Commons Sitting of 11 March 1968

Preamble
The House met at half-past Two o'clock
PRAYERS
[Mr. SPEAKER in the Chair]
ORAL ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS
  PUBLIC BUILDING AND WORKS

    Selective Employment Tax
    Sir Langford-Holtasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what is the present annual cost to the building industry of the selective employment tax.
    The Minister of Public Building and Works (Mr. Robert Mellish): The annual S.E.T. payable by the construction industry as a whole is about £80 million.
    Sir J. Langford-Holt: After food, shelter is probably the most vital need of human existence. Does not this show that it is ludicrous to place this huge tax upon the building industry at this time?
    Mr. Mellish: As the hon. Gentleman knows, the objective of the tax was to try to get labour away from service industries into more productive industries. In the construction industry average employment in 1967 was 2½ per cent. less than in 1966, while output, including repair and maintenance, increased by nearly 4 per cent. It looks as though the tax is working in this instance.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: Is not the most obvious consequence of this an increase in the gangs of self-employed men, which neither side of organised industry wants to see?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Gentleman will know that a special committee, the Phelps Brown Committee, is looking into this. I hope that it will submit an intelligent report on which we can act.
    Mr. Robert Cookeasked the Minister of Public Building and Works
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    what representations he has received from builders regarding the imposition of the Selective Employment Tax; and what reply he has sent.
    Mr. Mellish: I have received no recent formal representations from the builders on this subject.
    Mr. Cooke: The right hon. Gentleman is aware of how the building industry feels about the matter. Will he keep it under review? I am sure that he does not wish to add to their costs.
    Mr. Mellish: Yes. I am always meeting these people, and we get on very well.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: As the Chancellor of the Exchequer said in 1966 that the S.E.T. premium would have an invaluable effect on altering the shape of the construction industry and on speeding up industrialised building, why is it being withdrawn? Did the Minister resist its withdrawal?
    Mr. Mellish: I said earlier that I have formal meetings with the builders. They have not brought this matter forward to me and they have made no representations about it. If they hold the point of view which hon. Members opposite suggest, I wish they would come to me and discuss it with me.

    Government Departments (Electricity, Gas and Water Charges)
    Mr. Ridsdaleasked the Minister of Public Building and Works which Departments were chiefly responsible for the increase of £1,050,000 above the original estimate for 1967–68 for electrical, gas and water charges; and what steps he has taken to economise in the use of lighting and fuel in Government Departments.
    Mr. Mellish: Most of the increase is due to tariff increases and most of the balance to additional accommodation approved after the annual estimates were settled. As many offices are occupied by more than one Department I could not say without a special inquiry how much of the increase is attributable to each Department. There are standing instructions about economy and my Ministry sends out reminders from time to time.
    Mr. Ridsdale: Why are the Government being so extravagant at a time when everyone is having such difficulty in paying their extra gas, electricity, and fuel bills? Surely the right hon. Gentleman should persuade the Prime Minister to cut back the number of civil servants, and the extra Government Departments?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Gentleman may be interested to learn that for each Government building the Department concerned is asked to appoint an officer in charge. It is his duty to control the consumption of fuel. Advice is also given in the instructions on the way in which the staff can help. To assist the hon. Gentleman I shall send him a copy of the instructions we send to the officers. He will see that we are very much on the ball.

    Price Increases
    Mr. Biffenasked the Minister of Public Building and Works how many full-time civil servants in his Department are employed in checking price increases notified under the voluntary early warning system; and what increase this represents over the number employed before devaluation.
    Mr. Mellish: Three officials are employed part time on this. There has been no increase in staff employed on this work since devaluation.
    Mr. Biffen: Without commenting on the merits of this policy can the right hon. Gentleman say whether he expects price supervision responsibility for his Department to increase as a result of devaluation? Is he satisfied that three part-timers can adequately cope with the responsibility which his Department presumed to accept?
    Mr. Mellish: They seem to be doing all right. There are other Questions about devaluation and their costs. I think, with respect, that the hon. Gentleman might wait until we reach them, when I shall give him what I hope will be an adequate answer.

    Constitution Hill (Lamp Standards)
    Mr. Straussasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what further consideration he has given to the erection on Constitution Hill of modern lamp
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    stands in place of the existing lighting; and if he will make a statement.
    Mr. Mellish: I would refer my right hon. Friend to my reply to the hon. Member for Richmond, Surrey (Mr. Royle) on 26th February.—[Vol. 759, c. 235.]
    Mr. Strauss: Is my right hon. Friend aware that his decision to retain the old lighting was received with relief and great satisfaction by all those anxious to preserve the remaining attractive vistas in London? Will he pursue this desirable objective wherever he exercises his authority or influence?
    Mr. Mellish: I am obliged to my right hon. Friend. As the Minister concerned, I am most anxious to be associated with the retention of all that which is worth preserving in London. I also associate myself with the policy of getting rid of slums, but when it comes to preserving things of yesteryear, I want to be there with him.
    Mr. A. Royle: I agree with everything said by the right hon. Member for Vauxhall (Mr. Strauss). May I ask who was originally responsible for the error of taste and grave waste of public money which has occurred?
    Mr. Mellish: I thank the hon. Gentleman for the interest that he has shown, and indeed I give him credit for what finally resulted from my ultimate decision. As to who was responsible, it was a Ministerial decision based on the best information available to the Minister at that time. I am a new Minister giving a decision as I see it now. That is the position.

    Phantom Training School Building, Yeovilton
    Mr. Peytonasked the Minister of Public Building and Works if, in view of the inability of his Department to erect the Phantom Training School building at Royal Naval Air School, Yeovilton, within 12 months without putting it inside an existing hangar, he will review the relevant building procedures.
    Mr. Mellish: No, Sir. Building in the hangar saved over £100,000 compared with a separate building.
    Mr. Peyton: Is it not plum crazy, having bought the land, and having all the time that is necessary under ordinary circumstances, by one's own procedure to render quite useless a building which is badly needed, namely, the hangar in this case? I hope that the Minister will look at his own procedures again.
    Mr. Mellish: This is one case where we cannot possibly win. It would have cost £170,000. As a result of building inside this hangar, we have saved the nation a considerable sum. At a final cost of only £55,000 we have got all that is needed, and now I am being ticked off for having done it.

    Transport Bill
    Mr. G. Campbellasked the Minister of Public Building and Works (1) what assessment he has made of the increased costs and loss of flexibility to specialist piling contractors which would result from the Transport Bill, and of the effects on the construction of large buildings;
    (2) what estimates he has made of the additional costs to the construction industry of the proposals in the Transport Bill.
    Mr. Costainasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what estimate he has made of the increased cost to the building and civil engineering industry following the introduction of the Transport Bill; and if he will make a statement.
    Mr. Mellish: It is too early to estimate the effects of the Transport Bill on the cost of building and civil engineering.
    Mr. Campbell: As regards pile driving, does the Minister realise that essential plant will have to pay the abnormal loads tax in advance of any movement by road and that this, and the delays caused by the quantity licensing proposals on journeys over 100 miles, will seriously hold up pile driving and the building operations that will follow? What is he doing to protect the construction industry from the doctrinaire proposals of the Minister of Transport, who could not care a fig for the industry's efficiency?
    Mr. Mellish: It is not quite as bad as that. The various sections of the industry have been to see me. I have arranged for ample opportunity to be given to them to take part in discussions on their various problems with the Ministry of Transport and British Rail. Those discussions are still going on, and at the moment they are going rather well.
    Mr. Costain: Does the Minister appreciate that this Bill will cause delays on sites, due to the fact that contractors will not be able to use their transport efficiently? Will his Department give an extension of time to contractors who have to suffer delays because of this new monstrosity of legislation?
    Mr. Mellish: I recognise that the construction industry has certain problems, and that for many of those engaged in certain parts of its work any form of licensing would be difficult. These points of view have been put to British Railways and the Minister of Transport. I can only repeat that as I understand it relationships at the moment are very good.

    Distributors' Price Margins
    Mr. Ellisasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what action he has taken to implement the Recommendation Report No. 55 of the National Board for Prices and Incomes that the margin allowed to distributors should be cut in any price rises to the consumer due to devaluation.
    Mr. Mellish: None of the materials in the early warning system for which I am responsible recommend distributors' price margins; consequently there is no action for me to take.
    Mr. Ellis: Does my right hon. Friend agree that what he is saying is that no industries in respect of which he negotiates contracts have anything to do with this Report?
    Mr. Mellish: In selecting a representative range of prices for study the National Board for Prices and Incomes did not think it necessary to include any building materials. One of the problems is that this is a complex industry which is not easily comparable with

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    others. For example, builder merchants traditionally provide credit for small builders, in many instances. It is a different industry.
    Mr. Biffen: If this is such a complex industry, is the Minister satisfied that three part-timers are sufficient to do the job?
    Mr. Mellish: As I told the hon. Member earlier, yes. They are doing very well.

    Ancient Monuments and Historic Buildings
    Mr. Costainasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what proposals he has to encourage more tourists to visit ancient monuments and historic buildings under his care.
    Mr. Currieasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what has been the total receipts from the sale of postcards and guides of ancient monuments and historic buildings in the last three years.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Gilesasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what have been the total admissions to ancient monuments and historic buildings in the last three years.
    Mr. Mellish: Between 1965 and 1967 receipts from the sale of publications increased from £168,000 to £248,000. Admission to ancient monuments went up from 8·9 million to just over 10 million.
    I propose to continue and develop the publicity and other measures which have contributed to the increase in the number of visitors. In particular, a travelling exhibition on historic monuments is due to open in London before Whitsun. I have recently announced improvements to be made at Stonehenge. I also hope that arrangements can be made for short films of individual monuments to be shown on television.
    Mr. Costain: I congratulate the Minister on the progress that he has made, but can he tell us what communications and interchange of ideas he has had with the British Tourist Association, and what amount of advertising of ancient monuments is done overseas?
    Mr. Mellish: Off the cuff, I cannot answer that, except to say that I am seriously considering having an O. & M. team come into my Department to see what we can learn from experts outside. I want to do anything that can be done to advertise the greatest monuments that we have, and if the hon. Member—or any other hon. Member—has any practical suggestions I shall seriously consider them.
    Mr. Currie: In view of the drive to encourage people to buy British, can the Minister say how many postcards depicting ancient monuments and public buildings are printed in the United Kingdom?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Member will not be surprised if I tell him that I do not know the answer, but I shall certainly investigate. I shall be shocked if I find that they are not being printed in the United Kingdom. They had better be.
    Mr. Whitaker: Is my right hon. Friend aware that he will receive the strongest support from both sides of the House for anything he can do to stop further spoliation of ancient monuments? Is he satisfied that the present maximum penalty is sufficient to deter people from this?
    Mr. Mellish: I believe that that point is raised in a later Question on Stonehenge, where some special activities have been going on.

    Royal Parks (Litter)
    Sir R. Russellasked the Minister of Public Building and Works how much litter was swept up from the Royal Parks in 1967; what was the cost of collecting it; and how many persons were prosecuted for dropping litter.
    Mr. Mellish: Separate figures are not kept for litter alone, but about 38,000 cubic yards of grass cuttings, garden refuse, litter and other such waste were collected in 1967, at a cost of some £18,000.
    There were no prosecutions during 1967. People seen dropping litter are normally asked to pick it up, and cautioned.
    Sir R. Russell: Can the right hon. Gentleman say whether there has been any decrease in the dropping of litter since the Litter Act came into being?
    Mr. Mellish: This is an intractable problem. I gather that it has defied solution over the years, both in the Royal Parks and elsewhere. Until the public as a whole can be educated to adopt tidier habits we are not likely to get an improvement in the parks. On this matter, again, I shall consider any suggestions from hon. Members or from members of the public.

    Car Drivers
    Mr. Blakerasked the Minister of Public Building and Works how many men and women, respectively, are employed as car drivers by his Department; and what are their respective rates of pay.
    Mr. Mellish: 152 male and 170 female drivers. Their rates of pay are 277s. per week in London and 267s. per week in the provinces.
    Mr. Blaker: Is the Minister aware that the figures for 1960 show that the total for the whole country—both men and women—was 253? How does he account for the latest figures, which, on a rough calculation, I make to be 70 extra drivers since that time?
    Mr. Mellish: I do not know about the 1960 figures. The present total is 322, which is accounted for by the fact that the needs of Government today—and this applied when his own party was in power in 1964—are that much greater than they were in 1960.
    Mr. C. Pannell: Although my right hon. Friend will be aware, may I ask him whether he is aware that when we took over in 1964 we had a very hard look at this business? Is he also aware that there are no abuses under the present Government that were not in existence under the previous one? Will he also note that the hon. Member who asked the Question was rather careful to start with the figure for 1960? He should have a look at the figures between 1960 and 1964.
    Mr. Mellish: I am obliged to my right hon. Friend. I was hoping that I should be complimented on the fact that at any rate in the case of drivers we pay the same rates to the ladies as to the men.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: Is not the hard truth simply that there are far too many Ministers—that almost one-third of the party opposite are Ministers?
    Mr. Mellish: Speaking for myself, no, Sir.

    Building Construction Costs
    Mr. Blakerasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what estimate he has made of the likely rise in building and construction costs during 1968 as a result of recent Government decisions; and whether he will make a statement.
    Mr. Mellish: I estimated in November, 1967, that the direct effects of devaluation would be to increase construction costs—including repair and maintenance—by a little more than 1 per cent. When the other measures, which were part of the devaluation package, are taken into account the increase in new construction costs is expected to be about 2 per cent. during this year.
    The construction industry has continually improved its efficiency and I am confident that it will be able to absorb at any rate part of the increase.
    Mr. Blaker: Is not the Minister aware that it is not only devaluation and directly connected measures which are increasing costs, but that the industry estimates that British Standard Time will increase costs considerably? Can he give an estimate of the effect on costs of British Standard Time?
    Mr. Mellish: I cannot give the hon. Member any estimates about the effect of British Standard Time. There is another Question on this matter on the Order Paper. This is a very good industry. It is quite capable of absorbing many of these increases through increased output. Let us give it credit for having done that in the past. I am sure that it will do it in the future, too.

    Consultants and Contractors (Overseas Activities)
    Mr. Bryant Godman Irvineasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what steps he is taking to assist civil engineering consultants and contractors to expand their activities overseas.
    Mr. Crouchasked the Minister of Public Building and Works whether he will make a statement on his official discussions with the Building Materials Export Group concerning the promotion of exports of building materials.
    Mr. Mellish: I have recently met representatives of the design professions, the Export Group of the Constructional Industries and the Building Materials Export Group to discuss ways of expanding exports. My Parliamentary Secretary is co-ordinating the action to encourage efforts of the whole construction industry, and he will ensure that the services of my Department and of other Departments are known to the industry.
    Mr. Irvine: is the right hon. Gentleman's Parliamentary Secretary visiting any countries abroad to have a look at the position there? Second, has he drawn the attention of the Chancellor of the Exchequer to the recommendations of the Cromer Committee about the importance, for example, of take-home pay after tax for those working abroad?
    Mr. Mellish: I am obliged to the hon. Gentleman, because I can tell the House that my Parliamentary Secretary, who had great experience in exports in his private capacity before he entered the Government, is doing a first-class job. He has been abroad, he knows all these trade attaches personally and I have asked not only associations in the industry but individual firms to contact him, because all his services are at their disposal. As to the Cromer Report, yes, Sir, it is known and understood and is in the hands of those responsible.

    Private Industry (Government Participation)
    Mr. Currieasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what studies he has instituted on the scope and extent of Government participation in the commercial activities of private building firms: and what has been the findings of these studies.
    Mr. Mellish: No such studies have been instituted.
    Mr. Currie: I deplore this fact. Does the right hon. Gentleman not agree that the terms of the Industrial Expansion Bill seek to impose further Government restrictions on the building industry? In view of the Minister's recent speech at Harrogate, when tribute was paid to the achievements of the industry, would he not agree that further Government interference would be deplorable and liable to curtail that industry's activities?
    Mr. Mellish: I do not know why the hon. Gentleman has said all that. I have just told him that I am having no such studies made. So far as the Industrial Expansion Bill is concerned, I have already assured the industry that I shall use no powers in that Bill without consultations with the industry. The hon. Gentleman does not have to tell me that this is a good industry: I think that it is first-class.
    Mr. Biggs-Davison: Then what is the significance of the right hon. Gentleman's signature on the Bill?
    Mr. Mellish: It is that, if I wanted to take power to improve and help the industry, the powers would be available under that Bill, but I give the assurance again that I would not do so without consulting the industry.

    Buildings, London (Cleaning)
    Mr. Chichester-Clarkasked the Minister of Public Building and Works whether he will make a statement about the cleaning of buildings for which he is responsible in London.
    Mr. Mellish: Work is in progress or will shortly start on cleaning Trafalgar Square—notably Nelson's Column—the National Gallery and National Portrait Gallery, the Admiralty, the Old Treasury and the Wellington Arch. There has been much public interest in this programme and the results achieved on buildings already cleaned seem generally to be appreciated. I am reviewing the future programme in the light of the economic situation.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: Are the new methods proving cheaper since Nelson's Column has been cleaned? Are Nelson's head injuries endemic, due to the London atmosphere or were they inflicted, posthumously, by enemy action?
    Mr. Mellish: I gather that Nelson's head is rather like Tory Party policy, in a state of disarray, but we are doing our best to see that it will be all right. With regard to the hon. Gentleman's earlier question, the new methods which we are applying today are in fact dearer, although I cannot give figures, but I think that the methods are that much more efficient. If the hon. Gentleman would like the figures, I will get them for him.
    Mr. Whitaker: What progress is being made in comprehensive programmes to include private commercial buildings in a suitable area, similar to the successful scheme in Paris?
    Mr. Mellish: I want to be helpful on this. I think that Westminster City Council would co-operate with me in appeals to private industry. Local authorities generally, where practicable, should also take up these schemes of cleaning some of these old buildings, which should have been done a long time ago.
    Mr. Hogg: Is not the right hon. Gentleman intimating Nelson in another respect by turning a blind eye to the disarray of his own superiors?
    Mr. Mellish: I do not know; I can only look at what I see in front of me, which is a pretty poor lot.
    Mr. C. Pannell: Since there has been reference to what is done in Paris, will my right. hon. Gentleman bear in mind that there private enterprise pays half the cost?
    Mr. Mellish: Yes, Sir.

    Construction Work (Public and Private Sectors)
    Mr. Allasonasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what estimate he has made of the proportion of building work likely to be carried out by the public and private sectors, respectively, in 1970.
    Mr. Eyreasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what is his latest estimate of the probable level of private sector building activity in 1970.
    Mr. Mellish: It is not yet possible to forecast the level of construction work in 1970, but I expect that about 55 per cent. of the new work will be for the public sector and 45 per cent. for the private sector.
    Mr. Allason: But as the Government's housebuilding policy is in complete disarray, would the right hon. Gentleman represent to his right hon. Friend the Minister of Housing that he should abolish his doctrinaire one-for-one building policy and allow private enterprise to get on with private house building?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Gentleman has a capacity for making facts sound absolutely ludicrous. To say that the Government's housing figures are in disarray when we are building more houses and there are more under construction than ever before in Britain's history, and that that makes nonsense of Government policy, is an extraordinary statement.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: But are there as many houses under construction as the party opposite promised?
    Mr. Mellish: We have until 1971; the hon. Gentleman wants to be hopeful.

    Building Costs
    Mr. Bryant Godman Irvineasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what estimate he has made of the possible increases in building costs in 1968 as a direct result of current legislative proposals.
    Mr. Mellish: It is too early to say.
    Mr. Irvine: As the right hon. Gentleman is well aware that costs are rising steeply, how does he expect the industry to go on making satisfactory estimates, especially since he has already said twice today that it is too early to make estimates either with regard to the Transport Bill or generally?
    Mr. Mellish: The Question related to possible increases in building costs in 1968. The proposals in the Transport Bill are not likely to affect costs in 1968.
    Mr. G. Campbell: As the right hon. Gentleman's earlier Answers on this matter were very complacent, will he look at the Transport Bill to see what the extra costs beyond 1968 will be for the industry?
    Mr. Mellish: I have already told the hon. Gentleman that I have tried to ensure that the views of the industry, which I readily understand—particularly those of some individual firms—have been made known to the Minister of Transport personally and also to British Rail. I understand that these discussions are going very well.

    Contractors and Builders (Payment by Public Bodies)
    Mr. Allasonasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what representations he has received from the

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    National Joint Consultative Committee about outstanding moneys due to contractors and builders from public bodies; and what replies he has sent.
    Mr. Mellish: The N.J.C.C. has brought this issue to my attention. I have promised to investigate personally any specific complaint of delay on the part of my own Department—although our record is in general a good one. I have taken whatever opportunity offered—and will do so again—to urge the prompt payment of accounts in both public and private clients.
    Mr. Allason: But as the figure involved at any one moment is estimated to be £500 million, are the public sector clients of the building industry, who represent about a third of the total, responsible for a due proportion of that sum, which represents a large amount in high interest rates?
    Mr. Mellish: I think that the construction industry has every reason to complain about delayed payments, and some of the worst offenders are local authorities. I very much hope that they will mend their ways and see that, where good firms are doing a good job for them, they behave as first-class clients. It is about time that they did.
    Mr. Chichester-Clark: Does the right hon. Gentleman see any prospect of any new action with the public sector clients in regard to speedier payment of retentions, which account for about 20 per cent of the outstanding money?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Gentleman is right. This part of the money, retention payments, is not paid until some time after the job is completed. My answer is that, when a first-class firm is working for one, the best possible punishment in the future, if it does not do a good job, is not to give it any more work.

    Building Works (Direct Labour)
    Mr. Peytonasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what studies he has made of the level of output of building workers directly employed by public bodies; and what have been the findings of those studies.
    Mr. Mellish: None, Sir.
    Mr. Peyton: That is a disappointing reply. Will not the right hon. Gentleman take some account of all the evidence that direct labour is the most incompetent and inefficient way of doing any job? Will he, in his own Department, set a good example to local authorities which are inclined to put Socialism well before common sense?
    Mr. Mellish: It is a little prejudiced of the hon. Gentleman to condemn all directly employed labour: such a sweeping statement is not fair. He will know that many local authorities which have directly employed labour departments—some of them under Conservative control—are doing a first-class job. The hon. Gentleman must not make such sweeping statements.
    Mr. Costain: On that reply, has not the right hon. Gentleman ignored the findings of the Mann Committee? Was that not set up with some of these objects in view? Why does he say that no studies have been made?
    Mr. Mellish: Because the Question asked for the level of output, whereas the Committee inquired into the best way of carrying out maintenance. They are two different things.
    Mr. Peyton: On a point of order. In view of the unsatisfactory nature of that reply, I beg to give notice that I will raise the matter again.

    Building Industry
    Mr. Eyreasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what representations he has received from builders about the current state of trade in the building industry; and what action he has taken.
    Mr. Mellish: None, Sir. The current state of trade in the industry is discussed regularly at meetings of my National Consultative Council. I do not consider that any specific action is required.
    Mr. Eyre: Is the Minister aware that the latest state of the trade inquiry shows the dismaying fact that half of the firms answering expected to do less work in this year than they did in 1967? Is it clearly not time to scrap building licensing and to free the industry from the Selective Employment Tax?
    Mr. Mellish: The hon. Member may be interested to know that output last year rose by about 5 per cent. In this year it is expected to rise by 3 per cent. above last year. The hon. Member raises a point about the number of firms which will not do so much work this year. Part of the trouble is that fewer and fewer of the larger firms are doing more and more of the work. That has nothing to do with the Government. It is because, as a result of the cost mechanics of the private enterprise sector, we shall get more work done by fewer employers. Some of the small firms will have to fight for their lives, not against us but against their own competitors.
    Mr. Bob Brown: Is my right hon. Friend aware that the northern Press reported this morning that the private builders building houses for sale in the North of England are having better sales than at any time since 1932 and that one speculative builder in Newcastle sold 30 houses last Thursday, when the average sale of houses at this time of the year is about 30 a week?
    Mr. Mellish: I have great respect for the private sector of the house building industry and I want to do anything I can to help it. But this is a competitive jungle in which many people can be hurt.
    Mr. Costain: In view of the Minister's enthusiasm to help the private builder, will he have some words with his right hon. Friend and get some more land made available so that the private builders can get on with the job?
    Mr. Mellish: I wish that the builders would go to the Land Commission and ask for land before they offer criticisms of that body. The hon. Member is a well-known builder in the industry and it is a pity that he does not set an example.

    Home-Produced Building Material
    Sir G. Nabarroasked the Minister of Public Building and Works whether, in view of his policy that all professions concerned with construction should dispense with imported materials where suitable home-produced alternatives exist, he will request the Construction Materials Group to issue at regular intervals a publication giving particulars of home-produced building materials available for
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    use in the various categories where imported materials are now frequently used.
    Mr. Mellish: I am certainly concerned to see that home-produced building materials are used to the maximum extent.
    The Construction Materials Group is responsible to the Economic Development Committee for Building and Civil Engineering, and I will bring the hon. Member's suggestion to its attention.
    Sir G. Nabarro: Does the right hon. Gentleman recognise that in the conservation of imported materials the architect is all important? As he is the Ministerial parent of all architects in Britain, cannot he distribute his information direct to architects to promote this vital policy?
    Mr. Mellish: I am obliged to the hon. Gentleman for the interest which he has shown. I have had discussions with Sir Hugh Wilson, President of the R.I.B.A., and I have a personal assurance from him that he will do the best he can to see that the point of view which the hon. Member has expressed, and which I share, will in fact come about.

    Building Sites (Smoke Control)
    Miss Harvie Andersonasked the Minister of Building and Works what is his policy regarding the control of dark smoke on building sites on which contracts let by his Department are being carried out; and if he will make a statement.
    Mr. Mellish: My Department's contractors are required to take all reasonable precautions to prevent nuisance or inconvenience to adjoining owners and occupiers or to the public generally. My superintending officers have powers under our contracts to require contractors to take action that will abate nuisances. If the hon. Member has any particular case in mind, I shall be pleased to investigate it.
    Miss Harvie Anderson: Bearing in mind the proposals in the Clean Air Bill, which I strongly support, will the right hon. Gentleman strongly urge his right hon. Friend to permit the burning of diseased timbers, in particular, and other rubbish, on sites because, especially in areas such as Glasgow, with their new development schemes, it is impossible to

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    have infected material carried through the city?
    Mr. Mellish: I give the hon. Lady an assurance that I will have discussions on the matter with my right hon. Friend the Minister of Housing and Local Government.
    Mr. J. T. Price: Is my right hon. Friend aware that, while I share the point of view expressed in the Question, it should not be assumed by the House that dark smoke is the only smoke which can cause danger to health? A great deal of invisible smoke, sulphur dioxide, and other materials, which are being emitted in vast quantities by industrial plant, is far worse a hazard to health than the dark smoke previously coming from bituminous coal.
    Mr. Mellish: I was at one time Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministry of Housing and Local Government and associated with the Clean Air Committee. My hon. Friend is right. The other dangerous element is exhaust from cars.

    Building and Civil Engineering Industry (Output)
    Mr. Ridsdaleasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what estimate he has made of the percentage increase or reduction in the work load of the building and civil engineering industry by June 1968.
    Mr. Mellish: I estimate that the rate of output of new work in the first half of 1968 will be some 3 per cent. to 4 per cent. higher than the rate in 1967.

    Furniture and Furnishings (Design and Development)
    Mr. Urwinasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what steps he is taking to make the work being carried out by his Department on the design and development of furniture and furnishings more widely known.
    Mr. Mellish: Every opportunity is taken of publicising this work at the principal furniture exhibitions. A display of domestic furniture is currently being shown at the Ideal Home Exhibition, and a wider range of office, domestic and laboratory furniture will be on show at the Contract Furnishing Exhibition at, Olympia in May. An exhibition at the
    964
    Design Centre is planned for the early part of next year.
    Mr. Urwin: I am sure that the House will welcome the statement made by the right hon. Gentleman. Could he tell us the extent of the participation of his Department from the point of view of the supply of furniture and furnishings?
    Mr. Mellish: We are responsible for giving orders to the value of about £15 million of furniture a year. My Department has made a great contribution to the design of furniture. It is recognised throughout the industry as being the largest customer. It can, therefore, have the biggest impact on the furniture of tomorrow.

    Government Departments (Open-plan Offices)
    Mr. Urwinasked the Minister of Public Building and Works what proposals he has for introducing open-plan offices for the Civil Service, following the recently announced experiments.
    Mr. Mellish: I am considering the inclusion of some open-plan offices in the new buildings which are to be put on the Bridge Street-Richmond Terrace site as the first phase of the Whitehall redevelopment scheme.
    Mr. Urwin: In this exciting departure from the point of view of office planning, has my right hon. Friend obtained the reaction of the Civil Service towards this venture and, if so, what has it been?
    Mr. Mellish: The exciting prospect of open-plan offices is that even the most junior clerk can enjoy the same high standards of dimensions and conditions as the highest civil servant. Everybody can, therefore, enjoy the highest standards of office accommodation. It is encouraging to think that, for the first time, one is not able to distinguish between civil servants by the office accommodation provided.
    The Speaker: Mr. Hugh Jenkins, Question 44.
    Mr. Ridsdale: On a point of order. The Minister said earlier that he intended to answer during Question Time a Question on Stonehenge.
    Mr. Speaker: That is not a point of order.
    Mr. Mellish: I did give an assurance that I would answer a Question about Stonehenge. The trouble is that the hon. Member in whose name the Question stands has not been present to ask it.
    Mr. Biggs-Davison: On a point of order. The Minister did say that he would answer this Question—
    Mr. Speaker: Order. This is Question Time. We must get on.

  SOLICITORS (CONVEYANCING CHARGES)
  Mr. Ellisasked the Attorney-General whether he intends to implement the Report No. 54, National Board for Prices and Incomes, in relation to the reduction of conveyancing fees by solicitors.
  The Attorney-General (Sir Elwyn Jones): As I said in answer to my hon. Friend the Member for Bolton, West (Mr. Oakes) on 22nd February, it will be necessary for the Government to take account of the views of the professional bodies and others concerned before reaching a decision on the many issues raised by this Report. The particular recommendation for the reduction of conveyancing charges at certain price levels must be read in the conext of the Board's other recommendations, some of which would involve increases in charges.—[Vol. 759, c. 182.]
  Mr. Ellis: Will my right hon. and learned Friend chance his arm and give us the expected date when he hopes to reach agreement? He will be aware that for many people, not only in the House, this is a serious problem. We regard the question of conveyancing fees as solicitors getting money for old rope in many cases.
  The Attorney-General: While not agreeing with the last proposition, certainly we are very concerned to reach an early decision upon this matter. My hon. Friend will no doubt bear in mind that the Board recommended an increase in conveyancing charges for property below £2,000 in value.
  Mr. Hogg: Will the right hon. and learned Gentleman also bear in mind that there is considerable evidence that the net take-home pay of the solicitor in real
  966
  terms is lower than before the war whereas that, for instance, of a railway porter is twice that of before the war?
  The Attorney-General: What I bear in mind is that the recommendations of the Board were by way of a package deal and that the body of recommendations needs to be considered carefully before action is taken in respect of any one of them.
  Mr. Milne: Arising from the last supplementary question, will my right hon. and learned Friend point out to the legal profession the vacancies that exist on British Railways?
  The Attorney-General: I do not catch the full import of that Question and I do not know whether solicitors would make good guards.
  Sir G. Nabarro: Will the right hon. and learned Gentleman bear in mind that this House has a large burden of responsibility in this matter and that the very complexity of recent legislation, notably the Land Commission Act, adds enormously to solicitors' costs in establishing a correct title?
  The Attorney-General: All these valuable changes in the law need study by the learned professions, and they are quite capable of effective study.

  TECHNOLOGY

    Concorde Aircraft (Engine Noise)
    Mr. Hugh Jenkinsasked the Minister of Technology if he will take steps to ensure that the Olympus 593 engine being built for the Concorde conforms to London Airport, Heathrow, noise limits if the aircraft is to use that airport in the future.
    The Joint Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministry of Technology (Mr. Gerry Fowler): It has always been a Concorde design aim that engine noise should be no greater than that of present-day jetengined aircraft. This implies meeting existing noise limits at Heathrow airport.
    Mr. Jenkins: Would my hon. Friend accept that that assurance—I take it that it is an assurance—that the engine will

    967
    conform to the existing noise level at Heathrow will be received with considerable satisfaction under the glide path? Will he endeavour to ensure that his forecast is carried into fact?
    Mr. Fowler: These estimates are being continually revised as developments proceed. Noise assessments are complex calculations to make and we must await the prototype flights for confirmation.
    Mr. A. Royle: In welcoming the hon. Gentleman's statement, may I ask him to say when the Concorde prototype will make its first flight and whether there will be any further delay from that speculated in the newspapers?
    Mr. Fowler: I do not think that that matter arises on this Question.

    Power Station (Recovery of Sulphur)
    Mr. Eadieasked the Minister of Technology what consideration he has given to the siting of a pilot scheme in Scotland concerning research into the extraction of sulphur from a coal-fired power station.
    Mr. Fowler: As my hon. Friend was recently informed, there is no economic case for recovering sulphur at power stations.—[Vol. 758, c. 928–9.]
    Mr. Eadie: Is my hon. Friend aware of Press reports to the effect that this experimentation is going on? Is he aware that the cost of sulphur is increasing and that there would, therefore, appear to be some conflict between this fact and his Answer?
    Mr. Fowler: I am aware of the reports to which my hon. Friend refers, but there appears to be some confusion here. There is no case for producing sulphur at power stations merely for the sake of producing sulphur. But if sulphur were to be removed from flue gases in the interests of dealing with air pollution, then the sale of by-product sulphur could partially offset the cost of dealing with air pollution.

    Defence Establishments (Civil Research)
    Mr. Dalvellasked the Minister of Technology what general policy he has for increasing the amount of civil research relevant to industry and decreasing
    968
    the military research in establishments such as the Royal Radar Establishment, Malvern, the Signals Research and Development Establishment, Christchurch, the Royal Aircraft Establishment, Farnborough, the Atomic Weapons Research Establishment, Aldermaston, the Aeroplane and Armament Experimental Establishment, Boscombe Down, the Explosives Research and Development Establishment, Waltham Abbey, the National Gas Turbine Establishment, Pyestock, and the Rocket Propulsion Establishment, Westcott.
    Mr. Fowler: The primary purpose of these establishments is to meet the needs of defence, though some of them have particular functions in connection with civil aviation. In so far as facilities which have been provided for defence requirements are no longer needed for defence purposes, it is our policy to make them available for the benefit of industry in cases where the specialised equipment and expertise of the establishments can be of help in the civil field. It is not, however, our policy to build them up as civil research establishments or to seek civil work merely to keep them at their present size.
    Mr. Dalyell: Concerning the last part of that Answer, are the Government satisfied that the results of discontinued military research are made sufficiently available to civil firms or firms involved in civil contracts. Do the Government see any possibility of improving this mechanism of transferring information?
    Mr. Fowler: We are constantly seeking to improve the mechanism whereby the results of defence research work are made available to industry operating primarily in the civil sphere. There is close collaboration between my Department and the National Research and Development Corporation. Representatives of the Corporation have direct links with the management of the R. and D. establishments in the progressing of the industrial application of research work carried out primarily for defence purposes.
    Mr. David Price: Is the hon. Gentleman aware that the Select Committee on Science and Technology is looking into this matter and will be reporting to the House in due course?
    Mr. Fowler indicated assent.

    Jet Travel
    Mr. Hugh Jenkinsasked the Minister of Technology if he has studied the reports of the American Federal Aviation Agency., copies of which have been sent to him, that jet travel shortens the life span; and if he will investigate the extent to which supersonic travel will shorten it more rapidly.
    Mr. Fowler: I am not aware of any report that jet travel shortens the life span.
    Mr. Jenkins: I regret that my hon. Friend has not received the report, which I have sent to him. I will make sure that he gets it. However, will he accept my assurance that it is a medical report which was made to the American Federal Aviation Agency, as mentioned in the Question?
    Mr. Fowler: I can only say that neither the American Federal Aviation Agency's administrator's office in London nor our Institute of Aviation Medicine can identify the report or reports mentioned by my hon. Friend. I would agree that it is widely recognised that people can be upset by time zone changes, but not that these have permanent ill effects or that jet travel is the cause of these disturbances.

    Phantom Aircraft (Spey Engines)
    Mr. Dalyellasked the Minister of Technology if he will state the total research development and engineering costs hitherto of fitting the Spey Engine into British Phantom aircraft; and how many Phantoms have already been fitted and adapted with Spey Engines.
    Mr. Fowler: About £75 million. This includes the cost of developing the Phantom Spey engine and also of the necessary modifications to the Phantom airframe. About 16 Phantoms out of the total of 170 on order have so far been equippped with Spey engines.
    Mr. Dalyell: Is it or is not not a fact that the readaptation of the Rolls-Royce Spey engine to the American airframe has added about £1 million to the unit cost per Phantom, from £1·5 million to £2·5 million? What conclusion do the Government draw about the difficulties of adapting a British engine to an airframe for which it was never intended,
    970
    even thought it may appear to save money across the exchanges?
    Mr. Fowler: We were aware at the outset that to incorporate the Spey Engine into the Phantom would be expensive and might lead to difficulties. However, the decision to fit the Spey into the naval Phantoms was taken because the performance of the Spey engine was thought to be better than the American engine. This higher performance is necessary because of the use of Phantoms from carriers; and the House must bear in mind the important contribution to the industry which is being made by the use of the Rolls-Royce Spey engine.
    Mr. Lubbock: Is the hon. Gentleman aware that workers in the British aircraft industry get very upset by the continued knocking of British aircraft and aero engines by certain hon. Members of this House? Is he aware that the fitting of the Spey engine into the Phantom aircraft has led to a considerable improvement in this aircraft's performance, which has made the Phantom not only more suitable to the needs of the British Forces but has also made it more readily saleable to air forces overseas?
    Mr. Fowler: I can certainly confirm that the fitting of the Spey engine improves the performance of the Phantom in certain respects. I am glad to say that a suitable standard of engine has now been achieved for installation into the production aircraft; and, of course, it is of great advantage to the British aero engine industry to have the contract for the engines for the Phantom order.
    Mr. Shinwell: Am I to understand from what has been said that the adaptation of the Spey engine hat meant that the cost has increased by 100 per cent.? If so, should not this be questioned in the House, even if the Liberal Party objects?
    Mr. Fowler: I am sure that if that were the case it would be a matter which would be questioned in the House. But I do not quite follow the details of my right hon. Friend's arithmetic.

    Contracts (Standard Price Fixing Conditions)
    Mr. Moonmanasked the Minister of Technology in view of the references in the Wilson Committee of Inquiry that

    971
    Bristol Siddeley Engines Limited required substantial profits from repetition work such as overhauls on projects to lay the foundation for other research and development, what guidance he now intends to offer companies with regard to similar contracts.
    Mr. Fowler: The Department has reminded those firms with whom contract prices are negotiated that the standard price fixing condition imposes an obligation on both parties to agree prices which are fair and reasonable in relation to the particular contract in which the condition appears, and also that the condition cannot be interpreted to imply that the fairness and reasonableness of prices can be judged in the light of factors extraneous to the particular contract in question.
    Mr. Moonman: I am grateful for that statement. In view of the increasing disquiet arising from the Wilson Report and the absence of any statement on company practice from the C.B.I., can my hon. Friend go a little further and make it clear that, in these operations, high profit margins will not be encouraged simply to justify a high scale of R. & D.?
    Mr. Fowler: This has always been made clear. There is no defect in the standard condition of contract, although it has on occasion been argued that the standard condition might bear an interpretation which it should not, in fact, bear.
    Mrs. Renée Short: Is my hon. Friend aware that it was in the period between 1956 and 1963, when the party opposite was responsible, that £2,335 million worth of aviation contracts were handed out? Does he not think that it is now time for his Department to carry out a thoroughgoing investigation of all these contracts in order to see how many " Bristol Siddeleys" there are?

    Category of Employee

    Source

    Period

    Percentage Increase

    Manual

    …

    Average weekly earnings

    …

    October, 1966–October, 1967

    …

    5·8

    Salaried

    …

    Average earnings (weekly basis)

    …

    October, 1966–October, 1967

    …

    4·6

    All

    …

    Monthly index

    …

    December, 1966–December 1967

    …

    5·8 (provisional)

    Equal Pay
    Mr. Milneasked the Minister of Labour what progress has been made in the official discussions with the various
    Mr. Fowler: I am sure that we would be willing to pursue any matter that might be laid before us and which might lead us to think that there had been maladministration in previous contracts or misappropriation of public funds.

  MINISTRY OF LABOUR

    Wages and Salaries
    Mr. Biffenasked the Minister of Labour what has been the estimated increase in wage and salary earnings, respectively, over the past 12 months; and what are the expected changes during 1968.
    The Joint Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministery of Labour (Mr. Roy Hattersley): I will, with permission, circulate in the OFFICIAL REPORT a table of figures for the past 12 months to the nearest available date. Estimates of future trends in earnings are not published.
    Mr. Biffen: Estimates of future trends of earnings may not be published, but surely the hon. Gentleman has some idea of the expected increase in earnings? If he has no idea of the expected increase, how can an intelligent discussion proceed upon what kind of statutory requirements there are for a prices and incomes policy?
    Mr. Hattersley: With or without statutory requirements, the Government necessarily need to know, roughly and crudely, the anticipated increases in earnings. My answer to the question is that it is not the practice of this Government, and has not been the practice of previous Governments, to make estimates known, and I do not intend to change that practice this afternoon.
    Following is the table:
    bodies and organisations interested in the introduction of equal pay for women; and if he will make a statement.
    Mr. Hattersley: The main conclusions reached in my discussions with the C.B.I.

    973
    and the T.U.C. were outlined in my reply to my hon. Friend the Member for Halifax (Dr. Summerskill) on 18th December, 1967. Officials of these organisations and my Department have met to plan the further joint studies it has been agreed should be undertaken. These will be completed as quickly as possible.—[Vol. 756, c. 893–4.]
    Mr. Milne: Is my hon. Friend aware that a speeding up of the discussions on this subject is long overdue; and that if a wages policy is to be successful it must have as its cornerstone equal pay for women?
    Mr. Hattersley: Committed as they are to the principle, the Government are naturally anxious that these discussions should be concluded as speedily as possible, but there are matters of great technical complexity, and it is important that these decisions should be taken on the right basis of information.
    Dame Irene Ward: Can the Parliamentary Secretary let us know whether, before this very important and acceptable pledge was given prior to the General Election, no agreement between the main bodies concerned had then been obtained? Is not this partly the cause of this unfortunate and intolerable delay?
    Mr. Hattersley: The pledge given before the General Election was given by the party which now forms the Government, and it is still the policy of that Government. The details we are discussing, and the details we could not discuss until we came to power, are details which our predecessors made no attempt to discuss with the C.B.I. and the T.U.C.

    Beckman Instruments Ltd., Glenrothes (Draughtsmen's Pay)
    Mr. William Hamiltonasked the Minister of Labour if he will make a statement on the wage increase negotiated by draughtsmen employed by Beckman Instruments Limited, Glenrothes, Fife, and the reasons for his direction to the firm to cease payment of the increase.
    Mr. Hattersley: The settlement appeared contrary to the requirements of the incomes policy and the company was so advised when the proposal was notified. This view was reinforced by the Report of the National Board for Prices
    974
    and Incomes on the pay and conditions of service of engineering workers generally. The particular case is now under examination by the Board.
    Mr. Hamilton: Can my hon. Friend say why there was a 12 weeks' delay between the payment of the increase and the indication from the Ministry that it should not be paid? Does he recognise that only 15 men are involved and that the total weekly cost of the pay increase is less than £20? Is it not absurd to carry the incomes policy to this length?
    Mr. Hattersley: I accept that there was a delay, although not that it was as much as 12 weeks. The reason was that the Government rightly and properly first of all asked the parties involved to postpone the increase on a voluntary basis before a direction was made. The other reason was the necessity to make sure that our direction was based on information which confirmed our view that the policy was being breached.

    Asian Immigrants from Kenya (Work Permits)
    Mr. William Hamiltonasked the Minister of Labour how many work permits have been issued to Asiatic immigrants from Kenya for employment in the Orkneys, Inverness, Roxburgh, Peebles and Selkirk, Hamilton and North Devon, respectively.
    The Joint Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministry of Labour (Mr. E. Fernyhough): This information is not available.
    Mr. Hamilton: Does not that Answer really mean "None at all"? What steps is my hon. Friend taking to encourage immigrants to go to these areas, since it is quite clear that the hon. Members concerned want them and that it would be a very considerable benefit to urban areas such as London, Birmingham, Wolverhampton, and the rest, if this could be done?
    Mr. Fernyhough: Vouchers were issued to 393 persons from Kenya between 1962 and 1968. The hon. Members opposite to whom my hon. Friend referred must be the custodians of their own consciences.
    Mr. Lubbock: Is it not obvious that until the obnoxious and loathsome Commonwealth Immigrants Act was passed

    975
    last week, no Kenya Asians holding British passports would have required work permits to come to any constituency, including Fife, West? Would not the Parliamentary Secretary confirm that it is contrary to the practice and custom of the House for hon. Members to put down Questions relating to their colleagues' constituencies; and that two can play at that game?
    Mr. Fernyhough: I can confirm what my hon. Friend said about the freedom of Asians holding British citizens' passports to come here. If the hon. Gentleman has any argument with my right hon. Friend he should settle it either across these benches or outside.
    Mr. Heffer: Is my hon. Friend aware that many hon. Members, particularly those from Liverpool, feel it regrettable that my hon. Friend the Member for Fife, West (Mr. William Hamilton) did not put down a Question appertaining to immigration in Liverpool? Is my hon. Friend further aware that we have had immigrants coming into Liverpool for at least two or three hundred years from all parts of the world—white faced, black faced and brown faced—and that we have had very little difficulty in integrating those immigrants into our community?
    Mr. Fernyhough: I accept that in Liverpool they have assimilated many thousands of immigrants, and I hope that those who are faced with a similar problem today will try to do in the future what Liverpool has done in the past.

    UNITED ARAB REPUBLIC (LOAN)
    Mr. Leadbitterasked the Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs if he will make a further statement on negotiations on loan proposals to Egypt.
    The Minister of State for Foreign Affairs (Mr. Goronwy Roberts): I have nothing to add to the reply my right hon. Friend gave to the hon. Gentleman the Member for Haltemprice (Mr. Wall) and my hon. Friend the Member for Leicester, North-West (Sir B. Janner) on 26th February.—[Vol. 759, c. 223–4.]
    Mr. Leadbitter: Is my hon. Friend aware that this reply contains no infor-
    976
    mation whatsoever? Is he aware that there is considerable concern about the possibility of a loan, having regard to the fact that the Suez is still closed, and that President Nasser's recalcitrant manner is such that this country should not encourage a loan and that the Government would be wise to have nothing to do with it?
    Mr. Roberts: I think that if my hon. Friend looks up my right hon. Friend's reply in the OFFICIAL REPORT of 26th February, he will agree that a considerable amount of information about this loan was then given. As to my hon. Friend's opinion about the effects of a loan of this sort on our relations with the U.A.R., and prospects for further political and economic improvements with that country, I am afraid that I disagree with him.
    Mr. Tilney: Is the Minister aware that several Liverpool ships are locked up in the Bitter Lakes, and is it not time that something was done about that situation?
    Mr. Roberts: We have done everything in our power, and are continuing to do everything in our power, to see that these ships are released. As the hon. Gentleman knows, we had got to a point where the position was very encouraging. Unfortunately, certain incidents in the area put back this work, but we are hopeful that in the not too distant future a new attempt will be made to release these 14 ships.

    ADEN
    Mr. Leadbitterasked the Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs what negotiations have been undertaken between Her Majesty's Government and Aden for the purposes of arranging a loan, grant or other form of aid following the withdrawal of British forces; and if he will make a statement.
    Mr. Goronwy Roberts: I have nothing to add to the reply which my right hon. Friend gave to the hon. Member for Cheltenham (Mr. Dodds-Parker) on 26th February.—[Vol. 759, c. 232.
    Mr. Leadbitter: Again, is my hon. Friend aware that what he has said is certainly not a reply, and that the same

    977
    comment applies to my previous Question? The cost to this country of this loan Should be measured against our economic conditions and, again, the Government would be very wise indeed to remember that hostilities out there are not of the kind that should encourage the Government to think in terms of £60 million or even of a smaller amount?
    Mr. Roberts: On reflection, my hon. Friend will probably agree with me that already a good deal of information has been given on this question. As to the £60 million facility which had been provisionally agreed with the Federal Government, I am bound to say that a completely new set of circumstances has since arisen in South Arabia, and that arrangement no longer applies.
    Mr. Wood: Will the hon. Gentleman say when talks will begin in which Her Majesty's Government will be able to make clear their future intentions towards Aden?
    Mr. Roberts: As the right hon. Gentleman knows, the present tide-over arrangement extends until 31st May. There is therefore time to consider if and when these discussions should take place. At the moment I cannot give a date.
    Mr. J. T. Price: While I am not primarily concerned with diplomatic niceties which may give rise to consideration of the loans, may I ask whether my hon. Friend is aware that a number of us in this House will continue to look with a critical eye upon the granting of loans to people who are not our friends and that so long as this country is in the red we should all be critical about dispensing money which we have not got to people who may never pay it back?
    Mr. Roberts: There will be considerable agreement with what my hon. Friend has said, but I am sure that hon. Members on both sides of the House will agree that we have to take into account other considerations, including long-term British interests.

RHODESIA (EXECUTIONS)
Mr. Winnickasked the Secretary of State for Commonwealth Affairs if he will make a statement on the latest hangings carried out by the illegal régime in Rhodesia.
The Secretary of State for Commonwealth Affairs (Mr. George Thomson): As the House knows, two more men were hanged in Salisbury this morning. I understand that the fate of four whom it was intended to hang today has not yet been decided by the régime, and that in nine cases out of more than 100 who are under sentence of death the regime has decided not to proceed to execution. Nothing that I could say would add to the abhorrence which we must all feel at the further demonstration provided by this morning's hangings of the illegal régime's disregard of the rule of law. As I told the House on 6th March, Her Majesty's Government are considering what measures should now be taken. A further statement will be made on this matter as soon as possible. I am sure that the House will agree that in present circumstances there can be no question of resuming contacts with the illegal régime?
Mr. Winnick: Is the Commonwealth Secretary aware of the continued anger at the actions of this blood-stained and illegal regime in hanging these men despite worldwide protests? Are these to be the continuing features of the Rhodesian way of life? Could we know what tougher action is to be taken by the Government, with mandatory sanctions if necessary, to bring down this régime?
Mr. Thomson: I have undertaken to make a statement to the House as soon as possible, and I shall certainly do so.
Mr. Maudling: Of course, very great emotions have been aroused in this matter, but will the right hon. Gentleman agree that until the further statement to be made by the Government is debated it would be wrong to do or to say anything which would impede our long-term objectives and, to get the facts straight, will he make absolutely clear the nature of the crimes for which these men were convicted?
Hon. Members: And how long ago?
Mr. Thomson: In answer to the final question by the right hon. Gentleman, the two men hanged this morning were convicted of murder on 10th October, 1964—murder of a sub-chief. I think the right hon. Gentleman has taken the point, as the House has taken the point, that everyone in all parts of this House abhors these particular killings as killings, but the question that has affronted the House is, of course, the fact that these men were under sentence of death for periods considerably longer than two years and that in the last resort they were refused the right of leave to appeal to the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council.
Mr. Judd: Will my right hon. Friend agree that ultimate responsibility for everything which happens in Salisbury rests in this House and that therefore we must discuss at the earliest possible opportunity how we can make measures effective, which so far have not been effective, in dealing with the illegal régime?
Mr. Thomson: I understand the strong feelings in all parts of the House about this, and I have undertaken to make a considered statement as soon as possible. I think that the House, in the light of that statement, will want to decide whether it wants to take further action.
Mr. Thorpe: Does the right hon. Gentleman realise that most hon. and right hon. Members agree that in this difficult matter he has acted with great dignity and restraint? Could he tell us when it will be possible for his statement to be made, and will he accept that hon. Members in all parts of the House would like it to be made in a matter of days?
Mr. Thomson: Yes, I accept that and I am as anxious as any hon. or right hon. Member to see this statement made, but there are a number of things which have to be taken into account, including the situation at the United Nations, but I will make it as soon as I can.
Mr. Shinwell: Will my right hon. Friend agree that what is happening in Rhodesia now and what may happen in the foreseeable future transcends the dispute between our Government and the régime in Rhodesia? In the circumstances, could we not try a rather different initiative by asking the United
980
Nations to pronounce on this matter in the name of humanity?
Mr. Thomson: The Human Rights Commission at the United Nations has already expressed its condemnation of the illegal hangings in Salisbury. I think the matter is likely to come before the Security Council of the United Nations before very much time has passed.
Sir D. Walker-Smith: In regard to the question asked by the right hon. Member for Easington (Mr. Shinwell), does the Secretary of State appreciate that it is inconsistent with the claim to sovereignty to place the matter within the jurisdiction of the Security Council? Secondly, will he now consider the preparation and publication of a White Paper so that the House, before debating this matter, can be in possession of the full factual information and background?
Mr. Thomson: I should like to consider whether it would be more for the convenience of the House to have a White Paper or simply a statement from me which could be subsequently considered. The first point raised by the right hon. and learned Gentleman I do not accept at all. He knows perfectly well that this has been argued out a great deal ever since the illegal declaration of independence. Our legal responsibility in respect of Rhodesia is not in dispute, as my right hon. Friend pointed out, but this is also, of course, an international problem, an international problem which has been made more acute and more provocative by the actions taken by the illegal régime during the past fortnight.
Mr. John Lee: While we are waiting for the statement, does not my right hon. Friend realise that this Smith creature will go on with illegal killings week by week? What we want to know from my right hon. Friend is what action we can take now.
Mr. Thomson: I appreciate my hon. Friend's deep sense of feeling. If he has any suggestions—
Mr. Lee: I have plenty.
Mr. Thomson:—I would be happy to consider them with others we are considering, but I think the House would agree that in a matter of this gravity it is important to consider these matters, certainly as seriously as possible, but also as

981
timely as possible before coming to conclusions.
Sir Knox Cunningham: Are we to understand that the right hon. Gentleman recognises and approves the mercy which has been shown to those Africans who have been reprieved?
Mr. Faulds: You whited sepulchre. [Interruption.]
Mr. Thomson: I hope the hon. and learned Member will seriously consider the implication of the words he has just used. I do not know whether he was purporting to accept from the Opposition side of the House that the man who has usurped the functions of the Crown in Rhodesia has the right to exercise the prerogative of mercy. If so, I ask him to consider the implication of what he has said very seriously. The words I used in my main Answer this afternoon were very carefully chosen—the illegal "régime has decided not to proceed to execution" in certain other cases.
Sir G. Nabarro: On a point of order, Mr. Speaker. We on this side of the House distinctly heard the hon. Member for Smethwick (Mr. Faulds)—
Mr. Faulds: I distinctly said it.
Sir G. Nabarro:—bawl across the House both a blasphemous and a disorderly statement. The words were, "You whited sepulchre"—blasphemous and disorderly. Would you, as it was addressed to you, Mr. Speaker, cause this to be withdrawn?
Mr. Speaker: I think that the last thing that Mr. Speaker would want to rule on is as to what is blasphemous. I did not understand the highly metaphorical and emotional expression of the hon. Member for Smethwick (Mr. Faulds) as being a reflection on the Chair, but I would hope that the hon. Member for Smethwick would allow other people to express opinions when he also claims the same right for himself.
Mr. Faulds: Further to that point of order, Sir. That biblical expression was, of course, not directed at you. In a moment of heat I am afraid I used a slightly unparliamentary expression. To you, Mr. Speaker, I apologise. To the other gentleman I do not.
Several Hon. Members rose—
Mr. Speaker: Order. I can assure the hon. Gentleman that I can recognise a biblical quotation when I hear one.
Mr. Shinwell: Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. Are you aware that in all my experience in the House, which goes back many years, the term "whited sepulchre" has never been regarded as unparliamentary? All it does is to reflect on the poor vocabulary of my hon. Friend the Member for Smethwick (Mr. Faulds).
Mr. Speaker: I am grateful for the historical experiences of the right hon. Gentleman.
Sir J. Langford-Holt: Further to that point of order, Mr. Speaker. Would it not in the circumstances be quite unreasonable to hold the hon. Member for Smethwick (Mr. Faulds) as being responsible for what he says?
Mr. Speaker: That is not a point of order.
Mr. Alexander W. Lyon: Is my right hon. Friend aware of the widespread resentment on this side at the suggestion which has been made in some quarters of the House and in some parts of the Press that the original hangings were partly caused by the intervention of the British Government? Does he regard the present hangings as being partly caused by the intervention of His Holiness the Pope?
Mr. Thomson: I do not think that I would like to comment on either half of my hon. Friend's question.
Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: Can the right hon. Gentleman tell the House, so that we may know, or possibly put a list in the Library, those Commonwealth and ex-Commonwealth countries which still retain the death penalty for murder?
Mr. Thomson: If the hon. Gentleman would table a Question I should be happy to ensure that it was answered. I do not think that the question has any relevance to the matter which is moving the House now. This is not a question of the merits or otherwise of capital punishment. This is a question of an illegal regime carrying out illegal executions.
Mr. Ogden: Does my right hon. Friend agree that we should not be concerning ourselves either with Parliamentary expressions or with biblical points of order, but with how we could possibly save the lives of some people in Rhodesia who are under sentence of death? Has there been any intervention, either unofficial or official, between the British Government and the regime in Rhodesia?
Mr. Thomson: I agree with my hon. Friend that what we ought to concentrate on in these issues is the exercise of mercy and common humanity and the saving of the lives of people who have been under the shadow of the death sentence for so long. The Governor in Rhodesia, as the Queen's representative, is not recognised in any way at all by this illegal régime.
Sir C. Taylor: Will the Secretary of State tell us whether the illegal régime in Rhodesia is or is not the de facto Government?
Mr. Thomson: I am somewhat surprised that in these circumstances there are the number of hon. Members that there are on the other side of the House who seem to be anxious somehow or other to justify what this regime has done. [HON. MEMBERS: "Answer"] I am about to answer the question. I set out very plainly in considered statements last week exactly why we profoundly dissent from the view of the law which was expressed by the Chief Justice of Rhodesia, Sir Hugh Beadle; and to that view we adhere.
Mr. Faulds: In view of this morning's events and last week's events, will my right hon. Friend consider the immediate withdrawal of our residual mission from Salisbury and the closing down of Rhodesia House in London, however inconvenient that may be for some habitual cocktail sippers on the other side who frequent it?
Mr. Thomson: No. I think that my hon. Friend has in this matter got things out of perspective. I say nothing about the post that exists here, but our residual mission in Salisbury has played a quite notable and quite heroic rôle in very difficult circumstances, and the last thing that they find themselves engaging in these days is cocktail sipping.
Mr. Ronald Bell: Will the Secretary of State confirm that in respect of the two
984
men hanged this morning no reprieves had been granted? Would he explain how in those circumstances the rule of law was broken by the execution of a sentence which was passed before independence?
Mr. Thomson: The hon. Gentleman is, if I mistake not, more learned in the law than I am. I should have thought that he would have known immediately that the deprivation of the right of people to resort to the ultimate court of appeal on a capital charge is about the grossest breach of the rule of law that one could think of.
Mr. Delargy: Mr. Speaker, is it not sadly significant that so far not one word of regret at these hangings has come from the other side?
Mr. Biggs-Davison: Having been perhaps foolish enough to telegraph to Salisbury in the hope that clemency might have been extended in the earlier cases, perhaps I might be permitted to ask the right hon. Gentleman whether in fact his reference to the rule of law was not a little ill-considered, since the sentences carried out, whatever we may think of the humanitarian aspect, are sentences of Her Majesty's judges and the preservation of law and order in Rhodesia is a matter of high concern to the House. Would not he consider that?
Mr. Thomson: I respect what the hon. Gentleman said in his opening phrases about his own desire to see mercy exercised in these cases. As I explained to the hon. Member for Eastbourne (Sir C. Taylor) earlier, we dissent fundamentally from the view of the law taken by the Chief Justice of Rhodesia, Sir Hugh Beadle, in respect of these cases. That judgment itself sprang from an affidavit of one of the—I do not wish to use provocative language, but one of the people in the régime—telling the High Court of Rhodesia that, whatever it did, the régime would not stay the execution of these men to allow them their ultimate court of appeal at the Privy Council.
Sir Alec Douglas-Home: I think that the hon. Member for Thurrock (Mr. Delargy) was a little unjust in saying that nobody from this side had regretted recent events. Certainly we have done so. When the Secretary of State makes his balanced statement to the House later

985
this week, would he remember that there are 4 million Africans in Rhodesia for whom the House has been trying to do something for years so as to ensure that they have a fair future in a non-racial society?
Mr. Thomson: Yes, Sir. I am grateful to the right hon. Gentleman. It is precisely that fact that none of us can ever forget. It is precisely how best to serve the interests of the peoples of all races in Rhodesia, but especially of the majority race in Rhodesia, that is exercising our minds. I think that the right hon. Gentleman will agree that the words I used in my statement went no further than the comments he made in his own public statement about the present difficulties which have been created.
Mr. Leadbitter: Is my right hon. Friend aware that, regrettable though these hangings are in themselves, they have nevertheless increased the differences between this country and Rhodesia and at the same time have brought closer the possibility of conflict between Rhodesia and the emergent States which are her neighbours? As the patience of the Prime Minister in the past has held off a conflict in this area, would not my right hon. Friend agree that the urgent step necessary at this point of time is to approach the United Nations in order that there may be some containment in this area and conflict avoided?
Mr. Thomson: As I told the House, the United Nations is actively seized of the matter, as it has been for a long time. Some of the operations of Her Majesty's Government have been done under resolution of the United Nations. I think that developments at the United Nations during the next few days will be of critical importance.
Several Hon. Members rose—
Mr. Speaker: Order. Mr. Peart—statement.

FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE
The Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (Mr. Fred Peart): With your permission, Mr. Speaker, I should like to make a statement with regard to further help for the farms hit by the foot-and-mouth epidemic.
The main problem of restocking will be the pressure on the market for milking animals. I am glad to be able to announce that, with the agreement of the Treasury and subject to Parliament's approval of the necessary Supplementary Estimate in due course, I propose to introduce a new scheme to help with this problem.
Under this scheme grant at £20 a head will be paid on the number of slaughtered dairy herd milking animals which it is estimated would normally have been replaced before 1st October, 1968, but whose replacement is deferred until after then through the farm embarking upon a suitable alternative enterprise. In helping to keep the market for milking animals stable, the scheme will benefit all restocking farmers. It should give them confidence that they need not feel obliged to pay unreasonable prices for replacement stock. It will complement the £10 per acre special ploughing grant which I have already introduced. It will particularly help farmers whose land is not suitable for ploughing. My Department has worked very closely with the National Farmers' Union on the scheme, and the Union has given it a warm welcome. Details will be announced shortly.
On compensation, I recognise the problem resulting from market values for some stock being lower in the early weeks of the epidemic than later on. The valuation records show that it bears mainly on the first four weeks and on cattle other than specially valued pedigree stock and bulls. But there are real difficulties in increasing the rate of compensation paid in respect of the earlier outbreaks. Moreover, to the extent that prices of replacement stock may rise, it is other farmers who will benefit from the increases. Also, the milk returns of other dairy farmers have increased this year because of the epidemic.
Nevertheless, the Government are prepared to help in this matter—and so, I am glad to say, is the industry. The hardship caused by the lower market valuation of earlier compensation for cattle

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could be reasonably offset at the cost of about £500,000. I have been having discussions with the National Farmers Union about a scheme under which the industry would contribute up to half this sum and the Exchequer would contribute £1 for £1, subject to Parliament's approval of the necessary Supplementary Estimate in due course. I am glad to say that this has been agreed in principle on behalf of the industry by the National Farmers Union, which is discussing administrative arrangements with the Milk Marketing Board. There are some difficulties to be overcome, but if the industry succeeds in providing its share of the cost, details of the scheme will be announced as soon as possible.
Restocking has now begun in some of the areas where infection was lighter and is being as quickly as possible extended to other areas under suitable safeguards. Together with all else that is being done—including the special £10 ploughing grant, the taxation concessions, the help of the Ministry's Advisory Services, the encouragement of existing grant-aid schemes and the National Farmers Union's restocking scheme—these new measures should enable the exacting task of bringing each farm into full production again to be well planned and carried out wisely and steadily.
Mr. Noble: The House will be pleased to hear from the Minister that more action is being taken to help farmers in this sector in the way he has explained. I have one or two questions to put on matters which are not clear to me from his statement.
There are two parts to the arrangements which he has announced. The first, as I understand it, is the £20 per head scheme, which, I gather from what he has said, is designed particularly to help those places where the land is not suitable for ploughing. Why, therefore, has the right hon. Gentleman chosen 1st October as the date, and who is to say what a suitable alternative enterprise is? Is the latter a matter which the Government will decide on their own?
On the compensation side, it seems that administrative arrangements are being discussed with the Milk Marketing Board. Does this mean that the Government's view is that the money which is to come from the industry will have
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to come from a milk levy? If so, is that the fairest way? It seems to me that the people who stand to gain the benefit may well be those who are selling the dairy cattle. Are they in some way to contribute to the industry's share?
Finally, is the right hon. Gentleman satisfied that, in the case of this outbreak, nothing is needed to compensate in any further way either beef or sheep interests?
Mr. Peart: We think that 1st October is the right date, and we have made an estimate in regard to those who would be affected and would qualify. Grant will be paid only if a farmer replaces by 1st October less than 60 per cent. of his animals. We consider that 1st October is right.
The question of the alternative kind of enterprise is a matter on which we would advise the farmer. We would have consultation through our N.A.A.S. officers. It would depend very much on the farm and its equipment. The farmer may need young dairy stock, he could need beef cattle, he might wish to have cropping for hay, and so on. This is essentially a matter on which the N.A.A.S. should give advice, and we shall do it in that way.
I could not commit myself on whether there would b a levy. This is a matter about which the union will have discussions with the Milk Marketing Board. It could well be that this will be the system, but there will be a contribution from the Government on a £1 for £ 1 basis. The details are still being discussed by the unions.
On the right hon. Gentleman's last question, I think that what we have done in the circumstances is right and reasonable, and I cannot go beyond it.
Dr. John Dunwoody: I assure my right hon. Friend that his statement today will be widely welcomed in the rural communities. Could he now make an estimate of the total cost to the Exchequer of this epidemic?
Mr. Peart: I could not do that as yet. What I have announced today could affect the Exchequer to the extent of approximately £500,000, that is, £250,000 for one scheme, linked with £250,000 from the industry—which will be £500,000 to the farmers who will be affected—and the alternative enterprise scheme could

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cost the Exchequer something in the region of £250,000.
On e wider question of how the industry has been affected by foot-and-mouth disease, it is very difficult to give an estimate. The compensation is well over £30 million, but the consequential losses are considerable.
Mr. Biffen: The right hon. Gentleman said that he had been discussing these arrangements with the industry. As a result those discussions, has he had an indication that the N.F.U. insurance for consequential loss, which is related to the original compensation paid by the Ministry, will be revised in view of the increased compensation which can now he paid in certain circumstances?
Mr. Peart: That point has been put to me. I cannot be precise or definite. It is a private arrangement outside my responsibility. It could well be affected, but I cannot be sure. I would rather be frank with the hon. Gentleman and say that.
Mr. Dalyell: Could my right hon. Friend say something of the financial arrangements in those cases in which the Army has done very valuable work in preparing the conditions for restocking? Credit is due to the Army, is it not?
Mr. Peart: I have always paid tribute to the Army and the work that it has done. I cannot be precise about the cost of employment of troops. I do not think that we would want to ascertain it. The fact is that this help was given.
Mr. Hooson: As the Minister has had many brickbats thrown at him, and will have more yet in regard to the epidemic, will he take it that the news which he has given will be generally appreciated? I should like to ask two questions. With regard to the first scheme, is it intended to pay the money after restocking has taken place after 1st October? As to the second scheme, is it intended or envisaged that the contribution made by the industry will be, as it were, across-the-board in the dairy industry?
Mr. Peart: On the latter point, as I have said, the National Farmers Union is having discussions with the Milk Marketing Board. I cannot say precisely what will emerge from their discussions. It could well he as the hon. and learned
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Member suggests. That was why I had to give the answer which I gave to the previous question about the possibility of a levy. On the question of the date, it will be for farmers to apply now if they wish.
Mr. Grant-Ferris: Is the Minister aware that I certainly could not, on behalf of my constituents, give unqualified approval to what he has said up to now? We need a much closer look at the position to see how it operates in all fairness. Will the Minister say, however, whether the drainage grant, which he knows about, could be applied to people drawing the £20 allowance?
Mr. Peart: That is an interesting point. I have suggested that there could be alternative enterprises. There are many ways in which help could be given. Certainly, this suggestion could be considered and I shall look at it. The N.A.A.S. would advise individual farmers.
I am sorry that the hon. Member cannot give unqualified approval. All I can say is that the scheme has been welcomed by the industry.
Mr. Temple: The Minister has said that the whole agricultural community will make a contribution towards the compensation payments. Does that include Scotland as well as England and Wales?
Mr. Peart: It could well be that farmers outside the area would make a contribution to help. This is why, in a sense, the scheme which has been suggested and agreed in principle can be an attractive one.
Sir G. Nabarro: While expressing my gratitude to the Minister on behalf of Worcestershire farmers, who, I am sure, will welcome the announcement which he has made today, may I ask whether he realises that there was great dubiety last Wednesday night about the taxation of compensation for foot-and-mouth disease? Will the right hon. Gentleman assure the House that neither the £20 per head nor the £10 per acre ploughing-up grant following foot-and-mouth affliction will be assessed to Income Tax, Surtax, Corporation or Capital Gains Tax?
Mr. Peart: I cannot say that about the subsidies which are given in the normal

991
way. The normal law applies. I have looked carefully at what the hon. Member said the other day when he asked about Corporation Tax. The three-year concession, which has nothing to do with what I have announced now, applies to Corporation Tax, too. Individual companies would, however, be well advised, before electing to make use of this concession, to consult their tax advisers.
There is no liability to Capital Gains Tax on any part of the compensation which is used to replace a slaughtered animal by a similiar animal within five years. I have followed up the point rightly raised by the hon. Member last week. What I have said now should make clear whether any particular subsidy is covered.
Mr. Peter Mills: The Minister's announcement will, of course, be of help to the farmers in question, but can the right hon. Gentleman help them in the very real problem of how they can retain their cowmen and others who are leaving at an alarming rate? That is the real problem in the present situation.
Mr. Peart: The release of labour is another matter. In the areas in which there was the foot-and-mouth epidemic this was a real problem at one period, and I confess that I was worried about it, as were the leaders of the industry, but the position has now settled down.

ORDERS OF THE DAY
  SUPPLY
  [14TH ALLOTTED DAY],—considered.
  SUPPLY

    NAVAL POLICY
    Mr. Speaker: Before the House enters upon the business of Supply, I would like to refer to the Amendment to Vote A of the Defence (Navy) Estimates in the name of the hon. Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes). I cannot, of course, forecast whether the hon. Member will be successful in catching the eye of the Chair during the debate on Vote A, but if he is he will have an opportunity to move his Amendment.
    4.5 p.m.
    Mr. J. Enoch Powell: Before I move the Motion which appears on the Order Paper, it would, I think, be appropriate that I should refer to the tragic death of the Chief of Staff of the French Armed Forces and give expression to the regret which, I am sure, will very widely be felt at the passing of this distinguished soldier.
    Hon. Members: Hear, hear.
    Mr. Powell: I beg to move,
    That this House views with anxiety Her Majesty's Government's failure to produce a coherent policy for the protection of Great Britain's vital sea communications in the future.
    Our debate this afternoon takes place against the background of a remarkable change in strategic thinking. It is a change which has been taking place gradually, both in this country and elsewhere, during the last three years but which has crystallised with great rapidity in recent months. It is even reflected, if tardily and timidly, in the annual Defence Statement of Her Majesty's Government.
    It is a change which profoundly affects the outlook of all our Armed Forces. Perhaps it does so most of all for the Royal Navy. Indeed, it could eventually give meaning and credibility once again to the assertion in the current recruiting advertisement for that Service that the Navy
    "will be in the front line of our defence, the guarantee that we and our friends shall control

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    the Northern seas, the Atlantic approaches and the Mediterranean."
    In 1965, the policy portion of the Defence Statement contained no reference whatever to the rôle of our maritime forces. En 1966, the only mention under the heading of
    "N.A.T.O. and the Defence of Europe"
    was this one bleak sentence:
    "We hope to make some reduction in the level of our naval forces…declared to N.A.T.O."
    The Statement of 1967, however, was more prolix. Under the heading:
    "Revision of N.A.T.O. strategy"
    it offered the "political assessment" that no
    "rational Government…would reckon to achieve by the use of force…any political objective whose value would be remotely commensurate with the appalling risks".
    It further ruled out what it called
    "large-scale attack as a result of accident miscalculation".
    From this, it proceeded to deduce the following rôle for the maritime forces.
    "N.A.T.O. must be ready at sea, as well as on land, to demonstrate its will and its ability to respond appropriately to any act of aggression. But it is no longer realistic for the Alliance to attempt to provide maritime forces for conducting a prolonged war at sea after a strategic nuclear exchange. Deterrence must be the first purpose of N.A.T.O.'s naval forces too."
    The remarkable words there were
    "after a strategic nuclear exchange".
    A prolonged war at sea, either before or without a strategic nuclear exchange, was not even considered worth mentioning. In brief, war at sea on any substantial scale of intensity or duration had sunk below the horizon of official thinking.
    This year, however—1968—a new note has been heard. However much the Secretary of State for Defence has sought to mute it and play it down, it is new. The Statement repeats from previous years the familiar three contentions: that the political intentions of a potential opponent must be taken into account; that there will be warning of a change in those political intentions; and that the forces which the nations are prepared to provide should be the basis of their strategy.
    Now, however, a fourth is added in these terms:
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    "It is also agreed that within the total resources available to N.A.T.O., adjustments should be made, particularly within the air forces, with the object of extending the conventional phase of hostilities, should war break out; this would give more time in which any decision to use nuclear weapons "—
    Note that: it is not just "strategic nuclear weapons", but "any nuclear weapons"—
    "could be taken."
    Certainly the point that too many of the air forces in N.A.T.O. are tied down to the nuclear rôle is not new. It was made two years ago and has been given fresh potency, as the right hon. Gentleman mentioned last week, by the incident of the Pueblo. What is new and far-reaching in its implications is the objective assigned to conventional Forces:
    "to extend the conventional phase of hostilities, should war break out"
    and the words which follow:
    "to give more time in which decision—"
    it should be noticed that the decision might be negative—
    "to use nuclear weapons could be taken."
    This scenario is already appreciably removed from that of the Defence Review, Cmnd. 2901, of two years ago, when it ran:
    "N.A.T.O. must maintain enough conventional forces to deal with small-scale conflicts in the European theatre without automatic resort to nuclear weapons, when the origin of the conflict may be uncertain and the intentions of the enemy obscure."
    But the cautious words of the British Defence Statement belong to a far larger context. They barely lift the hem of the veil from a far-reaching reappraisal which has been taking place. Others have not been so prudish. In reply to a Written Question last week inquiring what estimate he had made of the approximate comparative strength of armed forces deployed in Europe by N.A.T.O. and by the Warsaw Pact, the right hon. Gentleman replied that:
    "Security considerations preclude my making available the detailed information requested."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 5th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 65.]
    The right hon. Gentleman need not have been so shy. They have not precluded the American Secretary of Defence from telling Congress last month his answer to that precise question. It is perhaps worth while for the House

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    to be reminded of what Congress has been told. Mr. McNamara said:
    "In all regions except Norway, the N.A.T.O. and Warsaw Pact forces are about equal in manpower. N.A.T.O. has about 900,000 troops deployed in all regions of continental Europe, compared to 960,000 troops for the Warsaw Pact. While manpower comparisons alone are not conclusive measures of military strength, I believe that they are reasonable first approximations of relative ground force capabilities."
    He continued:
    "In the case of air forces our relative capability is far greater than a simple comparison of numbers would indicate. By almost every measure—range, payload, ordnance effectiveness, loiter time, crew training—N.A.T.O. air forces are better than the Pact's for non-nuclear war. As a result of these advantages, which continue to move in our favour every day, we estimate that the N.A.T.O. M-day forces employed in Central Europe would have significantly more offensive capability than the Pact forces."
    The American Secretary of Defence continued:
    "If either side chose, the ready land forces could be greatly reinforced before any fighting began. Assuming a simultaneous mobilisation, within 30 days the Pact could probably gain a manpower advantage on the central front and a somewhat greater advantage in overall ground combat capability. This gap would then begin to narrow with the arrival of more U.S. forces. N.A.T.O. tactical aircraft reinforcements would about equal the Pact's in the early stages of mobilisation, after which we could add considerably more aircraft than the Pact. Our main advantage in this area, however, stems from the great superiority of our aircraft, pilots and weapons."
    If this is the American appreciation, and bearing in mind the proposition, however impossible it is to quantify it specifically, that successful offence requires a considerable preponderance of force over the defence, small wonder that the object of N.A.T.O. non-nuclear forces is now, in the right hon. Gentleman's own words,
    "prolonging to the maximum the period of conventional resistance."
    That maximum no longer has any necessary limit.
    I will not trouble the House again with the inherent difficulties of accepting at any point the preferability of self-destruction to surrender. I deployed them at some length last year in the debate on the Army Estimates. It is amply sufficient for my present purpose that the Government, like our Allies, now accept it to be desirable to go on fighting, to go on resisting, to endeavour to win and thus
    996
    to escape that dreadful choice, which the right hon. Gentleman himself so movingly described last week, between surrender and the well-nigh inconceivable.
    Anyone who studies the right hon. Gentleman's words as well as the official appreciation of our principal ally, will know that the right hon. Gentleman is simply playing for time when he puts up his hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration, as he did last Wednesday, to say that the extension in question must be measured "only in days"—"from one to five days". [Interruption.] I will prove this.
    If resistance is to be prolonged in any normal and natural meaning of the word, then war at sea becomes again a reality to be reckoned with. It is no chance hut a necessary consequence of the rest, that the same statement to Congress on which I have drawn already takes the war at sea for granted. I draw the attention of the House to the following paragraphs, which follow not long after those that I have already quoted:
    "In addition to providing naval support for regional contingencies—"
    reported the American Secretary for Defence—
    "we also want to have a capability for successfully concluding a war at sea. Soviet—and, to a lesser extent, Red Chinese—attack and cruise missile submarine forces are the main threat to our ability to win a war at sea."
    He continued:
    "Recent studies have reaffirmed the probability that in an all-out war at sea we would be able to destroy a very large proportion of the Soviet submarine force in a matter of a few months, while losing only a relatively small part of the Free World merchant fleet."
    There is no talk here, it will be observed, of a nuclear Armageddon after five days. An all-out war at sea is a war to be won by conventional means. It is a war which, in the opinion of the United States Administration, can and should be so won.
    Linked with this re-emergence of the war at sea is a changed understanding of the maritime potential of a continental power. We have been reminded in the last two or three years of something which an island nation ought never to have allowed itself to forget. Perhaps the lapse of 60 years and more since Admiral Rozhdest-vensky blundered his way half round the

    997
    world to meet his doom in the Straits of Tsushima might excuse our lapse of memory where Russia was concerned. Yet not once but twice in the intervening years has Germany, the continental military power par excellence, come within an ace of strangling this country into submission through the sea.
    The truth we have forgotten is that an island nation and economy are specially vulnerable to a continental opponent. Immune or virtually immune himself from maritime interference with his own vitals, he can concentrate with impunity upon the offensive at sea. That Russia is exploring these potentialities with a new determination, the right hon. Gentleman has recognised in terms with which I cannot quarrel. Last week he said:
    "…the Soviet Navy has become a power in its own right."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 4th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 65.]
    There is no mistaking the changed nature of the strategic environment in which Britain has to live henceforward. So far we have been able to tell ourselves the comfortable tale that the war at sea could not happen, certainly that it could not be an all-out war involving our very existence, let alone our ability to be of the slightest comfort and assistance to friends and allies in any quarter of the globe. Such a war, so the doctrine used to run, could only be part of a prolonged general war, and that, by definition, was impossible. Moreover, if operations at sea threatened to be decisive, they must surely go nuclear.
    Today all this is stripped away. Our principal ally—the very ally on whom we rely upon to go nuclear immediately the pace gets warm—is openly preparing and expecting to be able to fight and win an all-out war at sea, and the behaviour of the second greatest naval power in the world is only explicable on the assumption that it, too, holds the same view.
    We in this House therefore have to ask with what maritime forces Britain in future will be prepared if need be to help fight and win an all-out war at sea, bearing in mind two things. The first is that we have no right to assume that our American allies, irrespective of any commitments or operations elsewhere, will be able, however willing, always and unconditionally to fight Britain's share in
    998
    that war as well as their own. The second is that for an island and a great maritime and commercial nation to resign from this capability of all capabilities would be the ultimate betrayal.
    Mr. Christopher Mayhew: The right hon. Gentleman's statement about the importance of sea power in Europe will be widely accepted but will he explain why, therefore, the Opposition policy for the 1970s is to keep large parts of the British Fleet in Singapore and the Persian Gulf, away from Europe?
    Mr. Powell: I intend to survey that area of the subject as well before I sit down.
    There is no real doubt or question about what, up to two years ago, was the principal arm around which the Royal Navy was built and upon which its philosophy rested. It was the aircraft carrier. The 1966 White Paper stated:
    "The aircraft carrier is the most important element of the Fleet for offensive action against an enemy at sea or ashore…"
    The capability and importance thus described were perfectly general. I stress this because after their latest spasm, which brought the demise of the carriers forward from the mid-1970s to 1971, the Government have tried to laugh the whole thing off.
    Last Monday, the Secretary of State pretended that this was just an East of Suez capability which the Government have now rendered superfluous by the same stroke of the pen which overturned so many of their other assertions and assurances. Not so. Not only is the 1966 White Paper perfectly clear but anyone who reads the debate of 7th March, 1966, will be in no doubt of what was really meant. In that debate, the right hon. Gentleman had been dealing with the functions of a carrier fleet East of Suez and he was interrupted by Commander Courtney, who said that this was not the only operation for which the carrier was indispensable, adding:
    "The carrier is a protection for ships anywhere, as well as support for forces outside Europe."
    The right hon. Gentleman replied:
    "I am grateful to the hon. and gallant Member. I am coming precisely to that point. There is in fact only one rôle of the carrier which we consider necessary and which there is some difficulty in carrying out more

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    cheaply by other means, and that is the protection of ships at sea, either merchant ships or naval vessels. We plan to replace this capability so far as it is necessary when carriers have gone, in part by the use of R.A.F. aircraft operating from land bases… and, in addition, we shall develop a small surface-to-surface guided weapon for use against missile-firing ships.
    These developments will take time…and I am very anxious that in the meantime the Fleet shall not be deprived of the protection which only carriers at present can afford. That is why I believe it is essential to run our existing carrier force as long as possible into the 1970s…"—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 7th March, 1966; Vol. 725, c. 1793]
    A year later, in 1967, there was still no doubt about the generality of the need for the carrier capability which had to be replaced. The White Paper said:
    "New ships which the Royal Navy will need for its future tasks are being planned;—
    but—
    "until these are ready in about the middle 1970's, the carrier force will continue to be a component of the highest importance."
    If the right hon. Gentleman still maintains that the carrier capability was relevant only east of Suez then, on his own showing, he must mean that these new ships which were to re-provide it are not now to be proceeded with. If so, he should get up and say so.
    While I am referring to the right hon. Gentleman's habit of re-writing his own as well as other people's speeches, perhaps this is the point at which to put straight the record which, I think inadvertently, the right hon. Gentleman falsified last week and to which I told him I would advert today. He interrupted my hon. Friend the Member for Hendon, North (Sir Ian Orr-Ewing), who was referring to the Anglo-Malaysian Agreement, and alleged that I had given my view of our commitments under that Treaty and under the S.E.A.T.O. treaty as
    "…meaning everything or nothing according to the view one takes."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 7th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 683]
    The speech in question was delivered by me at Blackpool in October, 1966, and I said there:
    "Under the C.E.N.T.O. and S.E.A.T.O. Treaties the only formal obligation of the parties is to consult together and their members are free to interpret, and have in fact interpreted, what is required of them in widely differing senses varying from zero upwards."
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    That was no more than a plain statement of the facts. I added,
    "On the other hand, we do have an explicit commitment to Malaysia."
    It is difficult to imagine a more direct misrepresentation than that of which the right hon. Gentleman, I have no doubt unintentionally but nevertheless recklessly, was guilty.
    The Secretary of State for Defence (Mr. Denis Healey): The right hon. Gentleman is well aware of what I am about to say. When I used the words I used, I was using his own words, not those of 1966, but those in an article in the Spectator of 3rd February, 1967. I am sure that he will agree that I should read them to the House. What the right hon. Gentleman wrote was:
    "Commitments, certainly the commitments which Britain has East of Suez, mean what you take them to mean, ranging from nothing to everything."
    I hope that the right hon. Gentleman will now withdraw the suggestion that my remarks were not fully justified by his own statement.
    Mr. Powell: On the contrary. I have pointed out to the right hon. Gentleman, as I have pointed out to the House, that I have specifically and formally distinguished our obligation under the Treaty to Malaysia from our obligation under S.E.A.T.O. It is no answer for the right hon. Gentleman to refer to some general phrase in some other place when I have specifically, formally and publicly made that distinction. However the record has now been put right.
    Mr. Healey: Exactly—by me.
    Mr. Powell: I am afraid that the right hon. Gentleman is invariably ungracious in admitting it when he has misrepresented, as he frequently does, other hon. Members.
    Mr. Healey: I have quoted to the House the right hon. Gentleman's words, which were exactly the words which I attributed to him in the debate last week. They are words which he uttered after the earlier speech to which he has just referred. If the right hon. Gentleman made a mistake and misrepresented himself on 3rd February, 1967, he should have the courage to admit it now.
    Mr. Powell: I have made it perfectly clear that I have distinguished the

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    Malaysian commitment from the other commitments the generality of which was referred to in the passage which the right hon. Gentleman has quoted. As a matter of fact, I communicated with the right hon. Gentleman last Friday and asked him to rifer me to the passage which he had in mind. It is interesting that he has given me no opportunity of being aware of it in advance.
    Mr. Healey: I have no idea whether the right hon. Gentleman has yet read the letter in which I gave him the precise reference to which I referred, but I sent it to him this morning.
    Mr. Powell: I wrote to the right hon. Gentleman on Friday and my secretary was in communication with his secretary in the middle of Friday morning.
    In his statement of last July the right hon. Gentleman was still saying:
    "Air power will be as indispensable for the Fleet of tomorrow as it is today."
    Those are the right hon. Gentleman's own words. Yet the philosophy of the Fleet's air power in the future has never yet been made clear, probably because no clear conception of it has in fact ever been reached amid the shifting quicksands of the Government's changes of purpose.
    For the helicopter element, with its rôle against the submarine and as a means of broadening the horizon for missile strike, provision is being made; but as regards reconnaissance and strike at longer range, when the Government last July wrote
    "The Royal Navy, like the Army, will rely on R.A.F. land-based aircraft to support it",
    the false analogy implicit in the words "like the Army" disclosed the gap in their thinking.
    The Army will have its support, both for reconnaissance and strike, in the Harriers and the Phantoms. A year ago the maritime air strike was to be entrusted, so the right hon. Gentleman himself said on 28th February, 1967, to the Anglo-French variable geometry aircraft—and we know what has happened to that—and to the F111, which only last week the Under-Secretary of Defence for the Royal Air Force was wistfully describing as having had a maritime rôle—and we all know what has happened to the F111. This leaves us with the shore-based Phantoms and the Nimrod. But
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    can we be so certain that no part of the war at sea will have to be fought beyond their range from land, from land unconditionally available for us in time of war? This is one of the great unresolved questions which hangs over the future of our maritime defence.
    Just as serious—if possible, more serious still—is the question mark over submarine and anti-submarine warfare. By last July the Government seemed at last to have adopted firmly a new central point—I will not be so unkind to the right hon. Gentleman as to describe it as a new "core"—for the structure of our maritime forces in future.
    "From the middle 1970s"—
    the Supplementary Statement declared—
    "the main striking power of the Royal Navy will be provided by the growing force of Fleet submarines."
    In short, the carrier philosophy was to be succeeded by a submarine philosophy.
    Mr. Tam Dalyell: I have been following very intently, but I am not clear how many carriers the right hon. Gentleman would have in service. Can we know what is his idea of the number of carriers that we should have in service?
    Mr. Powell: I have not the slightest intention of answering such a question. My object and my purpose and my duty is to point out that there is an uncovered requirement the means of fulfilling which is unexplained by the Administration. That is my business and that is my function. If the right hon. Gentleman and the Administration want to be told what to do, if they admit that they have themselves failed to provide a consistent and intelligible naval policy, then the action for them is simple: it is to resign from office and hand over to those from whom they now seek advice after having reduced to ruins all that my party had planned and done.
    The 1967 White Paper represented a shift from a carrier philosophy to a submarine philosophy. It seems no exaggeration to say that the nuclear-powered submarine has worked a revolution in maritime warfare comparable with the supersession of sail by steam. The nuclear-powered submarine is, or is about to be—quite apart from range and endurance—faster by a large margin than

    1003
    anything else which moves in the water and to possess a versatility in fighting of which the pre-nuclear submarine could not dream.
    No doubt there will be phases, as in all other fields of warfare, when the submarine and counter measures against the submarine alternately gain the mastery for a time; but, one way or the other, decision in the war at sea is likely to revolve around the submarine, as decision in the war on land has revolved for a generation now around the armoured fighting vehicle, tank and antitank warfare. The era has arrived of which more than 20 years ago Air Marshal Kingston-McCloughry, in a book on which I had the honour to collaborate with him, wrote:
    "Intensification and further development of submarine and counter-submarine warfare is to be envisaged as the efficacy of attack and defence of surface vessels from the air increases. Thus the battle for command of the sea is likely to be fought by two categories of forces: on the one hand, air support and counter-support…and on the other hand, submarine and counter-submarine. Maritime warfare appears destined to be fought eventually by forces utilizing the third dimension above and below the surface."
    Having learnt, then, that for the Government the nuclear-powered submarine is to be "the main striking power of the Royal Navy", let us see what are the practical intentions of this consistent, farsighted, planning Government. We could hardly believe our ears when, in January, we heard the Prime Minister single out the nuclear-powered submarine programme for retrenchment. He said:
    "There will also be reductions in the rate of new naval construction, for example in the nuclear-powered hunter/killer submarines."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 16th January, 1968; Vol. 756, c. 1583.]
    Having been told that, the country had a right to be told at once what it meant, since it concerned "the main striking power of the Royal Navy". But Ministers do not, or will not, or cannot, tell the country what it means.
    Mr. Dalyell: Can the right hon. Gentleman?
    Mr. Powell: "Ministers", I said. I inquired on 14th February what rate of construction had been intended before the Government's latest decision and what now intended after it. The Minister
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    of Defence for Equipment replied vaguely:
    "I think that the statement…will be made much clearer"—
    certainly it could hardly be made much more obscure—
    "when my right hon. Friend makes his statement later this year."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 14th February, 1968; Vol. 758, c. 1327.]
    When I repeated the simple question last week and asked, even if the Government did not yet know the future programme and rate of construction, whether they would at least tell us what had been the previous intentions, the same right hon. Gentleman lost his temper, and displayed all the symptoms of a person caught cheating. He said that the rate of construction up to the present was the rate of construction up to the present. He said that the eighth hunter/killer submarine was
    "more than likely to go ahead."
    Finally, he said:
    "…we are now determining how many fleet submarines…are required for the future fleet."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 4th March, 1968; Vol. 759, c. 165.]
    So the Government do not know how many they were intending to build or how fast, and they do not know how many they are now intending to build or how fast. But they know that the rate is to be cut and they know that, of all naval construction, this programme will be cut.
    There is only one explanation which makes sense of that. The right hon. Gentleman has put the Royal Navy in pawn to the Chancellor of the Exchequer. He has been made to promise that, whatever the outcome of his studies, fewer nuclear powered submarines, if any, shall be built and at longer intervals. This is the Minister of Defence in the Government of a Prime Minister who promised
    "a stronger and more effective navy"
    and
    'an expanded naval shipbuilding programme"
    and who went on specifically to refer to
    "the hunter killer submarine programme".
    But that, of course, was before the Election. The right hon. Gentleman and his right hon. Friend make a fine pair.

    1005
    The rest of our naval thinking and naval planning is in similar confusion. In 1966, the two substantive announcements were
    "a new type of ship to succeed"
    the cruisers "Blake", "Lion" and "Tiger", and
    "a new class of guided missile ships "—
    the Type 82 destroyer. Then, in 1967, while the new class of cruisers to succeed "Tiger" still rated a mention, the Type 82 was no longer "a new class". It had shrunk to one ship.
    By the way, recruiting literature for the "Go Ahead Navy" has not yet caught up with that. So far in these debates, we have had apologies for the Army and the R.A.F. recruiting advertisements. Perhaps we could have one for the Royal Navy as well, to make up the set.
    The Type 82 was to remain unique—a one-off. Instead, there was to be
    'a new class of smaller destroyers"
    as well as new
    'small frigates".
    What has the responsible Minister to say about all this now? Last week, the right hon. Gentleman said:
    "The Late of building of the new small frigates and then of the new Seadart destroyers will depend on the eventual size of the destroyer and frigate fleet in the light of the new strategy."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 4th March, 1968; Vol. 759, c. 165.]
    But the Government do not know what "the new strategy" is to be. They are still studying it. Therefore, they cannot know
    "the eventual size of the…fleet".
    All that they know for certain is that it is to be reduced, because the Prime Minister said so. Can one wonder that the naval planners are reduced to distraction and the Royal Navy to a state of bewilderment and apprehension?
    The Motion which we place before the House tonight is about the country's vital sea communications. Too often, we think of those worldwide communications as if they were something formerly implicit in an Imperial rôle but have now lost their importance in this post-Imperial age. There could be no more dangerous delusion. "Rule Britannia" is not, as many people imagine, the theme song of late nineteenth century Imperialism. In fact,
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    it dates from 1740, from long before the very beginning of that Empire. The protection of our sea routes was then, as it is now and always will be, the fundamental requirement of our continued existence as a nation.
    The time has arrived when the Government no longer can take refuge from that requirement either in asserting that it has ceased to exist in the nuclear age or in simply refusing to answer any of the basic questions about how the requirement henceforward is to be met. The Government must show tonight that they can answer those questions, or else stand condemned for failure in the most crucial of all the responsibilities of a British Government.
    4.46 p.m.
    The Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy (Mr. Maurice Foley): In opening the debate, the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) referred to the tragic death of the Chief of Staff of the French Armed Forces. He and the whole House will wish to know that my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence has sent a telegram to the French Minister of Defence on behalf of Her Majesty's Government expressing our condolences.
    Coming to the Motion before us, the first point which one should make is that the right hon. Gentleman has not spent a great deal of time in devoting himself to the words of it. In the last paragraph of what presumably was his peroration, he referred to our vital sea communications. One would have thought that when the Opposition put down a Motion of this kind they would at least speak to it.
    I listened with great care to what the right hon. Gentleman said, and I do not think that we heard anything new. As always, his comments had this curious combination of qualities in that they were pointed without being sharp. Indeed, they were only sharp when turned against himself, when compared with what he has professed so notoriously in the past.
    There are two quite elementary and basic flaws in the whole sub-structure of his argument: one of defence philosophy or attitudes, and the other relating to his appraisal of the strength and flexibility of the Royal Navy, both now and in the future. In spite of his sustained and

    1007
    exhausting eloquence, these flaws lead him to a position and an argument on the basis of which I would not wish to gain credence, even with my worst enemy, and, in the context of a defence debate, especially with my worst enemy.
    No one in the House doubts that we must do all in our power to protect our sea routes and ensure that our merchant ships can ply their trade all over the world without hindrance. But we must also surely recognise that today it is not possible for us—and I would go so far as to say that it is not possible for any nation—to guarantee the security of our economic interests abroad by military force. I do not think that the right hon. Gentleman himself would refuse to accept this. Indeed, in many contexts he has said it himself. In his speech at the Conservative Party conference in 1965, referring to the growth of Russian and Chinese Communism and the growth of nationalism in Asia and Africa, he said:
    "We have to reckon with the harsh fact that the attainment of this eventual equilibrium in forces may at some point be delayed rather than hastened by Western military presence."
    I make no apology for repeating what he said. It is true, and it is worth repeating. The days of Pax Britannica have gone, and probably the right hon. Gentleman believes this, but he has still a great job to do to convince many of his right hon. and hon. Friends of it.
    There can be no question of the Royal Navy attempting to control vast overseas maritime areas single-handed. As the Prime Minister recently said in the House, we will have a naval capability available for deploying overseas, if necessary, but the task of guaranteeing a right of free passage through international waterways and on the high seas is not one which can be carried out by any single country. Indeed, as my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs reminded the House on 28th February of this year, it is for the international community itself to see that this is done, and it is Her Majesty's Government's policy to work through the United Nations in this respect.
    Mr. F. A. Burden: Does the hon. Gentleman really think that the United Nations would keep open the seaways of the world if Russia went to war with the West?
    Mr. Foley: One might ask whether the hon. Gentleman thinks that we would. He is talking about a hypothetical situation. We are talking about the realities of the moment and of the next few years.
    In so far as one accepts, which I do, and which my right hon. and hon. Friends do, that we cannot separate the protection of the sea routes from our approach to the remainder of our defence interests, we cannot label one part of our Navy "for the defence of sea routes" and treat it in isolation from other aspects of defence and maritime policy. Our defence commitments, our defence capabilities, and our plans to match one with the other with economy and flexibility must be viewed as a whole, and not as separate parts which can be looked at, judged, and appraised in complete isolation.
    That leads me to refer to the present and future rôle of the Navy west of Suez. The right hon. Gentleman referred at some length to a so-called new philosophy in relation to maritime defence. At one stage I felt that he was getting very close to contradicting the philosophy as expounded by his right hon. Friend the Member for Kinross and West Perthshire (Sir Alec Douglas-Home) who only last July was evolving a philosophy of the trip wire, the trips. The right hon. Gentleman seems to be going completely away from this. We do not expect, west of Suez, to meet any maritime threat, or to protect our sea lines of communication alone, but rather as part of an alliance. Moreover, our planning and that of our allies is moving away from the concept of a prolonged guerre de course at sea, and towards greater concentration on the deterrence of maritime aggression which could lead to an all-out war. The concept of "shield forces" at sea is parallel to that on land, in an era of mutual strategic nuclear deterrence—
    Mr. Powell rose—
    Mr. Foley: Perhaps the right hon. Gentleman will allow me to complete this part of my argument—and since maritime aggression is far more difficult to identify, and the apparent risks are less, N.A.T.O. must be constantly on the alert, with strong conventional naval forces, to identify aggression when it occurs, and to prevent it from developing into a more serious conflict.
    Mr. Powell: Do the Government accept the concept of an all-out war at sea as expounded by the United States Defence Secretary?
    Mr. Foley: I am not responsible for quotations from the United States Defence Secretary. All I can say is that we have not accepted, and we do not accept, the concept of an all-out war at sea.
    Mr. Healey: Nor does N.A.T.O.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: A few moments ago the hon. Gentleman underlined the importance of not doing things on our own, but only as part of an alliance. If the American alliance visualises all-out war at sea, and Her Majesty's Government do not, how can the two be other than in conflict?
    Mr. Foley: I think the answer is clear in what I have referred to in terms of our philosophy being the philosophy of N.A.T.O. We are part of the N.A.T.O. alliance. The N.A.T.O. alliance subscribes to the trip-wire notion. We are talking about the Atlantic, the Mediterranean, and Europe. If the United States has greater responsibilities, and wants to develop a further philosophy in terms of its own personal responsibility she is clearly entitled to do so.
    With regard to our position west of Suez, our withdrawal from overseas will enable us to increase the number of ships at immediate readiness for N.A.T.O.'s shield forces, and so enable us to continue to play a leading part among the European navies in the N.A.T.O. maritime alliance. The right hon. Gentleman referred—and it was also referred to last week—to the growth in Soviet maritime strength. This has underlined the importance of the shield forces, especially in relation to the flanks of Europe, Scandinavia and the Mediterranean, where the increase in the Soviet naval presence has been most evident.
    In that context, perhaps I might remind the House that when my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence referred last week to the setting up of the first multi-national N.A.T.O. Standing Naval Force he was greeted with laughs and sniggers from the benches opposite. To my mind this reaction was clear evidence of the lack of positive knowledge, indeed one might even say crass ignorance, of
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    many hon. Gentlemen opposite on naval matters. I am sure that those who have been concerned with naval affairs over many years will appreciate this significant step forward. Such an integrated force, in addition to providing a constant reminder of the unity and solidarity of the alliance, will give a unique experience in tactics, in seamanship, and in weaponry to all who take part.
    It is our belief that this multi-national force will lead to other similar arrangements which will enable us to develop our N.A.T.O. maritime operational planning on even more closely integrated lines, and combine the naval forces of the alliance into a more effective counter to the growing Soviet presence. This concept will be an important step in the development of our plans following our withdrawal from the Gulf and the Far East.
    With regard to our rôle east of Suez, criticism has been centred on the importance of the sea lanes east of Suez. I wish that the right hon. Gentleman and his hon. Friends were a little more realistic. The fact is that since the end of World War II this country has not been in a position by itself to guarantee access to these areas by all maritime ships whatever flags they fly. I am not aware that any British Government since the war have aimed to deploy so many warships in the Far East that all parts of it were fully patrolled by Royal Navy ships, yet merchant ships have not had to fear harassment in these areas in peacetime. The number of ships deployed east of Suez during the height of confrontation was more than twice as many as in 1955, and the number was considerably in excess of that in 1960. Throughout the whole of this period our warships were heavily engaged on local tasks, in operations and exercises in particular areas, and have not been, nor have they ever been called upon to be, in a position constantly to patrol the sea lanes in these areas.
    One can appreciate the concern of commercial ship owners at our withdrawal from Singapore and the Gulf, but they, too, must see this position in perspective. As I have said, over the last ten years Royal Navy ships have not been on constant patrol over the whole of the area. The fact is that trade, to a large extent, protects itself by mutual profitability.

    1011
    France knows this. Japan knows this, as do most other trading nations. In 1967 we had about 21½million tons of commercial shipping; France had over 5½ million tons; Japan neary 17 million tons, and Greece about 7½ million tons. One does not see their national navies guaranteeing maritime protection in all parts of the world.
    When one comes to the question of withdrawing from east of Suez one would like to ask just what is the latest and collective view of the Tory Party.
    Captain Walter Elliot: The hon. Gentleman's argument is that in time of peace, in the Indian Ocean, for example, a merchant ship is quite safe. From that he seems to be leading on to say that no naval forces are necessary. Does he extend that argument over the sea routes throughout the world, in time of peace?
    Mr. Foley: I did not say that therefore no naval forces were necessary. Later in my speech I shall come to the specific points with which the shipping industry is concerned.
    I want now to try to get at the grass roots of Tory Party policy on the question of our position east of Suez. On 17th January in this House the right hon. Member for Enfield, West (Mr. lain Macleod) said that he supported the maintaining of the Far East presence in this area to the mid-'seventies, but only if this were practical and helpful. This statement was amplified by the Leader of the Opposition on 18th January when he said:
    "…we shall ignore the time phasing laid down by the Prime Minister and his Government for the Far East and Middle East. We shall support our country's friends and allies…"—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 18th January, 1968; Vol. 756, c. 1971.]
    On 5th March, in reply to a question by my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration, the Leader of the Opposition said:
    "So long as our friends want us to remain there it is possible for us to maintain a presence there."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 5th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 257.]
    So it could be, depending on whose view one took, the mid-'seventies or the late 'seventies.
    1012
    The position is even more ludicrous when we consider the previously declared views of the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West, published in an article in the Sunday Times of 23rd April, 1967. Commenting on the Russian submarine threat, he stated that while both Russia and America are two-ocean powers, Britain enjoys the advantages of concentration.
    "being vulnerable only in one hemisphere."
    Is that what he still believes? If so, presumably he is the last person who should move the Motion that we are discussing today.
    Accepting, however, the views of only the Leader of the Opposition and disregarding all the others, I still find it difficult to understand them. I suggest that if they think about this they, too, will realise that they are in even greater difficulty. Their argument for withdrawal from the Far East, they tell us, is essentially one of conditions and timing. How can they pretend this great concern for the United Kingdom's single-handed protection of all the sea routes east of Suez at the same time that they conditionally accept, in principle, an eventual withdrawal from our bases there?
    Earlier in his speech the right hon. Gentleman referred to the Fleet. In opening I said that his arguments were based on two misconceptions, the second being about the strength and flexibility of the Royal Navy both now and in the future. The strength is there for all to see. It is obscured only in the minds of hon. Members opposite. In terms of manpower, ships and striking power, our naval forces today are much stronger than those of any of our European N.A.T.O. allies.
    Looking to the future, our Royal Navy's new construction and re-equipment programme will ensure that Britain remains second to none among her European allies in her contribution to the naval forces of N.A.T.O.
    Theh right hon. Member was rather coy. First he deployed an argument in favour of carriers and then, when we asked how many, he was not willing to state. Further on he deployed the argument about nuclear submarines. At least on this subject he has not been so coy as on previous matters. In the article to

    1013
    which I have referred, in the Sunday Times, again referring to the Soviet submarine menace, he went on to say:
    "Fortune has favoured us again by vesting the key of our Naval defence in a weapon which lie; within the scope of our manpower and our economy to develop and maintain on a par with any potential enemy."
    Further on he said:
    "It is time that Britain made up her mind to regain mastery below the waves."
    He is asking for a rate of building of nuclear submarines so that we can have a fleet "on a par with any potential enemy". Earlier on he spelled out how many submarines, nuclear and ballistic, the Russians have. He is asking for a similar number from us—"on a par with any potential enemy". That means that he is asking for at least an extra 30 nuclear-powered submarines. He may have put a price on the carriers. He is asking for about £800 million or £1,000 million in this one statement.
    Mr. Powell: Will the hon. Gentleman give the House particulars of the Government's naval construction programme?
    Mr. Foley: The right hon. Gentleman must be patient. He was told last week that if lie had done his homework he would have found out how many nuclear-powered submarines we have. He complained that this information had not been given and he was told by my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Equipment that he should do his homework. There were Press announcements when the keels of submarines were laid down and when submarines were launched. There is a statement in the Estimates every year of the cost of ships taken into commission in the Royal Navy. Clearly, if he had done his homework he would know how many there were and what was the policy of construction.
    Mr. Powell: There is no question about the present number in existence or under construction. The question with which the House is concerned—and the Motion is also concerned with it—is what is the proposed future programme? The hon. Member has boasted about the effects of the Government's naval building programme. We want to be told what it is. All that we have been told is that it will be cut.
    Mr. Foley: The right hon. Gentleman had better contain himself and wait until the announcement is made later in the year.
    Mr. Dalyell: On top of the nuclear submarines and carriers that the party opposite wants, what has become of the South Atlantic Force, described to us by the Leader of the Opposition? How much would that cost?
    Mr. Foley: I have not costed that one. I doubt whether the Opposition have.
    I want to refer to the present position in terms of the Navy and its future development. We already have a force of nuclear fleet submarines in service to provide our main anti-surface ships and anti-submarine capability, and we will be the only European—or, indeed, world navy—other than the American and Russian navies—to operate these very powerful warships in significant numbers.
    H.M.S. "Bristol", to be launched in 1971, will introduce into the fleet our new advanced area anti-aircraft and antimissile weapons system, Sea Dart, which will be as good as any in the world, and more of these weapons systems will be deployed in the new class of Sea Dart destroyers, announced in July. We are also ahead of other European navies in deploying the latest quick reaction anti submarine weapons. Ikara, specially developed to counter fast submarines, will be at sea in H.M.S. "Bristol" in 1972. We plan to fit it into a number of Leander frigates. This weapon will diversify and increase N.A.T.O.'s antisubmarine preparedness. Our antiaircraft, anti-missile and anti-submarine defences will be further increased by the introduction of the Leander replacement frigates, by the Sea King helicopter to be carried in the converted Tiger class cruisers now, and, from the mid-1970s. in the new class of cruisers announced in July. Backing this capability from bases in Europe will be advanced shore-based aircraft, the Phantoms, Buccaneers and Nimrods which the R.A.F. will operate in the maritime air defence, strike, reconnaissance and antisubmarine rôles—
    Mr. Patrick Wall: The hon. Gentleman has not mentioned the Tiger replacement, the new cruisers referred to in the White Paper, and they

    1015
    were not mentioned last week either. What has happened to them? Have they been sunk?
    Mr. Foley: The hon. Gentleman was so busy preparing his question that he did not realise that I had just mentioned that. I just referred to the new cruisers to replace the Tiger class cruisers. If he is so busy preparing his questions that he cannot listen to what I am saying, I will not give way again—
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: Will they be like the converted Tiger class? Will they carry large numbers of helicopters? May we hear more about them?
    Mr. Foley: The hon. Gentleman will hear more about them in the future. I was about to refer to the surface-to-surface missiles, but this might possibly be taken up by my hon. Friend, who is to reply.
    I should say something about a matter which is likely to arise, the problem of what happens to support for ships if we give up bases and in what areas the Navy can operate. The Fleet Auxiliary Service which provisions and maintains the Fleet, has in the last few years done a very good job and has been expanded considerably. We have always placed great emphasis on afloat support, which means that the Navy depends less on land-based facilities. The recent withdrawal from South Arabia provides an excellent example of this. For the months covering the withdrawal, a large naval force was assembled off Aden and was serviced and provisioned from Fleet Auxiliary vessels.
    Another subject is the Beira Patrol. I cannot resist assuring the hon. Member for Haltemprice (Mr. Wall), who is so keen on this subject, that I am proud to say that the Royal Navy is carrying out this arduous and completely effective patrol and will continue to do so. The hon. Gentleman will know that the Patrol is de jure and I am happy to assure him that it is equally de facto—
    Mr. Simon Wingfield Digby: Would the hon. Gentleman deny that afloat support is the most expensive form of support? When the Navy is short of funds, is it not a bad moment to increase it?
    Mr. Foley: I would not question that it is a vital use of scarce manpower and financial resources, but if the Navy has a job to do, it must be given the means to do it—and this is precisely what is happening.
    I now turn to an issue which is certainly likely to be raised—the question of what happens to the Cape route and the subject of Simonstown. I was interested to see that the hon. Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot) referred in the defence debate to our firm and powerful base facilities in Simonstown and that, in a somewhat similar vein, the Leader of the Opposition, in the debate on 19th December on arms for South Africa, referred to the renegotiation of the Simonstown Agreement.
    What are the facts? The Opposition, then the Government, handed over the base to the South African Government in 1957. Was this, in itself, an acknowledgment that Britain could no longer be responsible for protecting the Cape sea route? Was this—not in my terms but in theirs—an abrogation of their responsibilities? What has happened since? Arising from the Defence Review of 1966, we decided to reduce a number of our naval commitments in different parts of the world. In this context, early in January 1967, we indicated our intention to withdraw the frigate station at Simonstown and the Flag Officer based there. This was, despite what the Opposition have frequently said, part of the continuing process initiated by them in giving up the base in 1957.
    There has been no renegotiation of the Simonstown Agreement, as my right hon. Friend the First Secretary of State said in the debate on 19th December last year. The question of arms for South Africa was fully debated then and there is nothing new to say, save perhaps to recognise that, on the subject of principles and moral obligations stemming from the U.N. resolution, I am glad that in this respect the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South West did not introduce the subject, because his own comments on race relations in this country have shown me his total insensitivity on this, perhaps the most momentous problem facing the world today.
    As for his hon. Friend the Member for Haltemprice, who will be winding up, the

    1017
    less he says on this subject the better, since he has earned, by his fanatical support for the Smith regime and his outburst in the Commons last week, the public condemnation of many hon. Members. We are still waiting for the Leader of the Opposition to join in this condemnation—
    Mr. James Ramsden: What has that to do with this debate?
    Mr. Foley: The right hon. Member may ask what it has to do with this debate, but I imagine that, shortly, we will hear from hon. Members opposite a whole series of complaints that the abandonment of Simonstown is a fatal flaw and a dangerous act in the light of our sea communications. It is thus in this context that I must refer to the matter.
    My final point relates to the Shipping Defence Advisory Committee. The House will know that the Ministry of Defence has a Standing Committee which plans for the safety and protection of the British Merchant Navy in time of war and keeps the whole of the Merchant Navy defence policy under review. It deals with a variety of subjects and is the forum for war planning for the Merchant fleet. There are plans, too, for dispersal and evacuation and for convoy systems in time of war.
    I know, through this Committee, that some of the British merchant shipping community are worried lest the recent defence, announcement leaves them more exposed to piracy, a subject which has been mentioned, and leads to less naval help when merchant ships are in distress. I appreciate their anxieties, but coastal piracy poses no immediate threat on any scale to British shipping and, as I have explained, for many years now the Royal Navy has not been able to patrol continuously all the sea lanes east of Suez.
    There is, however, an anxiety about the future, which I appreciate. Piracy—or, rather, potential piracy—is, however, primarily a problem for the commercial shipping community as a whole. Hon. Members will know that now—this will be so increasingly in future—countries in the area have some naval capability of their own for patrolling their own coastal waters. Not even the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West, I am sure, would argue that the possibility of an increase in piracy is a strong
    1018
    enough argument in itself for retaining our bases east of Suez. That would indeed be an expensive and debilitating insurance policy for a potential eventuality which may or may not happen and which, if it does, will affect not only British commercial ships but those of all the trading nations of the world.
    Aid to merchant shipping in distress is a duty which the Royal Navy has always accepted and will continue to accept. It is important, however, not to get a false impression of the demands which this makes on the Royal Navy. Over the last five years, the Royal Navy has assisted merchant ships on 36 occasions. None of these was an instance of piracy. All involved towing, fire-fighting or rescues and only nine involved British ships. Over the 12 months ending September 1967, medical assistance was given by the Royal Navy to nine merchant ships, five of which were British. The Navy will go on rendering this kind of assistance wherever and whenever possible. The White Ensign will not disappear from the oceans of the world after the Navy withdraws from the Gulf and Singapore and concentrates itself in the European and Atlantic areas. Apart from the naval forces which may be available elsewhere from this general capability as in our judgment circumstances demand, there will continue to be opportunities for visits and exercises outside what we may call these two home theatres.
    The Motion which we are debating is unreal, dishonest and emotional. It is unreal because no country in the world today can by itself protect all its sea communications. It is dishonest because right hon. and hon. Gentleman opposite are prepared at some stage and in some conditions to abandon the naval rôle east of Suez regardless of all the consequential implications. And it is emotional because it ignores the logic of facts. It is an emotional hankering after an imperial past.
    The right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West wrapped up his speech in a great deal of synthetic indignation. That has been so with the three Motions on the Defence Estimates which we have debated. I can only hope that, in the speeches which follow, hon. Members opposite will abstain from the

    1019
    use of this dubious attitude. For the reasons which I have given, I ask the House decisively to reject the Motion.
    5.22 p.m.
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: We all listened to the Under-Secretary of State with interest. I noted particularly that he asked that we should keep emotion out of the debate. He had just referred to my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) in very emotional terms as a supporter of anti-colour policies and apartheid. If emotion were to be introduced, he was surely then in danger of introducing it.
    I have never been to South Africa and cannot therefore be accused of being pro-apartheid. Perhaps I could therefore take up the cudgels on Simonstown. The present state of the world is such that much of the free world's shipping, raw materials and food has to go round South Africa, and it is surprising that we have not agreed to supply arms for their own self-defence. I agree that arms should not be provided which could uphold the apartheid policy—that was the policy when the Conservative Party were in power. At the same time, the Simonstown Agreement originally guaranteed that we should provide four frigates in exchange for these facilities—frigates built in this country. For the Government not to follow that and to sell more frigates when they needed renewal, and not to provide the maritime aircraft, the Nimrod, which the South Africans wanted, or even to sell the Buccaneer aircraft, of which ten are partly made, which could easily have been supplied, seems a strange morality on their part.
    On 8th February last year, referring to the Simonstown Agreement, the hon. Member said,
    "…the proposal is that the Chief of the South African Navy will take greater responsibility for the South African area in times of war. The maintenance of the Simonstown Agreement means that the Royal Navy will have continued use of the facilities in South Africa hitherto enjoyed."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 8th February, 1967; Vol. 740, c. 1619.]
    It seems strange morality that we should fling responsibility to someone else for a vital maritime route and then deny him the means of defending that route.
    "It is not our function in a debate of this sort to explain the Opposition's defence policy."
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    Most hon. Members will agree with that. [HON. MEMBERS: "No."] I am
    quoting the words of the right hon. Member for Sheffield, Park (Mr. Mulley) when he was in opposition. They are not my words. This was on 4th March, 1963. I am surprised that some of the old hands on the benches opposite fell for that. Anyone who has been in the House for some time knows that the Government press the Opposition to state their defence policy and the Opposition rightly—and these were the words of a greatly respected Minister—refuse to do so because they are not in a position to state exactly what they would do.
    Mr. Dalyell: As I was in the House when my right hon. Friend the Member for Sheffield, Park (Mr. Mulley) made that statement—and disagreed with it—may I ask the hon. Member whether he does not agree that, although they cannot be exact in their criticism, on major financial issues involving hundreds of millions of pounds, there is some moral obligation on the Opposition to state what what they will do, otherwise the debate is held in a vacuum?
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: I am interested in the hon. Member's views. The quotation from the right hon. Member for Sheffield, Park continued:
    "This is essentially a time when we want to have from the Government a statement of their defence policy."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 4th March, 1963; Vol. 673, c. 146.]
    We have been trying all day to get that, but we have been told that we must wait until summer for more details of where the cuts will fall. I am prepared to reply to the hon. Gentleman to the extent of saying that we have been consistent in stating that we believe that we should be able to spend about 61 per cent. or even 7 per cent. of our gross national product on defence. If the economy were managed aright, that would be a tolerable contribution to the defence of the free world.
    Mr. F. A. Burden: My hon. Friend is probably aware that the Prime Minister, speaking at Chatham just before the last election, promised that 6 per cent. of the national income would be spent on defence.
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: The difference is that with the present Government

    1021
    economy is managed in such a way that it is 6 per cent. or 6½ per cent. of apretty static economy. The economy was growing at over 4 per cent. during the last six years of the Conservative Administration. Even the Labour Party's National Plan called for only 3·8 per cent. growth, and the performance was much less than that. That is one of the reasons why the National Plan has gone. I repeat that 6½ per cent. of the gross national product on defence is tolerable. We are told that it will not be more than 6 per cent. this year without a supplementary estimate.
    Mr. Stanley Orme rose—
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: Many hon. Members wish to take part in the debate and I ought not to give way again.
    I want to use a quotation from my right hon. Friend in his opening speech. Everyone is beginning to realise the growth in the Russian maritime strength. In a Navy Day speech in 1962 the Chief of the Soviet Naval Staff said:
    "Now there is not a single area of the world's oceans where the aggressors' "—
    that meals the free world—
    "ships could operate in wartime without exposing themselves to destruction."
    That is the stated intention of the Chief of Soviet Naval Staff. I used that quotation in the last of the five Navy Estimates debates which I piloted through the House. I used it today to show that this growth is worrying. What I said five years' ago is much more true today. Their strength has grown. That is a presence in the oceans of the world which is much more in evidence than ever before.
    One section of the Navy which has not been much discussed is the minesweepers. Sir Winston Churchill helped to persuade the then Prime Minister, Mr. Attlee, to launch the original minesweeper programme. He convinced him that this was a menace which could stop the supply of food and raw materials to our ports and that we had to have emergency ports and large numbers of minesweepers. This was part of the very brave rearmament programme of £4,700 million in 3 years, launched at the time of Korea.
    1022
    Those minesweepers built in the 1950s are 18 years old and they are beginning to run out. But the menace of mining has not disappeared. It may even have increased, because the ingenuity of the mines is use is greater today than it was in the early 1950s. From the White Paper I see that we are converting six of that generation of minesweeper to mine hunting. I am sure that that is right. We are extremely good in this country at developing mine hunting equipment, and our under-water divers have a unique reputation. But I wonder whether we are not nibbling at the problem and whether we are facing the fact that, at no risk to an aggressive power, mining could cause considerable agony and, in extremis, even starvation to a nation like ours.
    It would be wrong if, while building up other sides of our naval forces, we neglected to meet the minesweeper problem, and particularly, to build more modern minesweepers. Many of those minesweepers have done a very useful job in the cold war. They were useful in the Indonesian confrontation. It is not as though they are necessarily taken throughout their lives for minesweeping and for the protection of our shores and ports. They may be very useful in a cold war, and they give very good value for money. They are also popular because they give a ship's command to young progressive characters very early in their naval career.
    This problem is growing rather than diminishing. If we believe that the Pueblo incident was a philosophy of the Communist world which might be called "teasing without tears"—tweeking the tail of one's opponent without risking a full-scale war—then it is possible that mining could be troublesome in the coming two decades. I trust that the Government will consider this matter.
    The Minister of Defence said that he saw a menace growing to the two flanks of N.A.T.O. I hoped that he would go on to say that, as a result of that, we would be deploying more of our ships in the Mediterranean as a contribution to N.A.T.O. He mentioned Norway to the North and the Mediterranean in the South as being the two flanks, but he did not follow what I thought to be the logical result and say that we would,

    1023
    therefore, be reconsidering the evacuation of Malta.
    My hon. Friends and I do not agree with the right hon. Gentleman about pulling out of the Far East so early, but as a result of the latest Government policy we will have at our disposal more ships than we would otherwise have had, had we kept to the July, 1967, policy. It would be wise, therefore, to deploy some of these available forces at Malta. Malta is not a good training station for the Army, unless our soldiers train in Libya. However, it is a good training station for our anti-submarine forces and it is useful as a flying training station for the R.A.F. It is, therefore, good for the R.A.F. and the Navy, and both Services can exercise together, which is an in creasingly important factor. For antisubmarine practice it is valuable because the waters of the Mediterranean are deep and, with their heat layers, provide special anti-submarine problems which do not exist in the same way in the Atlantic.
    I urge this course, not just because Malta is in an important position, is the Southern flank of N.A.T.O., is tactically 1,000 miles from Cyprus and 1,000 miles from Gibraltar—and not even because the Russian fleet is now deployed in the Eastern Mediterranean and moving along the North African coast—but because, if we are not there to provide economic help, someone else will be—and the Government of Malta will be looking for people who can provide employment and help in that country's dockyard and industry. It is crazy to think that while Malta is a popular and useful station, we should continue with its evacuation and then be giving liberal grants on a per capita basis to that country by way of aid. There are modern barracks, airfields, control systems, radar and hospitals all ready there—facilities which will stand empty if we leave—and it seems unwise that we should be taking this step, particularly with the movement of Russian ships into the Mediterranean.
    Like my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West, I still believe that the carrier fleet should have been carried on well into the 'seventies—certainly until, to follow the Government's line, its task could be replaced
    1024
    by other ships. At present they cannot be replaced. We do not yet have a surface-to-surface missile and in the absence of that and any alternative means, I see no better, cheaper, or more effective way to safeguard our future maritime forces than by retaining the carrier force.
    The Government have spent £31½ million so far, about £13 million on reconditioning and modernising "Ark Royal", £4 million on "Eagle", £4 million on "Victorious" and £9½ million on "Hermes". We are now told that only "Ark Royal", which is not to be "phantomised", will continue, and I understand that it will be suitable for Buccaneers and Sea Vixens. [Interruption.] We must be realistic about this. "Eagle" will carry on as well. "Ark Royal" will finish her refit and will carry Phantoms. "Eagle" will carry on, too, and I understand that she is suitable for Buccaneers and Sea Vixens.
    It still seems that the Government are following a mistaken policy in this matter, and I wonder why they are so anxious to break up "Victorious". My hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles) suggested earlier last week that "Victorious" could be sold to the Australians, and I hope that his suggestion will be considered. This is still a useful ship. A great deal of money has been spent on her to make her suitable for Buccaneers. The Australian Navy still has the "Melbourne", and since Australia is anxious to remain flexible in naval defence, it might be interested in the "Victorious" and perhaps also the "Hermes".
    Australia's present Prime Minister was once a naval Minister and might be sympathetic to an approach on our part along these lines. I hope that Mr. Ray Brown will be on an aeroplane tomorrow morning to see if the Australians are interested in these ships. After all, we are talking about big money. Apart from that, these vessels could be useful to the Commonwealth alliance because they are good ships and would fit in with our carriers for the remaining years they are in service.
    As my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West said, it is disappointing that, under the Labour Government, change has followed change, one new plan has followed another, and that we should have had two

    1025
    White Papers almost every year. It is unfortunate for our future that the Defence Votes should always be those singled out for the biggest cuts. It is as a result of this turmoil that the recruiting and re-engagement figures are so disappointing. All hon. Members who are dedicated to the task of getting recruits have been disappointed by the recruiting figures.
    When I occupied the position now occupied by the Under-Secretary the re-engagement figures for men averaged 60 per cent. I well recall the debates prior to 1963, when I left office, in which we were glad to announce that the re-engagement figure remained at about 60 per cent. Today it is 25 per cent., a considerable change, and I believe that it exposes one of the arguments which the Minister of Defence is constantly adducing; that one reason why he has agreed to cut the Services is because they were over-stretched.
    A man who is doing a job and is kept busy is happier than a man who is not certain about his future and is underemployed. The fact that we managed to keep a 60 per cent. re-engagement rate, whereas now it is less than half that rate, exposes the fallacy of the argument which is constantly used by the Minister of Defence about the Services being grossly overstretched when the Labour Party came to power in 1964. They were not overstretched. They were well-equipped and the men were happy and contented.
    I hope that the Government, when they decide exactly what the shape and size of the Navy is to be—I hope that their announcement about this will be made in June so that we will have ample time in which to consider and debate the matter—will bear in mind the fact that nobody has been absolutely wise in forecasting the exact shape of the forces which would be needed in the future. I admit that we were not perfectly wise in 1950 when we forecast what would be required in 1960. But perhaps the present Government are being a little intellectually arrogant in thinking that they can exactly foresee the positions and tasks which our forces will need to fulfil in the late 'seventies.
    The Government are now designing ships for that period. Therefore, when they are considering those plans will they
    1026
    please leave open all the possible options? Will they leave our bases in Singapore on a care and maintenance basis? Things may change, and the bases they have evacuated we may need to reoccupy in defence of the free world.
    5.40 p.m.
    Mr. Christopher Mayhew: I have made a genuine attempt to understand the defence and naval policy of the Opposition. If they make these strong attacks on the Government, one is entitled to ask where they themselves stand. It is confusing and difficult to decide exactly when they intend.
    We know from the recent statement of the Leader of the Opposition that they propose a presence in the 'seventies in Singapore and the Persian Gulf. This is a great surprise to some of us. After all, the Government's decisions have had political effects in South-East Asia and the Persian Gulf which justify the hope of those who have been asking for this policy for some years past. At the same time, no one can say that the country's present financial state is better able to bear the burden of 7 per cent. of the gross national product which the hon. Member for Hendon, North (Sir Ian Orr-Ewing) suggested should be the proper amount of our future defence budget. Nevertheless, the Leader of the Opposition has committed himself to this view.
    But this afternoon, having heard the right hon. Gentleman the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) outlining the Opposition's naval policy which is to fit into their world defence rôle, we get a totally different picture, and a naval policy outlined which is appropriate in no respect whatever to the world rôle which the Leader of the Opposition has set out.
    The right hon. Member did not refer at all to the presence east of Suez. He hardly spoke at all, except in his peroration, about the whole question of the safety of shipping at sea and the sea lanes. He made two major points: first, that we must be strong navally in Europe; secondly, that this strength must include aircraft carrier support. But if we want a strong British naval presence in Europe, and on this I agree with the right hon. Gentleman, why disperse the Navy over the world to Singapore and the Persian Gulf?

    1027
    The great trouble with our naval presence in Europe in these recent years has been that our ships, though assigned to N.A.T.O. hardly saw Europe at all—they were in Singapore and in the Persian Gulf. It is, therefore, a total inconsisency of the Opposition to argue that we must have a strong naval force in Europe and maintain a strong naval force in Singapore and the Persian Gulf as well—
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: The hon. Member could not have occupied the post of Minister of Defence for the Royal Navy, as he did, without appreciating that the essential value of naval forces is that they are flexible, and can be applied where they are needed.
    Mr. Mayhew: I quite agree, and judging from the twists and turns of the Opposition's policy I imagine that if they came to power we should have the Navy constantly steaming to and fro between Singapore and Europe. On the other hand, it does not make for the kind of naval presence in Europe which the right hon. Gentleman was outlining.
    It is quite unreatlistic to suppose that even with the 7 per cent. of gross national product which the hon. Member for Hendon North mentioned, we can expect to keep a strong naval presence in Singapore and the Persian Gulf and Europe in the 'seventies—
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: I must correct the hon. Gentleman. I said 6½ per cent., and added that it might, in extremis, be 7 per cent.
    Mr. Mayhew: The hon. Gentleman has not listened to his right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West. Does he really think that he can build 30 nuclear fleet submarines and a carrier for 6½ per cent.? My hon. Friend the Member for West Lothian (Mr. Dalyell) asked the pertinent question whether the Opposition think that we should have a new carrier. There are two reasons why that question more or less answers itself. First of all, the policy outlined—indeed, the statement made—was that a strong naval presence in Europe requires a carrier. The right hon. Gentleman spent a good deal of his speech arguing that; and since he also asks that we must have a strong naval presence in Europe it
    1028
    follows automatically that his policy requires an aircraft carrier.
    The second reason why my hon. Friend's question, though pertinent, was academic, is that it is not practical to revive the project for a new carrier. Suppose we could find the money now, and could persuade the shipbuilding indutry to tender, in spite of all the uncertainties, the fact is that we could not get the vessel until 1975 at the very earliest. In these crucial years when the Opposition propose a presence in Singapore, and defence commitments in the Gulf and in Singapore, a carrier would be required and one of the reasons why their policy is so irresponsible and incomprehensible is that they do not understand that they are not providing the resources they need for the policy they outline.
    I have been fairly critical of the Government in recent years about their defence policy. But at least they have learned from experience. They have at last cut down their commitments to their capabilities. But the Opposition are now plunging into precisely the errors the Government themselves were making a year or two ago by giving to the forces tasks far in advance of their capabilities—
    Mr. Dalyell: Would my hon. Friend, with his experience inside the Ministry of Defence which most of us do not have, think it reasonable to say that the Opposition put forward a programme over a seven or eight year period of the order of £2,000 million above what the Government already intend? Is that roughly accurate?
    Mr. Mayhew: I once costed the Opposition's defence policy at £500 million a year more. It was an under-estimate, compared with that made by the Secretary of State for Defence. What the Opposition are outlining requires not only a bigger fleet than we have but a bigger fleet than we have time to build during the period for which it is needed.
    We could not get the fleet carrier in time. The hon. and gallant Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles) has often spoken about mini-carriers. This project has often been considered by the Navy Department, and has often been turned down for good technical reasons. But let us assume that it was

    1029
    operationally sensible and technically possible, and that we had the money for it. We would not get the new design, the development and research and the production of the vessel in time to carry out the policies that the Opposition have in mind. Floating an idea in the House of Commons is a much quicker business than floating the vessel itself, which takes six or seven years—
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: I have never, here or elsewhere, proposed a mini-carrier. What I want is a simple carrier—a flat-topped ship; and a flat-topped ship is very easy and quick to build.
    Mr. Mayhew: That sounds all right but—and I shall not go into details now—it still needs 3-D radar, anti-submarine protection, and all the rest of it. I assure the hon. and gallant Gentleman that it is not as easy as that, and that it does not make as much sense as it might seem to make at first sight.
    It is not only the carrier or the mini-carrier that the Opposition policy needs. We would need more Type 82s, as the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West said. If we adopt their policy, we must have more than one Type 82 escort, and more fleet submarines. not only for normal purposes but for fleet protection. We would need more manpower and more resources of all kinds.
    As I see it, the Opposition are now falling into the same very serious error for which they rightly attacked the Government last year and the year before. They then quite rightly made the most penetrating attacks on the Government—and I shared in the attacks—for accepting defence commitments beyond their capability. But now that the Government have at last learned from experience and have produced a defence policy which I consider to be viable, we get the Opposition falling into the same pitfalls into which the Government at one time fell.
    I was disappointed that the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West did not develop the thinking of his Motion on the question of protection of shipping. The threat to shipping and the problem of countering it has been totally transformed in the last two decades. The greatest threat to our shipping now is
    1030
    the closure of the Suez Canal, and that is not a naval problem at all. The old problems of piracy are not the kind of problems they were. The old conception of on-the-spot naval protection of shipping does not stand up today. Above all, the weakness of the Opposition about protection of shipping is that they do not tell us where this should be done. They cannot tell us seriously that we should protect shipping in every part of the world.
    What the Opposition do not understand is that to the extent to which they would commit us to a presence east of Suez they would diminish our presence in the Mediterranean, in the South Atlantic, at Simonstown, and the Icelandic Fisheries. The right hon. Gentleman spoke as if before the Government came in, and before the new defence policy, we kept a great fleet in the Mediterranean and at Simonstown, but the reality was that precisely because we had the kind of policy which the Opposition now have there were times when there was hardly a frigate in the Mediterranean and nothing at Simonstown.
    The new policy of the Opposition of a world rôle would diminish our capacity to have a naval presence in the Mediterranean and to have ships to protect shipping in the admittedly more limited areas of the world. Of course this is true. I wish the Opposition would learn that if we tried to do everything everywhere we would end by doing nothing anywhere.
    Captain W. Elliot: The hon. Member says that it is impossible to protect our shipping everywhere. He has said that if we tried to do everything everywhere we would do nothing anywhere. I agree, but we do not try to protect shipping everywhere. Even in war-time we cannot do that, but we protect it where it is threatened.
    Mr. Mayhew: We have not been given a clear account of what type of threat the Opposition intend to counter and by what means they intend to do it. The threat to our shipping is in the Suez Canal. Old-fashioned conceptions of shipping protection suggested by the Opposition do not seem relevant to our modern problem.
    I wish very much that the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West

    1031
    had spent a little more time in considering of what value and importance the Navy will be in the 'seventies and the 'eighties when we have left Singapore and the Persian Gulf. This is the question which is in all our minds. It is raised by the White Paper; I agree, without being answered. At first sight the new defence policy and withdrawal from east of Suez appeared to be a great blow to the Navy. There is a certain amount of gloom in the Navy itself. As the hon. Member for Hendon, North pointed out, recruiting has fallen. In this country we have so often tended to associate the Navy with the Empire that we tend to assume that as the Empire goes the Navy goes too. This is profoundly mistaken. I believe that sea power is of increasing importance. I believe that in the 'seventies sea power might prove as important in Europe, almost as important, as land power.
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: As the hon. Member has asked us about how we see the threat, will he say what he thinks the threat would be?
    Mr. Mayhew: I shall be delighted to do so and perhaps afterwards someone in the Opposition will say what threat the Opposition see to shipping lines east of Suez. I do not share the conception of an all-out prolonged war at sea to which the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West referred. That is not N.A.T.O. strategy—certainly it was not when I was in office; on the contrary. The threat is a different one, but it may be a real threat.
    Fortunately, the danger of fighting breaking out today between the Warsaw Pact countries and N.A.T.O. is a highly remote one, but if fighting does break out it is more likely to break out at sea than on land. Fighting at sea causes fewer civilian casualties, if any. It is harder to identify, it causes less damage, and escalation can be controlled with greater ease. Thus, if the Russians wished to exert military pressure on the West, they might begin by doing it at sea rather than on land, starting perhaps with interference with marine radio aids, submarine cables, fishing gear perhaps, and escalating, it might be, to stopping and searching N.A.T.O. merchant ships and perhaps after that—I agree with the
    1032
    hon. Member for Hendon, North—laying mines in the estuary of the Rhine or of the Thames.
    Conversely the N.A.T.O. Powers, if they were faced with a renewal of the Berlin blockade, rather than start shooting in the Corridor, which would escalate uncontrollably and very quickly into mutual annihilation, might prefer to blockade the Baltic or the Dardanelles. If one goes into the detail of these fortunately remote threats, it looks likelier that they would come at sea than on land. I hope that I have now satisfied the hon. Member and I hope that someone in the Opposition will do the same for me.
    These are real threats and they undertone the importance of our naval contribution. The Government's new defence policy at last enables us to make a major contribution in this matter. Most of our ships are already assigned to N.A.T.O., declared to N.A.T.O. but Europe seldom if ever sees them. Here as in many things, our commitment on paper has been a great deal more than our commitment in practice. But now at last, over the next three years, as destroyers, frigates, minesweepers, and submarines return from east of Suez they can fly the flag at the major ports of Europe from Spitzbergen, Leningrad—as they have done before—to Split and the Aegean.
    We can make an impressive contribution to N.A.T.O. in the Mediterranean. I would not mind seeing the White Ensign replacing or supplementing the Stars and Stripes of the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean. Showing the flag is as valuable politically, diplomatically and economically as ever. The Russians have shown that in the Mediterranean. This could make a contribution to our new European Policy.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Will my hon. Friend amplify what he has said? Why should we show the British flag at Leningrad. As a friendly gesture, or what?
    Mr. Mayhew: I am extremely disappointed to conflict with my hon. Friend on this. Surely he knows that one of the great events of Leningrad's recent history was a visit there by the Royal Navy? I thought he was a student of Soviet politics and knew about this. It

    1033
    was a great success. Many Soviet citizens went on board.
    This is one feature, one part, of the new and vital rôle which the Navy can play, but there are of course minor aspects which are of great importance, such as naval training in Europe. Here we can play a considerable rôle. After its brilliant success in Indonesia, the Navy has a reputation second to none among our European allies. I hope that the Government will take this up and will vastly extend naval training facilities in Europe.
    The Navy can make another, more controversial, contribution to our new European policies. Surely by the 1970s it will be clear that there will be great advantages to be gained, with American good will and without provoking the Communist countries, by the closest collaboration within N.A.T.O. between the missile submarine fleets of Britain and post-Gaullist France. At present, there are five independent nuclear deterrents in the world. This initiative would reduce the number to four. Surely this is worth considering. Surely it would be a practical act of anti-proliferation. Why should riot, indeed, the W.E.U. countries share responsibility for the new European submarine fleet, just as the Nuclear Committee of N.A.T.O. to some extent shares a responsibility for the Western nuclear deterrent? These are some of the reasons why I believe that the Navy will play a vital and distinguished part in our new European policy in the 1970s and 1980s.
    I end on this point of difference with the Government—fortunately a minor issue. Are we really conceiving of the Navy only in European waters in the 1970s and 1980s? The Government themselves acknowledge that we shall still have some minor residual defence commitments east of Suez in the 1970s and 1980s. It cannot be escaped. We shall have responsibility for law and order in our remaining colonial dependencies. We shall have a moral responsibility to assist in the defence of the territories of Austrailia and New Zealand if they are attacked. I think we all agree with that.
    Finally, we have a responsibility, in my view. to contribute to any United Nations peace-keeping force that is set
    1034
    up east of Suez. It is common ground between both sides that we shall still have those remaining defence responsibilities east of Suez in the 1970s. And even the most hardened critics of the Government's east of Suez rôle have always recognised this.
    In the motion which we put to the Labour Party conference in October, 1966, which was approved, and in which we asked for withdrawal from Singapore and the Persian Gulf by 1970, the costings we gave—we mentioned the figure of £1,750 million a year—made allowance for £30 million for a very small residual military presence in Australia to cover these three remaining military commitments. Some of my hon. Friends laughed the other day when I suggested that this should be done, because it suggested that the Government had gone too far. But I think that when the Government talk about their "general capability" for sarrying out these commitments they are on very weak ground indeed. These three commitments cannot be fulfilled from Salisbury Plain or from Devonport. I regret the fact that the Government are making, in miniature, a repetition of their old error—of talking in general about defence commitments without raising the capability to fulfil them.
    Fortunately, this is not an urgent question. Fortunately, there is no need for the Government to make up their mind now finally. We still shall have ships and battalions out there for two or three years to come. When the Government have reviewed this problem, they may well come to the conclusion that we should leave one or two frigates stationed in Australia after we withdraw from Singapore.
    I have tried as hard as I can to keep in line with the Government. I think that this fifth Defence White Paper gives a good chance of making sense of our defence policy at last. It will end the Services' ten-year nightmare of muddle. I think that that is coming to an end now. When the smoke has cleared, we shall see the Navy still firmly afloat, without its carriers, which it will not then need, but with the resources it will need to make another big contribution to British history as the spearhead of our new European policies.
    6.5 p.m.
    Mr. Simon Wingfield Digby: The hon. Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) spoke a great deal about the length of time it takes to build a new aircraft carrier. That is one of the points which is in our minds. The hon. Gentleman went on to fire our imagination with all the things which might happen in an attack at sea. There are many of us who would agree with him. The difficulty about the next war, or the next threat, always is that we are never quite sure where it is coming from.
    I was glad to hear the hon. Gentleman move on to the Mediterranean and speak of the possibility of some reinforcement there. Indeed, the Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy started as though he would talk about some movement of ships to the Mediterranean, but, like the Secretary of State last week, the hon. Gentleman suddenly stopped when he got near the point. I was glad to hear the hon. Gentleman recognise the imposibility of moving to the assistance of people east of Suez without bases of one kind or another. The Under-Secretary, when I challenged him, could not deny that the idea of an adequate Fleet Train to do that when we have withdrawn from the Far East would be a terribly expensive proposition and, I should have thought, quite out of the question unless we are prepared to spend very much more on the Royal Navy than at present.
    My main purpose in rising is to talk again about the Merchant Navy and to urge its importance on the Government. Hon. Members opposite have spoken as though our concern for the Merchant Navy had something to do with a nostalgia for the Empire. It is nothing of the kind. We must remember the tremendous rôle which the Merchant Navy played in the last war. It is surely conceivable that the same thing could happen again. This is a simple question of economics, of imports and exports. Whether we like it or not, we are a world trading nation on a very large scale indeed. We know from our talks about the balance of payments that we want our world trade to be larger and not smaller.
    From common prudence we must consider all these ships of ours that ply the world. We are concerned, too, with
    1036
    foreign ships having free access to the seas, because the strange thing is that. despite a merchant fleet of 21 million tons, only about half of our imports and exports go in our own ships. We are dependent on foreign ships for the other imports and exports. In time of peace, in time of war, and in something between the two, Britain is vitally dependent on the food and raw materials it gets from abroad. This fact cannot be blinked. I am surprised that so many hon. Members have spoken as that no longer mattered very much.
    During this debate already there has been some comparison with France. I remind the House that France is more or less self-sufficient compared to Britain. As we have been told, France has a merchant fleet of only 5½; million tons; not much more than one-quarter of our own; yet France considers it necessary to have very considerable naval forces. It has four aircraft carriers, against four of our own in active service. Two of hers were laid down far later than anything we have. France has two cruisers, whereas we have none. France has 48 oceangoing escorts against 71 of our own, only 27 of which have helicopters. France has 21 submarines against our 33.
    It will be seen that for very much less foreign trade France has a comparatively larger fleet. I have been surprised at the constant repetition in the defence debate and again today of that fact that we still have superior naval forces to those of any of our allies in Europe. It seems a far cry from the days of the "two-power Navy".
    Tributes have been paid to General Ailleret, whose death we all learned with much regret at the weekend. It seems relevant that it is a worldwide nuclear capability that he was so instrumental in organising. I deduce from those facts that, whether we like it or not, our merchant fleet remains of importance. The Chamber of Shipping is worried by the Government's announcements. Our balance of payments position aggravates the difficulties. The Board of Trade Journal last weekend showed that, on a basis of volume, 1961 being taken as 100, our imports have risen to 157 and our exports to 140. Happily, our trade is increasing.
    It has been argued in this debate that a nuclear war would be too short for the protection of our shipping lanes to matter

    1037
    very much. That is the Government's argument, as I understand it. Second, they argue that in a conventional war the Soviet Union could be relied on not to use its large fleet of submarines; third, that in a local war no one would be likely to molest British shipping; and fourth, that in peace there is no question of piracy or anything approaching piracy in the modern world. None the less, I am convinced that the presence of ships of the Royal Navy is of enormous importance.
    In that connection, I regard the recruiting advertisement published only the other day as somewhat misleading. It tells us:
    "Three-quarters of the world's surface is covered with salt water and at any one time some 2,000 British merchant ships are sailing tile high seas. And the Royal Navy will be there too".
    I understood the Government's announcements to mean that the Royal Navy will no longer be there.
    We have only 71 escort vessels to protect British merchant ships in peace or in war. The United States has a force of no fewer than 330. We must consider at the same time what our potential enemies possess. The Russians still have 20 cruisers and no fewer than 335 submarines. The question has often been asked in Navy debates, How would the British Fleet deal with "Sverdlovsk" class cruisers, which are very powerful vessels? Up to now, the answer has always been that we should deal with them by aircraft, aircraft flown from a carrier or flown from the shore. It seems to me that this will be impossible in the future, and I should like to know how it will be possible to deal with these cruisers. We remember what happened in the last war and the problems created by raids upon our commerce. How would it be possible to deal with them in the future without aircraft carriers and without adequate aircraft flying from land bases to them?
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: How many aircraft carriers do the Russians have?
    Mr. Digby: It is true that the Russians have no aircraft carriers at present, so far as one knows, but it is sensible to assume that they are not building all their submarines and cruisers for no purpose. They are building their vessels for a strategic purpose. It is up to us,
    1038
    therefore, to say how we would deal with those cruisers, very powerful vessels, and how we would deal with that very large number of submarines.
    We have not been told the future balance of the Fleet after the disappearance of the aircraft carrier. It is well known that the Fleet was built round the carrier in the old days, but that conception has gone. The support vessels for the aircraft carrier are still there. What is the real purpose?
    That brings me to the situation east of Suez, about which so much has been said already. At any one time, no fewer than 650 merchant ships are in that area and about £2,000 million worth of our trade is conducted there. Is it conceivable that help could be brought to the area in a hurry once we have moved our bases? We have facilities at Simonstown, but in the old days support for east of Suez was based on a long chain of naval bases where major repairs could be done—Gibraltar, Malta, Bombay and Singapore. In the future, however, there will be nothing between Gibraltar—and, perhaps, Simonstown—and Sydney. That is a long distance to cover. In time of war, it would be a very long distance for any damaged ship to sail to somewhere where proper repairs could be carried out. Although major repairs can now be carried out at Singapore, it is doubtful whether major repairs could be done to the larger ships at Simonstown.
    We are, therefore, putting ourselves in a position in which we shall not be able to implement the obligations which we have. Admittedly, our obligations to India now are very nebulous, but the other obligations remain, to Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia and Singapore, and to CENTO and S.E.A.T.O. The only alternative for us is either to renounce those obligations or make it possible for us to fulfil them. I do not believe that they can be fulfilled in a hurry by a fleet train. Without bases, it will be virtually impossible to do it.
    When these matters were first talked about, we were told that aircraft would fly from new airfields to meet these needs. Since then, the situation has deteriorated. Quite apart from the supply of the necessary aircraft, there will be very few airfields which could be used for such

    1039
    eventualities. I suppose that there will be only Ascension Island and the use of South African airfields. We cannot talk of bringing swift assistance to areas east of Suez unless we have the wherewithal, some form of base or some form of mobile support. With the complications of over-flying nowadays, it is difficult to see how even light forces could be brought rapidly to any area and be of real assistance.
    By their present policy, therefore, which they have been very cagey in spelling out, the Government are putting Britain into a position in which it will be extremely difficult for us to fulfil the obligations to which we are committed, and the British merchant fleet, together with the foreign merchant fleets on which we rely for imports, will be put at hazard in peace and in war.
    6.18 p.m.
    Mr. George Willis: The whole House will join the hon. Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby) in the tribute which he paid to the Merchant Service and the work which it did in the past and is doing today. The hon. Gentleman went on to link his tribute to the Merchant Service and the size of the task it was undertaking today to our naval ability to protect it, and he noted that France, for example, with a much smaller number of merchantmen to protect appeared to have many more ships than we have been able to provide. I ask him to remember that we took a decision to build Polaris submarines. If one decides to spend £300 million in one direction, one cannot spend it on something else.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: £350 million.
    Mr. Willis: My hon. Friend says that the figure is £350 million. The fact remains that that choice was made by the party opposite when in Government. When they made the decision, they must have had in mind that it would prevent their providing other things which the Navy needed. I remember the debates at that time. I took part, probably, in as many Navy debates as any hon. Member did—perhaps even more—and it was one of the grounds of our objection to the programme at that time that, precisely because of the decision to build Polaris submarines, one could not maintain what
    1040
    might be called the more conventional arms of the Service. There never was a reply to that objection.
    I am rather pleased that the present Government are at last trying to build a naval structure which is in accordance with our ability to maintain it financially and to man it, and to limit the obligations which that force has to those which it can meet.
    What was the position when the party opposite were in Government? There was hardly an incident during the 10 years prior to the Labour Party becoming the Government in which either the Navy was not on the spot at the time because it did not have the forces or, if it was on the spot at the time, it was because of an accident that an aircraft carrier or a commando vessel happened to be either on its way to a station or returning from it.
    I gave the whole history of this—I have just looked it up—in the debate on 2nd March, 1964. Anyone who examines the events which took place then in Borneo, Kuwait, East Africa or Cyprus will find that that is true.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: I was in the Navy at the time to which the right hon. Gentleman is referring and my recollection is the exact opposite of what he is saying.
    Mr. Willis: I will tell the hon. and gallant Member of some of the incidents which occurred. At the time of the Kuwait incident, which was probably one of the most important, one aircraft carrier was in British waters and the other was at Singapore. It took nine days for an aircraft carrier to get to Kuwait at the time of that incident. Fortunately, "Bulwark" was proceeding out to the Far East. It was entirely fortuitous that at the time of the Kuwait incident "Bulwark" had got as far as the Persian Gulf. Had aircraft been used against us, we would have been in a pretty sorry position. We had no aircraft carrier anywhere near the place. I could give chapter and verse of all the other incidents.
    In the circumstances, the Navy did a very good job. Nobody admires the Navy more than I do. I spent a considerable time in it and I have been associated with its ratings ever since. I have a great admiration for it. When

    1041
    the party opposite were the Government, however, they placed the Navy in an impossible position.
    In all those cases, we did not have the ships available. They were not there. When the trouble broke out in Borneo, we did not have aircraft carriers there. We did not even have the smaller ships which were needed. We made long speeches about this at the time. We on this side argued that it was because the Government had made a decision, whatever may be thought of it, to proceed with the Polaris submarine which took away, as my hon. Friend the Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes) has reminded me, £350 million.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: And more to come.
    Mr. Ramsden: Perhaps the right hon. Gentleman should check his facts. I may be wrong, but I was sent out to look at the time of the Kuwait operation and "Bulwark" was there, certainly not by accident. The right hon. Gentleman had better check whether "Victorious" was not there, too. My recollection is that she was.
    Mr. Willis: Let me refer to what I said on 2nd March, 1964, when I had all the facts with me. I said:
    "I propose, therefore, to look at this question rather fully."
    I was referring to our being over-stretched.
    "For some time now it has been generally accepted that our naval forces are too thinly scattered over too wide an area. The results of this have been seen in most of the incidents in the past two or three years. At Kuwait, when the trouble arose, 'Bulwark', fortunately, was at Karachi, but the two nearest aircraft carriers were at Gibraltar"—
    I was wrong just now when I said that one was in British waters—
    "and Hong Kong. The 'Victorious', which was approaching Hong Kong, had to turn round and steam about 5,000 miles to Kuwait."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 2nd March, 1964; Vol. 690, c. 950.]
    That was something like eight or nine days' steaming. Anyone who has been in the Service knows this.
    Dame Joan Vickers: Tae right hon. Member has forgotten that "Centaur" was already there.
    Mr. Willis: It was not there. There was no aircraft carrier there. If aircraft had been used against us in that opera-
    1042
    tion, had it been possible for aircraft to be brought against us, we would have had a difficult task. There is a similar story of a number of other incidents which I have quoted before but with which I do not want to weary the House again.
    Mr. John Biggs-Davison: For the air protection of the Kuwait forces, has the right hon. Member taken into account any Royal Air Force units that were in the area at the time?
    Mr. Willis: I do not think that there were any which could have provided the type of support that would have been necessary had we been attacked from the air.
    Mr. Ramsden: The right hon. Member must not go on saying these things which are not true. There were fully adequate numbers of Hunters there in support of the Army.
    Mr. Willis: I will leave it at that. I have had my say and made my point. I am talking about the Navy and I know that that was the position in most of the incidents at that time. Not only were we grossly over-stretched, but in many cases we could not man the ships that we had. We had too few ships for our commitments and we could not man the ships. I am sorry that the hon. Member for Hendon, North (Sir Ian Orr-Ewing) is no longer present, because he knows that I followed this up every year and during the year regularly with him—the question of shortage of skilled men in the Navy, including artificers. They were the key personnel on the technical side.
    In the debate on 2nd March, 1964, I gave the figures which had been given to me in an Answer. Nine ships were without their full complements of chief electrical artificers and chief electrical mechanicians. Forty-six other ships carried first and second-class electrical artificers and mechanicians instead of chiefs. That was the position at that time. We were over-stretched and we could not man the ships that we had got.
    I argued at the time that Polaris would worsen the position—
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: It has.
    Mr. Willis:—because each Polaris submarine would require two crews, practically all of whom are skilled ratings.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: As the right hon. Gentleman and I know something about this, I should like to pay tribute to the vital work that the artificer branch in the Navy does. The fact is, however, that people joined the artificer branch under the conditions which the hon. Member is describing in those days much more freely than they are joining now.
    Mr. Willis: There were other branches, too. We could not get officers for the Fleet Air Arm at that time. That was another branch which had acute shortages. I do not know whether the position is better now.
    The Minister of Defence for Administration (Mr. G. W. Reynolds) indicated assent.
    Mr. Willis: But it was very bad then, two or three years ago.
    Clearly, in these circumstances, we have to consider the position and ask ourselves what are the alternatives. One was to spend far more than we were spending. Even then, we had no guarantee that we would get the men that we required to man the ships. The other alternative was to try to bring our commitments into relation with what we could afford. That is what the Government have been trying to do and are doing. That is a thoroughly desirable thing to have done rather than to contemplate incurring some of the expenditures which have been mentioned this afternoon from the benches opposite. What do the Opposition want? They want aircraft carriers. But they cost more than £100 million apiece. That was the figure given in the House many years ago. They probably cost far more than that now. The Opposition also want us to reactivate Malta and do more at Simonstown.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: They also want more Polaris submarines at £50 million each.
    Mr. Willis: The hon. Gentleman opposite also wants 30 nuclear submarines. I do not suppose that the Opposition would have cut down on the Polaris programme, even the one that we have cut. What would have been the total cost of all this?
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Bankruptcy.
    Mr. Willis: Hon. Gentlemen opposite are always telling us that we must cut public expenditure, such as charging people for going to school if they can afford to pay for their children to go. That affects a few million £s. But here we are dealing with hundreds of millions of £s. It is time hon. Gentlemen opposite faced up to this. We cannot afford it.
    The hon. Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby) told us that we must keep the sea lanes open. We can no longer keep them open throughout the world. This is a conception based upon conditions existing at the end of the last century when we were the main naval power. Germany was then building up. At the beginning of this century no other nation, including the United States of America, had any navy worth anything. Therefore, the burden fell on us and I think we carried it out very well. Incidentally, most of the overseas trade was being done by us in any case at that time.
    That is not the position today. We are down in the trading figures. Other nations have caught up with us. It is impossible for every nation which has trade via the sea routes to maintain a fleet to keep its sea lanes open. What would be the position in the Mediterranean? We should have half a dozen different fleets operating there. I cannot think of anything that would be more futile.
    I have taken the view—I have said it from the Opposition benches—that we can no longer attend by ourselves to these aspects of international trade and our own security. We can secure ourselves and protect the trade of the world only by alliances, and preferably through some international organisation such as the United Nations. This is what the Government are trying to feel their way towards. This is the future. It is misleading for us to discuss Estimates and our policies in terms of defending ourselves and our sea routes.
    The hon. Gentleman opposite said that sea support was far more expensive than having bases. He overlooks the important question of the political cost of bases. Our history since the war has been to leave one base and go to another and then go to another because of political pressures. We lost tens of millions of £s because of that. So I do not think that is on. Cooperation between nations is the only

    1045
    way by which we secure this. If we secure it through alliances or through the United Nations, we solve our problem of bases because we have allies from whose territory we can operate. No matter how one examines the problem, this is the only way in which in the future we can expect to provide the security that the merchant fleets have a right to expect and at the same time the security necessary for ourselves.
    6.35 p.m.
    Captain Walter Elliot: There was one point made by the right hon. Member for Edinburgh, East (Mr. Willis) with which I agree. He said that the Polaris programme cost £350 million and as a result of that the Royal Navy lacks other things. I well remember making this point from the Government side of the House some years ago and saying that if the Navy was to take over the deterrent rôle it must be reflected in the Estimates because a Polaris submarine is very different from any other naval vessel in that cannot fulfil any other rôle. I think that a perfectly fair point.
    Whenever right hon. Gentlemen opposite assume the supreme post of Minister for the Royal Navy they seem to say the most staggering things. The right hon. Member for Edinburgh, East was not in charge of the Navy, but I seem to remember him speaking from the Dispatch Box on the Opposition side of the House.
    Mr. Willis: They were very good speeches.
    Captain Elliot: I intervened in the speech of the hon. Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) when he suggested that we could not possibly protect our shipping all over the world. The present Minister also made a similar remark, that no country in the world can protect all its sea communications and that the Royal Navy cannot patrol seaways everywhere. But no one is suggesting that the Royal Navy should do that. I do not know whether the present Minister realises that in, for example, the Indian Ocean alone there may be 5,000 shipping lanes that our shipping can follow and probably would follow at different times in a war. That happens all over the world. No one would suggest for a moment that the Royal Navy could patrol all those seaways.
    1046
    I suppose it might surprise the Minister if I said that the shipping lanes in the Indian Ocean, the South Atlantic or the Pacific might well be protected by hunter-killer submarines operating close to enemy ports in Europe or Northern Russia. They may be protected very efficiently by that means. As to his idea of comparatively small forces of our naval shipping scattered all over the globe, for Ministers to put up that sort of thinking is absurd. The hon. Member for Woolwich, East and the right hon. Member for Edinburgh, East seemed to think it surprising that we on this side of the House should send naval ships steaming to and fro. But that is precisely what they are for. It is one of the great advantages of the Navy that it should be able to do that. To say that there is something odd in ordering that seems incomprehensible to me.
    We have heard a good deal in the last few weeks about our world rôle and the desire of hon. and right hon. Members, particularly on the Government side, to throw it away. I support my hon. Friend the Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield-Digby) in drawing attention to the fact that we get our food and raw materials from all over the world. We cannot throw that world rôle away. We have heard about cutting commitments so as to match our capability. The Prime Minister said in his Statement on Public Expenditure:
    "We are determined that our commitments, and the capacity of our forces to undertake them, should match and balance each other."
    We depend massively on our seaborne imports; 90 per cent. in volume at least come by sea. As long as we have 50 million-80 million people in these islands we cannot cut that commitment. Have we the defence capability to match it? That is what we are discussing today.
    The Prime Minister said in paragraph 11 of his statement:
    "while recognising that our security lies fundamentally in Europe".—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 16th January, 1968 Vol. 756, c. 1580–2.]
    I want to consider other things which are fundamental. I believe one of them is that these islands are surrounded by water and that if our seaborne supplies do not reach us then our industry and people die. Paragraph 8 of the White Paper refers to a "new strategic concept" by N.A.T.O. and this "reflects our

    1047
    views". The 1967 White Paper said, in paragraph 14:
    "N.A.T.O.'s strategy must take account of the nature and duration of military operations in Europe, if deterrence should fail."
    Paragraph 15 said:
    "N.A.T.O. must be ready at sea, as well as on land, to demonstrate its will and its ability to respond appropriately to any act of aggression…Deterrence must be the first purpose of N.A.T.O.'s naval force too."
    From all that consideration, both in Cabinet here and with N.A.T.O., it is apparent that the Government have given long and serious thought to this new strategic conception and I suppose we can take it that the White Paper this year represents a considered view. Paragraph 12 shows us what the mountain has brought forth. It says:
    "This multi-national force of five or six frigates, to which the United Kingdom contributes one…"
    I am sorry that the right hon. Gentleman is not here because I would ask him if he was joking in putting forward this figure. Is this the trip wire at sea which is supposed to stop 400 or 500 Russian submarines?
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: How many?
    Captain Elliot: Four hundred or five hundred.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: The total has gone up by 200 since Eastbourne.
    Captain Elliot: I have seen figures mentioned of the Russian submarine fleet going up to 400 or 500.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Why not just make it 1,000?
    Captain Elliot: Is this trip wire of six frigates to stop this vast submarine fleet? Are these five or six frigates all that N.A.T.O. can contribute to buttressing the deterrent? This is of supreme importance to us above all other nations, so why are we only providing one frigate? Why are we not playing the major part in this? It is no good saying that great oaks from little acorns grow, as the right hon. Gentleman said the other day, because, as my right hon. Friend has pointed out, we have announced a cut back in that vital anti-submarine weapon—the nuclear hunter/killer submarine.
    1048
    In dealing with the new strategic concept mentioned in the White Paper, once again the Government have failed to provide Britain with the vital defence she needs and once again the country is left in an exposed and dangerous position. In the 1967 White Paper, the Government said that deterrence was the first purpose of the N.A.T.O. naval forces. I am not certain that this was not a misprint. I did not know that naval forces in themselves deterred. The way it has always been put before is that naval forces must support and buttress the nuclear deterrent. That applies particularly to the N.A.T.O. anti-submarine forces.
    They destroy enemy missile firing submarines and so protect our land based nuclear strike forces. They support the deterrent by anti-submarine operations designed to protect the Western missile firing submarines. They provide the shield at sea comparable with the shield forces in Europe. Is the right hon. Gentleman really telling us that this is going to be done by five or six frigates?
    Paragraph 8 of the White Paper considers an extension of the conventional phase of hostilities. This is wise. We should consider it. Is that extension a real possibility? Will it get longer and longer? Will world statesmen get more and more reluctant to incinerate the world? Is it possible that a major war could take place without unleashing nuclear weapons particularly at sea? I believe that it is possible and an increasing number of hon. Members on both sides are beginning to take that view.
    If this is so, then anti-submarine forces become even more important to this country. We are faced by a vast, potentially hostile submarine fleet. Technically, the submarine has made great strides since the last war—far greater than those made by anti-submarine forces, whether air or sea forces. The numbers of our anti-submarine forces on the sea, under it or in the air, are puny compared with our need.
    We were told in past years that this country would never fight a war alone. As a result of that, our forces including our reserve forces were very greatly reduced. That was a reasonable thing to do. In the 1967 White Paper was a statement that it was unrealistic to expect our

    1049
    N.A.T.O. allies to keep maritime forces in being.
    Mr. Dalyell: The hon. and gallant Gentleman says that what we have is puny in relation to our need. What, in his opinion, is our need? Can he give figures?
    Captain Elliot: I am not prepared to give figures now. I will give a comparison later on which will indicate the state we are in.
    There is no doubt that the Secretary of State and the nation must face the fact that, for the first time in hundreds of years, the Royal Navy cannot guarantee the security of our seaborne supplies. I do not believe that it can be done even with our allies with the forces we are told they have at the moment. The withdrawal from east of Suez raises new dangers because it exposes one of our main supply arteries to attack and we have no means to defend it. In paragraph 16 of the White Paper the Government say:
    "We shall continue to discuss the implications of our withdrawal with our friends and allies in these areas."
    I hope in due course to be able to question the right hon. Gentleman about what alternative arrangements he has agreed with our Allies about these vital routes.
    The defence of our lines of communication at sea is not a matter only for naval and air forces. It is a matter for all arms. The battle is fought not only at sea. The great battles fought in the Middle East during the last war were basically to preserve our lines of communication. In peace we defend them by our system of alliances, by preserving stability in the areas through which our shipping moves and by our presence in the areas. This has been done in recent years by stopping war from starting, by our brush-fire policy, by supporting our friends and allies all over the world. It is done not to keep dreams of empire, or to continue the Kipling tradition, but for our own self-interest and that of our Western allies.
    Are the Government turning their backs on this policy? Is it to be left entirely to Russia and the United States? If so, the results may be very different from those for which we hope. How can we continue to give some protection in the
    1050
    light of the Government's intention to abandon our positions east of Suez? It can be done only by a decisive turn by this country to a maritime strategy.
    My hon. Friend the Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby) stressed the expense of providing the replenishment vessels which would be needed. It is very expensive, but, over all, at any time maritime strategy is the most economical means of employing what forces we have. In effect, it means the ability to place a seaborne force of all arms in an area which we choose. It means that that force is available to concentrate and operate in any area where ships can float.
    The composition is ail in the book—it has been done before—Commando vessel, Royal Artillery. aircraft carrier, assault ship or amphibious squadron, supporting cruiser, frigates, possibly submarines, and replenishment ships. Expensive, yes, but cheaper and politically much more secure than providing large bases in different parts of the world. Perhaps we could afford only one of these groups, or perhaps two, and if we could afford only one, in periods of danger we could increase it to two.
    It would mean—and this is desirable—closer integration of the services and joint training of the R.A.F. and the Fleet Air Arm, common aircraft and common land or sea bases. The Army would need to train with the Royal Marine Commandos if it was to engage in a mobile defence strategy. In the end, if there were to be a decisive turn that way, we would be able to provide a reasonable defence within our means.
    Maritime strategy undoubtedly needs secure rear bases. This country is one of them. Gibraltar and Malta are important links and Simonstown and Australia are two safe and well-situated rear bases that will not need much expenditure of money by us to keep them in a proper state. The distances and areas to be covered are vast, but not so vast if we develop this concept of a mobile base to the full and provide the ships and equipment for it. I maintain that this strategy is within our ability to pay and that it will give us a measure of security and a coherent defence policy.
    In view of the Government's declaration, however, is all this an idle pipe

    1051
    dream? Are we to turn our backs on the world? After hundreds of years of pushing out to the end of the earth, are we to retire to Fortress Britain, or Fortress Europe, leaving the great issues of war and peace and political development to be decided by others, and others less fitted than we are to decide them? If that is what we are to do, in the end it will give us neither safety nor prosperity.
    Ministers seem to be utterly unaware of the dangers facing the country and of the naval dispositions and forces needed to meet them. They have no coherent thought about our naval or maritime strategy. After three and a half years of reviews and research, there emerge into the light five or six N.A.T.O. frigates of which Britain is to have one.
    We only just survived in the last war, against a much smaller menace, with nearly 900 anti-submarine vessels. This is the reply to the hon. Member for West Lothian (Mr. Dalyell). I cannot say how much money we can produce in order to provide an adequate number of these vessels, with our allies. The other day I asked the Minister a question about the numbers. He said that we had 71 with anti-submarine capability and he kindly sent me by letter a breakdown of that figure. I shall not divulge what he said. I do not know whether it is common knowledge, but in my view those which would be efficient anti-submarine vessels were a fraction of that 71. There is not a shadow of doubt that what we now have is grossly inadequate.
    We have a Navy rapidly becoming unbalanced as it is shorn of its air cover. Savage blows have been dealt at its morale by successive changes of policy. For the first time for hundreds of years we cannot guarantee seaborne supplies to this country, for whatever reason that may be. That is the measure of the Government's failure. If they can destroy the Royal Navy, they can destroy anything. The Navy and the country have no confidence in them, and they should go.
    6.59 p.m.
    Mr. Tam Dalyell: I was greatly arrested by one remark of the hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot). He started deriding those who believe, as I do, in Fortress Britain, and then he went on to
    1052
    say that if we took that view, others would decide the great issues in the world. I must say frankly that this attitude displays a degree of self-importance—to think that, in this world of the 1960s, we are better fitted than others, as of right, heredity or any other criterion, to decide these issues. There is a fundamental philosophical division between us on this kind of issue, because, by nature, the hon. and gallant Gentleman is a meddler. He thinks that, in some sense, the British are qualified to intervene in affairs that are not directly their own in order to produce some kind of Pax Britannica. In many ways, that is basic Tory philosophy, and it is with that idea that I disagree.
    Mr. Burden: While I do not admit that we have any kind of superiority in these matters compared with other nations, will the hon. Gentleman not agree that this country, probably more than any other, has done more to civilise and bridge the gap between all sorts of nations? Therefore, just as we have had a contribution to make in the past, certainly we have character enough to make a contribution in the future.
    Mr. Dalyell: I am all for making a contribution, but let it be a technical one in terms of world development rather than meddling in military issues which perhaps lead us and our friends into all sorts of difficulties. One example of that would be the way in which we have led Malaya up the garden path by giving a number of undertakings which in my view we had no right to give, and could never honour. As a result, the Malaysians have been led into actions which otherwise they would not have dreamed of taking, and that is one of the reasons why they are angry with us. The opinions of right hon. and hon. Gentlemen opposite not only show a degree of self-importance which I cannot accept, but are extremely dangerous.
    Captain W. Elliot: I am astonished by the hon. Gentleman's remark. He has referred to Malaysia, but he will remember Lord Avon, as he now is, and his valuable work in Laos and the peace treaty. Is he seriously saying that he hopes that we have no rôle in bringing about peace in Vietnam, for example?
    Mr. Dalyell: Yes, I am, and I am prepared to go right through the argument,

    1053
    because I have no wish for this country to be a permanent rather than a rotating member of the Security Council.
    The hon. Gentleman has just referred to Laos. I do not think that the West as a whole can be very proud of its contribution in Indo-China in the last 20 years. If the West had not meddled, Vietnam would be much better off today.
    That brings me to the arguments of the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell). He and the hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton really bring Parliament and politicians into disrepute when they say that we should have so many extra carriers, so many extra hunter killer submarines, so many extra commitments in the Indian Ocean, protecting sea lanes, and so on. The right hon. Gentleman the Leader of the Opposition wanted a protection force in the South Atlantic. Nothing was heard of that on Monday, so it may be that that potential commitment has been dropped. However, if they believe all these things, that is fair enough, and I respect their beliefs. But then to say that they are under no obligation to cost it seems to be sheer drivel and hypocrisy from the party which says that taxation should be lowered. If Members of Parliament go on wanting to have their cake and eat it, politicians will be brought into disrepute, and rightly so.
    The right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West said that the Government were putting the Navy in pawn to the Chancellor of the Exchequer. That is a fine debating point, but it comes ill from a man who has put forward all sorts of proposals which he is quite unwilling to cost. In the coming months, without wishing to put the Defence Ministry to too much unnecessary trouble, I hope that some costing will be made of the proposals which have been put forward from the Front Bench opposite in the last few days—never mind (hose from the back benches. I know that many of these matters are complicated and that key civil servants in the Department are overworked at this time of flux. Nevertheless, some costing is essential. I do not know whether my hon. Friend the Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) will agree, but, by my calculation, the proposals put forward from the Opposition Front Bench come to something between £3,500 and
    1054
    £4,000 million on defence expenditure. That is practically double that of the present Administration.
    The right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West argued that, in a continuing war at sea, we should be beside the United States. As other Opposition speakers have throughout these defence debates, he implied that somehow or other the Government and, more particularly hon. Members like me, were for shirking the mutual defence burden of the West. Somehow, we wanted to shelter under American naval power and the American nuclear umbrella. I think that that has been the argument. But, far from it. There are many of us who accept that the West has a common financial burden. However, it is a financial and not a military burden.
    In Washington or anywhere else or, more properly, to my constituents, I am prepared to defend considerable expenditures by British taxpayers to do the jobs which are mutual to us and the United States. As I have said before, I remember being berated by Walter Rostow in his office in Washington because Britain did not take part in the capital development of South America. He argued that it was unhealthy that that development should be left to United States capital rather than that of the whole Western world. However, it is impossible to do both, and this is the kind of argument which is vital when we are discussing the vast expenditures which are before the House at the moment.
    I come back to the speech of my hon. Friend the Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy. I hope that he will take it from me that, from my standpoint, in tone and content it was the most satisfactory of the defence speeches which we have heard in the last few days. I agree passionately when he says that we cannot protect our economic interests abroad by military force, that the days of the Pax Britannica have gone, and that trade protects itself. Yes, trade protects itself. I hope that a ringing message will go out through the Press that this is the Government's fundamental belief.
    I now come to the intervention of the hon. and gallant Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles). It appeared that he was in favour of a simple flat-top carrier. Surely he would be the

    1055
    last man who would wish to send ill-equipped Servicemen into an enemy situation. If we are to have equipment at all, it must be of the best. I do not want to insinuate that he is not concerned about Servicemen, because I am sure that he is as much concerned as anyone. But to one who has some background in shipping, though not in the Navy, it seems dangerous to argue in terms of simple equipment when any unsophisticated enemy would probably have bought fairly sophisticated equipment. Perhaps the hon. and gallant Gentleman will answer that point when he comes to speak, unless he wishes me to give way now.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: I am very reluctant to see Servicemen sent into action without the weapons that they need. That is why I do not like to contemplate a situation where they face the threats that they do without any air cover.
    Mr. Dalyell: That brings me to one of my central arguments. I agree that we must give those who fight for us the best possible equipment and, from a Fortress Britain point of view, that is what I would wish to do. If we must have Phantoms, let them be British-based, giving air support from our island where necessary
    I should like to know a little more about the multi-national force, and in particular the base at La Spezia. On 21st February I asked my right hon. Friend if he would
    "give details of the British contribution to the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation Underwater Research Establishment at La Spezia."
    The reply was:
    The United Kingdom contributes to the cost of running the Centre through N.A.T.O. common funding arrangements. It also lends suitably qualified personnel to work at the Centre, and provides representation on the Committees associated with it. There is in addition a constant flow of information to and from the Centre through the United Kingdom National Liaison Officer.—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 21st February, 1968; Vol. 759, c. 142.]
    I should like to know some of the arrangements to which we are committed on the issue of the N.A.T.O. multinational force.
    Mr. W. H. K. Baker: Can the hon. Gentleman tell us the range of the Phantom aircraft?
    Mr. Dalyell: I am open to correction, because I think that it depends on the difficulties of sorting out the Rolls-Royce Spey engine and the airframe, and the consequent difficulties about the amount of fuel, but it is about 1,500 to 1,800 miles, round flight.
    I am glad that my hon. Friend the Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes) is here, because, taking a Fortress Britain point of view, I should like to explain to him why, although I agree with him on many points, I do not accept his thesis on Polaris. I should like to register the fact that I backed the Government's decision to go ahead with the Polaris programme once it had got as far as it had done in 1964–65.
    Those who are not pacifists have to explain how they would have some kind of a deterrent. I believe that the Polaris is a formidable deterrent, and a credible one. I would, however, say to the Government that I hope they will not get involved in buying the next stage to Polaris, Poseidon, or whatever one likes to call it, because Polaris is really an ultimate, and no rational Government—we will have to leave irrationality out of it—would attack a nation which possessed Polaris, simply because the risk of error would be so great if anything went wrong, and the destruction so formidable, that it would not be worth the risk. I therefore say that in the next 10 to 15 years we have a satisfactory deterrent to which we as a nation need not add, and that the penalty of error in terms of destruction would always be too great.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Does my hon. Friend think that the Polaris will last for 10 to 15 years?
    Mr. Dalyell: I think that is a reasonable life span. This might be contradicted by the Front Bench, but that is my understanding of the position.
    I wish to come back for a moment to these shore-based Phantoms, and to ask how many we need, particularly bearing in mind that the price of the Phantom is a matter of some dispute. My hon. Friend must in some way be concerned with the problem of fitting British engines into American Phantoms. If in future we are to save money, or try to save it, across the exchanges by rightly putting

    1057
    British equipment into equipment bought abroad, airframes, and so on, can we be certain that there will be synchronisation of equipment. Perhaps my hon. Friend will tell my right hon. Friend who is to reply to the debate that he should take the opportunity to clear up what could be a misunderstanding about the Phantom adaptation problem, and the question of the Rolls-Royce Spey engine.
    Getting back to bases, it seems to me that either we have a large force capable of playing a major rôle abroad, or we do not have a force at all, other than to protect our own shores, and that small forces linked to not very specific commitments are extremely dangerous. Either a country has the whole panoply of power, or it has very little, and sufficient only to protect itself.
    That brings me to the question of the frigates. What are the frigates supposed to do? On 5th March I asked my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence
    "what joint development is being done with the Australian Government on frigates",
    and the reply was:
    "We are examining the possibility of developing a hull design for a new frigate which could also meet the possible requirements of the R.A.N. in the 1970s. The design contract, which has been let with Messrs. Yarrow/ Vosper, is intended to provide the R.N. with a more advanced frigate than the 'Leanders', which may, if successful, also be developed, when the new close-range surface-to-air guided missile to follow 'Sea Cat' is available, into the 'Leander' successor mentioned in Command 3357. The project is still at an early stage and there is no commitment at present on either side."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 6th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 104–5.]
    Before a commitment is entered into, may the House be told precisely what is the purpose of this frigate programme? May we be given a clear understanding of the relevance of the frigate programme, and the wider strategic issues? Unless one follows the bizarre concepts of the Leader of the Opposition into the South Atlantic Force, these frigates are superfluous to our needs.
    The House has been patient with me during the defence debates, but before I conclude my speech I wish to return to the theme of the civil uses to which the forces can be put. During the debate on the Army Estimates I argued at some length at the Government's plans for helping the land forces fulfil civilian
    1058
    tasks were realistic and good. Equally, I think that the Navy has a rôle to play outside a purely strategic defensive rôle.
    On Saturday I sent a telegram to the Secretary of State for Defence saying:
    "Urge you send naval expertise to Bahamas disaster. Hope you will give account of action during Monday debate."
    Perhaps when my right hon. Friend replies he will say something about the many instances in which the Navy could use the expertise which it gained during its entirely creditable operations in helping with the Torrey Canyon disaster. Many disasters occur every year somewhere in the world from which the Navy could gain valuable experience. If the Fortress Britain thesis is not accepted, I hope that the Government will at least take every opportunity to use the Navy for civilian situations.
    I think that some kind of costing comparisons have to be made with equivalent outlay spent in civil uses. My hon. Friend the Member for Woolwich, East said he was glad that the Department had been able to arrange a naval visit to Leningrad. I am not disputing that perhaps this had some marginally good effect, but I must draw the attention of the House to the fact that the more spectacular success in Leningrad was that achieved by the visit of thousands of British schoolchildren on the civilian British India ship schools. The real impression that was made on the Russians was not by the arrival of the naval force up the Neva, but by the arrival of thousands of children—constituents of my hon. Friend the Member for South Ayrshire, and others—as a result of a scheme in which troopers were converted to ship schools.
    I am not naïve enough to suggest that the Navy should change its carriers and other ships into school ships overnight, but I should have thought that at this stage in our history there was a case for a systematic inquiry into the way in which the Navy and naval establishments could be used to educational purposes. I refer to naval establishments because I have been asking a number of Parliamentary Questions on precisely this subject. I want to refresh the Minister's memory on a question I put on 4th March, when I asked my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence,
    "if he will give details of the potential research fellowships available at defence re-

    1059
    search establishments; and approximately how many vacant places there are."
    The reply from my right hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Equipment was:
    "Up to 20 a year for the Naval establishments; up to 12 a year for Army establishments."[OFFICIAL REPORT. 4th March, 1968; Vol. 760, c. 30.]
    I am sure that this number could be dramatically increased. This would be a considerable contribution towards solving our technological problems.
    On 21st February I asked my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Defence:
    "what initiatives he is taking to encourage the sponsorship of post-graduate students"—
    Mr. Deputy Speaker (Mr. Sydney Irving): Order. The Motion is concerned with the protection of Great Britain's vital sea communications in the future. The hon. Member is getting a little wide of the Motion.
    Mr. Dalyell: Yes, Mr. Deputy Speaker. It is merely that having made critical comments which are in order, I have the obligation to explain how the Navy should be run down and to put forward a clear idea—
    Mr. Deputy Speaker: Order. The Chair has the obligation to maintain order according to the rules. The hon. Member is out of order.
    Mr. Dalyell: In that case, Mr. Deputy Speaker, I end by making a comment which may irritate many of my hon. Friends and hon. Members opposite. It concerns the visit of my right hon. Friend to Cambridge. I am totally opposed to violence of any kind towards Ministers or other guests at universities. I deplore—
    Mr. Deputy Speaker: Order. I find it even more difficult to associate the hon. Member's present remarks with the Motion.
    Mr. Dalyell: In general terms of defence policy, Mr. Deputy Speaker, and in terms of all the money that we are concerned with at present, there is a considerable malaise—a general feeling that our spending on the Services is out of all relation to that on other urgent tasks that we should be carrying out. The Government should take notice of this extremely widespread feeling, which is not confined to the student population.
    1060
    The Government should turn their attention to the question of how total spending can be orientated, as I would have wished to argue, on civil tasks, not only at home but more particularly in developing countries—
    Mr. Deputy Speaker: The hon. Member's argument is getting even wider than a general defence debate at the moment. He must confine himself to the terms of the Motion.
    Mr. Dalyell: I respect your Ruling, Mr. Deputy Speaker. I end with a plea to the Government to look at the way in which the Navy can be used for the marine science programme, details of which I shall not go into but which I raised in an Adjournment debate on 11th December and which have also been mentioned by the right hon. Member for Stafford and Stone (Mr. Hugh Fraser). This is the direction in which my hon. Friend's Department should be turning its mind.
    7.24 p.m.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: I hope that the hon. Member for West Lothian (Mr. Dalyell) will understand it if I do not follow him in all the ramifications of his speech. I once enjoyed his company on a visit to the Far East, and although his sincerity was not in doubt I reached almost diametrically opposite conclusions on most of the points that were raised there. I want to take up one point that he made—the message that will go out from this House that "Trade protects itself". I ask the hon. Gentleman to speak to anybody in any of the Services who took part in the battle of the Atlantic, and ask him whether trade protects itself.
    On Tuesday last my right hon. Friend the Leader of the Opposition made an important speech in the defence debate, outlining the principle of Conservative policy. His keynote was that the Government are failing to maintain national security, and today's Motion sterns from that theme. My right hon. Friend emphasised three points—first, that it is our job to do what we can to maintain stability in the Far East; secondly, that vast British commercial interests are at risk in the Gulf and, thirdly, that the sea routes round the Cape are essential to ourselves, to Western Europe and to the North Atlantic.

    1061
    Today, I want to relate the risks which we face in this and other areas to the capability of the Royal Navy as proposed after the cuts inflicted by the latest White Paper. I classified in the defence debate the threats which arise as falling under four main headings. First, there was the nuclear threat. I congratulate the Government on going ahead with the Polaris programme. It is a valid deterrent, because of the difficulty of finding a submarine if one does not know even where to start looking for it. Polaris thus has a unique second-strike capability, and nothing that has happened or is in sight, technically, so far invalidates this. I do not want to attack the Government about their pre-election statements on nuclear policy because I am content that they have retained the Polaris programme.
    The second threat to which I referred in the debate is the threat of conventional war in Europe. The statistics of worldwide merchant shipping in peacetime are astonishing. Two thousand British merchant ships are at sea at any one time on any one day, including 650 east of Suez, and in the Mediteranean alone on any one day there are 1,500 merchant ships of all nationalities, 1,200 of which belong to allied or N.A.T.O. nations.
    The Mediterranean is an extremely important flank of N.A.T.O. and Malta is the key to the Mediterranean—and, incidentally, the most cost-effective training area for N.A.T.O. navies and air forces. As for the business of a threat at sea—overall, the Soviet Navy now has in commisstion 20 cruisers, 80 destroyers, many with surface-to-surface missiles and 140 ocean-going escorts. It has 400 fast patrol boats, many of which carry the Komar surface-to-surface missile, and there are 370-plus conventional submarines and about 40 nuclear-powered submarines in the Soviet fleet. At least 40 of these carry ballistic missiles: And the Russians are now building carriers to carry helicopters.
    By 1970, the Soviet mercantile marine will consist of 13 million tons of shipping. It all adds up to the fact that the Soviet Admiral Gerschkov is building up an expansionist maritime policy which is quite a new phenomenon in Russian history. Nobody can say politically what Soviet intentions are, and we must hope that they will not be aggressive. But a
    1062
    valid defence policy must take account of possible military risks and military threats. We must ask ourselves why, if Soviet intentions are peaceful, they impose upon themselves the economic strain of building up such enormous Naval forces. They cannot be building these ships with no intention of ever using them, which seems to be the Government's premise. Of course, one can make oneself shake in one's shoes and it is difficult to envisage in what circumstances Britain would have to oppose this huge Soviet fleet single-handed. But a prime object of British policy should be to keep our alliances in good repair, which cannot be done if we blatantly fail to make our proper contribution to those alliances—be they naval, land or air forces.
    The third classification of threat is that of conventional war at sea, which is a valid concept, as my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West made clear today. There is a wide scenario of possibilities—a gradual escalation from isolated instances of unexplained explosions to all-out war at sea. We must remember that all Russian ships, submarines and aircraft can lay mines. Sweeping mines is extremely difficult, as anyone who has done it knows. A vast field of sweep is required. Mines can be detonated by acoustic, pressure or magnetic means or a combination of all three and there is a battle of wits between the mine designer and the sweeper. There is a device also called "ship count", by which forces, even all the forces in the world, could sweep a channel a dozen times and a ship would go up on the thirteenth, or whatever number the designer had set—
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: The hon. and gallant Gentleman has painted a picture of an enormous Russian fleet with all kinds of vessels. Is this not a magnificent achievement of Communism?
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: It may be, but I hope that the hon. Gentleman would not wish to emulate any of the other achievements of Communism, and perhaps not even this one.
    I was on the subject of mining. The vital point is that some of these mines are completely unsweepable. One mine at a time could be laid in a place used by shipping and the one explosion which sank a ship would be inexplicable because there was no evidence left.

    1063
    One could envisage a "Pueblo" type of incident. It is difficult to say that this could not happen when four excellent British merchant ships have been locked up in the Suez Canal since last June. That is something which we tend to forget. This type of threat could escalate to a blockade of the mouth of the Gulf, which could be easily done, then to full-scale war at sea.
    I was amazed to hear the Under-Secretary, prompted by a nudge in the ribs from his right hon. Friend the Secretary of State, say, "We do not visualise an all-out war at sea." But the Americans do see it as a distinct possibility and are prepared accordingly. How can the Government base their whole defence policy on such a total misunderstanding of the policies of their most important N.A.T.O. ally? That is one of the most fantastic things which a Government spokesman has said in the House for many months. The fourth threat, which concerns me greatly because it is not distant and remote but is happening today as we sit here, and has been for some years, is the threat of, to use President Kennedy's expression, "Being nibbled to death in conditions of nuclear stalemate." This is the most real and urgent threat and, until last July, the Government recognised it. Exactly two years ago, in Edinburgh, the Prime Minister said:
    "The focal point of danger over the past ten years has been moving away from Europe to areas in Africa and Asia where the dangers we face are more sophisticated and require a more up-to-date type of reply…we shall not be able to deal with these new dangers or to take advantage of the new and existing opportunities this changing world presents unless we base our defence policy and deployment on realism. There are those who would have us abdicate from any position of influence outside Europe…Let me warn you against dangerous talk of this kind."
    Last week, when I put this theory to the Secretary of State and asked what had happened since last July, when the Government held those views, he said that confrontation had come to an end. What a fantastic thing to say. That is a prime example of the sort of threat to the free world east of Suez and of what the forces have been doing, can do and undoubtedly will have to do in future.
    In the absence of bases, the best way of meeting this type of threat, which is
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    difficult to pinpoint and describe, is by mobile task forces whose function must be to support our alliance and treaty partners, to give credible evidence of our intention and ability to safeguard our investments and seaborne trade—that is what this debate is primarily about—to help to provide stability and confidence in those areas and constructively to help to provide freedom from fear as a corollary to freedom from want. It cannot too often be said that one is no good without the other, and fear exists in a real form in those areas east of Suez.
    What sort of Navy do we need to provide a reasonable response to these threats on our behalf and on behalf of our allies? I agree that it is wrong for the Opposition to suggest numbers and exact types of ships, but we can define certain principles which the Navy should fulfil. First, it should be able to operate anywhere in the world if necessary. Air support from the shore will be inadequate for this purpose.
    When cancelling the carriers, the Government said that the Army, like the Navy, would have to rely on the support of aircraft from shore bases. The Prime Minister was explicit; he said about the 50 F111 aircraft:
    "Everyone involved in the discussion has agreed that the aircraft are needed on any assumption, unless we are going out of the defence business altogether."
    Now the Government have evacuated the bases and cancelled the aircraft. There must be aircraft from any naval force for surveillance, to avoid incidents as well as for self-defence. The former is absolutely fundamental.
    In this sort of scenario, an emergency below the threshold of war, a terrible command decision will have to be taken by some commanding officer who sees a little flashing flicker of light on his radar screen which could menace him and which he cannot positively identify. He has to take a decision whether to fire a missile at it without knowing exactly what it is. On the other hand, if he has an aircraft he can send it off when the contact is still out of the danger range and can positively identify the contact, thus avoiding turning what might be a dangerous situation into an emergency. This capability of surveillance is fundamental to anyone who has to take such a command decision.

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    In last year's debate on the subject I asked the Secretary of State to give the House a reason why he was so adament in turning down what we called the Harrier carriers or the Healey carriers. I have heard from members of the naval staff that when they were producing the shape of the future force, he flicked through the pages of their document, saw the words "aircraft carrier" and threw the document back at them for them to do their homework again. [Laughter.] The Minister may laugh, but the House must be told why he is so adamant in his opposition to these simplified aircraft carriers.
    The hon. Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) spoke of mini-carriers. I do not agree with the "mini" aspect. We want simple straightforward vessels on merchant ship lines which will operate vertical-take-off aircraft. We all know that they would not be as capable of dealing with a first-class enemy as would a sophisticated aircraft carrier, but anyone with a naval background will testify that these vessels would be better than no air cover at all. They would be able to cope with long-range aircraft with stand-off weapons, which otherwise would menace our task forces or merchant convoys, and they would be able to deal with the relatively sophisticated aircraft of minor nations and to give a great deal of security against surface-surface missiles.
    The concept which the Government have dredged up—I can use no other term—of helicopters armed with the AS12 weapon is laughable. Perhaps in his reply the Minister will tell us the comparative speeds of these helicopters and of the Swordfish aircraft which went out to try to sink the Scharnhorst and the Gneisenau in 1942.
    Next, the Navy of the future must be able to deal with the U-boat threat. All hon. Members who have spoken have emphasised the great potential threat of the U-boat to our lifeline in war and to our trade in conditions below the threshold of war. There are today ten times more U-boats than the number with which Hitler started World War II. The Royal Navy are very advanced in their training and development of equipment for anti-submarine purposes and potentially can make a great contribution to the Western Alliance in this respect. I
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    was at sea in the U.S. "Constellation" last summer off Haiphong watching the bombing raids on Haiphong from that gigantic carrier. She had very little antisubmarine protection deployed. I should like to see us helping to keep the peace in that way, for it would be a valuable contribution in present circumstances. I have never been happy with the policy of sitting on the fence about Vietnam, which is the posture adopted by the Government, especially when the Prime Minister moralises and pontificates, in the way that he does, about what American policy should be.
    Thirdly, the Navy must be long-legged and able to operate for extended periods away from the support of shore bases. This involves tankers and supply ships in a balanced naval force. Many of those functions could be undertaken by relatively unsophisticated ships. We need to continue standardisation with N.A.T.O. as an urgent matter, and we need overseas facilities for shore training of any troops who might be embarked in ships such as the "Intrepid" and the "Fearless", which offer a useful pattern for the future. In the context of a long-legged Navy we must have close relations politically with friendly navies, and in this context the Australian, New Zealand and particularly the South African navies are of the utmost importance.
    Fourthly, the Navy must consist of a balanced force. We must have built-in flexibility. We cannot hack away surgically and say, "We can get rid of this and the Navy will not miss it". The Secretary of State is a great enthusiast for cost-effectiveness. A mobile maritime task force is the most cost-effective way of deployment, because it can be used wherever it is wanted. There is nothing inconsistent in our suggestion that such forces should be available east of Suez, for they can be deployed back in the Atlantic at very short notice if the threat began to appear there.
    Reference has been made in the debate to great oaks growing from little acorns. Our ancestors were very wise. Whenever there was a famous naval victory at sea they planted oaks, so that trees could grow and their sons and their sons' sons could build ships for the future. We should now be wise if we built strong forces not to fight another war—but strong enough to prevent it.
    7.48 p.m.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: The Motion before the House reads:
    "That this House views with anxiety Her Majesty's Government's failure to produce a coherent policy for the protection of Great Britain's vital sea communications in the future."
    I am not particularly enamoured either of the Government's policy or of the Opposition's criticism, because neither of them is coherent. Both disregard the facts about modern war. The Opposition's Motion is based on a series of delusions which have been current since the early part of the century. I recall a very interesting book by Norman Angell in which he analysed the theory that if one had a great Navy one necessarily had commercial prosperity. His arguments still hold good. If hon. Members look around the world and see the kind of navies which other countries have, and their state of commercial prosperity, I think they will agree that the argument cannot be sustained that if we spend more on the Navy we are more likely to retain or to protect our commercial interests throughout the world. For example, we have far and away the largest navy in Europe if we regard Russia as being outside Europe.
    Countries like Norway, Sweden, Holland, Italy, France and Spain do a considerable amount of trade with other nations. They are not building strong navies. They are not adding to their national budgets by indulging in expenditure of this sort. Meanwhile, we are in the strange position of borrowing money from countries which have small or no navies to build ourselves a large navy. We are borrowing money from West Germany, France and other nations which have not gone in for this type of defence in a big way, and while they have all this money to spare, we are now spending £630 million to build a large navy. I challenge the whole theory that this expenditure is necessary in the interests of Britain.
    I have referred to Japan in previous debates. I recall the time when Japan was a great naval Power. At one time that country had not only a great navy but many aircraft carriers, cruisers, submarines and pre-war spent enormous sums on building up its navy. We did a lot to encourage them and I remember how a Japanese mission on the Clyde
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    learned a great deal from us about how to build a great navy.
    Some hon. Gentlemen opposite believe that we can afford to spend 7 per cent. of our national wealth on defence. Western Germany spends only 4 per cent. and the average expenditure of our competitors in the E.E.C. and N.A.T.O. is 3 per cent. less than ours. As a result of this tremendous expenditure on our part, we are practically broke. The £ is in danger, and it is impossible for the Royal Navy to protect it. Our gold is disappearing and demands are being made on us as our economy declines, but our navy is unable to help. I therefore challenge the fundamental assumption underlying the argument that we should have a strong navy.
    In any event, what is the Royal Navy for? I am glad to know that the Government have at last decided to reduce the nation's expenditure on it by whittling down our commitments east of Suez. It has taken the Government a long time to reach this decision. Hon. Gentlemen opposite frequently argue that the Government have surrendered to the Left of the Labour Party—to the lunatic fringe, the fellow-travellers or whatever adjective may suffice to bolster up a ridiculous argument—but I do not pride myself on having been able to sway the Government. They have been persuaded to make these cuts by the economic circumstances, by the march of events, in the sense that no longer can we afford to spend so much on the Royal Navy.
    The Government say that they are justified in making these reductions because we can no longer support a large navy economically, and they are right. I will, therefore, support them in the Lobby against the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) and hon. Gentlemen opposite because if their policy were implemented we should be committed to vast sums of expenditure on the Navy.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: Is the hon. Gentleman saying that Socialist economic policies have made us so bankrupt that we cannot afford to defend ourselves adequately?
    Mr. Hughes: No. I remember my history as well as my economics. I remember how the last Conservative Government left us with a deficit of £800

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    million. The right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West gave the impression that if the Conservative Party were returned to power they would implement a huge defence programme. I do not believe that. If, for economic reasons, they had to choose between the City of London and the Royal Navy, they would sacrifice the Royal Navy. They have done it before. I am old enough to remember the economic cuts of 1931. The national or coalition Government of that time cut down naval expenditure to save money. They overdid it, and we had the Invergordon mutiny.
    I am sure that the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West would be far too wise, if he were Minister, to precipitate another economic crisis by introducing a big defence budget which would make the gnomes of Zurich wonder if perhaps they would have been better off under a Labour Government. It is in this connection that my right hon. Friend the Minister of Defence argues on a false point when he says that if the Tories had been returned to power they would have spent £500 million more than we are spending on defence, so that we are saving that amount. I do not believe that even a Conservative Government would undertake that expenditure and have to face the economic consequences.
    We have heard a lot about Russian submarines. This argument has been paraded in defence debates for the last 22 years. Perhaps the first time we heard about a horde of Russian submarines—I think the figure given at the time was 300—was when my right hon. Friend the Member for Easington (Mr. Shinwell) introduced a Defence White Paper some years ago. Since then a picture of a growing number of Russian submarines has been painted in each defence debate.
    Whatever the number, the Russians are building too many submarines. Indeed, every nation is. I am looking forward to the time when Britain, Russia, the United States and every other nation will reach agreement to reduce their naval and other defence budgets. Some hon. Members have argued that, because of the number of submarines possessed by the Russians, we need hunter/killer submarines to chase away their submarines. If that is so, when our Polaris fleet, such as it is, goes into the oceans of the world, our Russian counterparts will say,
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    "Britain has deployed four Polaris submarines. We need more killer submarines to counter theirs." So this mad race will continue, impoverishing every nation and, what concerns me, impoverishing especially this nation.
    Exactly 11 years ago this week I had an opportunity to visit the Soviet Union. I was a fellow traveller with Mr. Harold Macmillan and his mission. The party included the right hon. Gentleman the Member for Altrincham and Sale (Mr. Barber) who was then Mr. Macmillan's P.P.S.—he has risen in the world since then. We visited Leningrad, and one of the establishments we visited there was Frunze Naval School where Russian naval personnel were being trained.
    I always remember that day. The ice was breaking on the Neva, and it was a very interesting spectacle. But to me the most interesting spectacle was Mr. Macmillan reviewing the sailors of the Red Fleet. I stood there in admiration, shivering in the cold, as Russian sailors—some of whom were presumably to sail in the Russian submarines—shouldered arms while Mr. Macmillan reviewed them and said how glad he was to see them.
    I had never before been in a naval academy. I watched with interest all the V.I.P.s—I was only a rank-and-file journalist. Mr. Macmillan and his staff went through this academy and talked, presumably affectionately, about the respective merits of the Russian Navy and the British Navy. If no one believes me, I can show a photograph of Mr. Macmillan in his Russian fur cap—
    Mr. Deputy Speaker (Sir Eric Fletcher): Everyone will believe it, but it is difficult to relate what the hon. Member is saying to the Motion before the House.
    Mr. Hughes: The argument has been that the Russians are the enemy; that we need this enormous naval expenditure in order to protect ourselves against the Russians.
    I will leave out the picturesque details, but in a speech of welcome Admiral Bodenko said that the Russians had a navy before Nelson. Then I have a quotation which is relevant to my argument, from the speech made by Mr. Macmillan. He said:
    "To us islanders the Royal Navy is a sacred and cherished tradition. The friendship between the British and Russian Fleets is of long

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    standing. The long record of co-operation between the British and Russian Navies was cemented during the last war. I bring greetings to you—from the British people and from the British Navy."
    That was 11 years ago, but apparently no progress has been made. Russian sailors are going to sea in their submarines and our sailors are doing the same, and so the thing goes on and on, and will until the people of the world get tired of it—
    Mr. William Hamling: Will my hon. Friend tell me why Russian naval ships are keeping observation on and shadowing the ships of Her Majesty's Navy?
    Mr. Hughes: The answer is very obvious. If each side has Polaris submarines and a vast number of other naval craft, each will shadow the other. That is the obvious strategy of the different naval Powers—
    Mr. Hamling: I am most grateful to my hon. Friend for giving way again. Does he, then, assert that Soviet ships are doing this out of friendship?
    Mr. Hughes: No, they are doing it out of fear, and so are we. I have discussed this matter with Russian sailors, who frequently come to the South Ayrshire ports during the winter months. I have asked them, "What do you mean by having all these submarines, and the rest?" Their argument—I do not support it, but present it—is, "The Russian people at the time of the Revolution saw a British fleet in the Baltic and fleets in the Black Sea. Therefore, we need these ships for our defence."
    That argument is used on both sides, but I believe that the Russians and ourselves would save an enormous amount of money if we acted in the spirit of the meeting of Mr. Macmillan with Admiral Bodenko. I see no reason, except the stupidity of our foreign policy, why Russia and this country should not unite in a foreign policy that would stop the naval armaments race.
    I have been very critical of the whole Polaris submarine policy. We took over that policy from the party opposite. When the "Thunderbolt" project broke down, Mr. Macmillan returned from America and said. "The Americans have given us five Polaris submarines. We
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    are going in for a programme of Polaris submarines." From the other side of the Chamber I criticised that policy very strongly, but what have a Labour Government done?
    When Labour was in Opposition, the argument of the present Prime Minister was that any contribution we could make by means of Polaris submarines and the nuclear deterrent would be irrelevant because the Americans and the Russians already had so much nuclear power that anything we could contribute would not affect the strategical situation. That was the argument. We won the argument at the General Election. But what did the Government do when they got into power. They looked at the Polaris submarine programme and said, "Oh, well, we will have four of them instead of five." That made neither strategical nor political sense, and it does not make financial and economic sense.
    The result is that we are now to spend £350 million on the Polaris programme. I should like an explanation of the following fact. Last year and until recently the Navy pamphlets said that the total cost of the Polaris submarines would be £370 million. I persistently asked about this figure, and then suddenly received an Answer that surprised me. I was told that the total cost would not be £370 million but £350 million. Someone had made an error of £20 million in the Polaris submarine programme. I am very glad that I asked those Questions; I shall go on asking Questions until, perhaps, the total cost comes down by another £20 million.
    I should like my hon. Friend to answer another question: were the Government justified three weeks ago in sending the Polaris submarine "Resolution" to undergo trials and conduct a demonstration off the coast of Florida? I asked the cost and I was amazed to find that the cost of firing two missiles from Polaris submarines was £1,500,000. That is an immense sum of money to spend, especially when we are in financial difficulties.
    I asked, what did each Polaris missile cost? I received the answer that that could not be given because that was classified information. I have no desire to get hold of classified information. The other information is sufficient for my

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    argument. I read in the Glasgow Herald—which, if it is not an authority on submarines, knows a bit about money, coming from where it does—that one missile alone costs £416,000. If we are to have submarines of this kind and they are to cost this enormous amount of money, I forecast that in years to come we shall have a considerable increase in the cost of the Polaris programme which, when the Labour Party was in Opposition, it said was irrelevant and which it criticised and opposed.
    A picturesque incident took place. They sent a piper from the Scots Greys to perform in Florida. I was curious about how this piper got to the test off the coast of Florida. I received the amazing reply that he went in the Polaris submarine. I asked the Minister, was that fair to the crew of the submarine? I like to hear the pipes—at a safe distance; on a hillside hundreds of yards away. Think of that piper playing in the submarine from which the crew could not escape! If ever there was cruelty in the history of submarine warfare this was torture added to cruelty.
    This is how they throw our money about. Each Polaris submarine, when it is in operation, will cost £100,000 a week to run. The base will cost £45 million when completed. The details of this expenditure were not told to the House at the time. There is to be a school which is to cost £10 million and a storage depôt for missiles, a gigantic hole carved into the earth by Coalport and Faslane. This expenditure is mounting. We are doing something which cannot help us defensively because we are never going alone into a war with the Soviet Union, and if we go in with the Americans they have enough of the deterrents. They have 41 of these things.
    We are told in the literature issued by the Admiralty that one of these missiles can destroy and devastate whole cities. One enthusiastic admiral said one Polaris missile, one city. The Russians will do something of the same kind. The result will be that either we shall continue a ruinous arms race or, if some accident occurs, we shall both be blown up. I do not understand how hon. Members apposite can agree to this policy in view of what a former Conservative Minister said over the television
    1074
    in the Soviet Union. When hon. Gentlemen speak over the television in the Soviet Union they become transformed. They make speeches which Communists here would think moderate. I remember Mr. Macmillan's speech in Moscow Embassy during that famous visit when he talked about seeing the promised land in the Ural Mountains.
    The previous Leader of the Conservative Party, the right hon. Member for Kinross and West Perthshire (Sir Alec Douglas-Home) made a speech over the television in Moscow. I have a text of it. He said that we must not only coexist; we must co-operate, and we shall not gain anything if we try to destroy each other. That, I think, is common sense. The argument of the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West will not hold water. Small nations without navies are getting the trade of the world. Japan is getting the trade of the Eastern world and is penetrating into the West simply because it is not spending money, resources, manpower and ability on armaments and weapons which it thinks are obsolete.
    I have seen Nagasaki and Hiroshima. I have seen the shipyards there sending out tankers and ships which are needed in that part of the world at a time when our shipbuilding industry is in very difficult straits. I do not believe that the sum mentioned in these Estimates is likely to increase our ability to compete in trade. I do not think the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West is serious. I think he is too intelligent to believe in traditional Tory blue-water imperialism. On that ground we are not justified in carrying on as we are. The other ground, that this is in any way relevant to the protection of this country and making this country any more secure, I also challenge.
    It is time that this House took a new and harder look at the British Navy. I remember Sir Winston Churchill in this House ridiculing the Admiralty. He said that they sit in their office chairs making jobs for themselves and for their successors. He knew because he knew the Admiralty. At present the same procedure is being followed. There should be a notice in the Navy Department of the Ministry of Defence saying, "You must change your jobs". They are gifted, able men. I want to see their ability

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    and their knowledge exercised in a different and less futile way. So I hope there will be an increasingly critical view of these Estimates and of the whole policy before the House at present.
    8.17 p.m.
    Mr. F. A. Burden: I am sure the hon. Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes) will forgive me if I do not follow fully in what he said, but I wish to pose one question about which I have been wondering for a long time. The hon. Member spoke very sincerely about this country not spending money on weapons and armaments. I cannot help wondering whether he felt precisely the same when Hitler came to power in Germany, and whether at that time he was preaching that this country should do away with armaments. If he was I think most of us would disagree with him, probably even more strongly than we do today.
    There was one other rather extraordinary speech from the benches opposite this afternoon. The hon. Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) left the Government because he could not under any circumstances agree with their defence policy. Indeed, the difference was so great between them at that time that the Government welcomed his leaving them. It is extraordinary that this afternoon the hon. Member said that they have come very close together. This can mean only that the Government have changed their minds very considerably in a very short time.
    The memorandum accompanying the 1963–64 Navy Estimates says:
    "…it continues to be necessary for Britain to have a convincing ability to bring conventional military force to bear wherever required…so long as this country may need to engage in military operations overseas the Navy must continue to contribute to the combined seaborne/airborne forces on which these operations depend…no matter what the future may hold, the oceans of the world must always be kept free for the passage of our merchant shipping…It has always been, and will continue to be a primary rôle of the Royal Navy to safeguard our own merchant fleet and to contribute to worldwide trade by deterring and frustrating interference with the peaceful movement of merchant shipping."
    Whatever right hon. Gentlemen and right hon. Members opposite may argue, if there is a prolonged and conventional naval war—certainly the Americans view the possibility of that—that must still be
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    the main aim of the Royal Navy. The 1964–65 edition of "Jane's Fighting Ships" says:
    "After the Nassau Agreement the Royal Navy has moved with a remarkable alacrity that has perhaps never been seen before in modern times in peace, not since the days of Lord Fisher as First Sea Lord and the hustle of building the revolutionary all big gun battleships."
    I believe that no one will disagree broadly with the statement of the rôle of the Navy declared in the 1963–64 Navy Estimates, and I think that the statement in "Jane's Fighting Ships" illustrates clearly that the Conservative Government had shown a very quick grasp of the new conditions that had come about as a result of nuclear weapons and nuclear propulsion in naval vessels.
    The strongest evidence of support from the Labour Party for the general concept as laid down in the 1963–64 Naval Estimates, and also for the concept that Britain must have a strong and vital Navy, came from none other than the present Prime Minister. I was fully aware of this, because he made a very important speech on the Royal Navy and its future at Chatham on 29th September, 1964, when he stressed the ever-increasing rôle the Royal Navy would play under a Labour Government. He made what the local Press described as a blistering attack on the policy of the Conservative Party regarding that branch of the Service:
    "Labour believed, he said, that in present conditions of the world Britain needed a stronger and more effective Navy. He complained that the commitment to spend hundreds of millions more on our all American independent British deterrent, the Polaris programme, had pushed back for five years the important programme of nuclear powered Hunter Killer submarines."
    The hon. Member for South Ayrshire referred to this. The present Prime Minister went even further at Chatham and other places and said that the Nassau Agreement must be renegotiated and the Polaris programme scrapped. He laid particular stress upon Britain's need to have hunter-killer submarines—not one or two, but in numbers. The Prime Minister went even further, and this was a few days before the 1964 General Election, when he was fully aware of the balance of payments position. The Press reported him as saying:
    "The Royal Navy was not adequate for our needs in the 1960s. It had been run down by the Conservatives to a dangerous extent."

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    The right hon. Gentleman went on to give some figures: there were 101 ships in commission, but we had plently of admirals. One knows how well the Prime Minister gives the slight and the sneer when he wants to. There being 85 admirals, the admiral/warship co-efficient, said the present Prime Minister, was 0·851. He went on to say:
    "I wish the world were such that I did not have to say this, but I believe we shall need an expanded naval shipbuilding programme."
    He stated that the number of ships under construction, including those launched and those not launched, had fallen from 24 in 1962 to 16 in 1964. This was pretty powerful stuff, and it was stuff that the Navy, the dockyard towns and all those with naval traditions were longing to hear. This was the stuff on which the votes were won from those who had an interest in and hope for the future of Britain's defence and the Royal Navy.
    There was no word of condemnation from any of those present. The Press said that Mr. Wilson received a standing ovation—a tumultuous ovation—from about 1,600 people. I wonder if he would receive the same sort of reception there today. It is interesting and enlightening to recall what the Prime Minister then said. Let us consider whether even then his figures were quite accurate, although the relationship between the number of admirals and the number of ships in commission made a very good story. As we all know, the present Prime Minister is rather fond of putting over good stories on television and in other places, but we do not see him quite so often now.
    The Statement on Defence, 1964, Cmnd 2270, says that the fleet comprised 145 operational ships, not 101 as the Prime Minister had stated at Chatham, and that there were 93 fleet support ships, 49 trials and training ships, and 226 vessels of various categories undergoing long refit, modernisation, or in reserve. The coefficient, even if one takes only the 145 operational ships and disregards all the others which were part of the Navy, works out, not, as the Prime Minister said on that occasion, at 0·851, but at 1·7059.
    Since then, we have had three and a half years with the party opposite in power. The Labour Government have
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    had an opportunity to expand the Navy and to reduce the number of admirals, which the Prime Minister implied was so much out of balance. There has indeed been a dramatic reduction in the number of admirals on the general list—from 85 to 82. But what of the Fleet, the Fleet which was to be greatly expanded? It would have made much better arithmetic if the size of the Navy had been increased, in view of the Prime Minister's strictures on the number of admirals engaged on naval duties.
    The present Defence White Paper, Cmnd. 3540, shows that the number of operational units has fallen to 140, and five of those are still under construction. The number of trials and training ships has fallen to 26, and instead of 222 ships undergoing long refit or in reserve there are now only 60. The Government are reluctant to tell us how many fleet support ships there are or what is the future of the fleet support ship, but it is interesting to note that none is mentioned this year. In 1964 there were 93.
    Taking like categories of ships noted in the Statement on Defence in 1964, Cmnd. 2270, and comparing them with the totals in Cmnd. 3540, we find that there has been a reduction from 420 ships in the former to 221 in the latter. So we now have three fewer admirals but about half as many ships. What a way to expand the naval shipbuilding programme and create a stronger and more effective Navy! I wonder what sarcastic references the Prime Minister now has to make to the admiral-ship coefficient in the Navy.
    The position is even worse in relation to the Prime Minister's declaration about the need for the British Navy and his slamming of the Conservative programme. The current Defence Estimates show that of the 10 ships which have been launched but not accepted into the Service three fleet ballistic missile submarines, two guided missile destroyers and four of the six frigates were authorised by the last Conservative Government; and of the six shins which have been or are expected to be accepted into service during the financial year ending 31st March, 1968, all were authorised and some of the keels laid before the Labour Party came to power. The only positive contribution so far

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    made by this Government comprises two fleet submarines, one guided missile destroyer and three frigates, all with the exception of one of the frigates having been laid down in 1967, and the one frigate this month.
    The footnote to Annex I to Cmnd. 3540, the Strength of the Fleet, tells us that two more fleet submarines are on order but not yet laid down. Shall we ever get them?
    Mr. Foley: Yes.
    Mr. Burden: The Under-Secretary of State says "Yes", but there has been a constant chopping and changing in declared Navy policy. With cut-back after cut-back, there is no certainty that what we are promised today will be on the cards tomorrow. This ghastly record makes utter nonsense of the criticisms levelled against the Tory Party by the Prime Minister at Chatham.
    Last year, the Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy said that we must have a fleet capability to preserve our position in the Far East, the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean. We were told that our maritime forces can provide a particularly flexible element in the British military presence overseas, and our ability to possess a local deterrent and to contribute to peace-keeping operations will be considerably enhanced by a capability to hold commandos ready for action by means of amphibious forces. The hon. Gentleman spoke of the importance of air support for sea power.
    I ask the Government to be realistic. We are told that the Navy still depends upon air power to support the Fleet, but from land-based aircraft, and we are told that the Phantoms will play a considerable rôle in this. Do the Government realise that if our naval forces have to rely upon land-based aircraft for their protection and support, the land bases must be consistently within quick flying time of the naval forces or they will be too far stretched and will arrive, in many instances, far too late to give the immediate support that is necessary?
    Air support cannot be undertaken over a wide area without la bases in countries distant from our islands and along the whole area in which our Fleet might have to operate. The only alternative is to have aircraft carriers. If it is
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    necessary, as right hon. and hon. Members opposite have said, for the Fleet to have air support, they must automatically accept that the British Fleet cannot be sent anywhere in the world unless that air support is available. This, again, considerably restricts the power of the Royal Navy. Unless it receives the necessary air support, it is placed in extreme jeopardy.
    The Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy knows that I have considerable admiration for him, but I feel very sorry that much of what he said a year ago has been thrown completely overboard. That is not surprising, however, because most of the things that have been said not only by his Department, but by every Defence Department and every Department of the present Government, a year ago have been thrown over a year later. That is why many of us are cynical about the promises which are made by the Government, even today, regarding the future defence of the country.
    The hon. Gentleman came to the Dispatch Box a year ago and gave a promise that there was sufficient work in the Royal Dockyards, then and in the foreseeable future, to keep them fully employed. A year later, we are told that there are to be reductions in the overall work in the yards, which means a cutback in the Fleet and redundancies in the yards. The reductions may be so considerable that some yards are in danger of being closed down.
    If there is need for a British presence on the oceans of the world, it is necessary that we have the right backing for it. The dockyard at Chatham—I want to be parochial for a moment because I believe that it can play an important part—is almost, if not completely, fully equipped to take in nuclear submarines for refit and repair. It has expertise in gas turbine propulsion. Another such yard for the repair and refit of nuclear submarines has been created on the Forth. I hope that these two yards will be kept fully employed. I also hope that the Government will give consideration to the possibility of building hunter-killers in them, and particularly in Chatham, where there is such wonderful expertise about submarine construction, and the knowledge of nuclear propulsion and the handling of nuclear submarines there should help considerably.
    Mr. Willis: I hope that the hon. Gentleman is remembering that it was his own Government who decided that nuclear work would not be done at Chatham and that it was the present Government who put the nuclear submarine work at Chatham.
    Mr. Burden: The right hon. Gentleman is quite wrong.
    Mr. Willis: I am not.
    Mr. Burden: If the right hon. Gentleman has made his point, perhaps he will allow me to reply. The announcement that Chatham Dockyard was to be used as a nuclear repair dockyard was made by my hon. Friend the Member for Henley (Mr. Hay) when he was the Civil Lord of the Admiralty. He made the announcement early in September, 1964.
    That apart, I think the situation is that the Royal Dockyards, because of the cutback, are threatened. The Defence Estimates for 1969 make provision for a cut-back in dockyard manpower of about 800 in this financial year. This is causing very considerable apprehension among those who work in the dockyards.
    I conclude as I began, by referring right hon. and hon. Gentlemen opposite to the statement made in the 1965–66 Navy Estimates which set out very clearly the role of the Royal Navy. So far as I can see, nothing has changed since then. I hope that, however the situation may be regarding the availability of immediate money, it will be realised by all right hon. and hon. Gentlemen opposite that, this being an island nation, we are particularly vulnerable to attack from the sea. I use this expression to illustrate that, as everybody in the House realises, we can, above all, be readily starved of raw materials and food. It is all very well for the right hon. and hon Gentlemen opposite to say that we must depend upon America for our defence. In the final issue our defence will be very largely in our own hands, and even if we have to depend to some extent on others, they will be influenced very greatly in thinking of what they can do to help us if we show that we ate alive to what we must do to help ourselves.
    8.44 p.m.
    Mr. Eric Ogden: The hon. Member for Gillingham (Mr. Burden) delivered some hard
    1082
    blows in his criticism of the Government's naval policy. I should like to take up some of his points a little later.
    I think that there may be a measure of agreement between the hon. Gentleman and myself on the question of admirals. They are rather cluttering up the programme, and I think we might get them out of the way. Reference has been made to the fact that we have so many admirals per ship at the moment. I think that the idea that one can relate the number of admirals employed in the Navy to the number of ships is completely erroneous. But this has been said on both sides, and it is reported in "Parkinson's Law". I am not concerned about who said it before. However, in my view this is erroneous.
    To give some figures, in 1939 we had one admiral for every 1,460 other ranks. This is the important point. Today we have one admiral for every 1,329 other ranks. In Nelson's day, the power and glory of the "wooden walls", there was one admiral for every 770 other ranks. In 1805 we had 161 admirals; in 1966 we had 73. So some progress has been made.
    I came here with both interest and anticipation. There are but two other ex-members of the Merchant Navy in the House at this time, and my interest in sea communications has not altered from the time I was a merchant seaman. I also came to the debate with some trepidation because it seemed to me that the Opposition had cornered the market in admirals and in retired captains, R.N. They could bring up their guns and we had to defend ourselves as we went along. They have big guns and lots of powder and I expected to have to sit here absorbing shot and shell, occasionally sending off a rocket or putting a shot across their bows in return. But it has not been as bad as I feared. I find that I have had no need for the concern that I though I would have.
    The right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell), interesting and fascinating as was his exposition, was completely unrelated to the Motion, except in the latter part of his speech. I get a little seasick in the exchange of reminiscences and garbled versions of speeches between right hon. and hon. Members opposite and my right hon. and hon. Friends. More important

    1083
    is what we are saying now. That is a criticism of my Front Bench as well as of the Opposition. Quarrelling about different versions of speeches or about statements taken out of context does not help this debate or the House.
    However, we did get back to what I thought was the subject of the debate—sea communications and the use of naval power—in the speeches of the hon. Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby), the hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot) and my hon. Friend the Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew). The hon. Member for Dorset, West said that British and foreign merchant ships have been put at hazard in peace and war by the policy of the Government. The hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton said that, for the first time in hundreds of years, we cannot guarantee the security of supplies to this country.
    We never have been able to guarantee the security of supplies to this country. I am not a great expert in history but I am told that Alfred the Great, who founded the Royal Navy as an off-shoot of the merchant navy of the time, could not guarantee the security of supplies. Drake and Elizabeth I, when sweeping the seas, could not guarantee the safety of our supplies. Charles II—and, after all, he selected Britannia—could not guarantee the safety of the Thames, let alone the security of our supplies. Nelson was victorious at Trafalgar and we read a great deal about that, but we seldom hear about the havoc which the French Navy created among our merchant fleet between Trafalgar and the end of the Napoleonic War.
    Captain W. Elliot: Obviously we suffered losses in getting supplies to this country. The question is, did we get enough delivered under such protection as we could give? The answer is, "Yes".
    Mr. Ogden: That is not quite the same thing as claiming that we could not guarantee the security and delivery of supplies. Certainly we have not done so in the past—as shown by the havoc wrought by French privateers and naval vessels both in the Napoleonic War and in the War of Jenkin's Ear and later by John Paul Jones. Fisher, with his huge
    1084
    pre-1914 Navy and the convoy system in the First World War could not guarantee our supplies. In the last war it was not until the latter part of 1944 that we achieved relative security at sea in time of war.
    Mr. Hamling: Would not my hon. Friend agree that then it was only with the help of the Americans that we did it?
    Mr. Ogden: Yes. I was grateful for help from any side in the Atlantic in 1944. But I do not think that the Americans would complain if I added that security achieved in the North Atlantic was just as much achieved by air attacks on the European yards building German submarines and the bases supplying them as by the increased efficiency of the allied Navies at sea.
    Much has been said about a prolonged war at sea. Some may expect that we could carry on with the convoy system as perfected in the latter stages of the war. The convoy system as we knew it last time, effective as it was then, is now no longer of any practical use. A convoy would be attacked not only by torpedoes, but by surface-to-surface missiles and nuclear tactical missiles, and the relative importance of convoys and their operation as we knew them have been fast overtaken. I much prefer investment, in both peace and war, in fast, independent merchant ships. With dispersal, fast independent merchant ships would be much better than the introduction of the old convoy system.
    As other hon. Members have said, we have a widespread merchant fleet and we cannot protect all the ships all the time in all places, but we can lessen the odds. We could consider in what areas shipping would converge, instead of trying to cover 5,000 ways across the Indian Ocean. For instance, we could cover the routes via Perth, Australia, or Trincomalee in Southern Ceylon, or through the Straits of Singapore, or the Channel, or Panama, or the Straits of Gibraltar, or the Cape route from Singapore and Hong Kong and Perth, Australia—I say "Perth, Australia" so that we do not get mixed up with Perth and Kinross—where we have British or allied or Commonwealth bases already in existence.
    If, as I believe and hope, we intend to keep a limited commitment east of Suez

    1085
    and west of Suez in certain areas, it would be reasonable in the new arrangements to be made between now and 1971 for some or each or all of these places to be converted into inter-allied or Commonwealth bases, or into S.E.A.T.O. or CENTO bases. In other words, the responsibility would be shared and our share could well be in the form of naval investment making our naval forces more effective and more efficient. While meeting defence commitments, that would also give economic help, particularly to Singapore. Simonstown might be one of the first to be converted into a Commonwealth or an inter-allied base.
    I am sorry that the hon. and gallant Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles) is not here. It always seems a little ironic that a retired admiral should be a champion of carriers when his predecessors were those who opposed the introduction of carriers and favoured battleships. The hon. and gallant Gentleman is much more enlightened than some of his predecessors. I am sorry that he is not here, because I wanted to ask him about the suggestion that we should sell our surplus carriers to Australia. I wanted to know whether he had read the report that the Australian Government had said that it could not fill the gap left by our withdrawal from east of Suez. If it cannot do that for economic reasons, it may be reluctant to buy our surplus or obsolete carriers in order to fill the gap. The hon. and gallant Gentleman may have other information about the willingness of the Australians to purchase our surplus carriers.
    Carriers have been used effectively durilng the last ten years, but not always as a matter of chance. Naval intelligence should be given a little credit for having ships in certain places at the right time. Carriers have been used to transport men, but they have not been used as strike or weapon carriers. A carrier force is certainly very vulnerable. However, I agree with the hon. and gallant Gentleman that we have not heard any detailed reply to the call for mini-carriers, especially comparing vertical take-off aircraft with helicopters which, although useful in their way, are very vulnerable and certainly not a substitute for v.t.o.1. strike aircraft which could be used from small, cheap, non-sophisticated carriers. After
    1086
    all, primarily the Royal Navy is a means of transporting high explosives in one form or another from point A to point B and, as our guns and missiles become more effective and less in size, they will be carried on smaller vessels. Smaller vessels have smaller hulls and it must be borne in mind that the range of a ship is limited by the size of its hull. That may be the dilemma confronting the Admiralty in the design of missile-carrying launches. One must consider how far one wants to be able to carry a missile. I hope that we shall have a clear indication of the Government's intentions in terms of missile-carrying launches or fast frigates in my right hon. Friend's programme.
    Coming nearer home, I must say that I do not like the present division of responsibility between a Secretary of State for Defence, a Minister of Defence for Administration, a Minister of Defence for Equipment, and Under-Secretaries of State for Defence for the three Services. The position of my hon. Friend the Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy is neither parallel nor subordinate to his colleagues. There is no straight chain of command. I have never heard of any precise relationships between them, and the position is not understood in the Navy, either. Furthermore, a modern Navy cannot be administered from the Ministry of Defence or from the old Admiralty building which, though charming, is rather "tatty" and inefficient.
    Right hon. and hon. Gentlemen opposite have claimed that it is not their duty to say what they would do if they were in office. I am sorry they adopt that attitude. If they had not, I might have been persuaded to vote with them. Once a year I vote against the Government, to establish the principle and keep it in reserve. The Opposition say that the maintenance of our sea communications is important, and I agree, but they should have said how they would protect them. If their charge is true and the Government have failed to do all that they can to secure our sea communications, right hon. and hon. Gentlemen opposite should at least have put down a Motion condemning my right hon. and hon. Friends and made it a three-line Whip. As it is, their charge has not been made out, and I cannot support it.
    8.58 p.m.
    Dame Joan Vickers: First, I want to congratulate the hon. Member for Liverpool, West Derby (Mr. Ogden), on some of his remarks. Obviously, he speaks from experience. I would suggest that consideration might be given to having a conference of the maritime nations about the protection of these all-important sea lanes. In this country, both at Dartmouth and Manadon, we have trained many people from many different countries, and there should be far more co-operation between the nations of the world to carry out what the hon. Gentleman has been advocating. At the moment, a tremendous amount of power is wasted.
    In the few minutes at my disposal, I want to talk about the abolition of the Plymouth Command. Tribute should be paid to the tremendous part that the Command has played over a great number of years. Our latest admiral is the 68th, and, as far as we know, the Command has existed since before 1774. We are anxious that, in the future, Plymouth shall be able to play the part that it has in the past in not only sending our people overseas but in receiving the navies of other countries at Plymouth itself, including the N.A.T.O. exercises in which we have been privileged to take part.
    It is a pity that matters are to be centralised on Portsmouth which, although nearer London, is already overcrowded. I thought that the Government intended to decentralise, and I would have thought that Plymouth would have been a better place at which to do it. The Government have recently built large offices on to the commander-in-chief's house. We had expected this to increase the Command's status, not to decrease it, and this proposal has therefore come as a great disappointment.
    I hope that the Government will tell us something about the rôle of the Royal Navy, and particularly that of the Royal Marines. Nothing much has been said about the Royal Marines during the debate, and they are the ones who need air support. I understand that the amphibious forces are not very expensive to keep, and they should be retained in the Indian Ocean, because they require the minimum both by ways of bases and overseas spending, so I hope that the
    1088
    Minister will give us his views on this matter.
    The Royal Navy will have to face a number of difficulties. Men will have to spend some periods overseas, and longer periods without their families, and if they are not quite certain about their careers, this will make a great deal of difference to recruiting. Furthermore, the present-day ships are not as healthy as ships were in the past. Men have to work in an air-conditioned atmosphere, and many hardly ever go on deck. They have to apply themselves to tending the mechanical instruments in the ships, and it is therefore all the more necessary that facilities should be available for them to go ashore. I hope that the Minister wilt tell us whether it is intended to keep some, and the shore bases it is intended to retain on a care and maintenance basis. I know that H.M.S. "Terror" provides an excellent barracks at Singapore, and perhaps the Government will retain buildings in the Caribbean, and Hong Kong, where sailors can go on shore leave.
    There is, then, the question of repair ships. I know that victualling has been carried out excellently from Devonport recently during difficulties created by the situation in the Middle East. It was necessary to carry out one of the biggest victualling operations ever, and people had to work at weekends, and also work overtime.
    What number of support ships have we? On page 29 of the Statement on the Defence Estimates we read that three large tankers have been chartered from trade. We need proper ships for victualling, but we also need ships which can take staff to do repairs on board if such repairs cannot be done by the ship's crew.
    Dealing with equipment, the Statement says that the submarine programme
    "is now being examined in relation to the reduced commitments which are a consequence of our withdrawals. The eventual rate at which we can build the three new classes of ship announced in the Supplementary Statement on Defence Policy, 1967 (Cmnd. 3357) will be one of the matters to be considered in this review."
    When will a final decision be made on this?
    Finally, I come to the question of the small missile equipped ships, which I

    1089
    believe could be useful. They have been used off Indonesia, and we must remember that the Israeli destroyer "Eliat" was hit by a Russian-built missile. I gather that these small ships are built by Vospers, and these might be better than the expensive Leander type frigates. They are more mobile, they are cheaper, and they seem to be extremely efficient. These have not been mentioned during the debate, and I hone that the Minister will give us his views on this issue.
    Time is running short, but I hope to take part in the debate on Vote A.
    9.5 p.m
    Mr. Patrick Wall: Much as I should like to follow my hon. Friend the Member for Plymouth, Devonport (Dame Joan Vickers), particularly when she referred to the Royal Marines, I must resist that temptation—although many of the points that she made in her short but penetrating speech will come up during my own.
    The last Conservative Defence White Paper was published four years ago this month. It described the basic objectives of Britain's defence policy as follows, first,
    "to maintain the security of this country"—
    in other words, the protection of our home base and of our sea communications; secondly
    "to carry out our obligations for protection of British territories overseas and those to whom we owe a special duty…"
    I am sure that hon. Members opposite would agree with this, because I see that their election manifesto for the 1966 election, on page 22, says:
    "Britain has made clear, particularly in the confrontation between Malaysia and Indonesia, her willingness to assist the new Commonwealth Nations when faced with external aggression "—
    although it is perhaps less true than it was two years ago. I am sure, however, that we would agree that we should immediately react to any threat to either Australia or New Zealand.
    The third objective of our defence policy was
    "to make our contribution to the defence of the free world"—
    in other words, to honour our alliances—. although who can deny that N.A.T.O., CENTO and S.E.A.T.O. are weaker than they were four years ago? Our challenge
    1090
    to the Government tonight is that they have failed to produce a coherent policy to enable these objectives to be carried out or, to put it in much simpler terms, they have forgotten that Great Britain is an island.
    This mistake has been made before in our long history, and always with disastrous results. I suggest that the Government have forgotten that over 1,000 British ships are at sea every day, and that a great percentage of our food is carried in ships. The wheels of industry cannot turn without imported oil, and as my hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot) pointed out, 90 per cent., by volume, of our imports arrive in these islands by sea.
    It is commonplace to say that our 55 million people could not survive if our sea communications were cut. The current answer is that if this happened it would lead to nuclear war and, as a nuclear Power, we have a finger on the button. But would it? I suggest that my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) has today made it clear that conventional war is possible, especially at sea. To our cost we know that even with our allies—and many hon. Members opposite seem to suggest that we have never fought before with allies—in the last two world wars we were within an ace of defeat by a force that possessed about one-eighth of the submarines that today comprise the Soviet fleet.
    It is possible that I have been too kind to the right hon. Gentleman in suggesting that he has merely forgotten that we live on an island, but perhaps it would be nearer the truth to say that the Government have deliberately disregarded this fact to appease their Left wing and pander to doctrinaire Socialism, which voted against rearmament up to the brink of war in the 1930s and is always opposed to the Services. I am sorry to see that there are not more of them here today. In fact I cannot see any in the Chamber at the moment. I exonerate the right hon. Member from holding any such views, but he has failed to deter his colleagues, and during this series of defence debates he has admitted that risks are being taken.
    The excuse is that we cannot afford an adequate defence. But we should have been able to afford adequate forces if

    1091
    the Government had not so mismanaged the economy and been forced into devaluation.
    As my hon. Friend the Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby) and my hon. Friend the Member for Gillingham (Mr. Burden) have pointed out, we cannot afford to take risks with our sea communications. Hon. Members opposite are always talking about cash and the cost of providing forces, but let them and the House remember that the 1965 earnings from British shipping totalled £912 million. Its contribution to our balance of payments was £136 million and it saved us spending some £350 million on foreign charters, and this is what a potential enemy will try to deny us in time of war.
    What is the threat, to our home base, to N.A.T.O., to N.A.T.O.'s flanks and to our sea communications? I suggest that the immediate threat to our home base comes mainly from the nuclear arsenals of the U.S.S.R. N.A.T.O. and the nuclear deterrent have so far neutralised this threat and our contribution, now that the TSR2 has been cancelled, is our four Polaris submarines. It has been hitherto assumed that a conventional war in Europe would probably lead to nuclear escalation, but this does not necessarily apply either to N.A.T.O.'s flanks or to the Atlantic.
    Let us consider the flanks—first, the Mediterranean and the Middle East. The House should remember that 400 British ships are in the Mediterranean any day of the week and that three-quarters of our oil comes from the Gulf. Yet it was this Government who withdrew the British C.-in-C., Mediterranean, after 250 years—
    Mr. Willis: How many ships would you have?
    Mr. Wall: How many ships would the right hon. Gentleman's party have? This year, they plan to withdraw the last two frigates and four minesweepers stationed in Malta. Yet today the Soviet Fleet has 50 warships in the Mediterranean, including surface-to-surface missiles, submarines and amphibious forces—
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: How many have the Americans?
    Mr. Wall: Approximately the same, and I hope that they will be able to keep their fleet larger than the Soviet fleet, but, of course, in view of the trouble which they are having in South-East Asia, one does not know how long this will be possible.
    Mr. Willis: How many ships did the Tory Government have in the Mediterranean in 1964?
    Mr. Wall: When I visited Malta that year, I saw four frigates, two destroyers and a commando carrier in the harbour. But I may have gone there at just the right moment: I do not say that they were there permanently.
    It is surely agreed by both sides that, today, for the first time for many years, the Soviets are actively interested in the Mediterranean, and also in the Red Sea and Aden. Is it not possible that, when British warships are withdrawn, Soviet warships will be found in the Gulf? The House should remember that, for decades, the traditional Russian policy under both Czar and commissar has been to find an outlet to warm waters, in the Mediterranean or the Indian Ocean—
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Why not?
    Mr. Wall: But why? Russia is a great land power with access to the Baltic and the Pacific. Why should they particularly want access to the Mediterranean and the Indian Ocean?
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Why this assumption that the Mediterranean should be an English lake? Why should not Russia be just as interested in the Mediterranean as anyone else? It is, after all, nearer.
    Mr. Wall: I appreciate that the hon. Gentleman always wants to stick up for Russia—quite rightly, from his point of view—but N.A.T.O. is interested in the Mediterranean and that is the Alliance to which we belong. And I suggest that N.A.T.O.'s flanks are more threatened than in recent years—since, perhaps, the end of the Second World War. That is surely a matter of concern, not only to our defence staffs but to all right hon. and hon. Gentlemen.
    What is the Government's policy on the flanks and the Mediterranean? Are

    1093
    we to have more warships in the Mediterranean? Are we to use Malta as a training ground as my hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles) suggested? Are our amphibious forces to be deployed in the Mediterranean or the Middle East, on the flanks of N.A.T.O.'? Can we guarantee their air support now that most of the North African coast is potentially hostile? This is a factor which anyone planning our future defence must bear strongly in mind.
    Many hon. Gentlemen have mentioned the southern flank of N.A.T.O. in the Mediterranean, but few have mentioned the northern flank. If we are to have amphibious forces operating on the northern flank, it is a rôle, as the hon. Lady the Member for Plymouth, Devon-port (Dame Joan Vickers) would agree, which the Royal Marines are especially trained and fitted to perform. Does not that imply that we must have at least local command of the sea in that area?
    Enough of the flanks. What about the Atlantic itself? The hon. Member for Woolwich, East (Mr. Mayhew) said that sea power was flexible and added that its exercise could be concealed. I would add that even tactical nuclear weapons might be used at sea without much risk of escalation and certainly with far less risk than if used on land. If a nuclear war is out, surely a conventional war at sea is in. It is certainly a possibility for which we have to plan.
    The U.S.S.R. has a fleet of over 400 submarines. Why? The U.S.S.R. also has modern surface warships with supersonic surface to surface missiles with ranges said to be up to 300 miles. It is true, as hon. Members opposite have said throughout the debate, that we have our allies in N.A.T.O., but the Royal Navy is the second largest navy in N.A.T.O. and the Americans may have many other threats with which to contend. It is surely arguable that our main effort in N.A.T.O. should be maritime. That is a rôle for which our history seems to fit us.
    What are our needs? First, I suggest—and here I agree with my hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester—that we must have air early warning. It was only last year that the Shackleton squadron, which provided that warning, was withdrawn from
    1094
    Gibraltar. Later we will have Nimrod. I asked the Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Air Force how many Nimrods we are to have, and he was not able to give an answer. It is a very important question. I fully agree with him that they are fine aircraft. He will recognise that search is one of the most important functions which a maritime nation needs. I only hope that we shall have enough Nimrods when they come into service.
    What happens when our carriers are phased out and the Gannets, which operate from the carriers, no longer have a deck from which to operate? Air early warning can also be carried in the new Sea King helicopters, but I understand that only they and the Wessex are capable of carrying airborne antisubmarine sonar. The Tigers will carry four Sea Kings and the guided missile destroyers carry one Wessex. I suggest that we may be very thin in air early warning and airborne radar, because not very many ships are fitted to carry the helicopters which themselves carry the sets which provide air early warning and airborne sonar.
    We have of course the Leander frigates, the main purpose of which is antisubmarine work. They are excellent ships which lead the world and are wanted by many other countries. They carry a Wasp helicopter with two anti-submarine weapons. Here, too, we shall be a little thin if there are any enemy aircraft around. We hope that there will not be such aircraft around. One of the points which has worried me and some of my hon. Friends is the vulnerability of the helicopters on which we count so much if there are any enemy aircraft present in the area.
    We are told, quite rightly, that in these days we fight a submarine with another submarine and that hunter/killers or the fleet submarines are the answer. I do not dispute that. Seven are built or ordered. But, as my right hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton, South-West pointed out, this was the very vessel which the Prime Minister singled out in his speech to be cut. The number to be built is to be reduced in the coming years.
    Apart from the question of numbers, I have one or two other questions to ask the right hon. Gentleman. First, are

    1095
    these fleet submarines, these hunter/ killers, still armed with a development of the old Mark VIII torpedo which was first produced in 1934? In the White Paper there is a reference to the Mark XXXI torpedo. Is this the new torpedo which will be fitted into the fleet submarines? If so, and if the answer is not confidential, may we be told when it is likely to be in service.
    I suggest that if we are talking in terms of a conventional or limited war, mining becomes an important factor. This was graphically pointed out by my hon. Friend the Member for Hendon, North (Sir Ian Orr-Ewing) and my hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester. Have we developed any new mines in recent years? How many of our ships and aircraft are fitted to perform mine-laying duties? A large number of mines were laid in the last war by the R.A.F. and I suggest that if the Minister discovers the answer to these questions he may get something of a shock.
    Mine sweeping is equally important. Most Soviet warships, certainly the smaller ones, and Soviet aircraft, are fitted with mine-laying equipment. The 1966 White Paper pointed out that mine counter-measures were now needed. As my hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester said, mines can now be produced which cannot be swept, thus necessitating the need for mine counter measure ships. According to the Estimates, we were to have eight of these in service, and six are to be built. We are therefore to have two less than we were promised in the earlier White Paper in 1967.
    We have first-class frigates and submarines. Let us assume that they are successful in a conventional war in the Atlantic. What happens after that? I suggest that we will see a repeat of the experience of the last war, when enemy submarines moved outwards to other key areas. There would be a movement to the east American seaboard, to the Cape of Good Hope, to the Indian Ocean and the Gulf. My right hon. Friend the Leader of the Opposition said in the defence debate:
    "There are vital British and Commonwealth interests in Malaysia and Singapore. There are vital British and European interests in the Gulf. There are vital British, European and
    1096
    North American interests, to say nothing of the interests of so many developing countries, in the sea routes round the Cape. All these interests remain, but the Government no longer declare them."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 5th March, 1968; Vol 760, c. 237.]
    That, I fear, is very true. The Government tell us that we are to have a general capability based on the United Kingdom. But how, for example, would we support a Communist-inspired revolution in, say Mauritius?
    Mr. Healey: We would not wish to.
    Mr. Wall: At least the Mauritius Government now know where they stand.
    Mr. Healey: The hon. Gentleman asked how we would support a Communist-inspired revolution in Mauritius.
    Mr. Wall: I phrased my question badly. If such a revolution occurred, presumably we would have to take action. Some days ago my hon. Friends asked the Government whether or not we will have a defence agreement with Mauritius, as we indicated in the independence White Paper. We have not had a clear answer to that question, presumably because the discussions are still going on. Assuming that we have a defence commitment there and there was an attempted Communist take-over in Mauritius, how would we fulfil our obligations in coming to the aid of the Government of the island?
    Many hon. Members are particularly concerned about Australia and New Zealand. Australia draws 60 per cent. of its oil from the Gulf and 46 per cent. of its imports and 56 per cent. of its exports cross the Indian Ocean. That country is, therefore, vitally interested in this great oceanic area. Local conflicts can escalate if they are not settled quickly and, as the hon. Member for Woolwich, East pointed out, agression at sea is not easily identified.
    How would the 600 British ships which are now every day east of Suez, or a fraction of them in wartime, be protected against an enemy? It is true that we have a flexible deterrent in Polaris, but we have no bases or airfields. It is true that we have allies, but they have their own priorities and those priorities might not coincide with ours. Naval forces are needed, but no air cover is available. Those of us who are old enough to do

    1097
    so, remember only too well what happened to "Prince of Wales" and "Repulse" when they had no air cover. Incidentally, I referred to those of us who are old enough to remember when referring to the disaster to some students the other day, and they looked at me with a completely blank expression. The R.A.F. have Phantoms and Buccaneers, but perhaps we can be told from what bases those Phantoms and Buccaneers will operate.
    Paragraph 2 in page 7 of the Supplementary Statement on Defence Policy last year states:
    "The Navy…will be able to perform, for as far ahead as can be foreseen, a valuable peacekeeping function outside Europe by the unobtrusive and flexible exercise of maritime power. For these rôles our naval forces must be able to fight and survive in the environment of the guided-missile and nuclear-powered submarine…"
    I want to discuss the environment of the guided missile and the nuclear-powered submarine.
    The Soviet Union in its latest destroyers is said to have surface-to-surface missiles with up to 300 miles range, said to be sub-supersonic, and ship or air controlled. The Royal Navy in future is not to have any seaborne air cover and no surface-to-surface missiles—that is, as far as I know. Certain missiles have that capability, but there is no missile designed for surface-to-surface purposes.
    How then do we match the Soviet destroyers—with a "Wasp" and AS 12 with a range of 8,000 yards or, perhaps, the Sea Dart and the new ships promised in page 28 of this year's White Paper? I do not know whether the Minister can disclose the information, but has Sea Dart any comparable range with the Soviet missile I have named?
    The Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy had some fun at my expense about these proposed new cruisers that are due to replace the "Tigers", but he did not say more than a sentence. I confess that I did not even catch that sentence, so he certainly did not embellish his remarks. What is their role? How much will they cost? How will they be armed? What will they carry in the shape of helicopters? That brings us back to the original question: what is their rôle? At the moment, I find it very difficult to think of a rôle.
    1098
    According to the White Paper, our new destroyers are also to be armed with Sea Dart. Will they have a capability of engaging more than one target at a time? That will depend on the number of guidance radars with which they are equipped, and I think that I am right in saying that the "Devonshires" have only one. I understand that the new frigates that have been mentioned are of Vosper-Thorneycroft design. I read in Navy, a magazine which is a mine of information on these matters, that these ships are likely to have a speed of 50 knots and that they will be armed with French S.12 missiles with a 3·7 mile range. I do not know whether this information is true. If it is true, the speed is excellent, but the range mentioned is considerably less than the Soviet missiles in their "Ossa" class F.P.B.s which are now in the hands of many smaller navies.
    Both the United States Navy and the Royal Navy have failed to develop good surface-to-surface missiles, and the hon. Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes) will probably support me when I say that the Soviet Union has caught us short. As far as I know, it has developed a very good surface-to-surface missile. What can be done? The Americans need not worry very much about this because they will have a vast preponderance in carriers and fixed-wing aircraft, but what are we to do? I am talking now about the surface-to-surface missiles we are planning for the future.
    In today's Daily Express, Mr. Chapman Pincher, who is usually well-informed on these subjects, talks of a British guided missile for submarine-to-surface. I understand that on breaking the surface the missile flies through the air and submerges again before hitting the target. This seems to be a much more sophisticated weapon than Ikara the Australian A/S missile to be fitted to H.M.S. "Bristol". It contrasts with the "Cresta" class destroyers, but much will depend on its range. I do not know whether we can have any information on this subject—I am quoting the Daily Express and the Minister may not want to confirm this report.
    I also want to ask about guns. The Americans still have a fairly large number of guns in their ships, and so do we; most of them are 4·5 inch guns. The Americans, I am told, are developing

    1099
    rocket-assisted shells to be fired from existing guns. These r.a.p. 5-inch shells are said to cost only 120 dollars each and they increase the range by 30 per cent. This seems a good and cheap way of increasing the value of the gun? Are we doing anything in this respect?
    I turn to an even more important question. What experiments are the Royal Navy carrying out to provide air cover at sea, by the R.A.F. if necessary? My hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester and the hon. Member for Liverpool, West Derby (Mr. Ogden) spoke about flat tops. I accept that the C.A.V.O.I. priced itself out. This is what the Government are telling us continuously and we are bound to accept that it is so. I notice that the estimates given by the Government vary very much, from £50 million to £80 million.
    The Minister of Defence for Equipment (Mr. Roy Mason): Seventy million pounds.
    Mr. Wall: That is a compromise. It would obviously have been difficult to have had a number of those ships. I am not in a position to say how necessary these ships will prove in future, but I hope that the Front Bench opposite is right and that we will not need them. I am discussing an entirely different question. I am talking about flat tops, what we jokingly called the "Healey Carriers". I should like to know the Government estimate of the cost of these ships. They could be unsophisticated, built on a tanker or a cargo-carrying hull. They could carry Wessex or Sea Kings with early warning equipment and Harriers or anti-submarine helicopters. It is suggested that the cost of such a ship is from £5 million to £10 million. A similar ship might carry short take-off and landing Harriers with R.A.T.O.G. to improve carrying capacity for anti-ship strikes. This might cost a little more. A similar ship could take over from the existing commando carriers and carry a commando plus their helicopters.
    It may be that a standard ship could become interchangeable for anti-submarine, anti-ship, amphibious operations or command ship as required. The same hull might be used for all these purposes. We should like to know more about this. We should like to know what experiments
    1100
    have been carried out and the Government's estimate of the cost of such a ship. We should like to know the Government's mind about this type of unsophisticated ship, which looks as though it might provide a reasonable answer to the problem. Is it possible that these ships could be ready, say, in five years? Could they not be more useful and cheaper than the cruisers to replace the Tigers?
    As an aside, in talking about the cost, I see that France is building 22 frigates and destroyers and 22 submarines for countries formerly supplied by us.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: The hon. Member is not afraid of them?
    Mr. Wall: I am not afraid of them, but I would rather that we were building for old Commonwealth members such as India and Pakistan. I am sorry when these orders go to America and France or to the Soviet Union, when they used to come to us.
    The 1966 Defence White Paper referred to the need of a military capability outside Europe. I quote from page 8:
    "It is in the Far East and Southern Asia that the greatest danger to peace may lie in the next decade".
    In 1967 the Government assured us:
    "We cannot assume that…we shall never again have to use our forces in the Far East.…We are therefore planning to maintain a military capability…in the area."
    Why the sudden change in 1968? Is the Soviet or the Chinese threat any less? Is the Middle East or South-East Asia any less settled? Is not conventional war now more possible outside Europe, certainly at sea?
    I made my maiden speech on the Navy Estimates 14 years ago. I have spoken in every debate on the Navy Estimates since then. I believe that one of the main differences over the years between the Conservative Government and the Labour Government is that Conservative Ministers tried to answer questions, and, if they could not do so because of the time factor, they invariably wrote to hon. Gentlemen giving them the answers in writing.
    I want to summarise the more important parts of what I have been saying and conclude by asking the Minister of Defence for Administration four specific

    1101
    questions. First, how will convoys of British ships be protected in a conventional war? By what, and from where? [Interruption.] The hon. Gentleman says, "Good God". I hope that the hon. Gentleman has the answer. God will be good if he has, I assure the hon. Gentleman.
    Secondly, is it cheaper to develop a long-range surface-to-surface missile or a flat-top on the lines I have been discussing? Will not some form of maritime strike and maritime air defence have to be provided in the future? Thirdly, how many fleet submarines are being planned every year? What are the total numbers required in the future? Is it to be 10 or 20 or, as one hon. Gentleman talked about, 30? [Interruption.] The hon. Gentleman can have 100 if he likes. I want to know what the Government are planning on. They always talk about cost effectiveness, and so on. How many fleet submarines do they expect the Fleet of the future to have? When will the new torpedoes be ready and in operational service 'or these submarines? Fourthly and lastly, how will we free our ports from enemy mines, and how do we propose to lay our own mines in order to interrupt the sea communications of any potentional enemy?
    If the Minister has the answers, he should tell us. If not, I think that it is clear and becomes even more apparent that the Government have no coherent policy to protect our vital sea communications and that they have wantonly disregarded the fact that we are an island people who live through the use of the sea in both peace and war.
    9.32 p.m.
    The Minister of Defence for Administration (Mr. G. W. Reynolds): The hon. Member for Haltemprice (Mr. Wall) finished by asking me four questions. He asked, first, what would protect the convoys. I can only tell him that that job would be done mainly by the frigates. They usually do that sort of work, as the hon. Gentleman knows. In reply to his second question, I can tell him now categorically that a "flat-top" would not be cheaper. He asked, thirdly, whether I would announce how many fleet submarines we would build every year. I can only say to him that, when the Conservatives were in power, they refused to
    1102
    announce the actual figure every year, as I well remember, and I have no intention of announcing it now. To get the answer to his fourth question about sweeping mines, I suggest that the hon. Gentleman speaks to his hon. and gallant Friend the Member for Winchester (Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles), who said that it was impossible, anyway.
    This is the fifth out of six days of defence debates. This is the last of the Service days, on which in previous years we normally dealt with Vote A for each Service. This year, in each of these Service debates, we have debated a Motion tabled by the Opposition, on which there has been a vote at the end of each day. I think that the experiment of having these Motions was well worth trying, because we had rather got into a rut with our debates on Vote A every year, except that we did not have one in 1966, because the General Election intervened.
    Nevertheless, I am not convinced that this series of Motions has been the overwhelming success that I am certain right hon. Members opposite hoped that it would be and which many of us also hoped that it would be; because at present we spend six days discussing defence in a fortnight of each year. I am pleased that we have tried this method of improving the position, although I am not myself convinced that it has worked. I think that as a House we must have another look at the matter to see if we cannot evolve some way of spending the same amount of time discussing defence. This would enable the Government to get their Estimates through in due time, whilst by some means or other spreading that time a little more over the year, so that we do not spend six days in one fortnight dealing with something which is a bit wearisome for those who are not actually concerned with it. I think it makes those in the House who are not particularly interested in these problems absolutely fed up with the sound of the word "defence".
    Sir Ian Orr-Ewing: The hon. Gentleman will agree that the period has been rather unnecessarily telescoped this year. This would not be normal.
    Mr. Reynolds: Yes, it is usually spread a little more, perhaps running into a second week. However, it is not my

    1103
    responsibility, and I am just suggesting that we might try to improve matters in the future. They are Supply days, of course, mainly a question for right hon. and hon. Members opposite, and also a matter in which my right hon. Friend the Leader of the House is concerned. I think that there is something to be said for looking at the question again. As has been said, we shall have a new Vote structure from 1970 onwards, though it will not affect some of the matters which we now have before us. However, it is my own view that we should look forward and see whether we can make an improvement next year, on the 1969–70 Estimates.
    Mr. Emrys Hughes: Could there not be a specialist Committee on defence?
    Mr. Reynolds: I had better not try to answer that on this Motion, which deals with a somewhat different matter. My views on Select Committees of that kind differ rather according to whether one is in opposition or in Government, as happens with a good many subjects—although, I hasten to say, my views may well be contrary to what people might imagine from that remark.
    It should not be forgotten that Britain is in a defence alliance. I got the impression that most hon. Members speaking from the benches opposite today, apart from the hon. Member for Haltemprice, tended to forget that, save when the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) said that we should not expect the United States to fight all our battles. I completely agree there. We cannot expect the United States to fight all our battles. But we must remember, at the same time, that we are in an alliance. Because we are in that alliance; because we are so inter-connected in N.A.T.O. and the Western Alliance, we cannot look just at our own Navy, Army and Air Force in isolation and think that we must have forces big enough to carry out major operations, particularly in the European theatre, entirely by ourselves. Realisation of this fact seemed to be missing from a good many speeches today.
    I emphasise, as my right hon. Friend did in the defence debate, that, once the rundown, which was announced in the July White Paper last year, the January statement this year, and the current White
    1104
    Paper has been carried out, we shall still be making as large a contribution to N.A.T.O. forces as any other European Power in the alliance—in fact more than most, and more than any of them in the various fields of defence with which we are here concerned.
    Rear-Admiral Morgan Giles: The hon. Gentleman accused other hon. Members of not remembering that we are in an alliance. I asked specifically whether the Government agreed with their American allies, our principal partners in the alliance, that an all-out war at sea was possible. I asked for an answer to that question in the winding-up speech.
    Mr. Reynolds: The Americans have some world-wide responsibilities, out of which we are gradually moving. I do not believe that a long conventional sea war is possible in the North Atlantic sense, but I shall come back to that later.
    In a way, this debate, like the other three, has been a mixed debate turning both on the Motion and on Vote A, enabling hon. Members to ask a lot of questions which they hoped to have answered. I shall try now to deal with the questions which were put. The main point made by the hon. Member for Dorset, West (Mr. Wingfield Digby) was on the general protection of our shipping in general war, in limited war, and against piracy.
    As regards general war, in addition to actual direct protection by the Royal Navy—which depends on a number of factors—there are plans, as the hon. Gentleman knows, for diverting ships from threatened areas. Plans exist also to clear ports for shipping and to get ships clear of dangerous waters by means of convoys. These plans are discussed from time to time with representatives of the shipping interests, who are well aware of them, and they will be carried out by the Naval Control of Shipping organisation, which is exercised regularly. People hold dormant posts ready to go into action at any time.
    We are also carrying on the provision of degaussing equipment to be fitted in merchant ships in order to enable them to operate against mines. We are trying to improve the effectiveness of that equipment. In part, that is an answer to the

    1105
    last question put by the hon. Member for Haltemprice.
    That is the position as regards general war. As regards limited war, convoys will be provided to escort merchant ships which have to be in the particular area concerned. I am here speaking only of limited war affecting one small part of the globe. The rest of the ships would be advised, in their own interests—and I am sure that they would accept this advice—to keep out of that area and would go there only if they had to, in which case convoys would be provided.
    Piracy is still a possibility in certain parts of the world and cannot be completely ruled out. We discussed this earlier in the present series of debates. It is not, however, an exclusive threat to United Kingdom shipping. If piracy happened, it would happen to the shipping of other nations, too, and we would expect other nations to take part in dealing with it.
    I admit, however, that in the past the Navy has done a large proportion of that policing in various parts of the world where piracy was a possibility. But in places which we are leaving—the Gulf, for example—the Iranian Navy and Saudi Arabian forces are being gradually built up. We are helping to train Iranian cadets and others and we are trying to provide them with equipment. There would, therefore, be national forces in that area which would have an interest in preventing piracy. The same applies in Malaysia and Singapore, where their own forces are being built up.
    Things have changed over the last 60 years. Every nation is dependent to a greater or lesser extent on trade with other nations. Therefore, all nations have a desire to ensure that piracy does not take place. We would be able to take part in such action with other nations and get their assistance from time to time. With or without the base at Singapore, it would be possible for the Navy to deal with attempts at piracy. We do not need a base at Singapore to deal with piracy anywhere in the world. One needs a base there only for fighting a war in that area with a sophisticated Power. We are giving up that particular capacity.
    Mr. Wall: Is it the hon. Gentleman's view that we will never again fight even
    1106
    a small conventional war or be engaged in one east of Suez or in the area of the Indies, for example, in which the Navy might have to take part?
    Mr. Reynolds: We said as long ago as 1966 that the sort of operation which we would not expect to undertake would be against a sophisticated Power unless it was done with allies, the United Nations or an organisation of that nature. There has been no change in the Government's policy on that matter in the last two years. It was brought out clearly at that time. It might take longer to get to an area to deal with an outbreak of piracy than when we had bases spread out all over the world.
    The hon. Member for Haltemprice asked about the Nimrods. Two prototypes are flying. I understand that they are flying well and good progress is being made with the testing and other work at this stage. The production order has not yet been placed, but things are proceeding well for the Nimrod.
    The hon. Member for Hendon, North (Sir Ian Orr-Ewing) asked about coastal minesweepers and what provision was being made to replace them. There is no immediate need to replace the basic coastal minesweepers, many of which were built at the time of Korea and, therefore, still have a good few years of useful life ahead of them. Some are being converted to mine hunters and are better equipped as a result of conversion; they are thus better able to carry out their task.
    We are planning a new class of minesweeper for the late 1970s. We would not expect these vessels to come into operation until well on in the 1970s. They are planned for the late 1970s. No production order will be required until that time. As, however, the hon. Member knows, many of the coastal minesweepers have been used for patrol work at Singapore and elsewhere. We are testing the BA7 hovercraft to ascertain whether it is suitable for patrol work. I mention this in connection with minesweepers because they have been used for that work as well as the tasks for which they were originally designed.
    The hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot) referred rather sarcastically to the fact that we have one frigate participating in

    1107
    Stanavforlant, which, I understand, is the Standing Naval Force Atlantic. It is true that we have only one frigate in it. We also at present provide the squadron commander. The other frigates come from Norway, one from Holland and one from the United States; and I understand that later in the year they will be joined by one each from the German and Canadian navies. This force has recently been set up.
    We recently had a force called "Matchmaker" for a few months each year to take part in exercises. As a result of experience in that direction, we have now set up the standing force. We have shown our willingness to participate in this operation by being in on the force from the beginning, and by providing a contribution to the force of the same size as all the other nations from N.A.T.O. which have come into it. We have also provided a squadron commander.
    If there are other proposals in the N.A.T.O. area, we will be willing to consider them and play our part in them. The military commanders have to decide whether this force is required. It is not a decision merely for Her Majesty's Government but a decision by the N.A.T.O. organisation as a whole whether or not we should have the force. We have shown our willingness to play a part and are prepared to consider any other proposals for similar forces or an expansion of this one. My hon. Friend asked who paid for it. Each nation bears the cost for the provision of its own frigate.
    The hon. and gallant Member for Winchester asked about the mini-carrier and the various facilities that come from it. The way in which that carrier could be used was dealt with by the Minister of Defence for Equipment in an Adjournment debate a short time ago, and I do not want to continue with that tonight. We have decided to go for helicopters on all ships with the missiles rather than make any provision of mini-carriers.
    My hon. Friend the Member for West Lothian (Mr. Dalyell) asked what had been done about providing assistance for the Bahamas in connection with the tanker there which contains a large amount of oil. I am not prepared to try to pronounce the name of the ship. The
    1108
    Commonwealth Office has been in touch with the Governor of the Bahamas who says that he does not want any Royal Navy assistance at the moment. Detergents have been flown to the area, and we are prepared to give any other advice and assistance in our power when requested to do so.
    The hon. Lady the Member for Plymouth, Devonport (Dame Joan Vickers) asked about the position of the Royal Marines and our amphibious force of Royal Marine Commandos and supporting arms in H.M.S. "Bulwark" and H.M.S. "Victorious" and also H.M.S. "Intrepid" and H.M.S. "Fearless". They are an important part of our capability. We are examining their future rôle in a predominantly N.A.T.O. setting in our force level study. They can contribute to the protection of N.A.T.O.'s southern flank and to N.A.T.O.'s maritime presence in the Mediterranean. I think that that answers the hon. Member for Haltemprice, whose interest in the Corps we are aware of. This examination has been started; nothing more than that.
    My hon. Friend the Member for West Lothian also asked whether we were acquiring the Poseidon. We have no plans to acquire that missile. We are satisfied with the capability of the Polaris throughout the 1970s. It must be remembered that we are a member of an alliance. It is not just the question of our having to have a missile which can penetrate the necessary defences. We are a member of an alliance and are satisfied with the position.
    The hon. and gallant Member for Winchester and the right hon. Member for Wolverhampton, South-West (Mr. Powell) asked about the Styx missile and what action is being taken in that field. This point has been answered more than once before by the Minister of Defence for Equipment. It seems easier to ask the question than to listen to the answer. The question is simply: How can the Royal Navy protect itself from the Styx missile in an incident like that of the "Eilat"?
    We are providing surface protection helicopters and so on, but we are not planning to provide the fleet with any surface-to-surface guided weapon in the sense of a missile fired directly from a

    1109
    ship. We are putting them into helicopters. This is because they will extend the missile capability without reliance on land-based aircraft for target identification. These missiles have a range far exceeding that of the Styx missile or any other missile likely to be developed for fast patrol boats of the Komar type. They provide flexibility of operation. From the point of view of the enemy, it does not matter whether one is hit by the equivalent of a 6 in. shell coming from a ship or a helicopter. The result is equally unpleasant.
    It may be that the next generation of helicopter-launched weapons will have a further capability, which will give helicopters immunity from the anti-aircraft weapons carried in patrol boats. The helicopters will be operating under the defensive umbrella of other surface-to-air missiles, including the Sea Dart, which will deal with marauding enemy fighters at an adequate distance, and they will also be able to rely on fighter cover from friendly airfields.
    That is not the whole story. The second line of defence of our ships against missile attack will be provided in every one of our new service classes by a new surface-to-air weapon; since both the Sea Cat and the Sea Dart, as well as the the Sea Slug, will have a considerable anti-missile capability which the Eilat lacked.
    Then there is the question of dealing with frigates and larger ships. We shall have the Fleet submarines for this. In the European area and some other places we shall have land-based aircraft. It is generally accepted that these are available, both in the Fleet Air Arm and in the Royal Air Force, for a maritime rôle in the European theatre and home waters. We are making a study of submarine-launched anti-ship missiles. It will be some time before weapons of this sort will be required and the carriers will be available for some time yet.
    The question of selling the "Victorious" to Australia or New Zealand has been raised. Naturally we are prepared to consider offers for her—my hon. Friend the Under-Secretary of State has said so. But prospective buyers will know that she is more than 30 years old and that large amounts of money would have to be spent on her to prepare her
    1110
    a further period of use. The "Victorious" was to be the first of the carriers to be phased out under the plans announced some time ago. [Interruption.] Prospective buyers do not have to read about it. They know that the "Victorious" is 30 years old. I do not want to influence anyone. They surely know what a hull is like after all that time and what would have to be spent on her.
    The right hon. Gentleman said that there had been a remarkable change in strategic thinking over the last three years—implying that this had taken place under the present Government—and added that, apparently, the concept of a war at sea had sunk below the horizon. Perhaps he was quoting some one else in this, for it is difficult to know in his speeches nowadays whether he is expressing his own views or those of someone else. Today he quoted a large number of speeches. At least those quotations have been consistent insofar as he has been trying to use them to say that there will be a longer period of conventional war, obviously on land and at sea.
    I do not move from the view I took up in the debate on the Territorial Army. When we in the Government and in N.A.T.O. talk about this, we are talking of a land war in Europe with a few days' extra delay in the conventional stage. I accept that, if incidents happened at sea, there would probably be a slightly longer delay. We could not afford to sit back if our shipping in the Atlantic were being shot up.
    The right hon. Gentleman has accused us of making big changes in the last three years. May I point out again that changes have been taking place over the last 20 years? In the last three years, we have had inevitable changes in the pattern of our overseas bases, in our military position overseas and in the size of our Services. It ill behoves the Opposition to try and condemn us for cutting down the Fleet in three years, however. They should look back on their own record.
    In 1951, the Labour Government handed over to the incoming Tory Government 20 aircraft carriers which were active, in reserve or building. In 1964, five were handed over to us. As my right hon. Friend the Member for Edinburgh, East (Mr. Willis) said—I am glad he is

    1111
    back in Navy debates, because we had some good times together in Navy debates in Opposition—the Conservative Government talked about building aircraft carriers before 1964 but did nothing about them. If the hon. and gallant Member for Winchester wants to see the case against smaller carriers, he should read the Vote A debates of 1963 and 1964, when we on this side argued against CVA01 and for small carriers. We were told that these were no good.
    In 1951, we handed over 286 frigates and in 1964 the Navy had 120. The really
    big run-down in the size of the Royal Navy took place not in the last three years, during which there has only been a slight run-down, but during the 13 years right hon. Members opposite were responsible. I think that this run-down was right because our position in the world was changing. It is still changing. They were right to run down the size of the Navy but they should not condemn us for carrying on what they were doing.
    Question put:—
    The House divided: Ayes 137, Noes 221.

    Division No. 87.]

    AYES

    [10.0 p.m.

    Alison, Michael (Barkston Ash)

    Grant-Ferris, R.

    Onslow, Cranley

    Allason, James (Hemel Hempstead)

    Gurden, Harold

    Orr-Ewing, Sir Ian

    Atkins, Humphrey (M't'n & M'd'n)

    Hall, John (Wycombe)

    Osborn, John (Hallam)

    Baker, W. H. K.

    Hall-Davis, A. G. F.

    Osborne, Sir Cyril (Louth)

    Balniel, Lord

    Hamilton, Michael (Salisbury)

    Page, John (Harrow, W.)

    Bennett, Sir Frederic (Torquay)

    Harrison, Col. Sir Harwood (Eye)

    Peel, John

    Bennett, Dr. Reginald (Gos. & Fhm)

    Harvey, Sir Arthur Vere

    Peyton, John

    Boardman, Tom

    Hastings, Stephen

    Pike, Miss Mervyn

    Bossom, Sir Clive

    Heseltine, Michael

    Pink, R. Bonner

    Boyd-Carpenter, Rt. Hn. John

    Hiley, Joseph

    Powell, Rt. Hn. J. Enoch

    Boyle, Rt. Hn. Sir Edward

    Hill, J. E. B.

    Prior, J. M. L.

    Braine, Bernard

    Hirst, Geoffrey

    Pym, Francis

    Brewis, John

    Holland, Philip

    Ramsden, Rt. Hn. James

    Brinton, Sir Tatton

    Hordern, Peter

    Ridley, Hn. Nicholas

    Bromley-Davenport, Lt.-Col. Sir Walter

    Hornby, Richard

    Ridsdale, Julian

    Brown, Sir Edward (Bath)

    Howell, David (Guildford)

    Robson Brown, Sir William

    Buck, Anthony (Colchester)

    Hunt, John

    Rossi, Hugh (Hornsey)

    Burden, F. A.

    Hutchison, Michael Clark

    Royle, Anthony

    Campbell, Gordon

    Iremonger, T. L.

    Russell, Sir Ronald

    Clark, Henry

    Irvine, Bryant Godman (Rye)

    Scott, Nicholas

    Cooke, Robert

    Kershaw, Anthony

    Scott-Hopkins, James

    Cooper-Key, Sir Neill

    King, Evelyn (Dorset, S.)

    Sharples, Richard

    Costain, A. P.

    Kitson, Timothy

    Shaw, Michael (Sc'b'gh & Whitby)

    Crosthwaite-Eyre, Sir Oliver

    Knight, Mrs. Jill

    Sinclair, Sir George

    Currie, G. B. H.

    Lane, David

    Smith, John

    Dalkeith, Earl of

    Langford-Holt, Sir John

    Stoddart-Scott, Col. Sir M. (Ripon)

    Dance, James

    Legge-Bourke, Sir Harry

    Tapsell, Peter

    d'Avigdor-Goldemid, Sir Henry

    Loveys, W. H.

    Taylor, Sir Charles (Eastbourne)

    Deedes, Rt. Hn. W. F. (Ashford)

    McAdden, Sir Stephen

    Taylor, Frank (Moss Side)

    Dodds-Parker, Douglas

    MacArthur, Ian

    Temple, John M.

    Doughty, Charles

    Maclean, Sir Fitzroy

    Thatcher, Mrs. Margaret

    Elliot, Capt. Walter (Carshalton)

    McMaster, Stanley

    Tilney, John

    Emery, Peter

    Maddan, Martin

    Vickers, Dame Joan

    Errington, Sir Eric

    Marten, Neil

    Walker, Peter (Worcester)

    Eyre, Reginald

    Maude, Angus

    Wall, Patrick

    Farr, John

    Mawby, Ray

    Ward, Dame Irene

    Fisher, Nigel

    Maxwell-Hyslop, R. J.

    Webster, David

    Fletcher-Cooke, Charles

    Maydon, Lt.-Cmdr. S. L. C.

    Wills, Sir Gerald (Bridgwater)

    Foster, Sir John

    Mills, Peter (Torrington)

    Wilson, Geoffrey (Truro)

    Fraser, Rt. Hn. Hugh(St'fford & Stone)

    Miscampbell, Norman

    Wood, Rt. Hn. Richard

    Galbraith, Hon. T. G.

    Monro, Hector

    Woodnutt, Mark

    Giles, Rear-Adm. Morgan

    Montgomery, Fergus

    Worsley, Marcus

    Glyn, Sir Richard

    Morrison, Charles (Devizes)

    Wylie, N. R.

    Goodhart, Philip

    Mott-Radclyffe, Sir Charles

    Goodhew, Victor

    Munro-Lucas-Tooth, Sir Hugh

    TELLERS FOR THE AYES:

    Gower, Raymond

    Nabarro, Sir Gerald

    Mr. Jasper More and

    Grant, Anthony

    Noble, Rt. Hn. Michael

    Mr. Bernard Weatherill.

    NOES

    Albu, Austen

    Bidwell, Sydney

    Brown, Hugh D. (G'gow, Provan)

    Allaun, Frank (Salford, E.)

    Binns, John

    Brown, Bob (N'c'tle-upon-Tyne, W.)

    Allen, Scholefield

    Blackburn, F.

    Brown, R. W. (Shoreditch & F'bury)

    Armstrong, Ernest

    Boardman, H. (Leigh)

    Buchan, Norman

    Atkins, Ronald (Preston, N.)

    Booth, Albert

    Butler, Herbert (Hackney, C.)

    Atkinson, Norman (Tottenham)

    Boyden, James

    Butler, Mrs. Joyce (Wood Green)

    Bacon, Rt. Hn. Alice

    Braddock, Mrs. E. M.

    Carmichael, Neil

    Bagier, Gordon A. T.

    Bray, Dr. Jeremy

    Carter-Jones, Lewis

    Baxter, William

    Brooks, Edwin

    Castle, Rt. Hn. Barbara

    Beaney, Alan

    Brown, Rt. Hn. George (Belper)

    Chapman, Donald

    Coe, Denis

    Howarth, Robert (Bolton, E.)

    Oswald, Thomas

    Coleman, Donald

    Howie, W.

    Owen, Will (Morpeth)

    Craddock, George (Bradford, S.)

    Huckfield, Leslie

    Padley, Walter

    Crawshaw, Richard

    Hughes, Emrys (Ayrshire, S.)

    Page, Derek (King's Lynn)

    Cronin, John

    Hughes, Roy (Newport)

    Paget, R. T.

    Crossman, Rt. Hn. Richard

    Hunter, Adam

    Panned, Rt. Hn. Charles

    Cullen, Mrs. Alice

    Hynd, John

    Park, Trevor

    Dalyell, Tam

    Irvine, Sir Arthur

    Parker. John (Dagenham)

    Davidson, Arthur (Accrington)

    Jackson, Colin (B'h'se & Spenb'gh)

    Pavitt, Laurence

    Davies, Dr. Ernest (Stretford)

    Jackson, Peter M. (High Peak)

    Pentland, Norman

    Davies, Harold (Leek)

    Janner, Sir Barnett

    Perry, Ernest G. (Battersea, S.)

    Delargy, Hush

    Jones, Dan (Burnley)

    Perry, George H. (Nottingham, S.)

    Dell, Edmund

    Jones, Rt. Hn. SirElwyn (W. Ham, S.)

    Price, Christopher (Perry Barr)

    Dempsey, James

    Jones, T. Alec (Rhondda, West)

    Price, Thomas (Westhoughton)

    Diamond, Rt. Hn. John

    Judd, Frank

    Probert, Arthur

    Dickens, James

    Kelley, Richard

    Rankin, John

    Dobson, Ray

    Kenyon, Clifford

    Rees, Merlyn

    Doig, Peter

    Kerr, Russell (Feltham)

    Reynolds, G. W.

    Dunn, James A.

    Lawson, George

    Rhodes, Geoffrey

    Dunnett, Jack

    Leadbitter, Ted

    Roberts, Gwilym (Bedfordshire, S.)

    Dunwoody, Mrs. Gwyneth (Exeter)

    Ledger, Ron

    Robinson, W. O. J. (Walth'stow, E.)

    Dunwoody, Dr. John (F'th & C'b'e)

    Lee, Rt. Hn. Frederick (Newton)

    Rodgers, William (Stockton)

    Eadie, Alex

    Lee, John (Reading)

    Roebuck, Roy

    Edelman, Maurice

    Lestor, Miss Joan

    Ross, Rt. Hn. William

    Edwards, Robert (Bilston)

    Lever, Harold (Cheetham)

    Rowlands, E. (Cardiff, N.)

    Ellis, John

    Lewis, Ron (Carlisle)

    Ryan, John

    English, Michael

    Lomas, Kenneth

    Shaw, Arnold (Ilford, S.)

    Ennals, David

    Loughlin, Charles

    Sheldon, Robert

    Ensor, David

    Luard, Evan

    Short, Rt. Hn. Edward (N'c'tle-u-Tyne)

    Evans, Albert (Islington, S.W.)

    Lubbock, Eric

    Silkin, Rt. Hn. John (Deptford)

    Evans, Ioan L. (Birm'h'm, Yardley)

    Lyon, Alexander W. (York)

    Silverman, Julius (Aston)

    Faulds, Andrew

    Lyons, Edward (Bradford, E.)

    Skeffington, Arthur

    Fernyhough, E.

    McBride, Neil

    Slater, Joseph

    Fletcher, Ted (Darlington)

    McCann, John

    Small, William

    Foley, Maurice

    MacDermot, Niall

    Snow, Julian

    Ford, Ben

    McGuire, Michael

    Spriggs, Leslie

    Fowler, Gerry

    Mackenzie, Gregor (Rutherglen)

    Steel, David (Roxburgh)

    Fraser, John (Norwood)

    Mackintosh, John P.

    Summerskill, Hn. Dr. Shirley

    Freeson, Reginald

    Maclennan, Robert

    Swingler, Stephen

    Gardner, Tony

    McMillan, Tom (Glasgow, C.)

    Thomas, George (Cardiff, W.)

    Garrett, W. E.

    McNamara, J. Kevin

    Thomson, Rt. Hn. George

    Ginsburg, David

    MacPherson, Malcolm

    Tinn, James

    Gourlay, Harry

    Mahon, Peter (Preston, S.)

    Tomney, Frank

    Gregory, Arnold

    Mahon, Simon (Bootle)

    Urwin, T. W.

    Grey, Charles (Durham)

    Mallalieu, E. L, (Brigg)

    Wainwright, Edwin (Dearne Valley)

    Griffiths, David (Rother Valley)

    Manuel, Archie

    Walden, Brian (All Saints)

    Griffiths, Rt. Hn. James (Llanelly)

    Marks, Kenneth

    Walker, Harold (Doncaster)

    Griffiths, Will (Exchange)

    Mason, Roy

    Wallace, George

    Hamilton, James (Bothwell)

    Mayhew, Christopher

    Watkins, David (Consett)

    Hamling, William

    Mellish. Rt. Hn. Robert

    Weitzman, David

    Hannan, William

    Millan, Bruce

    Wellbeloved, James

    Harper, Joseph

    Miller, Dr. M. S.

    Whitaker, Ben

    Harrison, Walter (Wakefield)

    Milne, Edward (Blyth)

    Whitlock, William

    Hart, Mrs. Judith

    Mitchell, R. C. (S'th'pton, Test)

    Wilkins, W. A.

    Haseldine, Norman

    Morgan, Elystan (Cardiganshire)

    Willey, Rt. Hn. Frederick

    Hattersley, Roy

    Morris, Alfred (Wythenshawe)

    Williams, Alan Lee (Hornchurch)

    Hazell, Bert

    Morris, Charles R. (Openshaw)

    Williams, Mrs. Shirley (Hitchin)

    Healey, Rt. Hn. Denis

    Murray, Albert

    Willis, George (Edinburgh, E.)

    Heffer, Eric S.

    Neal, Harold

    Woodburn, Rt. Hn. A.

    Henig, Stanley

    Noel-Baker, Francis (Swindon)

    Woof, Robert

    Herbison, Rt. Hn. Margaret

    Norwood, Christopher

    Yates, Victor

    Hooley, Frank

    Oakes, Gordon

    Hooson, Emlyn

    Ogden, Eric

    TELLERS FOR THE NOES:

    Horner, John

    O'Malley, Brian

    Mr. Eric G. Varley and

    Houghton, Rt. Hn. Douglas

    Orme, Stanley

    Mr. Alan Fitch.

    NAVAL POLICY

      BUSINESS OF THE HOUSE (SUPPLY)
      Ordered,
      That this day the Business of Supply may be taken after Ten o'clock and that the proceedings on Vote A of the Defence (Navy) Estimates, 1968–69, may be entered upon and proceeded with at this day's Sitting at any hour during a period of two hours after Ten o'clock, though opposed.—[Mr. Reynolds.]
      Supply again considered.

  DEFENCE (NAVY) ESTIMATES 1968–69
    Vote A

      Numbers
      10.12 p.m.
      The Under-Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy (Mr. Maurice Foley): I beg to move,
      That 98,000 Officers, Ratings and Royal Marines be maintained for Naval Service, for the year ending on the 31st day of March 1969.
      As the House will note, the Navy Estimates for 1968–69 total approximately £655,800,000. The Estimates for the current year were originally presented at £620·9 million. However, this has been increased by two Supplementary Estimates to £648·8 million. The reasons for these Supplementary Estimates have been explained to the House. This means that the cash increase on paper between the current year's expenditure and the Estimate for 1968–69 is £7 million.
      In the short time available for this debate I do not want to deprive those hon. Members who wish to take part of a chance to speak. I shall, therefore, keep these first comments as brief as possible. I must, however, say something about the men and women who make up the Royal Navy. New ships, and new weapon systems, are essential for a modern Navy, and we are, as I explained to the House earlier this afternoon, making sure that the Navy is well equipped in these respects, but they are useless without the men and women to operate and maintain them.
      I have been Under-Secretary of State for the Navy for just over a year, and in the last 12 months I have had a chance to visit the Royal Marines in Aden and in Singapore, and at their training establishments in this country. I have
      1116
      visited the Fleet in the Far East, in the Gulf, in most of the shore establishments, and in the ships nearer at home on training exercises. From my experience, therefore, I can assure the House that the Royal Navy, the Royal Marines, the Women's Royal Naval Service, and the Queen Alexandra Royal Nursing Service are fortunate to have the loyal and devoted service of their ratings and officers. These are highly trained, highly skilled, and intensely motivated people. I regard it as much a part of my responsibility to make sure that we in the House and in the country generally appreciate their loyalty and serve them as well as they undoubtedly serve us.
      One thing which has impressed me wherever I have gone is the emphasis which the Navy places on training. I sometimes wonder whether it is widely realised how specialised this training must be. Nuclear propulsion has presented a great challenge to the Navy in the training field as much as in any other. Our officers and ratings have to be trained to a very high degree of skill and efficiency to deal with this new and complex equipment. This, however, is only the most obvious point to advance. All our ships, aircraft, and weapons, are becoming more and more sophisticated, and therefore the training is becoming more specialised and more intense throughout all aspects of the Navy.
      In so far as we are able, we are also endeavouring to relate naval training to civilian training outside the Service so that if and when a man leaves the Navy he goes, wherever possible, with a qualification which is recognised by the civilian authorities. Already many officers have obtained degrees. More will do so in the future. Many of the skills that we teach in the Navy enjoy recognition from the relevant trade unions.
      I should say a word about recruitment and re-engagement, because this was mentioned earlier in the evening. I am sure that everyone will understand when I say that Defence Reviews and all that these involve have had their effect on recruitment and re-engagement. It would be idle to deny it. In the last few months we have been fighting an uphill battle on recruitment. I am not despondent. I do not believe that the recruiting figures are a cause for despondency, but

      1117
      rather for renewed effort. Last September's entry into the Royal Naval College at Dartmouth was only slightly down on the previous year, and we hope to see an improvement on this position this year. In the current year recruitment of ratings and other ranks is running in the bracket of 7,000 a year. This is lower than the target set, and we have been particularly worried by shortages in the more highly skilled categories and some branches, too. A particularly bright feature has been the success of the Royal Marine recruiting.
      On re-engagement, I am happy to announce that there has recently been a slight upward trend. As hon. Members will know, this is a matter to which we have been devoting much attention lately. There is still, however, cause for concern in respect of some key categories, such as electrical artificers.
      I cannot leave this subject without referring to the threat of redundancy. It will take some time to work out the detailed manpower implications of the accelerated rundown announced by the Prime Minister on 16th January. Work is proceeding as fast as possible, and we hope to have a clearer picture by July. There is, however, no fear at all of immediate redundancy in the Royal Navy. I emphasise that. A large proportion of the reductions will be achieved by what is called normal wastage.
      Recruiting will also be adjusted. Only a small proportion of the reduction will have to be obtained by redundancies, and this small proportion is a tiny percentage of the existing total strength. The reduction will not be spread evenly between different ranks and ratings. Regrettably, much of it will fall on the Fleet Air Arm when the carriers phase out. There are, I repeat, no immediate redundancies, and we are taking all steps possible to alleviate the hardship which the inevitable but small numbers of redundancy will cause.
      I want to turn aside from the main point and deal with a feature of the Navy which is not often appreciated. Opportunities for advancement from the lower deck—by that I mean opportunities for ratings to become officers—are greater than is appreciated outside the Service. One-third of the serving officers in the Royal Navy today were ratings when they joined the Service. Each year
      1118
      about 12 per cent. of the petty officers and chief petty officers become officers. I regard these figures as clear and unambiguous evidence of the modernity of approach of the Royal Navy, with its trust and faith in these men and all the training which goes to make this kind of promotion on this kind of scale possible.
      I must turn to an aspect of support for the Navy which is indispensable, namely, the dockyards. It is inevitable that there will be some reduction in the tasks of the dockyards during the 1970s. It is the Government's intention to cut the size of the United Kingdom base so that as large a part as possible of our limited defence resources can be released for fighting units. The size of the dockyard organisation must be reduced as part of this general process of contraction.
      We have reached no decision yet on how and when this reduction in the size of the dockyards may be achieved. A detailed study is being carried out of the commitments that the dockyards will have to meet over the next ten years, and of the many other factors which will have to be taken into account. This is an important review, with important implications, and it will take some months to complete. The House will be informed of the conclusions that we reach, and I can give an assurance that trade unions and local authorities will be fully consulted about their implementation.
      However, I do not want to talk only of cuts and contractions. Whatever the results of our review, the dockyards will have a major and vital rôle to play in the years ahead in supporting and refitting the Fleet. This task proves continually more demanding as more sophisticated ships and submarines and more complicated equipment come into service. Refits of modern vessels are exceptionally complex operations of considerable dimensions calling for ever more stringent standards of planning, management and quality control and a labour force with a high degree of skill and efficiency.
      Just one example of the new challenge facing the dockyards is the refit and refuelling of H.M.S. "Dreadnought" which will begin at Rosyth Dockyard in May. This will be the Navy's first-ever nuclear refit and will make exceptional demands on the staff and work people of the dockyard engaged upon it. It is the Government's intention to complete the

      1119
      current refit of H.M.S. "Ark Royal" at Devonport. That is an exceptionally heavy programme which will occupy the dockyard fully for the next two years. The conversion of H.M.S. "Tiger" at Devonport and of H.M.S. "Blake" at Portsmouth will continue—
      Mr. Simon Wingfield Digby: In this review of the work of the dockyards, lasting some months, is there any question of one closing completely?
      Mr. Foley: This option is open to us. This is one field in which we will examine the nature of the work load and the skills and competence of the labour force in each area, plus the social implications of reducing the work load in any particular area. We still have this option. Indeed, it is of considerable importance, and I hope that everyone—particularly dockyard M.Ps.—will be aware that there is a continuing programme of modernising frigates, refitting sub marines and so on.
      I regret that we have not the time, as we have had on previous occasions, for a full and lengthy discussion of all aspects of the Navy and its work, but I will try to answer any questions at the end of the debate.
      10.22 p.m.
      Dr. Reginald Bennett: The brave words of the Under-Secretary could not disguise the fact that he had a most disagreeable task. He referred to the story of redundancies and cuts which it was his duty to announce. I have some sympathy with him. He has done his best and has had to look after a Service which has been cut on orders from above. He has had the unpleasant duty of carrying out the cuts and appearing to break his word, when, of course, the words broken came from much higher up the scale.
      I should like to call to his attention something which I picked up at Portsmouth this weekend—that, now that it is known that there are people who will be redundant, notably senior ratings, some would like to be allowed to go out and fend for themselves before taking up a last appointment, but are told that they must stay in. Might it not be a little easier for all concerned, when cuts are coming, to allow some members of the Service, whether officers or ratings, to opt
      1120
      out earlier, before having to fill final appointments, so that they might have a chance to get jobs?
      It is very sad to me, of course, to hear that the Fleet Air Arm is to take the brunt of the cuts, but it is no surprise, since it has been clear that this would happen ever since the carriers started to be messed about with. I must quote here the hon. Gentleman's own words to me last year, which look as cock-eyed as some of his remarks more recently on the subject of dockyards—not through his own fault, perhaps. In an intervention in a speech of mine, he said that more people were coming forward to train and serve in the Fleet Air Arm then than there were two years ago when the decision was to build an aircraft carrier. He must feel sorry that he ever said that, because what has happened to those poor chaps who entered with such zeal a year ago? They have not much future now, have they?
      Mr. Foley: I was making the point, as I recall, in the light of the argument used by the hon. Member that we had destroyed the Fleet Air Arm. I was indicating to him that, in fact, recruitment figures were up. What will happen to these chaps is that those in the pipeline will get their wings. That will equip them for flying, either for transfer to another Service or for a civilian licence.
      Dr. Bennett: I got my wings having previously been trained in the Royal Air Force and it did not take all that long. If the last carrier is to be phased out about 1971, they will not have many years in which to wear their wings. Even if the hon. Gentleman can justify his remark of last year, the more he justifies it, the less he justifies what he is doing now. This is a very sad situation and he is best advised not to say too much about it.
      The de-commissioning and de-storing of H.M.S. "Victorious", one of the carriers which is a victim of the Government, reminds me of the Prime Minister's remark that "the £ in your pocket will not be devalued." I have a quotation from his colleague, the Minister of Defence for Administration, in the debate of 27th November. Talking about H.M.S. "Victorious", he said:
      "The fact that the ship is now to be scrapped and must be completely de-stocked and de-equipped will provide more work in Portsmouth Dockyard than was planned and will

      1121
      have to be fitted in. I was asked to what extent work in the dockyards would be affected. It will provide more work in the dockyards than was originally planned and it must be fitted in with the present dockyard programme."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 27th November, 1967; Vol. 794, c. 162–63.]
      I was interested to hear that, which I regarded as a peculiarly bogus form of argument, and I put down a Question to ask the: Minister:
      "…what he estimates to be the extent of the additional work required of Portsmouth Dockyard, consequent upon the premature decommissioning and scrapping of H.M.S. 'Victorious'; how many additional man-weeks the decommissioning will require in the near future; and how many man-weeks will now not be required once H.M.S. ' Victorious' has been disposed of."
      In spite of that first fine reply, the following is the hon. Gentleman's Answer:
      "The work consequent upon de-storing and de-equipping H.M.S. ' Victorious' is expected to occupy about 1,000 man-weeks in Portsmouth Dockyard between December, 1967, and June, 1968. Effort of this order would have been required whenever H.M.S. ' Victorious' was disposed of. 4,000 man-weeks were saved by the decision not to complete the refit."—[OFFICIAL REPORT, 19th January, 1968; Vol. 756, c. 706.]
      Of course that is the case, Altogether, he said, 4,000 man-weeks were saved by the decision not to complete the refit. That is the real answer. The work done would have had to be done anyway, sooner or later, but 4,000 man-weeks in Portsmouth Dockyard will have been lost by that decision. The men who work in the dockyard may be interested in that information. It will not be particularly cheerful news for them.
      May I remind hon. Members of the peroration of the Prime Minister's famous Devonport speech. He said words which have gone down to history and which have been used by other hon. Members:
      "I believe—and I state this with all the sincerity at my command—that our reappraisal of defence policies, with our emphasis on the rôle of the Navy's regular job, will provide better security and better assurances for the future than the vacillations of Tory defence policy."
      I animadverted on that a year ago and I will spare hon. Members any further observations. There can be few hon. Members opposite who feel happy that they came into office with that sort of prospectus.
      Following that famous speech, which gave the key to the whole tenor of the Government, subsequently I made a few
      1122
      inquiries from time to time about the level of dockyard employment which we had been told was assured under the new Government. My former colleague, Brigadier Clarke, on 4th March, 1966, asked what were the figures of the men employed in Portsmouth Dockyard in October, 1964, and March 1966. They had gone up by about 400 in that time.
      I have since asked Questions—basically the same question—on 9th March, 1966, 13th December, 1967, and 20th December, 1967, seeking up-to-date figures compared with former figures. For some curious reason, I have on each occasion received different statistics. The number of men employed at Portsmouth Dockyard was said to be 12,248. That was the figure I was given on 9th March, 1966. When I asked the Question on 13th December, 1967, I was told that the number was 15,310, and on 20th December, 1967, I was told that the figure was 14,562. In other words, I was given three different figures in answer to basically the same Question. I hope that somebody will be prepared to give me the same figure when I ask the same Question relating to the same period, whenever I ask the Question.
      Meanwhile, I asked twice, in Questions put a week apart—the Questions were slightly differently worded—for the number of men employed in the dockyard at 1st October, 1967. On 13th December last year I was told that the number was 14,461. On 20th December, a week later, I was told that the number was 13,610. I wish that the Minister would make up his mind. In any event, the first figure showed that by 1st October, 1967, after three years of Labour administration, 949 men had lost their jobs. The second figure revealed that 952 had lost their jobs. Allowing a week between the dates of asking the Question, I suppose that that is about right. However, as the substantive figures were 800 apart, a more careful method of accounting needs to be adopted.
      I will not delay the House further. Other hon. Members wish to speak and I am sure that many questions will be asked, not only tonight but under the Votes which will arise tomorrow. While it will probably take some months for the Ministry to clear up these dockyard

      1123
      figures, I trust that eventually accurate statistics will be provided.
      10.33 p.m.
      Mr. William Hamlin: Although the hon. Member for Gosport and Fareham (Dr. Bennett) talked about reductions and cuts, it is obvious that he has not carefully examined the figures in the Vote and compared them with the figures in Vote A at the time when his party was responsible for the Royal Navy. The cuts have not been very considerable and for certain branches of the Navy there have been increases in the number of people covered by this Vote. For example, the number serving in Queen Alexandra's Royal Naval Nursing Service has increased from 480 to 620.
      In other respects, the reductions are relatively slight. When one thinks of a reduction of 2,000 people, one supposes that, with increasing efficiency in the Royal Navy, fewer people are required to do the same jobs. Expenditure is going up this year by 2 per cent. on the pay of those covered by Vote A. It is noteworthy that defence expenditure has increased in the last five years by 20 per cent., but that by far the biggest contribution towards that increase has been increasing pay. Pay has gone up by 25 per cent. Thus, pay is absorbing a larger amount of the money spent on the Royal Navy, a point which my hon. Friend the Member for South Ayrshire (Mr. Emrys Hughes) should bear in mind when he calls for further cuts. He should welcome the fact that the Government have been generous in their attitude towards pay. Over the whole range of defence cuts, the Royal Navy has done rather better than either of the other Services. I would be out of order, Mr. Speaker, if I were now to become more specific and if I referred to certain aspects, but other occasions will no doubt offer themselves.
      I want to refer to my old Service—the Royal Marines. I note that this year the numbers are being increased from 9,320 to 9,370. I do not know whether this is because the Government have been inspired by the speeches of my hon. Friend the Member for South Ayrshire in which he has called for economies. Here, the increased expenditure and increased recruitment can be
      1124
      justified on the ground that from the point of view of cost effectiveness the Royal Marines are one of the most useful and economical branches of Her Majesty's Forces. Perhaps it is for this reason that there is to be an increase this year—
      Mr. Emrys Hughes: I can assure my hon. Friend that I do not seek to reduce the pay of the Royal Marines, or that of any other section. What I want to see reduced is the heavy expenditure on the Polaris submarine programme.
      Mr. Hamling: I am delighted to have my hon. Friend's support for once. So far, the Royal Marines are not being expected entirely to run the Polaris submarines. I am not sure whether there is a Royal Marine detachment on board. Perhaps my hon. Friend will enlighten me on that point—
      Mr. Eric Ogden: Argyll Highlanders.
      Mr. Hamling: My hon. Friend may be reminded that there was a Royal Marine outfit—or, perhaps, combined operation—called the Plymouth Argylls, which consisted of members of the Argyll and Sutherland Highlanders and the Royal Marines but, noting Mr. Speaker's anxiety, I shall not pursue that anecdote beyond saying that it illustrates once again the all-round versatility of the Royal Marines, and the contribution they make to the Royal Navy in being able to mix so well with other people.
      From the point of view of its cost effectiveness, I should like to be told that the future of the corps has been assured. For more years than I care to remember its place in the Royal Navy has been challenged and questioned. When I first joined the rôle of the Royal Marines was being challenged, and questions were being asked whether they had a contribution to make. During the Second World War they manned the guns, provided mobile naval base defence organisations, formed the Royal Marine Division, and provided light assault troops—which eventually became the commandos—and manned a great many of the assault craft used in successive invasions.
      What is the Government's view of their future rôle? I understand that there are already detachments on some ships, and it is good that there should be a number

      1125
      of well-trained versatile troops on Her Majesty's vessels, accustomed to working with the Navy, able to work on board ship and capable of being landed to take immediate action as infantry troops.
      Not all naval officers have been accustomed to having Royal Marines aboard. I can remember a certain Royal Marine officer in khaki battledress being ordered off the captain's so-and-so bridge because the captain would have no so-and-so soldier on his bridge, until it was pointed out to him that the Royal Marines were not soldiers and that the officer in question was the officer of the day. I was again illustrating, Mr. Speaker, the versatility of the corps and its place in Vote A. The corps fulfils an admirable rôle as commandos on assault ships and commando carriers.
      I should be grateful if my hon. Friend can tell us about recruitment and re-engagement of Royal Marines. I think there is a good story to be told here. They perform an admirable function, they can be mobilised quickly and are well trained. They are versatile and can land from ships or helicopters, they can act as paratroops, they are well armed, can operate in any terrain and are well disciplined. They have highly developed esprit de corps, to which I am sure the House is now well accustomed, having on these benches and on those opposite several who often mount a combined operation against both Front Benches.
      I ask my hon. Friend to ensure that in the future of the Royal Navy the Royal Marines will play their accustomed rôle, and a continuing rôle, because they form a corps with an honourable tradition and are capable of serving the country well in any theatre of operations. I ask him to tell the House that their future is assured.
      10.42 p.m.
      Dame Joan Vickers: I am glad to follow the hon. Member for Woolwich, West (Mr. Ham-ling) because, as he knows, there is a large contingent of Royal Marines in Plymouth. We were pleased to have them there when there was a possibility of their being moved a few years ago.
      I also pay tribute to the women's services. There are extra numbers in the nursing service because they are now nursing civilians. There are civilians in the Royal Naval Hospital, which is a
      1126
      great asset. Perhaps the Minister can tell us what is being charged civilian patients in the Royal Naval Hospital. We are disappointed that accommodation for W.R.N.S. has been set back and does not appear to be forthcoming as planned. The accommodation is particularly poor in the old prison. It is time that they were moved from there.
      It was a blow when we heard that there may be a closing of Devonport Dockyard.
      Mr. Foley: I did not quite catch what the hon. Lady said. If she said that I announced that we were going to close the dockyard, she is entirely mistaken.
      Dame Joan Vickers: I did not say that. I said there might be a closing of the dockyard and that the hon. Gentleman was still examining the position. I would have been far more forceful had the hon. Gentleman announced the closing of the dockyard. Can he stop these interminable leaks and rumours which get about and which are most disturbing? The question about the "Ark Royal" was leaked to the newspapers and it greatly disturbed the 2,600 men working on it. I was so worried that, as I could not get an answer, I sent the Minister a telegram on 29th December. Knowing how badly off the Government were, I paid for a reply. I asked whether a decision had been come to concerning the "Ark Royal" refit. I asked him to let me have a reply by 2 o'clock, and I notice that he was kind enough to hand it in at 1.59. The reply was:
      "No decision concerning Ark Royal refit taken. But as already announced no cows are sacred."
      I was not particularly pleased to receive that telegram, especially as we had had an altercation in the House previously. There was a question about the difference between Portsmouth and Plymouth, and I had a letter from the right hon. Gentleman on 29th November in which he made certain statements, sending a copy of the letter to the Editor of the OFFICIAL REPORT. He said:
      "The latest cuts do mean that there will be not quite so much work for Devonport Dockyard between now and 1972. This is not excepted to result in any redundancy, although there may be some slight reduction in overtime".
      Then, on 4th December, he said:
      "I have been looking again at the letter I sent you on 29th November about the latest

      1127
      cuts and their effect on the Devonport Dockyard. The second paragraph of my letter is, unfortunately, open to misconstruction, and I should like to make clear to you that the work load planned over the next five years for Devonport Dockyard has not been altered. There is still a full order book for the next five years".
      I hope that the Minister will confirm that there is still a full order book for the next five years. He must recall that Devonport Dockyard, unlike other dockyards, is the major industry in the town concerned. The next largest factory employs only 3,000 people. We are far more dependent on the dockyard than other dockyard towns are.
      There is also the question of the future of apprentices. At the moment, there is a notice up saying that a new apprentice block is to be constructed. I am very pleased to know that, but is it any good people going into the dockyard if there is to be no work for them in the future? What is to be the position of the admiral superintendent? I understand that his job is to be merged with that of the commander-in-chief, the flag officer, but I should like to know what sort of jurisdiction the new flag officer will have over the dockyard in the future? Will he be—as I hope he will—an engineer admiral? This has proved very advantageous in the past.
      I gather that quite a lot of work is contract work sent outside the dockyard. A considerable portion of the Vote is taken up by this work. Would it be possible for the hon. Gentleman to arrange for a good deal of the contract now done outside to be undertaken within the dockyard?
      We understand that the dockyard is to turn over to functional management. I hope that the question of the wages of the men concerned will be examined.
      Now, a question about H.M.S. "Tiger" and "Lion". Is "Lion" to be undertaken in the dockyard, and what will be the cost of making these cruisers ready for helicopters? I understand that, when they are finished, they will take only four helicopters each.
      Finally, the question of wages. In 1964, the Prime Minister came to Devon-port and said:
      1128
      "We believe in fair wages, fair conditions. Under Tory pay pause (which they would like you to forget) it was public servants, Government employees, who got the rough end of the policy. It fell to me as Labour Party spokesman to lead the attack on the Government's pay pause policy and to censure their wanton breach of national agreements, agreements to which their word and honour were pledged, in respect of a whole range of Admiralty employees."
      There has been a certain reconstruction in Admiralty pay, and, as the hon. Gentleman knows—he has been down to Devonport—it is not entirely satisfactory. I hope that he will look into this matter and do what his right hon. Friend said—give these men a fair deal in the future.
      I hope that, when any future policy is announced, we shall have plenty of time, and that consideration will be given to allowing the dockyards, perhaps, to turn some portion or section over to civilian work. I do not mean that they should do civilian work in the dockyards, but portions, particularly of Devonport Dockyard, could be hived off and given to civilian work, instead of running down the whole naval establishment at one go.
      I hope, therefore, that the Under-Secretary will realise how important it is to the lives of so many people in the West Country. The West Country has been hit hard by many of the Government's measures, particularly by the proposals of the Transport Bill and the Selective Employment Tax. This is another blow to our economy. Therefore, in the future, instead of simply rumours and leaks, can we be certain that nothing will be said outside that is not told first to the House of Commons? This would make the Minister's job much easier and the people concerned much happier.
      10.50 p.m.
      Mr. Eric Ogden: I have two points to make and I will make them as briefly as I can. The first concerns naval construction. At an earlier stage of today's debate, my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration made an important statement about the construction programme for anti-styx type missiles. I understood him to say that reliance would be placed either on missile-carrying surface-to-surface ship-borne helicopters or on shore-based missile-carrying aircraft.

      1129
      If I understood correctly what my hon. Friend said, it was in advance of what was said in answer to Questions some weeks ago by my right hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Equipment. As recently as early last week, when he gave the construction programme for the Navy in some detail, I gathered that my right hon. Friend said that if it was metal and mobile he would phantomise it, and if it was steel and stationary, he would marinise it. He gave no detailed answer, however, about what, he thought, would be the answer for the Royal Navy to styx-type missiles. In accepting Vote A, we might want to look carefully at what my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration said in his rat-a-tat this evening and reserve judgment.
      On recruitment and redundancy, I should like to pay tribute from constituency experience to the work that the Navy does about resettlement and redundancy and placing ex-Service men back in civilian life.
      On recruitment and retention of our Service men and women, may I gather about me the rags of such a radical reputation as I had when I first came to this House, now sadly depleted, and ask that the Minister should consider the relationship between officers and men, or officers and Service women. I accept what he has said about the increasing ability of ratings to progress from the rank and file through to officer status, but it seems that particularly in the Navy, status is more important than it should be.
      It seems that living facilities are more different than they should be as between one class of Service personnel and another and that when we are asking to recruit, and are recruiting, highly intelligent, highly educated, highly qualified technically and academically men and women, there is an artificial barrier, which could well be reduced or which we should look at, between officers and men. The forces are the only place in which that artificial barrier is created. All that I am asking my hon. Friend to do is to ask the Minister to consider whether something could not be done to reduce the artificial nature of the barrier.
      10.54 p.m.
      Captain Walter Elliot: During the last month, the Government have put forward profound defence policy
      1130
      changes. They have announced that we are retiring to Europe and Britain. I want to know what effect, if any, this has in the manning proportions of the different categories of men in the Royal Navy, because I should think that it probably will have effect.
      During the last 15 years, one of the major duties, if not the major duty, of the naval forces—and they have been organised accordingly—has been to put out insipient wars, known as the brush-fire policy. As far as I can recollect, all these have taken place east of Suez. But we are now withdrawing from there. In any case, the carriers are being phased out and there will be no shore-based air cover. So it seems to me that we could not operate there in that rôle anyhow. Do the Government visualise the brush-fire type war policy continuing in the Mediterranean? That seems rather unlikely.
      The Speaker: Order. This is no longer a defence debate. The hon. and gallant Gentleman must now come to Vote A.
      Captain Elliot: I am sorry, Mr. Speaker, but I had to put in that earlier bit. I will come to the point now.
      What I want to know is the effect that this will have on the Royal Marines. I have the highest admiration for them and their versatility and everything that they do. One or two since leaving the Corps have taken the wrong turning and gone to the left instead of the right, but that only emphasises how good their training is in the Corps. The number of Royal Marines is a very large proportion of the total in Vote A—over 10 per cent. That is far higher than before the war, and it has been very necessary in the light of the brush-fire war policy. But before the war and after the Royal Marines were an integral part of the ship's company, and, therefore, they were of much more value in direct naval work. Now many thousands of them are virtually soldiers afloat and completely lost to the ordinary naval work on board. I want to ask the Minister, as the hon. Member for Woolwich, West (Mr. Hamling) did, what their future is. As he pointed out, they go up by 50 this year. Is that to be continued. Will the Corps be affected by the retirement to Europe?
      Mr. Hamling: Would not the hon. and gallant Gentleman agree that the Corps is doing today what the Army used to do because conditions of war have changed? These days war is much more amphibious than it used to be, and this is now being recognised.
      Captain Elliot: That is true. In the past the Navy Estimates have borne the expenses for the Royal Marines, for example when they were fighting so brilliantly in the hills of Radfan or in the depths of the Borneo jungle. These seem far-fetched expenses for Navy Estimates. Be that as it may, these profound policy changes are changing that. I do not visualise the Corps carrying out this rôle in the Mediterranean.
      Are the Government abandoning the brush fire war policy? I presume they are east of Suez. Do they expect it in the Mediterranean? If they do not—and I doubt whether they do—surely the Corps must be affected as well as the other branches. I should like to know whether any planning is going on on these lines in regard to manning to suit the profoundly different policy that the Navy will now have to follow.
      11.0 p.m.
      Mr. Emrys Hughes: I beg to move,
      That the said number be reduced by 1,000 men.
      I move this Amendment not because I wish to prolong the debate but in order to exercise the traditional Parliamentary right of challenging this Vote and the policy of the Government towards the Navy. We are asked to vote 98,000 men and the expenditure amounts to £655 million. This country cannot afford such a very large sum at a time when we are faced with a severe economic crisis.
      The arguments deployed on both sides of the House do not convince me that this sum is not excessive and that, if the House goes on spending at this rate, we shall ever get out of the financial crisis. My hon. Friend has told us of the warships which are to come into existence in the next decade or so, and this leads me to think that we are not going to get any real, substantial reduction in expenditure on the Navy—and if we do not get such a reduction we shall have a perpetual financial crisis.
      1132
      Hon. Members have argued that this sum should be exceeded. I want it reduced. A strength of 98,000 men in the Navy is a drain on the nation's manpower. I have every sympathy with my hon. Friend the Member for Woolwich, West (Mr. Hamling), who speaks for the Royal Marines, and with the hon. Member for Plymouth, Devonport (Dame Joan Vickers), who speaks for dockyard workers. I do not want to reduce the standard of living of the people who are necessary in the Armed Forces, but 98,000 is a very large number and the old, threadbare arguments of 50 years ago thrown about the Chamber tonight are quite irrelevant to the present situation.
      I would welcome an independent inquiry by some unprejudiced businessmen and economists into the use of this manpower. I represent here an industry which has been inquired into often. The word "redundancy" has been used in the debate. I want to apply to the Navy the same argument being applied to the mining industry—that the time has come when we have so many men in the industry that it should be reduced to meet changed circumstances. I argue that the same applies to the Navy and that the number of men in it should be reduced.
      I do not want to see these men made redundant in the sense of their being unemployed. I want their energies and abilities to be used in other directions. I would welcome some independent inquiry into how this manpower is used, and whether the sum of £655 million is excessive and whether the number of men involved is necessary. I want to apply this particularly to the Polaris submarine programme. There has been a marked tendency by the Government completely to ignore the arguments about the programme. As I have pointed out before, it amounts to £350 million a year. Mysteriously, it has gone down this year from £370 million to £350 million, and we have not had an adequate explanation of how the £20 million difference has come about.
      This programme is strongly criticised in Scotland because, during the last three years, we have had there a very expensive Polaris base, costing £45 million and taking up the labour of construction and building workers and engineers at a time when they were needed on the home front

      1133
      for hospitals, schools and advance factories to deal with changes in industry.
      Are we to have a repetition of the tests during the last fortnight by the submarine "Resolution"? The trials of two missiles which have been exploded have cost £1,500,000. Is that to be the end, or are we to have perpetual trials costing this large sum of money? Is it not time that there was some economy in Gareloch, in Faslane? We have a school there which has cost more than £11 million, at a time when we have no money for secondary schools or science education.
      A big missile depôt has been carved out of the hill at Coalport for the storage of atomic weapons. When the Polaris submarine issue originally arose, there was strong criticisms from the Labour benches because missiles were to be stored near a large industrial centre like Glasgow. If there is no danger of an explosion at this storage depot, why should so much have been spent cutting a hole in a mountain, and why should there have been this enormous expenditure on concrete and so on?
      We are told that, when complete, these submarines will operate in the South Atlantic, but much more powerful American submarines are already in the South At antic. How will these four submarines—the Labour Government cut one of the original five—increase the power of the deterrent when the Americans already have 41?
      The time has come for a special inquiry into the expenditure on this base, an inquiry as thorough as that into the Hawker-Siddeley deal. This expenditure alarms me, for it seems to serve no useful purpose. The Admiralty is a powerful institution, but I hope that we can have some attempt at a rational explanation of how this expenditure on the Polaris submarines can be justified.
      Mr. Foley: My hon. Friend the Member for Woolwich, West (Mr. Hamling) and the hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton (Captain W. Elliot) asked about the pay and the future of the Royal Marines. The last increase in pay was in 1966, when there was an 18 per cent. increase. At present, the pay of the Armed Forces is being considered by the National Board for Prices and Incomes. There is no provision made in the present
      1134
      Estimates, as is normal practice, but clearly we are anxious to get an early answer on it, as my right hon. Friend announced in the defence debate.
      As for the future of the Royal Marines, it may be that my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration went at a great pace when he wound up earlier, but he made a specific reference to the fact that we are looking at the future rôle of the Marines, particularly the use of the amphibious force on the N.A.T.O. flanks. This will form part of the review which is taking place, and I hope that it will be reflected in decisions which will be announced before very long.
      Mr. Patrick Wall: Would the hon. Gentleman not agree that, in relation to the "teeth to tail" point, the Royal Marines are better than the other Services? I believe that the figures are 2.6 to 1.
      Mr. Foley: I assume that the hon. Gentleman is referring to the Marines and other units of the Army—
      Mr. Wall: The Commandos.
      Mr. Foley: Indeed, yes. These figures have been argued, and I would not want to contest them. From my own visits, my impression of the Marines is of an outstanding spirit in a first-rate kind of man among all ranks. That is so valuable that it would be foolish to ignore it.
      My hon. Friend the Member for Liverpool, West Derby (Mr. Ogden) raised a number of questions about the Styx type missile. Again, my hon. Friend the Minister of Defence for Administration spoke at a great rate, but I do not think that he added anything to what has been said previously. However, I suggest that my hon. Friend reads what he said in HANSARD tomorrow and, if there are specific details which have not been answered adequately, I shall be happy to take them up with him.
      The relationship between officers and men is a matter which crops up from time to time, and it is a source of concern to Service Ministers. One starts by recognising that one is considering a discipline Service and that there are different ranks in it. It would be foolish to abolish them. Equally, there is a considerable element of teamwork, responsibility, and so on. My experience

      1135
      is that, in a small ship, there is a closer and more intimate relationship between officers, chief petty officers and ratings than is possible in a larger ship. In the Navy, we have the divisional system, and it may be that this could and should be improved. It is a matter which is being re-examined constantly. It reflects on the kind of training that officers should receive, on their probationary periods, and on a variety of other circumstances. Clearly in terms of any modern ship, given the kind of weaponry that it has, a first-rate relationship between officers and men, particularly between officers and petty officers, is indispensable. Each has a clear and decisive responsibility, and it is essential that they work together to fill their respective rôles.
      Questions have been raised about mantling problems by the hon. and gallant Member for Carshalton and the hon. Member for Gosport and Fareham (Dr. Bennett). In the first instance, I should repeat something which I said earlier. In the next few years, we do not anticipate any redundancy in the Royal Navy. This gives us the breathing space in which to analyse, specialisation by specialisation, the kind of manpower requirements and training and retraining requirements to make sure that we have sufficient numbers in each of the specialisations. That, in turn, will assist us in target planning.
      I pointed out earlier that we are running something short of our target in the recruitment of ratings. I said, too, that there was a slight increase in re-engagement rates, but that this all leaves a problem for the future.
      We expect to meet the future staff requirements in the short run by natural wastage, and by some adjustment of our recruiting targets. Through into the 'seventies there will be a problem of some redundancies, and in relation to this, in the first instance, having identified the spheres in which there is over-manning, we will call for volunteers. On this basis we will give people a year in which to do a resettlement or retraining job before leaving the Service. This is how we will deal with the problem of determining our manning needs, and then we will deal with the question of redundancies.
      Mr. Tam Dalyell: In his opening statement my hon. Friend
      1136
      referred to the ways in which the Navy would settle any personnel—
      Mr. Speaker: Order. Will the hon. Member speak up?
      Mr. Dalyell: In his opening statement my hon. Friend referred to the ways in which the Navy was going to settle personnel into existing civilian authorities. Can he say something of the mechanism by which he will do this?
      Mr. Foley: I am sorry if I did not make the position clear. I said that I attached great weight to the kind of training which is provided in the Navy, and I added that we were looking at it to make sure that the training would equip people for civilian life, that the skills which they acquire in the Service are skills and competencies which will be recognised in civvy street.
      Perhaps I might give an example of what I mean. At the moment we have organised and geared the training of our communicators to equip them to deal with the equipment in the Navy. A slight adjustment of that training programme would virtually give each man who qualified for the Navy an automatic City and Guilds in civvy street. It is this kind of training that we are considering. We want to provide a man with the kind of training which will equip him for use by the Navy, and also equip him for civvy street.
      Dame Joan Vickers: It is one thing to get them trained. Very often the trade unions will not accept them. What is the hon. Gentleman doing to overcome this problem?
      Mr. Foley: I mentioned this earlier, too. In the first place, there is the question, particularly for officers, of recognition by the various professional associations. There is no difficulty with the trade unions about the artificer class. There is difficulty with the mechanician class, and discussions are going on with the trade unions to get recognition of this as a trade.
      With regard to the conversion of the Tiger Class cruisers, as the hon. Lady the Member for Plymouth, Devonport (Dame Joan Vickers) is aware, H.M.S. "Tiger" is undergoing conversion at Devonport. We plan to convert H.M.S. "Lion"—this is referred to on page 28

      1137
      of the Statement. I think the hon. Lady will recall that earlier in the year there was a meeting for dockyard Members when we considered how we could establish a dockyard load. One could see from the graphs which were presented that virtually from month to month there was a variation in the placing of ships because of operational requirements, because of ships not coming in on time, because of ships being required earlier, and so on. We therefore cannot be absolutely firm about where this or that ship will go. In time it will be Devon-port, but at this moment I cannot give a cast-iron guarantee.
      The cost of each of these conversions is about £5½ million. I think that it may well be some time in mid-1969 before a decision is made on whether H.M.S. "Lion" goes to Devonport. It is about then that we will take her in for conversion, but it is difficult at this moment to give a precise assurance in terms of time, or indeed of place.
      The hon. Lady referred to accommodation for the W.R.N.S. I know the conditions in which they live. I was not aware of any slippage in the programme for new accommodation, but I shall look in to this and write to the hon. Lady.
      As for the history of the "Ark Royal", as my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State said, despite what others may say, it could not have leaked to the newspaper because a decision had not been taken. It is not a difficult thing for any journalist to guess either "Yes" or "No". If the journalist says "Yes", and the decision is "Yes, it will continue", the journalist is right. If the decision is "No", presumably the journalist will be right next time. But there was no leak. The Admiral Superintendent was informed by his superior officers at the appropriate time.
      Mr. J. Enoch Powell: How did the journalist in question also know that the decision was to be announced by the Secretary of State in opening the defence debate last Monday?
      Dame Joan Vickers: It was not only that leak that I was referring to but the earlier one, in December. We have had to wait all this time with this indefinite cloud hanging over our heads on the question whether it was to be refitted.
      Mr. Foley: One talks about the first and second leak, but the essence of the thing is that the same problem is involved. The question was: do we continue or do we not? Many considerations had to be taken into account. First, there were the strategic considerations taken into account by the Chiefs of Staff, about what they would require militarily, and the effect of the withdrawal from the Far East and the Gulf, and the time scale we had established. They said clearly what they required to do the job.
      There were also economic and financial considerations—about the money already spent and how far long-load items had been ordered, and whether we had reached the stage of irreversibility. There were social considerations, particularly in regard to the siting and location of the dockyard, and all that that meant to the whole of the West Country. A variety of factors was involved.
      The question how the journalist could announce—as presumably someone did—in December and again in January and again in February, that the decision would be "Yes" is not difficult to understand. It is not a difficult matter for someone to say "Yes" or "No".
      As for the right hon. Gentleman's question—if one could check the source of leaks over a variety of subjects, and particularly defence matters, over a number of years, we would all be in a happier position, but the right hon. Gentleman is as well aware as I am that on this issue one has, from time to time, not something characteristic of this Government but something going back for many years—information picked up by journalists and reported, sometimes rightly and sometimes incorrectly.
      I am sorry if hon. Members opposite feel dissatisfied with this. I would have thought they would welcome the decision to go ahead with the "Ark". I presume that they are disappointed because the decision was not made earlier. Nevertheless, it has been made. The world knows. I am delighted that the decision has been made.
      As for the dockyard and its load, I referred earlier to the problem of determining the load and the factors that can alter the work load. A small amount of

      1139
      contract work which is put out from time to time from the yards. This has caused some measure of concern. Sometimes it has been done without consultation with the unions; sometimes workmen have felt they could do it better. We have to do something to improve labour relations and the dialogue at local level. I am absolutely convinced of this.
      On the question of the civilian worker. I want to put this into its proper perspective. I am not talking particularly about Devonport. If one wants lessons on running down the dockyards and closing them one can learn from the party opposite. It is not many years since it closed some Royal Dockyards. We have not done that. There is the question how one can reassure people. I do not know whether it is true, but it is said that dockyard people talk themselves into crises much more easily than others. There is to be a review of the workload of the next ten years and it is important that we cut down the home base so that what is left is "teeth". This is difficult to define, because the dockyards are as essential as ships and men, because the equipment must work. It is therefore too early to give an assurance that any given dockyard will be immune. The review will take some time, but the House, local authorities and the unions will be in formed as soon as it is completed. I thought that the last meeting which dockyard M.P.s had with my officials was very useful and I see no difficulty in arranging another, if desired, for June this year.
      The hon. Member for Gosport and Fareham made great play about the numbers working in Portsmouth Dockyard, and wondered which of the variety of answers he had been given was correct. I can only guess that the differences, for which I am sorry, were in definition and coverage, since dockyard figures tend to be complicated. However, I shall be glad to write to him explaining the figures and giving a consistent answer.
      Dame Joan Vickers: Before the hon. Gentleman sits down, would he say something about the new arrangements about the rank of flag officer?
      Mr. Foley: There were proposals to change the command structure, especially
      1140
      in the flag officer rank. It has been decided to amalgamate the responsibilities in the dockyard under the Dockyard Commander-in-Chief. In Chatham, this is in effect. In Scotland, it will be, and there will be no Admiral Superintendent at Rosyth. Devonport will be under the command of the Commander-in-Chief, as will Plymouth. There is no guarantee that the Commander-in-Chief at Plymouth will be an engineering specialist.
      For a number of years, definition and relationship have been confused. It was explained at our last briefing on the subject of the relationships between the Admiral Superintendent and the General Manager that a dockyard consisted of more than just the ships under repair. There was a supply organisation and ratings working aboard ship, which is why there was an Admiral Superintendent. There is no intention to withdraw naval staff from dockyard work where they are needed, both the ultimate responsibility will be with the Commander-in-Chief. He will determine the delegation of responsibility to ensure that work is done to Navy specifications and that existing work, other than repair and refitting, is done adequately.
      Mr. Frank Judd: Will not my hon. Friend agree that this will leave the General Manager in an invidious position and that many of the problems of morale arise because there is a lack of accountability, and that until the General Manager is in full control of the yard, we cannot overcome these difficulties.
      Mr. Foley: I do not want to delve too much in detail into this point. There is a combination of reasons. Partly, it may well be the lack of defined responsibility. Partly, it may well be that there is a remoteness about the control of the yard and an absence of delegated responsibility. Partly, it may well be that we need a cross-fertilisation with civilian life, with personnel serving a period elsewhere and with people from outside coming into the yard. These are some of the reasons. It would be difficult to point at any one of them as the main reason. I wish that we could.
      Mr. Emrys Hughes: Does not my hon. Friend think that the Polaris submarine

      1141
      deserves some mention? Will he not make some attempt to justify the cost of it? Why should he ignore it completely?
      Mr. Foley: I am quite willing to deal with the point. The position—and I hope that this is some reassurance to my hon. Friend—is that most of the money is already committed. Most of the money on the Polaris programme has already been spent. The buildings are almost completed and the base will quite soon be operational. As for the Polaris submarine itself, whatever the arguments may be about it, having spent the money to build the Polaris, having got it through all the training and having got a highly sophisticated weapons system, it would be wrong not to try it. That is why the two crews from the Polaris submarines will have an experience of testing the missile system.
      Mr. Emrys Hughes: What is the cost of it?
      Mr. Foley: My hon. Friend has put down Questions on the subject and he has had the answers.
      Question put and negatived.
      Original Question put and agreed to.
      Resolved,
      That 98,000 Officers, Ratings and Royal Marines be maintained for Naval Service, for the year ending on the 31st day of March 1969.

    FOOD PRICES
    Motion made, and Question proposed, That this House do now adjourn.—[Mr. McBride.]
    11.32 p.m.
    Mr. Kenneth Lomas: I am most grateful for the opportunity to raise on the Adjournment the question of rising food prices. This subject has been discussed and written about many times since the Labour Government came to power, and on almost every occasion the impression has been created that the Government were more interested in keeping wages down than in keeping the cost of living under control. A tremendous amount of misleading information about prices, particularly food prices, has been published in the Press and given out on radio and television, and the time has come to state the facts: facts based on figures published
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    in the Ministry of Labour Gazette, which are presumably acceptable to both sides of the House.
    Let us first look at the general position. I will take the period the Labour Party have been in power—from October 1964 to January 1968, the latest date for which figures are available. In that time retail prices covering all items have risen from 107·9 points to 121·6 points, an increase of 12·7 per cent., or just over 2s. 6d. in the £. In the same period food prices increased from 108·0 points to 121·1 points—a 12·1 per cent. increase, or slightly less than 2s. 6d. in the £. In the same period the weekly wage rates rose from 146·2 points to 172·2 points, an increase of 17·7 per cent., or about 3s. 6d. in the £, and the hourly rate increased from 154·7 points to 189·8 points, an increase of 22·7 per cent., or around 4s. 6d. in the £. So much for the lie that the Labour Government have kept wages down while allowing prices, particularly food prices, to soar.
    Let me now make known the facts as far as the first 22 months of this Parliament is concerned, including the period of standstill and severe restraint—from April 1966 to January 1968. Prices as a whole in this period increased from 116·0 points to 121·6, an increase of 4·8 per cent., or a shade under Is. in the £. The cost of food in that period went up from 115·2 points to 121·1, a 5·1 per cent increase, or a fraction over 1s. in the £. During this period wage rates increased from 157·6 points to 172·2, an increase of 9·2 per cent., or 1s. 10d. in the £, while hourly rates increased from 173·0 points to 189·8, an increase of 9·7 per cent., or Is. 11d. in the £. In other words, during this period wages increased by almost twice the amount that prices rose, including food prices.
    Now consider, for comparison, the last 22 months of Conservative Administration; from January 1963 to October 1964. In that period all prices went up from 102·7 points to 107·9, a 5 per cent. increase, or Is. in the £, about the same as under the present Government. Food prices during that period rose from 103·8 points to 108·0, an increase of 4 per cent. or 10d. in the £, slightly less than under the present Government, and I give the Conservatives that point. But, if we look at wages during that period, we find that

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    during the last 22 months of Conservative rule, wage rates went up from 136·3 points to 146·2, an increase of 7·2 per cent, or 1s. 5d. in the £, 5d. in the £ less than under Labour in this Parliament, while hourly rates under the Conservatives in that period increased from 143·4 points to 154·7, an increase of 7·9 per cent., or about 1s. 7d. in the £—or 4d. in the £ less than under Labour. No further comment is required from me. The facts speak for themselves.
    In the last 13 months, January, 1967, to January, 1968, the pattern has been the same, wages rising faster than prices—certainly faster than food prices—and this at a time when the nation is being told that the Labour Government are attacking wages and doing nothing about prices. All prices from January, 1967, to January, 1968, went up by 2·6 per cent. Food prices, with which we are most concerned, went up by 3 per cent., but the weekly wage rate increased by no less than 7·3 per cent. and hourly rates by 7·6 per cent. Thus wages from January, 1967, to January, 1968, increased two-and-a-half times the amount by which prices rose. These are the facts of life, and the sooner they are understood and appreciated the better. I must say to those who still refuse to believe them, "I can only give you the facts. Only God can give you the intelligence to understand them."
    The compilation of the Retail Price Index is done in a most scientific manner. Out of a total weighting of 1,000 points, food is given 350, or 35 per cent. of the total. The information on food prices is obtained by personal visits to retailers by local officers of the Ministry of Labour. In the case of non-proprietary foods, the information is obtained from each of the 200 local office areas, the prices for each article being collected from five retailers selected by the manager of the local office as being typical of those where the majority of households commonly make their purchases.
    I would like here to refer to an article, published only yesterday by Professor Alan Day in the Observer. In the article he invited the Chancellor of the Exchequer to look at the Retail Price Index which, he said:
    "…almost certainly over-estimates the price rises which really take place."
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    I should like to ask the Minister three questions at this point. First, is it not possible to have the figures published more frequently than at present? At the moment, they are published a month or so after the checks are made. Secondly, cannot the Ministry translate the percentage figures into pounds, shillings and pence to make them more understandable to the housewife and to to the electorate? Thirdly, has some consideration been given to the compilation of these statistics based on information obtained from each region? This is obviously an important point for the people living in the regions, as there must inevitably be price fluctuations between one area and another, and a regional price index would be very valuable.
    I turn now to the misleading information about food prices that is fed to the Press and, therefore, into the mind of the housewife. Here, I must make it plain that I am not attacking the Grocer—the magazine that publishes price increases. These people have a job to do for the trade and the people for whom they cater, and they do it very well, but the fact remains that the information they give is often used as political propaganda by the opponents of the Labour Government.
    The grocery trade, quite rightly, lists every size of every product, together with every manufacturer who makes it. Let me take peas as an example. Canned peas are packed in two varieties—"Processed" and "Garden"—and each variety is packed in five different sizes—5 oz., A.1, 1. Tall, A.2, and A.2½. So, if the prices of peas goes up, one is immediately faced with ten increases. When one multiplies that 10 by the number of manufacturers, it is perfectly easy to see how one could read 50, 60 or 70 price increases for one single commodity—
    Mr. Speaker: Order. The Minister is not responsible for the periodical called the Grocer. The hon. Member can only raise in debate something for which the Minister is responsible. The hon. Member must ask the Minister to do something.
    Mr. Lomas: I am just pointing out that this is the case made on food prices, by our opponents, and I am asking the Minister to comment.

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    Again, what really matters is the kind of commodity the housewife buys, and the frequency with which she buys it. In the Grocer for 20th January, 216 price increases were shown. Of these, 30 were pasta products and a further 36 were toiletries and patent medicine. While this is not misleading to the trade it most certainly is to the housewife and to the electorate.
    In a letter I received from the Grocer dated 22nd February, it is stated with reference to price increases:
    "…the figure since 24th November (devaluation week) is about 2,500—this has been arrived at by counting all brands, varieties and sizes as separate items."
    I ask the Minister to say that these published figures should be treated with some suspicion, and that it should be recognised that the method adopted by the Ministry of Labour is far more accurate and more scientifically compiled. Let it also be remembered that during the past few months the price of meat, for example, has been affected by the foot-and-mouth epidemic, and although I do not deny that price increases have taken place, and will take place again, due to devaluation and to other factors, I think we should really put the record straight when and where we can.
    A further point to bear in mind, and which I hope the Minister will note and do what he can about it, is that when announcements are made in the trade Press, such as the Grocer, of price increases and the manufacturers' recommended prices, little attention is paid to the abolition of resale price maintenance and the fact that many kinds of retail outlets establish their own prices which are often below those recommended by the manufacturer. It should be recognised and appreciated that the retail grocery trade frequently absorbs a proportion of the increase in manufacturers' costs.
    In a list which the Grocer published on 10th February, 202 price increases were shown, but 92 of these related to various types of pasta foods, sanitary towels, pickles, rice, gherkins, onions and olives, dessicated coconut, spices, health food and candles, and quite recently the rise in tile price of Bronco toilet paper was reflected as 16 increases. Unintentionally or not, these price increases bandied about in the Press have created
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    an altogether wrong impression, and it is time the truth was made known and the housewife acquainted with the fact that this Government is on her side and not against her. I know that the Government are doing all they can to stabilise prices, but perhaps the Minister can give some indication of how the early warning system is working and what steps his Department is taking to ensure that manufacturers and retailers do not attempt to take the housewife for a ride.
    Much has been said of the special position of the pensioner, and though I realise and appreciate that this Government have done much to assist these people by generous increases in their pension rates and by other means, cannot consideration be given to the compilation of a special price index—food prices in particular—that would be a concern to them and a real help to the Government in determining future pension increases?
    This Adjournment debate will, I think, have helped to nail a few of the lies that have been put about, and perhaps as a result the general public will appreciate that here is a Government determined to keep prices down wherever possible, a Government determined to increase the standard of living for all, and a Government that is worthy of the fullest possible support from the trade unions. It might well be argued, with some justification, that the facts I have given show that the prices and incomes policy of the Government has not been as successful as they would have hoped. This is, of course, why further necessary action is being considered now, but they do clearly show that the housewife and the nation have been "conned" by the Press, misled by T.V. and radio, and led up the garden by ill-informed politicians. I hope that this debate will help put matters right.
    11.47 p.m.
    The Joint Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (Mr. James Hoy): I am glad that my hon. Friend the Member for Huddersfield, West (Mr. Lomas) initiated this debate, because the question of food prices is important for every home in the country. Naturally it attracts a lot of attention, although I regret to say there is not a single Tory or Liberal hon. Member present. I hope that the debate will have removed some misunderstanding

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    of what has been happening to food prices. An impression is sometimes gained that they are constantly rising and right across the board. This, as my hon. Friend said, is not true. There is the natural human reaction we all have of remembering when prices rise and forgetting when they go down.
    There are two forms of publicity which give rise to misunderstanding. My hon. Friend referred to the way in which information about price increases appearing in the Press can be misinterpreted. The trade Press issues guides to changes in manufacturers' recommended prices as a service to the retail grocery trade. For that reason they quote every brand, type, size, shape and flavour. Traders need to know these and it is perfectly proper for the trade organs to tell them. But it is quite misleading to present these increases as though the individual housewife had to meet them all.
    For instance, one firm recently increased the price of its brand of pickles. Five flavours were involved, and seven sizes for each flavour—anything from a 6 oz. jar to a 160 oz. jar. This, therefore, counts as 35 price increases. If two other pickle firms do the same, this is recorded as yet another 100 prices up, which is totally misleading. But for the housewife who buys a jar of pickles every now and then, it is one price and one price increase only. She may not even have to pay any more at all, since competition among retail grocers is so acute that increases are not always passed on.
    The Prices and Incomes Board, in its report on distributors' margins, notes that in a spot check which it did, 94 per cent. of the grocery prices checked were below the recommended prices. Moreover, the mere counting of lines can take no account of the importance of the product. For example—my right hon. Friend has called attention to this already—not long ago there appeared 118 price increases which, on examination, proved to be due to increases by two firms in a wide range of imported Continental cheeses, most of them of a somewhat limited appeal and certainly not eaten in the great majority of households. I doubt, for instance, that consumption is high of goat cheese wrapped in chestnut leaves or of classic pyramid-
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    shaped or log-shaped cheeses—which counted as three more food prices up.
    My hon. Friend gave other examples, and I could give many more, but I think that the point is accepted. I repeat that this way of recording increases is a perfectly legitimate service for the trade, but to suggest that, in the case I cited, the housewife has to pay more for 100 or 118 items in her shopping must be due either to ignorance or to a distortion of the facts.
    After this debate, I do not think that anyone will be able to plead ignorance. Distortion serves no one's purpose, least of all that of the food trades, which have a fine record in holding prices over the past 18 months and deserve more credit than they get when these misleading accounts appear in the Press.
    The other approach adopted to publicise food prices, that of the "shopping basket", is more validly founded in that it sets out to record actual prices paid by shoppers. These shopping baskets, however, suffer from two limitations. In the first place, because of the competition to which I have referred, prices of foodstuffs vary considerably from shop to shop. Therefore, a report based upon prices in only one or two shops can be misleading. A considerable number of shops need to be covered for a fair picture to be gained. Second, the balance between different items in the "basket" may not reflect the balance of purchases generally. Again, it is statistically quite complicated to produce a fair picture.
    My hon. Friend recognised that when he referred to the Index of Retail Prices. The food component of this index is far and away the fairest "shopping basket" of all. The items in it are weighted carefully so as to be an accurate reflection of what shoppers buy. Second, the price information collected is extremely wide. Without doubt, for accurately measuring changes in the price of food, this index cannot be beaten.
    However, I admit at once the weaknesses to which my hon. Friend has referred. An index number is not very meaningful to most people, and, with a delay of a month or more before the figures appear, some of their value is lost. The Government would like to overcome both these weaknesses. To translate the index into hard cash, the

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    Ministry of Labour intends to publish each month, beginning this month, average prices and price ranges of about 80 items of food covering about two-thirds of total expenditure on food.
    Unfortunately, this information cannot appear until well after the date to which it refers. This is inevitable, given the magnitude of the operation involved. We have, therefore, been considering ways and means of providing more up-to-date supplementary information. For 18 months now my Department, with the full co-operation, which I am grateful to acknowledge, of the trade associations concerned, has been supplied with information each week or fortnight of prices actually being charged in a large number of shops of all types. During and since the period of standstill, this has enabled us to keep in close touch with what is actually happening in retail food prices. I should like more public use to be made of this information.
    We must be careful, of course, that any such publication does not lead to further misunderstanding. My Department is in close torch with the trade associations concerned to see what can be done. I very much hope that something can be produced which will be of general use. I hope that these developments will meet the points made by my hon. Friend about the need for prices to be quoted in terms that can be understood and for information to be made available much more quickly.
    As to the question of publishing regional prices and prices particularly affecting special groups like pensioners, my right hon. Friends have asked the Cost of Living Advisory Committee to examine whether more information should he collected and published on these matters.
    As my hon. Friend said, clearly and distinctly, another widely held misconception is that the Government have been much more active and successful in holding down wages than they have in holding down prices. Again, this is just not true. My hon. Friend has given the facts of the matter very clearly. It is of no help to anyone to distort the picture, and I hope that note will be taken of what he has said.
    I must recognise that food prices rise. The Government have always made plain
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    that devaluation is bound to result sooner or later in some increases in the price of many important foodstuffs. Here I should like to pay tribute to the most statesmanlike recognition by the Trade Union Congress that in the nation's difficult economic circumstances, it would be wrong for incomes to rise to compensate for these increases caused by devaluation. I hope that all sections of the community will show an equal public spirit.
    Moreover, devaluation is not the only factor involved. For instance, my hon. Friend referred to the significant rise in the price of beef in recent months due to the dislocation of supplies caused by the tragic foot-and-mouth disease epidemic and the measures taken to deal with it. Indeed, this increase in meat prices and the normal seasonal increase in food prices at this time of year account for the rise in food prices in the past three months.
    I must emphasise that it is not the Government's policy—in fact, it is not possible—to freeze food prices. Again, there seems to be some misunderstanding on this, and an impression that any price increase must mean a failure in the Government's policy. This is not so. The policy requires that price increases should occur only when justified by devaluation or by cost increases which cannot be absorbed.
    Where the Government do come in, and come in very actively, is to ensure that all price increases of economic significance are justifiable in the terms of that policy. This is by no means easy. Nevertheless, my Department has enjoyed excellent co-operation from the food industries in operating this policy. Hon. Members will be familiar with the "early warning" arrangements under which major manufacturers give us advance notification of price increases. Their costs are rigorously examined and we accept that an increased price is necessary only when fully justified against the prices and incomes criteria.
    The fact that most of the proposals are found to be consistent shows no laxity on our part but that, by and large, manufacturers are not making increases unless they are justified. Similarly, a constant watch is kept on the price of seasonal foods to ensure that unjustified price increases do not take place. There are

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    regular discussions with the trade through a number of liaison committees which keep us fully in touch with the price situation.
    Then we have a lot of information about retail prices from a wide variety of sources. It is true to say that a change cannot take place in any significant food price without our knowing about it, and if we do not know the reason for it we quickly take action.
    I accept that naturally there is great general interest in and concern about food prices. I hope that I have shown that, although food prices have been much more stable than people have been led to believe, it is wrong to expect them to be frozen and that, in the immediate post-devaluation circumstances, some increases must be expected. But, at a time when we must have restraint on incomes, the public has a right to demand—and the Government have a duty to ensure—that important prices are not increased unjustifiably. We have a thorough and active machinery to ensure this.
    In the past, we may not have publicised enough all that we have done and
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    perhaps this is an area in which improvement is called for. I hope that this improvement will start as a result of the debate and I thank my hon. Friend for initiating it. He has done a good job not only for the housewife but also in enabling the Government's case to be put and in trying to get a better understanding of those who have co-operated with the Government in making this action possible.
    I hope that, as a result of the debate, there will be a much clearer understanding by our people and that they will be fully confident that the Government have taken steps, which no other Government have ever taken, to keep prices down to a reasonable level in very adverse circumstances. I only wish that our predecessors had been as active in this as we have been.
    The Question having been proposed after Ten o'clock on Monday evening and the Debate having continued for half an hour, Mr. SPEAKER adjourned the House without Question put, pursuant to the Standing Order.
    Adjourned at two minutes past Twelve o'clock.