HL Deb 03 February 1970 vol 307 cc531-2
THE EARL OF LAUDERDALE

My Lords, I beg leave to ask the Question which stands in my name on the Order Paper.

[The Question was as follows:

To ask Her Majesty's Government whether they will publish an analysis of the pattern of annual migration into and out of Scotland since 1951 in relation to the natural growth of population.]

SCOTLAND—NATURAL INCREASE AND POPULATION MOVEMENT 1951–69
(Thousands)
Movement of patients on Doctor's Lists International Passenger Survey Overseas
Estimated Net Migration From To Migration Outwith British Isles
Year to June Natural Increase Rest U.K. Overseas Total Rest U.K. Rest U.K. In Out Net
1956 33.7 —14.0 —13.2 —27.2 32.7 46.7
1957 36.9 —11.1 —22.0 —33.1 34.3 45.5
1958 34.6 —9.3 —16.1 —25.4 36.9 46.1
1959 36.4 —12.0 —8.3 —20.3 35.1 47.2
1960 39.7 —19. 3 —9.2 —28.5 34.0 53.3
1961 37.6 —25.9 —8.7 —34.6 37.6 63.5 N.A.
1962 39.1 —20.5 —9.0 —29.5 39.8 60.3
1963 38.2 —21.0 —13.0 —34.0 39.6 60.6
1964 42.3 —24.0 —16.6 —40.6 39.6 63.7
1965 40.6 —22.0 —21.0 —43.0 41.6 63.6
1966 33.2 —22.0 —25.0 —47.0 45.7 67.4
1967 38.1 —16.0 —29.0 —45.0 48.8 65.1 12.0 39.2 —27.1
1968 31.9 —13.0 —20.0 —33.0 49.8 62.5 10.7 30.1 —19.3
1969 30.3 —11.0 —14.0 —25.0 51.1 61.8 12.6 25.8 —13.2
THE EARL OF LAUDERDALE

My Lords, in thanking the noble Lord for that reply, which promises to be helpful when we see it in toto, may I ask him whether the net loss in relation to natural increase has in fact risen in recent years from something like 80 per cent. to some-thing like 90 per cent.?

LORD HUGHES

My Lords, the position in recent years has been improving. In the four years ended June, 1969, there has been a steady drop in net migration loss which, compared with the previous four years, 1961–62 to 1964–65, is an improvement, because it appears that there was then a steady increase.

THE EARL OF LAUDERDALE

My Lords, can the noble Lord say whether that picture is in any way masked or obscured by the return to Scotland of persons coming there to retire; and,

THE MINISTER OF STATE, SCOTTISH OFFICE (LORD HUGHES)

My Lords, statistics of natural population increases, estimates of net migration flows and estimates of overseas flows (since 1967) have been published in Census reports and in the Annual Reports of the Registrar General for Scotland. Accurate figures for all movements within the United Kingdom are not available, but rough estimates (based on registrations with National Health Service doctors) have been compiled since 1956. As the relevant particulars include 93 different figures, I will, with permission, circulate them in the OFFICIAL REPORT.

Following are the figures referred to in Lord Hughes's Answer:

secondly, whether it is perhaps improved by the element of those of high educational standing who have returned to work in Scotland, having left shortly after their university careers?

LORD HUGHES

My Lords, to the second part of the question I am not in a position to give an answer. The answer to the first part is, No; the contrary is in fact the position. Scotland has been losing more people aged 65 and over than we are gaining in people of that age coming in.