you travel around California you will be told that. That is a great reputation to have. But the insurance business has already encountered difficulties in negotiating with the European sector which is more nationally orientated and subject to closer official control. Nevertheless, I believe that the know-how in our insurance business is capable of dealing with the rest of the world and is more than capable of holding its own.
British banks were successful in obtaining an important part of the Euro dollar business while the United Kingdom was outside the E.E.C. The net earnings have expanded from £32 million to £97 million between 1965 and 1969. Therefore in the immediate future our entry into Europe is unlikely to improve our position so far as banking is concerned because British banks were already in quite a strong position. Regarding invisibles, it is important that restrictions and national preferences should not hold back development. In that matter the role of our leaders in Brussels is to try to get flexibility and the minimum of controls in an area where resistence to a powerful United Kingdom sector is all too possible and where an important part of United Kingdom invisible trade is carried on outside the Six.
Now we are in the E.E.C. The United Kingdom should gain by our entry, for tourism, which I do not think has been referred to in detail to-day, undoubtedly is expanding. Those of us who live in London see tourists right through the twelve months of the year. They used to be here from about Easter onwards, but now they come throughout the year. I only wish some of the buses blocking the roads in the vicinity of Westminster throughout the busy hours of traffic could be put to a more convenient parking place than on the way up to Constitution Hill. Tourism is expanding. We have many good hotels in London and Greater London. I hope we are not going to out-price ourselves by building grand hotels 870 for which the average tourist is not able to pay. I should like to be told what arrangements are being made for the young people coming to Britain from other parts of the world. It is important that they are able to come here and have access to reasonable amenities at a reasonable price. I do not think we have sufficient suitable accommodation for the younger people, who now come to this country in increasing numbers.
My travels around Europe indicate that although we have had a bad period of inflation it has certainly been held in recents months. Cur prices compare very favourably with those in most of the European countries. We do not want to talk of Britain being one of the most expensive places in the world in which to live, because I do not think it is. I meet a number of women in Switzerland, the wives of co-directors there who come over here to buy clothes from—if I may name one firm—Marks and Spencer, where the quality is so excellent that there is nothing to touch it in Europe. I am sure that that should be a favourable attraction to tourists coming to Britain.
Shipping has been referred to. Here, of course, the situation is improving. The charter rates have been low in recent times, particularly in the tanker earnings: but the situation in that respect should improve. Of course, so far as oil is concerned the increased cost of production has brought about higher rates to the producer. We have to pay more for oil; but this situation should improve in time as we develop our own supplies from the North Sea and around our coastline. But what I find very frightening is that the Sheiks, or some of them, may well hold other nations to ransom. This is a rather frightening picture and one which should be brought into the open and discussed more freely.
Air transport has been referred to. Perhaps I ought here to declare a very small interest—I am a director of an air freight company. We do not carry passengers—Tradewinds Aviation at Gatwick have five large aeroplanes which carry 26 tons of freight in one fuselage. We fly all over the world, as far as Hong Kong, Japan, South America. We are a relatively small company earning foreign currency for the United Kingdom. I should like to see, I do not say direct assistance, but perhaps some consideration 871 given to competition with some of the European firms who are cutting the freight cost with direct and indirect subsidies from their own Governments. After all, the air freighter to-day is only what the coaster or the small cargo boat trading between the ports was a few years ago. From 1964 to 1968 Britain's share of global invisible receipts fell from 14.6 to 12 per cent. The major fall took place in investment income where Britain's proportion dropped from 20 to 15 per cent. Fortunately, freedom for investment has now improved this situation.
I should like to congratulate the Committee on Invisible Exports; they put in a tremendous amount of work and were very far-sighted in their views on what they advised and what they have done. They did a magnificent job of work. The Committee is generally optimistic for the future but has some reservations. One of the long-standing restrictions is exchange control. Last year the Budget improved this but there is still much to be done to liberalise capital movements. My Lords, for 200 years there has been a surplus on Britain's private invisible account. During the last five years that surplus increased by 65 per cent., accounting for 37 per cent. of our export earnings in 1971.
When my noble friend replies I should like to be told the position regarding royalties, because royalties can again earn a great deal for this country by the use of the brains of our scientists and others. I should like to know where the Italians stand in this respect, because I understand they have very little respect for royalties and patents, and in fact at present they take very little notice of them. Perhaps we could be told, now that we are in the Common Market, what the form is. My Lords, I am confident for the future, and I believe that the Government are looking at our economic problems in the right way, and provided we keep our heads and we all work hard and give the right lead our country can go on from success to success.
§ 5.38 p.m.
§ LORD GORE-BOOTHMy Lords, I should like to congratulate and thank the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, in a rather special way. It seems to me that apart from the merit of having introduced this 872 discussion, he succeeded in introducing a very technical and what could be a very dry subject not only with expertise but also with charm and even poetry. I cannot cap any of his quotations, but perhaps if I may scandalously bowdlerise my towering namesake, St. Paul, I would say that after his speech many of the invisible things are now become visible. I should perhaps at this point declare an interest in this debate as I am a director of a bank which is operating in international affairs.
§ LORD GORE-BOOTHNot yet. I should like at this point to explain that I took a risk on this subject, in this sense: that when I knew that the noble Lord was going to introduce this short debate I decided to take a risk on his explaining the matter with great clarity and in great detail and to try myself, as coming much later in the debate, to refer to one or two of the more human, psychological and historic points which go into making up our invisible exports. The noble Lord was probably wise to say that he was going to leave out politics altogether, but I think we must remember that, while we debate this subject with great reasonableness in this Chamber, we are overhung in a sense by a cloud of politics and that the business of invisible trade, like the rest of trade, must necessarily be carried on within the political atmosphere of the country at the time. I shall come back to that point in a moment.
Before getting on to these aspects I should like to start with one figure. As I understand it the gross annual earnings from invisible exports during the last two years have been very near £1,400 million. During that time Government expenditure abroad has run at about £700 million. This gives the arresting figure that in these two years invisible exports have paid twice for the total of Government expenditure abroad. That, perhaps more than tables of figures, gives an impression of the volume and value of these invisible exports. It may be said that in a country whose visible trade goes in the direction of (shall we say?) £20 billion, £1.4 billion is not very great. None the less, this kind of illustration shows how crucial it can be. I have no 873 doubt that with the development of Government policy—and I am neither praising nor criticising it—we are going to need substantial earnings in the years immediately to come, and we shall be grateful for every pound that we get out of invisible exports.
I am not going to deal specifically with Europe, although it is referred to in the words of the Motion, but one thing I would say. I hope that in the Government negotiations with Europe in this whole field they may feel that they are speaking from real strength. After all, other countries, others of our partners, have spoken from positions of industrial strength like Germany; or from agricultural strength, or agricultural interests, like France. We stand high in the world in most of the things which go to make up our invisible exports. I think that we should speak as from that reputation and be asking for things with a certain authority, since they are the things that we ourselves do well.
May I for a moment go back to the psychological or historical side of invisible exports? We enjoyed a century, or rather more, of Imperial, relative tranquility. During that period the talents of the people who live in this country could carry this country along with its weaknesses, and we could make ends meet. Even when that period drew to a close we could live in some degree on capital. But this is no longer the case. As a country we now, rather belatedly, find that we must use our talents to the full where it is appropriate while we try to jack up with great speed the whole standard of our performance. That is a very tough task to undertake; but it means that those who have the talent for earning money for this country should be given every facility and every encouragement to do so. It is a very peculiar talent, in the sense that many of the operations which earn us the greatest amount are operations carried out by people who have training, perhaps training on the job; who have information. But on top of that they must exercise two very special things. One is instinct; the other is speed. It is that combination, it is people who have this particular talent, that we need to encourage to persist in well-doing as far as the national balance of payments is concerned.
874 To my mind—and here I get on to the politics of the matter—the exercise in relative freedom of this talent imposes a double and interdependent obligation. I want to stress the word "double" because though I present one obligation first it is indissolubly linked with the other. I have tried to find a phrase that would describe the points raised by the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, and the noble Lord, Lord Torrington, who referred to the way in which the exercise of invisible exports may be impeded by fiscal or other Governmental action. There is an obligation on the Government, I would say, to see that people engaged in this trade (without their being made into different people) should be so far as possible free from fiscal harassment. I realise, as does anybody who has dealt with Revenue matters, that it is the duty of Revenue to harass us and especially so in the years to come, when the Government are going to need a great deal of money. None the less, there is a margin where drawing a simple conclusion or hacking away at harassing details are alternatives and where the latter can cause an infinite amount of labour and anguish to people who ought to be contributing to the prosperity of the country. It should be the policy of Governments to avoid fiscal harassment when people are engaged in fortifying our balance of payments in this way.
An obligation on Government like this, of whichever Party, which is responsible to public opinion carries with it an obligation on the other side. A number of speakers mentioned the confidence held in British dealings in matters financial, banking, commercial and so on. This is a fact. However—and I am not going to mention names or particular events—things which are vulnerable to criticism are going on, and they fill a great many newspapers. I have no doubt that people engaged in what I will call, for economy's sake, "the City" have an obligation to demonstrate that there is in existence, and in practice, the faculty of self-discipline. I am sure that in the present state of public opinion this is extremely important. I have no doubt that it exists but it is most important that it be shown to exist. If I might go a little further, if there is any relaxation of this faculty then there will be ruthless onslaughts on the whole performance by 875 people who believe that all business is bad business and that all profits are gained for evil purposes. This is nonsense; because in the world of invisible exports if there are no profits there would be no accretion to the strength of our balance of payments. None the less, there is a great deal of talk of this kind behind all the personality cults and adjectives indulged in by the media. I should like to emphasise that this feature of self-discipline is an immensely important ingredient in what we can do in invisible exports. It is particularly important because the alternative to the present method of operation would inevitably involve the loss of precisely those qualities which I have sought to define.
I have said that successful operation in many of these fields, notably insurance, depends on instinct and speed. I am a great admirer of the Government machine, which I have seen at very close hand; but that is not its method, it cannot be and should not be. It is a different kind of method of operation and it is important in the interests of this country's earnings that it should be preserved.
I personally have learned a great deal from this debate and I should like to express in small detail support for some of the particular items mentioned by noble Lords, notably the 25 per cent. return of premium currency, the return rule; also I would hope that at some early stage the Government would have another look at the defects in the imputation system of corporation tax. But I prefer to keep my conclusion to the general one, upon which I am sure that your Lordships are all agreed, that invisible exports are a crucial element in the successful conduct of our economic affairs and it should be the duty of any Government in power to cherish that economic weapon and see that it flourishes.
§ 5.50 p.m.
§ LORD BRABAZON OF TARAMy Lords, when I saw that my noble friend Lord Selsdon had put down this Motion for discussion I thought to myself, "This is just where you can contribute something" Unfortunately, practically everything I was going to contribute has already been contributed. Nevertheless, 876 I think I must start, as other noble Lords have, by declaring my personal interest. Most of my working life has been spent as a Member of the London Stock Exchange—I am sorry, my Lords, it is now "The Stock Exchange" because we are amalgamated, and it is no longer the London Stock Exchange.
The question of overseas investment has been mentioned by several speakers and I thought it might be worth while to trace the history of our overseas investments and to consider how useful they have been to us in times of crisis. Before the First World War we had huge overseas investments. During that war we still had very considerable investments, but some of them were not readily realisable. I do not think that I am the only Member of your Lordships' House who, from time to time, although having something in the background, has been short of "the ready": and of course we had to realise a number of securities during the First World War to help pay the bills. Nevertheless, after the war we still had reduced, but substantial, overseas investments and no currency regulations were required. One could invest anywhere one liked between the two wars. During the Second World War it was much more difficult. It was more expensive, I imagine, and we had not so many investments to sell. We had to realise a sizeable number, mostly United States Securities. Do not forget, my Lords, that if you want to realise securities you can sell them only where there is a market, and there was a market in America. So many of our securities had to go. Later we sold the Argentine railways—frankly, to pay the butcher's bill that was inevitable.
After the Second World War it was inevitable that a restriction on overseas investments, capital movement, had to be imposed. And this mysterious dollar premium which arose was owing largely to the fact that there were certain securities which were widely held in the United Kingdom but where the market was in London—International Nickel, American Celanese and Canadian banks. After the war we could exchange these shares, as it were, between ourselves. We could not buy new ones from America or from Canada but we could make exchanges among ourselves. If somebody took a very favourable view of the prospects of 877 a particular company he would be prepared to say to a fellow citizen, "I will pay you 25 per cent. above the actual price in Canada"—or America or wherever it was. That is how the dollar premium started up. You could sell one security and buy another one, provided it was from a fellow citizen, so to speak, without attracting, as it were, an individual premium. It became a general premium on overseas securities. That is how the dollar pool built up.
Some very skilful investment went on in this country, particularly among the Scottish investment trusts. They gradually rebuilt their dollar portfolios and did very well for their shareholders. But, and more important I think, they did very well for their country, in that they increased our overseas assets. It may be—I hope that it will not be for the same reason—that these assets will be required some time in the future. Therefore it is particularly important, in my opinion, not to impede the activities of investors in this country, either private investors or companies. I should like to support what was said about this by the noble Lord, Lord Terrington. You can not ask a person to invest successfully and then tie his hands. If it is wrong to hold overseas investments, all right; take them away. But do not put people half in irons when they are doing the best they can with their investments.
The dollar premium varies from nil to nearly 50 per cent. If you take 25 per cent. as the average (it is lower than that now) and invest £125, you have lost £6¼ instantly, not counting commission. The surrender of a quarter of the premium was an emergency measure. I think it was wrong of the previous Government to do it, and it was equally wrong of the present Government not to undo it. Perhaps that will be dealt with in due course. What seems to me so particularly stupid is that now we have a pool in, for instance, Australian and South African securities, where one may have to pay a premium but does not have to surrender any of it on selling the particular share. My Lords, everything else I wanted to say has been covered by other speakers. All I would ask the Government to do is to remove the surrender part of the premium on selling foreign securities.
§ 5.58 p.m.
§ LORD MAISMy Lords, may I commence by offering an apology to your Lordships for not being the most active Member of your Lordships' House for the past few months. I am, in fact, absenting myself from official duties this evening in order to be here and to speak in what I consider to be one of the most vital debates, albeit a short one, which your Lordships' House has conducted for a very long time. I would thank the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, first for making it possible for us to debate this matter, and, secondly, for managing to extricate me from another place to be here this evening. I am not sure whether I have to declare an interest. I have no banking interests in the Cayman Islands; I do have banking interests in Scotland, but I do not think they fall within the category of "invisibles". Previous speakers have dealt with our invisibles in considerable detail, but I would invite your Lordships to look at this problem from a rather different angle. Only twice since the Battle of Waterloo, so far as I can find out, has this country had a surplus of visible exports over visible imports. The whole of our financial stability, the whole of the growth of this country and the standard of living which we have achieved, has virtually come about because of the very considerable surplus we have achieved in invisibles. Therefore it does not need me to remind your Lordships that nothing should be allowed to interfere with the continuation and expansion of those vital invisible earnings.
To my mind, my Lords, we are at the moment facing a problem which could have very serious effects upon the future of invisibles. For many years now it has been the policy to move companies out of London into the Provinces, and every encouragement has been given to achieve this. I am all in favour of that. There are scores of companies, in particular lines of business, that can operate just as well from provincial cities as they can from London. But there are many which cannot. Those which operate in London in connection with invisible earnings could not possibly afford to operate, nor could they operate efficiently, outside the City or in the close peripheral areas of the City. Other speakers have said that invisibles largely come from banking, 879 insurance and shipping. For those engaged in these activities it is necessary not only that they should be reasonably near each other, but also that they should be near the great institutions with which they deal; namely, the Stock Exchange, Lloyd's, the Baltic, and the Chamber of Shipping. It is becoming increasingly difficult to achieve this.
My Lords, there has over the past years been a resistance to providing accommodation within the City. When I speak of "the City", before anyone jumps up let me say that I am not pushing an area with which I have a particular interest for a short time, because when I talk about the City I talk about the peripheral boroughs of Tower Hamlets, Southwark and Hackney, which really are still within the area in which those engaged in invisibles can operate, and where there are sites available. It has always been a yardstick, or was until about 15 years ago, that for successful operation in the invisible market, you needed to be within four or five minutes' walk of one of those major institutions with which you were dealing. Whether people have decided that they can walk farther or faster, or just cannot afford to pay, I do not know, but now it is generally accepted that ten or twelve minutes' walk is reasonable. Again, that brings in the peripheral areas of the boroughs just on the boundary of the City. But we have one great stumbling block, and that is that the present policy with regard to the issuing of office development permits is to have as a prerequisite a ready-made tenant. That means that it is far easier to get an office development permit for possibly 250,000 square feet of offices for one occupant—which, frankly, is not what we need in the City—than it is to get a permit to put up a block of offices for letting in smaller tenancies. Let us be clear on this point. By far the greater majority of those employed in what contributes to our invisible earnings do not require vast areas of office space. I put it at probably an average of 20,000 square feet: at lunch to-day I was told that it could even be less.
It is essential, to my mind, that for survival, let alone expansion, we require a cushion of office accommodation to which companies wishing to come into London—and they are wishing to come 880 in at the moment in considerable numbers—or companies wishing to expand, can do so fairly rapidly, and not have to wait five to seven years while they go through the motions of permits, planning and building: because time is running out. We are facing to-day a very different proposition from that which we faced probably three, four or five years ago. We tried to move firms out then, and it did not work. It never will work so far as companies principally involved in the invisible contribution to our earnings are concerned.
The French are at this moment preparing a considerable area of boroughs to which they are already referring as the financial centre of Europe. Undoubtedly there will be attractive propositions put forward for people to go there. Brussels has a very large spare capacity for offices. I know of two firms which have already moved their headquarters, one to Brussels and one to Frankfurt. We must have a market place that is available. You cannot sell groceries without a counter to serve them over. You cannot sell your invisibles without offices to work from. It is therefore necessary that we should look into this question, and look into it as a matter of considerable urgency. For it is no longer a choice between London and Manchester, if there ever was one; it is, I believe, a choice between London and the Continent. Every firm, every company, that moves out to the Continent or fails to come here is a nasty cut into our invisible earnings.
A few months ago I went to the opening of one of the largest German banks. They had not been here since 1914, when we dispossessed them and closed their doors. I suggested that perhaps it was as well because we might have done it again 25 years later. I asked them why they had come back after sixty years. The answer I received was that they had had a special team studying where the financial centre of Europe, and possibly of the world, was likely to be. It had been a strong team, and they had taken nearly six years. They had decided that undoubtedly the financial centre for Europe was London; that it was a fair bet that London could be the financial centre of the world, and therefore they have come here. They were somewhat appalled at the difficulty of finding suitable accommodation, and equally appalled at what they had to pay for it.
881 My Lords, this is not a problem that can be solved overnight. We ought to have started solving it about five years ago. We are going to be hard put to it, I think, to provide the facilities in the City which other cities are already providing elsewhere. I am going to be very provocative now. In my view, it will be four years before there can be provided a cushion of the type that we want; that is, adequate accommodation for the smaller units engaged in invisible trade.
§ VISCOUNT AMORYMy Lords, perhaps I may interrupt the noble Lord for a moment. I think he is making a powerful case, but if the course of action that he advocates were followed, would it not have one more advantage; that is, to ensure that the rents of existing accommodation in the City are kept at reasonable levels?
§ LORD MAISMy Lords, I thank the noble Lord for raising that point. I was going to raise it myself, in any event. The reason why the rents are so high is because of the question of supply and demand. I am not particularly worried about Centre Point, because it is too far away (this is the provocative point) but there is a large building standing at London Bridge. It is within walking distance of all the institutions that I have mentioned. It has lain empty for, I believe, five years. That could easily be acquired. It could be made available, or made conditionally available, for small lettings not exceeding, say, 20,000 to 25,000 square feet. There is a lot of space there and it would provide a bridge, at any rate for a short time, while we do what the noble Viscount has mentioned: get some more office accommodation up, which will inevitably bring the rents down. Mind you, my Lords, rents are not going to come down too easily, because the recent revaluation of property in the City will involve us in an increase of at least 50 per cent. to 55 per cent. in rates alone. That, on top of the rent, is not going to encourage a reduction. But I appreciate the noble Viscount's point that rents are far too high—and they are too high because there is not enough space available.
I believe that at the moment we are at the crossroads. I believe that our invisible exports will tend to slow down: indeed, there is every evidence that their 882 growth is now slowing down. I should like to quote from that excellent document produced by the Committee on Invisible Exports. First, it says this:
In the long run, we have the strong impression that British invisible earnings will benefit from entry to Europe. Among the sectors which would gain are shipping, insurance and banking.That we know, my Lords. They certainly will, provided that we give the City the facilities with which to operate. Secondly, the Report goes on to say:All the indications are that invisible earnings may not grow as fast in the future while our invisible payments will almost certainly continue to rise, and so it is obvious we cannot lean too heavily upon our invisibles in the year ahead or the immediate years ahead.Lastly, and most importantly, in the Chairman's statement is the following comment:If, therefore, this glimpse at the possible future of invisible earnings is correct, it makes a strong case for the utmost official encouragement of British invisible exports.That encouragement is something which I do not think has been given in the past as much as it should have been. In fact only a few weeks ago, as I said, we were faced with this revaluation in the City properties. I do not doubt for a moment that we shall get over it. Like other speakers, I am very optimistic about the future. I believe that this country is poised on the edge of probably one of the biggest surges forward in prosperity and trade that we have ever known. But I would issue a word of warning: if you are poised on the edge of something you need to be careful that you do not either overbalance or lose your nerve. I do not think this country will do either, but I believe that we must take a very urgent look at the services and facilities required by the invisible exports of this country. It is no good leaving them entirely to their own devices. There is a limit to what they can do, and there is a place where they can trade—and literally there is nowhere else they can trade.My Lords, I thank you for listening to me with patience, and I hope that before long I shall be able to return and be a little more active. May I once again thank the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, for his kindly references to my presence—and perhaps it is of some slight historical interest. I should also like to thank your Lordships for the very generous letter 883 which you so kindly sent to me on my election. It was much appreciated and, may I say, also typical of your Lordships' House.
§ 6.14 p.m.
§ LORD CULLEN OF ASHBOURNEMy Lords, I consider myself very fortunate to be the first to congratulate the noble Lord, Lord Mais, on his extremely interesting and authoritative speech. I hope he will frequently be able to escape from his other duties and that we shall be able to hear from him again soon. I greatly welcome the fact that my noble friend Lord Selsdon has initiated this debate to-day on a subject that is very important to the financial health of this country. At the risk of repeating figures with which some of your Lordships will already be familiar, I should like to try very briefly to put into perspective the significance of our invisible earnings. These amount to the remarkable figure of nearly 40 per cent. of our total foreign income from all sources, and they cover more than half the total cost of our imports. They have produced an annual surplus for 180 years, during which time our visible transactions have nearly always been in deficit. The invisible surplus in 1971 was over £500 million.
It always seems to me, considering the part which is being and has been played by our invisible earnings for so long, that remarkably little attention is paid to them in Parliament. It seems to me that these surpluses are more or less taken for granted. Now that we are members of the E.E.C., it is vital that the Government should ensure that the service industries, which provide our invisible earnings are, first, not hampered by any unnecessary obstacles of our own making and, secondly, that they receive every encouragement and support.
Some of us in the City—and here should declare a personal interest as a member of the Stock Exchange—feel that Governments include few people with more than a limited understanding of the City's problems. This feeling was strengthened by the ban on City building eight years ago, from which have stemmed the colossal increases in property values referred to by the noble Lord, Lord Mais. The City is at times criticised for being gloomy about the economy when the 884 Government take a highly optimistic view; but the City is always looking, and must always look, quite a long time ahead. It is accustomed to "Go" being followed by "Stop". I do not need to remind your Lordships of the 1964 or the 1967–68 "Stops". 'What the City would like to hear from the Minister is why the present situation of "Go" (in capital letters) will not be followed by a "Stop" of equal proportions. In recent years on each occasion that our annual growth rate has exceeded 3 per cent. we have had to impose a stop. Everybody in the City hopes against hope—or hopes against experience—that things will be different this time. But until they are convinced, confidence will not be established. The greatly improved trade figures announced to-day are, of course, very encouraging, and I sincerely hope that the Minister, when he comes to reply, will be able to dispel any fears that these will prove to be "one month's figures".
I do not propose to deal with the obstacles of our own making to which I have referred—stamp duty, the dollar premium, and so on—which have been extremely fully covered. However, there is one point I should like to mention and that is telecommunications, When dialling Continental centres direct during business hours, it is very usual to find that all the lines are engaged. When operators are asked to make the connection, though they do their utmost to help, considerable delays frequently occur. Paris is especially difficult, and I know of a delay of four hours having been experienced. This is obviously hopelessly damaging to international financial business, so much of which is transacted on the telephone.
If there was insufficient shipping for exporting visible goods I am sure the Government would leave no stone unturned to see the matter was rectified. Not all of us are sure of the wisdom of spending many hundreds of millions of pounds on the Channel Tunnel; but the expenditure of a fraction of that sum in increasing telephone links with the Continent would surely be worth while. It is of the greatest importance to the City that speedy and effective action is taken. There will be many problems with which to grapple together with our partners in the E.E.C., but I urge the Government to do everything in their power to foster our invisible earnings.
§ 6.20 p.m.
§ LORD WINTERBOTTOMMy Lords, I am certain that your Lordships will wish to congratulate the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, on his initiative in sponsoring this important debate, and on the distinguished list of speakers who have responded to his invitation and have taken part in your Lordships' discussion. The noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, at the beginning of his speech, touched upon a point which I intend to raise later: he expressed a fear that the Government might by inadvertence damage the important volume of invisible exports that we are now achieving. I believe they might damage it by indecision.
The noble Lord, like other speakers, underlined the great importance of our invisible exports to our balance-of-payments position. The interesting fact is that if one looks at the visible trade of this country one can only be filled with gloom, since it seems to have been in balance for only about two years in 150. The interesting fact is that we are still the second largest trader in the invisible field after the United States, with 11½ per cent. of the world trade in invisibles taking place from this small country. If we take the more limited field of consultancies, I learned to-day that we have come second to France in the area of the United Nations development programme in providing consultancy for the developing world. Last year we were the front runner.
One of the reasons why Britain plays such an important role in this area—and I will touch on this briefly and not, I hope, priggishly—is in the main because of the integrity of the various individuals concerned with our invisible trade. The honesty of the individual in dealing in this area, and his firm, is of the first importance, as the noble Lord, Lord Harvey of Prestbury, pointed out in mentioning the Royal Insurance dealings in California after the great earthquake of 1906.
One of the reasons why the importance of this area of our commercial activities is undervalued is due to the fact that the statistics are presented to the public in such a peculiar way. The noble Viscount, Lord de L'Isle, mentioned the obfuscation of facts by statistics. Noble Lords will have noticed that when we 886 present statistics on our balance of payments each month, the exact figures of imports and exports are given to the public, but only the balance of the invisibles is given which makes us think that the figure is only in the region of something like £50 million. I suggest to your Lordships, and to the Government, that the actual statistics should be presented in another way. Let us take the United Kingdom balance of payments publication from the Government Statistical Service. Take the year 1971. We see that our exports were £8,790 million. The same figure of invisibles in the same year was, if we take what they call "credits", £5,430,000. This is a figure of the same order as our visible exports, but this hard fact is obscured by the fact that we only hear each month about the balance and not about the absolute sum of money that is moving over the Exchanges. I suggest to the Government that a better presentation of the statistics of invisible exports would help the British public to understand the importance of this area of our commerce.
Now may I come to the point which I mentioned at the beginning of my speech about the danger of indecision. We are all indebted to the Committee on Invisible Exports which so far as I can see is about the only true window into what is happening. I should like to quote from the Chairman's introduction to the annual report for 1971–72. This was written by the Chairman, Sir Cyril Kleinwort. Under the heading "New Appeal", he says:
In conclusion, I should like to refer to the matter of the Committee's finances. Since it came into being in 1968, the Committee has financed its activities through an appeal to firms and other institutions in the private sector. This appeal has hitherto been conducted jointly with the British National Export Council—the present Committee having grown out of an earlier organisation set up principally to raise funds in the City for B.N.E.C. Now that the export promotion work of the B.N.E.C. has been assumed by the new British Overseas Trade Board, the former has decided to terminate its activities and it is no longer appropriate for the Committee to raise funds on its behalf.Then he says that the Committee are setting out to raise more money and he continues:We hope that all companies will be prepared to give generously so that we may continue our work of encouraging the development of invisible exports and representing the interests of invisible exporters.887 It strikes me as very peculiar indeed that the Government should not be strongly supporting this Committee. I should like to ask the noble Earl, Lord Limerick, whether it is the intention that the Committee on Invisible Exports should continue to stand on its own feet by providing its own finances, or whether it can expect help from the Government for its most important work.May I now turn to the work of the British Consultants Bureau which became known to me in the days when I was Parliamentary Secretary at the Ministry of Public Building and Works? We used to have, I think, half-yearly conferences on various forms of consultancy to see how they could help the British export industry and the construction field. May I touch upon how consultants work—or perhaps I should say how British consultants work? The British consultant provides a professional service to his client. His role is to make certain that the client obtains the best advice on the technical feasibility of the project he has in mind, the best advice regarding the contractors who carry out that work, and the best advice on the equipment that should be installed in the project. This advice is given on a purely impartial basis. If (shall we say?) a British consultancy firm is advising the Libyan Government on a port, it may well be that they advise the Libyan Government that a Yugoslav contractor is the best, or that a British crane or a German crane is the best. It is the British consultant's function and role to give the client the best professional advice available.
But since this country is not totally incompetent, as some people would have us think, on many occasions a British contractor or piece of equipment is specified as being in the consultant's view the most suitable. It is perhaps significant that the last year appearing in the statistical return shows that the British construction industry sold exports to the value of £87 million overseas. I am afraid this is where we go back to integrity; other Governments—I will not name them—work very differently. The role of many foreign consultants is to sell the products of the country from which they come. For this reason the British consultant is not able to compete on equal terms. The foreign Govern- 888 ment in fact very often provides concealed incentives to the consultant of its own nationality, paying some of the fees, subsidising the tenders, and so on. It is this particular aspect of the problem facing British consultants that must not be forgotten. The fact that their integrity is seldom questioned is an advantage and they are able to hold their own to a remarkable degree. Nevertheless, their role should not be forgotten by the Government.
So far as the British Consultants' Bureau is concerned, if my recollection is right the period of review of its role is now coming up. I was in contact with it approximately six years ago. I believe it is a general principle of the Government that a 50 per cent. support of costs is provided for seven years and at the end of that time a decision is reached as to whether or not the Government will continue to support an organisation such as the B.C.B. with funds. May I say that I believe that the Government should continue to support the B.C.B. in this area and, what is most important, they should be seen to be supporting it, because when one is dealing with overseas Governments and countries the fact that the organisation is recognised by the British Government is an important factor in the negotiations. Again, I should like to ask the noble Earl, Lord Limerick, what the Government are proposing to do in this area.
Reverting for one moment more to the Committee on Invisible Exports, I commend to your Lordships (it has already been quoted from) this excellent publication, How Entry Into the Common Market may affect Britain's Invisible Earnings. I do not intend boring your Lordships by reading large chunks of it; many of you, I am certain, have read it already. The actual message we get is encouraging. Other things being equal, the Committee believe that our entry into Europe can be only beneficial; but what is also clear is that it is not automatically beneficial and the Government could in fact damage our prospects, our very good prospects, by clumsy handling; and they strike a note of warning. What I believe is an important point which they make is that the dynamic effect, in which I believe, of our entry into Europe must spill over into the whole area of invisibles—tourism, shipping, insurance, banking, 889 everything. Some people question the dynamic effect, but I believe in it. I believe that, although it has not been said, British Leyland would not have started on this massive reinvestment programme if in fact we were outside Europe. What I know is that on the day Norway opted out of entering Europe one of the major aluminium smelters was closed as a deliberate act of policy because Norway could not see her way forward in this area.
There is one other point on which I would touch and that is the question of monetary union. The noble Lord, Lord Gore-Booth, mentioned the heavy apparent bleeding of funds brought about by British Government investments overseas and expenditure overseas. I do not criticise the need for it; the defence of Europe in my view is of prime importance; but it in fact produces a heavy debit in our invisible picture. When of course we get monetary union the effect of having troops in Germany or troops in Britain is the same, and this again is going to be of benefit to the picture presented statistically because it will no longer affect sterling but will be part of the inner European economy and will make life that much easier for us. The figures we spend in Germany are very surprising in terms of absolute sums.
My Lords, that is the only contribution that I have to make to-day. Once again, may I express my personal gratitude to the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, for initiating this debate. I hope that the Government will pay note to the points made by other speakers and in particular to the two points I have raised about removing uncertainty from the Committee on Invisible Exports and the British Consultants' Bureau.
§ LORD GORE-BOOTHMy Lords, before he sits down, would the noble Lord permit me one comment, even if it is unusual? It is that I have had a great deal of experience of the British Consultants and I would endorse everything that the noble Lord said.
§ 6.35 p.m.
§ THE PARLIAMENTARY UNDERSECRETARY OF STATE, DEPARTMENT OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY (THE EARL OF LIMERICK)My Lords, I feel I face a daunting task. I start by adding to the congratulations already 890 offered to the noble Lord, Lord Selsdon, for initiating this timely debate on a subject of great current interest. I believe it shows the House of Lords at its best. We have a number of Members with great expertise, great experience, in fields which they come to share with us on occasions of this kind. This adds to my own trepidation, because I remember only too clearly the occasion in December, 1968, when I made my own maiden speech on the subject of invisible exports. This was on the Motion of my noble friend Lord Aldington. My trepidation is increased—if I may be allowed to refer to one sentence—when I see that I referred to some advice from my father, that those with no special knowledge of a subject, whether or not they be seen, were better not heard. And I added:
For as long as I may have the privilege of a voice in your Lordships' House, I propose to adhere to this precept. Consequently I shall not often, or for long, detain your Lordships."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 11/12/68; col. 542.]I never thought when I uttered those words that I should find myself answering the next debate on this subject from this Box. I feel almost that I am entitled to some indulgence.We have had some extremely interesting contributions. I shall return and refer to them later in my remarks, but on the subject of speakers I cannot refrain from commenting on the precedent that we have: the privilege of being addressed for the first time in history by a Lord Mayor of London while he is the Lord Mayor of London. We feel a sense of occasion, particularly when the present Lord Mayor is so eminently well qualified to speak to us on this cause which he has made peculiarly his own during his year of office. The Lord Mayor is something of a man for making precedents. As recently as 12 days ago he and I, in company with some other distinguished people, were metaphorically holding hands at 50,000 feet, close to the coast of Spain, travelling at twice the speed of sound. I am convinced that, whatever other barriers he may break, he is the first Lord Mayor in history to fly at twice the speed of sound.
In a debate of this kind a number of detailed points are raised which would very properly be, and will be, attended to with the attention they deserve. I hope that the noble Lords who have 891 raised them will forgive me if I do not always follow them in detail. It is often preferable to study what has been said and to give a reasoned answer later on. What I should like to do is to share in the recognition this afternoon that we are dealing with a subject of considerable, indeed of vital, importance to our continuing national prosperity. I should like to give you my own analysis, not I hope at too great length, and make one or two modest predictions, and then return to the subject matter of the other speeches.
We have heard a number of variations on the theme of how many times we have had a visible surplus. By my own calculation, this has occurred on four occasions since the war and on only nine occasions since the 18th century. This difference in calculation may have something to do with the change in statistics to which my noble friend Lord de L'Isle referred earlier. It is also interesting to comment that we have heard a lot about our trade with Japan recently, and our visible trade with Japan has recently moved into deficit, but this is more than balanced by our surplus on invisible trading with Japan. So, given the importance of the external balance of payments in our macro-economic policies and the depressing frequency with which it has been the balance of payments which has placed a constraint on our growth, the importance of invisibles can hardly be over-emphasised. Since we last debated this matter—and a number of us made this point—it has been in one way recognised by including invisible exporters among those available for the Queen's Award, and the Award has been made to a number of them.
Looking ahead, I think there can be little doubt that invisibles will play an even greater role in the pattern of our international exchanges, also that the pattern of invisibles will itself be subject to change. As trade increasingly follows investment and as the developing nations demand a greater domestic stake in industry and commerce and in the provision of associated ancillary services, such as transport and insurance, so must we rely on seeking out new opportunities for selling our know-how and expertise in all their infinite variety. This in turn demands a constant effort to keep a step 892 ahead of our customers, and at least alongside our competitors, just in order to maintain our place in the world stakes, let alone to improve it. I make this point, not merely to repeat a truism but because this is actually happening.
I do not believe it was a coincidence that the first major deal which marked our come-back in the Brazilian market some three years ago (to give one example) related to the sale of some £20 million worth of components and know-how for the local building of ships. The second deal concerned the building of the £30 million bridge seven miles across Guanabara Bay—not, I regret to say, to a British design, but Britain is providing the steel for the centre spans and helping to finance the Brazilian work on the rest of the bridge, both by direct financing of local costs and by generating counterpart funds in Brazil through the sale of a variety of British capital equipment. Altogether this is one of the most ingenious export packages of its type ever put together within the City.
I do not want to weary your Lordships with a recital of statistics. These have been much quoted this afternoon and those of your Lordships who are interested in detailed figures may find it worth looking at an article in the issue of Trade and Industry dated March 22 this year. However, in order to put the invisible account into perspective, I think it is worth drawing your attention to these main points which emerge from a study of trends over the ten years from 1962 to 1972. Between 1962 and 1966 the invisible surplus declined by about £70 million but between 1966 and 1971 it increased by nearly £600 million. Receipts outstripped payments and the surplus increased nearly fivefold, decisively reversing the previous decline. The improvement was particularly marked until 1969; growth then began to slow down, and last year, for the first time since 1966, the surplus fell.
Comparing the main categories of transactions in the middle period of rapid growth, it is clear that, while most of them moved in the United Kingdom's favour, by far the greater part of the turn round was accounted for by the surplus earned on private services. The improvement of nearly £550 million between 1966 and 1971 was unprecedented. This is greatly to the credit of 893 everyone concerned with the private sector side of the account, but I should like to draw to your Lordships' attention the very significant role of the public sector which, as far as the published figures go, appear simply to be a drag on our performance. Of course this is just one of the ways in which statistics may mislead. A substantial part of the public sector outflow is accounted for by two headings. The first is defence, which creates stability for our trade; the second is aid of one kind or another to the tune of well over £100 million in those years on the current account and larger amounts of capital transfers. A great deal of the private sector exporting, both visible and invisible, is linked to these payments, either directly or indirectly, while the activities of our Posts abroad—which cost a further £75 million across the exchanges—are of course vital to the whole business of export intelligence and to the servicing of British businessmen abroad.
The private sector improvement was concentrated in the travel account, which went up by about £130 million, and in "other private services", which improved by as much as £450 million. Almost two-thirds of the increase for "other private services" was accounted for by financial and allied services. This radical improvement is sometimes attributed almost exclusively to the devaluation of sterling in November, 1967. Devaluation, however, although undoubtedly important, was responsible for only perhaps one quarter of the total movement. Private services were already improving at that time, and some forms of invisible earnings which are believed to be fairly insensitive to price changes, notably insurance, grew rapidly, not only immediately afterwards but also for several more years. The main reasons for the transformation of the private services account within so short a space of time were the growing popularity of the United Kingdom with foreign visitors at a time when the expenditure of British travellers abroad was constrained; a dramatic change in the fortunes of the insurance industry; the faster development of London as an international banking centre; and the development of new, or comparatively new, sources of earnings such as consultancy, management and agency services, and telecommnications services.
894 Quite a large part of the invisible account cannot be analysed by country or area in very great detail, but it is still possible to get a broad idea and to draw some tentative conclusions about the future. It is clear that the growing share of the non-sterling countries is mainly accounted for by travel and "other private services". The decline in the sterling area share of the invisible trade is linked with a decline in the developing countries' share which seems more likely to speed up than to slow down. To compensate for this, however, opportunities will arise of increasing invisible exports to, and investments in, commercially more stable areas such as the European Community. There is certainly room for improvement, in that transactions with the original members of the Community have been growing relatively slowly in recent years and in absolute terms do not amount to more than a fairly small part of the total. But although these opportunities clearly exist there will be no easy pickings, and I know that will be something that is clearly understood in the City. The Government will play their part in ensuring that the Community ground rules provide fair opportunities, but even so there will be tough competition from the well-established institutions, not only on their home ground but also, no doubt, endeavouring to get into our market. Looking a few years ahead, therefore, I believe the growth of the United Kingdom's invisible earnings may well be stimulated if the shift in the territorial pattern towards the industrialised countries becomes more pronounced.
This country, as has been remarked, is second only to the United States of America in the size of its invisible earnings, and it is some way ahead of its nearest European rival. Moreover, again as we have noted, invisible earnings are more important for the United Kingdom than for most other countries, because the maintenance of a sizeable invisible surplus has enabled the country to sustain deficits which are a normal feature, rather than an abnormal one, of its external trade in goods. So it is a matter of some concern that, despite the rapid growth in invisible earnings over the last 10 years, our share of world invisible receipts has fallen rather faster than our share of world trade in manufactured goods. In 1960, 895 our share of invisibles was just over 17½ per cent.; by 1969, the last year for which completed figures are available, this had fallen to little more than 11½ per cent. The comparable figures for our shares of the trade in manufactured goods by the main industrial countries were 16½ per cent. and 11½ per cent?
Last year, for the first time since 1966, this surplus fell. But looking a year or two ahead we see some grounds for optimism, but the pointers are mixed. We can see almost as many grounds for pessimism. Government expenditure will go on rising, because the effects of the depreciation of sterling since June 1972, and of recent world inflation, will continue to be apparent. The profits of foreign-owned companies in this country are also likely to continue to rise, which in another sense must be good news. Moreover, interest payments in total to overseas holders of sterling are bound to reflect current high interest rates.
But when we study the other side of the coin, it shows that world economic activity is forecast to increase. That should improve the picture for the oil companies; it will boost income from other direct investment abroad, and it will benefit the shipping account. Meanwhile, and this is one of the quick effects of a change in parities, it automatically increases the sterling value of foreign currency receipts; earnings from financial services are likely to continue growing, though perhaps more modestly, and some of the newer, faster-growing categories, notably earnings from construction work carried out overseas, should remain buoyant.
So what should be the balance? The favourable factors—and this is the point, I believe—are, in the aggregate, probably stronger, so the invisible surplus should pick up a little over the next year or two, even though the exceptional rate of growth experienced after 1966 seems unlikely to be regained. It would be quite wrong to be euphoric; it will mean hard work and searching for opportunities, but overall I see no reason for pessimism. Thus, if the optimism can be no more than modest, if only because we have been losing our share of world invisible trade at a faster rate than our share of visible trade, nevertheless it remains there.
896 That brings me to the special role of the City of London. In 1971 the estimated total net earnings of the City through insurance, banking, merchanting, trust funds, the Baltic, Lloyd's Register, the Stock Exchange, and other avenues known to your Lordships, totalled £580 million. That places the City at the top of the list of export earners. Of course invisible exporters are not the only exporters, but we can here make a direct comparison with cars and chassis which, for example, earned £369 million, finished steel was £350 million; and whisky and other spirits were £240 million. Then, if we allow for the import content of industrial exports, the City's lead must be even greater. In fact the rate of increase in the City's earnings is greater than the rate of increase of total invisibles, which in turn is greater than the rate of increase of visible exports.
Insurance forms by far the biggest single item in the City's overseas earnings. In making the massive contribution which it does to our invisible earnings, the great advantage enjoyed by our insurance industry is the flexibility of the service which it offers its customers because of its long years of experience and the high quality of its management. Over 50 per cent. of the industry's premium income comes from overseas. There are three larger insurance industries in the world. That of the United States of America is bigger than all the rest combined, and in terms of premium income the Japanese and German markets are both bigger than ours; but none of them approaches our percentage of income derived from exports.
On the financial side also we must seek an environment which will enable our institutions to maximise the benefits from their pre-eminent skills as capital becomes increasingly mobile, both within the European Community and to compete more widely with other international centres. Serving the needs of multi-national investors and manufacturers will be an increasingly important aspect of future developments in this sector. London succeeded in attracting more than 40 per cent. of the Eurodollar market, but the City needs to be on its toes to retain that market or whatever variation may replace it. This business will not be handed to us on a plate. There will be strong competition for it.
897 The multi-national theme brings me on to the question of consultancy services. This is one aspect that has been mentioned by two speakers this afternoon. Invisible earnings from contracts overseas, including the fees of consulting engineers, architects and quantity surveyors, have been increasing steadily, and in 1972 British firms were carrying out work in 108 different countries. In all of that work the international reputation of our consultants of all kinds for impartiality and probity is a vital factor. Here I should like to endorse the tribute that was paid by the noble Lord, Lord Winter-bottom, to the work of the British Consultants' Bureau, which is indeed appreciated and valued. He referred to its grant. I cannot give him a detailed answer on that point, but I can say that its work is acknowledged and valued and I will of course find out what the situation there may be.
On the financial side, in addition to financing the costs of the initial studies for consultancy, packages of finance are required to provide the credit for the hardware, possibly in the various countries of origin in a variety of currencies, to meet the down-payments and to look after expenses during construction, including local costs in the host country, and eventually possibly running through to financing the working capital for output sales. The mobilisation of the necessary financial security for payment at all stages of the deal is also a professional subject in its own right. The City is ideally placed to put together financial packages for this kind of business, and I know that many of the merchant banks are very active in this field. I may have spent rather a long time, almost too long, on the multinational aspect of our future invisible earnings. But I make no apology for that because it is my firm belief that these multi-national considerations will be having a profound impact on the organisation of our own institutions and on their ability to compete effectively in those areas of activity which are likely to show considerable expansion.
I should like to turn now to a number of the points that have been raised. Many of these points deal with taxation and, lest I may seem to appear, from the Record or otherwise, in the role of a poacher turned gamekeeper, I should hasten to say that these are not matters 898 for which I have any direct Departmental responsibility. If some of the replies I shall be giving have a familiar ring I should like to assure noble Lords who have contributed to-day that whatever they have said will certainly not go unremarked but will be taken seriously into consideration as these subjects are again discussed.
My noble friend Lord Selsdon, apart from the precise thought that went into his speech and the literary gems which enlivened it, made a number of points in his most valuable contribution. He asked the Government to speak out with candour. I was under the impression that we have been using a good deal of candour recently. I am always personally ready for a dialogue on such subjects as we have been discussing. I have developed a dialogue with many of my old acquaintances in the City of London, and in the process have made many new friends there. If we are thought to be lacking in candour or in readiness to engage in dialogue, I hope this will be brought to my attention.
Then we came to what seems to me to be the burden of the complaint of many of our speakers, which concerns the rules governing investment, particularly the dollar premium and the 25 per cent. surrender. I am not sure that I shall be able to respond quite as the noble Lord, Lord Terrington, would wish, or as others might wish, but if I cannot do more I can remind the House of the time-scale which governs our transitional arrangements. It is this, in accordance with our treaty undertakings: that by the end of 1974 there will be an end to the premium on direct investment; by the middle of 1975 there will be an end to it as regards personal capital movements; and by the end of 1977 there will be an end to it in regard to portfolio investment. These dates are final dates; it does not follow that they cannot be anticipated. The question was also raised as to why this temporary measure introduced in 1965 is still with us. I can only say, in the words of my right honourable friend the Chancellor of the Exchequer:
I know that other relaxations have also been suggested, but I cannot go further this year. These particular changes have been selected with due regard both to prudence and a right sense of priorities.It will, I am sure, be evident that the requirement of the 25 per cent. surrender 899 will disappear to the same time scale as the dollar premium in those areas to which I referred. Although these measures were not taken this year, there were other measures taken, including the abolition of the voluntary programme in relation to Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and Ireland, the admissibility of official exchange for direct investment in the E.E.C. up to £1 million per project per year, and allowing sterling borrowing for direct investment from the E.E.C. So steps are being taken. I appreciate that they are not being taken as fast as speakers this afternoon would wish, but their words certainly are noted.My noble friend Lord Selsdon referred also to the question of films. I refer to this particularly because there seems to be a little misunderstanding about what is happening. There is a great deal of activity in this field. The number of films has increased, and the contribution made to production of cinema films has been maintained at a high level over the years. In 1971 our receipts on that account were £22.8 million against expenditure of £5.1 million. There is a pointer perhaps here: for instance, in France more than 12 British films were advertised recently as forthcoming attractions in a French film journal, and by contrast there were only seven British films licensed for exhibition in France in the whole of the last quarter of 1972.
My noble friend referred also to the position of the finance houses, and I acknowledge the valuable contribution which they make. This matter of admissibility checks, which I think he had in mind, is under discussion with the body concerned as a result of the recommendations made in the Scholey Report. He referred also to the role of the professions, and here I would echo his words. I think that we have in this country professions which are second to none. As a member of one of them myself, as a chartered accountant, and having spent fifteen years in banking, I yield to no one in my admiration for the standards of our professions; and I would add that in considering the harmonisation which is called for under the various draft Directives in the European scene we have established a close working relationship with the professions, the professional associations, as may be appropriate. To 900 my knowledge, there is not one of them we are not on close terms with, to exchange information and to work together to achieve what we see to be in the best interests of the country as we approach the question of harmonisation with Europe. My noble friend raised many other points which I should like an opportunity to talk to him about in the near future.
The noble Lord, Lord Terrington, also made a strong case on the 25 per cent. surrender to which I have already referred, and he mentioned stamp duty. The point is well made. Our stamp duty ad valorem is higher than anywhere in Europe. We have also to consider the fact that we work with registered securities whereas bearer stocks are in use in many countries. Here I can only say that the revenue from this tax is very substantial, and there would certainly at this stage be difficulty in finding it from elsewhere. This, I appreciate, is not a conclusive argument or one that will stand for all time, but I know that this matter is very much in the minds of my friends in the Treasury.
The noble Viscount, Lord de L'Isle, gave us a most interesting analysis of our trading account over a period of time and drew attention to an historical anachronism in our method of reporting. He referred also to enlarging the scope for double taxation agreements and to using our fiscal policies so as to maximise the return which may be derived from the invisible sector. These are points which are very much in mind, and I should like to study further what he said and what other noble Lords have said in contributing to this debate, notably the noble Lord, Lord Gore-Booth, who made a plea that those engaged in this trade should be free from fiscal harassment. I do not think we are indulging in any fiscal harassment. If we are, it will be quickly brought to our attention and we shall react. It is indeed our policy to use these fiscal weapons in a way to encourage and not discourage, and if there are points further to consider here I should be very glad to do so.
The noble Lord, Lord Harvey of Prestbury, referred to two matters which were close to my heart, a plea for some optimism, and a statement of the reputation of those who engage in our invisible 901 exporting. From my own experience I would endorse what he said, and I think that the City looked at from outside gives the same impression. But such admiration and friendship does not have to be uncritical. It is this sort of benign but critical examination which we should apply to some of our practices, and this will be helped by the debate that we have had.
My noble friend also referred to the question of tourism and to the need for hotels for young people. I am sure that what he said will be noted in the appropriate quarter. I would make one small comment; that there has been some pressure for loan finance for small hotels, and the Government have recently increased the funds available to the English, Scottish and Welsh Tourist Boards to enable them to give financial assistance to tourist projects in the development areas. The total available for this purpose in the current financial year is £2.3 million, and hotels are not precluded from seeking assistance under this scheme, which is also open to other types of tourist project. This may be of some help. My noble friend also referred to the question of royalties. These contribute substantially. I have no particular knowledge of the situation in Italy, where he suggested there is a certain disregard for the rules, but on that point I should like to write to him.
The noble Lord, Lord Gore-Booth, gave us a most interesting analysis and, as I have already said, in our approach to harmonisation we shall have great regard to the needs and the strength of our professions. Then, the noble Lord, Lord Brabazon of Tara, again made a strong plea for the abolition of the 25 per cent. premium to which I have referred. I take his point about 1965, but I cannot believe that he really means that if it is wrong to hold these securities then they should be taken away, because the managers of those securities have done very well for us all. I have already referred to the speech of the noble Lord, Lord Mais, but I should like to add that we have an enormous admiration for what he is achieving during his year of office. Who better to speak for the City? The question of office development permits is one which we have at the front of our minds, and my right honourable friend the Secretary of State for the 902 Environment has undertaken to consider the findings of the Committee which recently recommended their abolition. He mentioned the time scale, which again is extremely important. I would only add that he, as the first citizen of the City of London, will recognise that it must be a tolerable place in which to work. There is a balance to be found. But he has raised some most valuable and serious points which my right honourable friend will be looking at. I have referred to the points made by my noble friend Lord Cullen, with the exception of his point about telephone equipment. That will be looked at by my honourable friend Sir John Eden.
The noble Lord, Lord Winterbottom, made a number of good points. In order to leave two minutes for my noble friend Lord Selsdon, I should like to get in touch with him on his points about statistics and about finance for the Committee on Invisible Exports. Their work is highly valued, and of course I echo most warmly the tributes which have been paid to my former chairman, Sir Cyril Kleinwort. To my knowledge, at the present time we have had no request from them for finance, but if it is required I am certain that he will not be slow in letting us know. I have already taken as much time as I am entitled to, and it is right that I should leave a moment or two to my noble friend Lord Selsdon, whom I once again thank. I also thank all those other noble Lords who have taken part in this debate for their most interesting contributions.
§ 7.15 p.m.
§ LORD SELSDONMy Lords, it goes without saying that I am extremely grateful to all those who have taken part in this debate to-day. There is a lot more underneath the surface than would appear from these two hours spent on "invisibles", and I hope your Lordships will not feel that that has been too much time. I have undertaken to write to my noble friend Lord Limerick with a wodge of papers and recommendations, which I think he, as a poacher turned gamekeeper, will find very hard to resist. He will learn something of the gentle Continental art in Latin-blooded countries of arm-twisting in the national interest. His argument that we must wait, that everything has a plan and a time, cut no ice at all. He pointed out that our share 903 of world invisibles has declined. I should not like this debate to end on a pessimistic note. It may have declined, but during the time span he mentioned it more than doubled. If we go on declining and doubling, I myself shall be quite happy.
My noble friend has spoken about different people's speeches. I am extremely grateful to the noble Lord, Lord Mais—or should one call him the noble Lord, the Lord Mayor?—for speaking to-day. He is the busiest man in the United Kingdom, and probably in Europe. That he himself should have taken time to prepare for this debate, to speak here to-day and to stay throughout it all indicates the seriousness of this matter. He made some telling points, and I would ask: if you cannot believe the Lord Mayor, whom can you believe? I come to my final point. We have a reputation in this country. We are probably the yardstick for the world of integrity in our service businesses. There is one point that one would like to force through: we should like people to want to do business with the British, because they are British. My Lords, I beg leave to withdraw my Motion.
§ Motion for Papers, by leave, withdrawn.